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Vejle vs Esbjerg Result & Analysis

Date: 21/08/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 4-2
Vejle
Vejle
Vs
59%
19%
22%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Esbjerg
Esbjerg
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

This high-scoring match in Denmark's 1. Division features Vejle hosting Esbjerg. Recent form suggests an interesting storyline, as Vejle is on a 2-game winning run, while Esbjerg is coming off a defeat. However, Vejle's home form has been less impressive, with an average of 1.86 goals scored and conceded at home against similar opponents. Conversely, Esbjerg's away form shows an average of 1.13 goals scored and 1.87 conceded when playing away against similar opponents.

The model predicts a home win with 59% probability, a 19% chance of a draw, and a 22% probability of an away win. The expected total number of goals is 4.3, and the most likely score is 2-1, with a 7.8% probability. The model's selection is the home win. The model also suggests Over 1.5 with 93.5% probability, Over 2.5 with 80.6% probability, and BTTS Yes with 75.8% probability. Home win percentage is 59%, draw percentage is 19%, and away win percentage is 22%.

Results analysis

Vejle’s four-game winning streak continued as they beat Esbjerg 4-2, confirming the model’s home-win pick and the 59 % probability that had been assigned. The match lived up to the prediction, with the favoured result landing and the selections largely coming in. The model’s choice of “Away under 2.5 HT goals” hit at 98.5 %, “Over 1.5” at 93.6 %, “Home over 0.5 goals” at 93.2 %, “Home under 2.5 HT goals” at 93.0 %, “Under 7.5” at 92.7 %, “Away under 3.5 goals” at 91.5 %, “Away under 1.5 HT goals” at 90.0 % and “Home +2 handicap” at 89.6 % all proved correct. The model’s predictions were largely accurate, with the favoured outcome and every suggested pick hitting.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vejle win✓ Hit
59.2%
Avg Implied 58.4% · @ 1.57
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.61
Bet365
1.60
Superbet
1.60
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Draw✗ Miss
18.9%
Avg Implied 21.6% · @ 4.26
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.77
Marathonbet
4.50
1xBet
4.50
Dafabet
4.40
BetVictor
4.33
Esbjerg win✗ Miss
21.9%
Avg Implied 20.0% · @ 4.58
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
5.00
Dafabet
4.80
BetVictor
4.80
Marathonbet
4.75
Betano
4.75

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VejleVejle

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L03L01L20W10W22D20W30W54W32WH·SIL22/04A·FC 27/04A·RAN03/05H·FC 10/05A·ODE17/05H·AB 24/07A·HB 31/07A·TAR05/08H·HIL09/08A·KOL14/08← Superliga1. Division →
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.931.571.791.502.06
vs Stronger (7)1.292.711.252.001.333.67
vs Similar (21)1.521.761.671.671.421.83
vs Weaker (2)2.501.002.002.003.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Esbjerg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EsbjergEsbjerg

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L30W11D41W21W11D32W60W12L12LH·AC 30/04H·KOL09/05A·HIL16/05A·HVI25/05H·LYN31/05H·KOL25/07A·HIL01/08A·BOG06/08A·HVI09/08H·HOB15/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.401.531.201.601.60
vs Stronger (2)1.003.002.004.000.002.00
vs Similar (26)1.351.311.310.921.381.69
vs Weaker (2)5.001.004.002.006.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Vejle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%2%05%113%218%319%417%527%6+
The model estimates around 4.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
93.6%
@ 1.12+10.8%
Under 1.5
6.4%
@ 5.41-10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.15
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Unibet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
Under
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.65
1xBet
5.60
Pinnacle
5.45
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
80.6%
@ 1.44+16.4%
Under 2.5
19.4%
@ 2.59-16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.48
Bet365
1.48
Unibet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.70
BetVictor
2.63
888Sport
2.60
Bet365
2.60
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.8%
@ 2.14+19.2%
Under 3.5
37.2%
@ 1.65-19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.18
Betfair
2.15
888Sport
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Under
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.70
Marathonbet
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Betfair
1.67
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
75.8%
@ 1.50+14.2%
No
24.2%
@ 2.41-14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.54
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
No
Betfair
2.50
Bet365
2.50
BetVictor
2.45
William Hil
2.45
888Sport
2.45

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
7.8%@ 7.34+1.8%
3-1
7.0%@ 10.21+2.7%
2-2
6.4%@ 11.45+2.6%
1-1
6.4%@ 7.91+0.8%
3-2
5.8%@ 15.48+2.9%
1-2
4.8%@ 13.37+1.5%
2-0
4.7%@ 9.08-0.1%
4-1
4.7%@ 17.65+2.2%
Vejle goals ↓
Esbjerg goals →
01234
01.9%1.6%1.8%1.0%0.4%
13.0%6.4%4.8%2.6%1.1%
24.7%7.8%6.4%3.5%1.5%
34.2%7.0%5.8%3.2%1.3%
42.8%4.7%3.9%2.1%0.9%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vejle goals (down), columns = Esbjerg goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hvidovre
2.33
Vejle
2.33
Hobro
2.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Aalborg
1.33
Kolding IF
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Hillerød
0.67
Esbjerg
0.67
HB Koge
0.33
Vejle is 1.67 points better than Esbjerg in terms of average points per game (2.33 vs 0.67).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vejle
2.67
Hillerød
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Hobro
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Kolding IF
1.33
AB Copenhagen
1.33
Esbjerg
1.33
Aarhus Fremad
1.17
Vendsyssel FF
1.17
Aalborg
0.83
HB Koge
0.50
Vejle is 1.33 goals better than Esbjerg in terms of goals scored per game (2.67 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Fredericia
0.67
Aarhus Fremad
0.83
Hvidovre
0.83
Aalborg
1.17
AB Copenhagen
1.17
Hobro
1.33
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Kolding IF
1.50
Vejle
1.67
HB Koge
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Esbjerg
2.17
Vejle is 0.50 goals better than Esbjerg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 2.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Vejle or Draw✓ Hit
78.1%
Avg Implied 80.0% · @ 1.16
Edge
-1.9%
59%
19%
22%
covers Vejle + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
888Sport
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Vejle or Esbjerg✓ Hit
81.1%
Avg Implied 78.7% · @ 1.18
Edge
+2.3%
59%
19%
22%
covers Vejle + Esbjerg
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
888Sport
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Draw or Esbjerg✗ Miss
40.8%
Avg Implied 41.2% · @ 2.25
Edge
-0.4%
59%
19%
22%
covers Draw + Esbjerg
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.37
Marathonbet
2.31
Betfair
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Bet365
2.30

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Vejle over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
93.2%
@ 1.07+6.4%
Under
6.8%
@ 7.02-6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Under
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.90
Betfair
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
888Sport
7.00
Vejle over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
74.8%
@ 1.46+11.4%
Under
25.2%
@ 2.53-11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Under
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Marathonbet
2.61
Pinnacle
2.58
Betano
2.55
Vejle over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
50.2%
@ 2.47+12.5%
Under
49.8%
@ 1.49-12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.59
Unibet
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
888Sport
2.45
Under
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
1xBet
1.50
BetVictor
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Vejle over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
28.2%
@ 4.76+8.6%
Under
71.8%
@ 1.16-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.90
888Sport
4.80
BetVictor
4.80
Under
Betano
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Esbjerg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.7%
@ 1.36+12.8%
Under
19.3%
@ 2.89-12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Betano
1.38
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.37
Under
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Marathonbet
2.96
Pinnacle
2.95
BetVictor
2.90
Esbjerg over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
49.0%
@ 2.75+15.2%
Under
51.0%
@ 1.40-15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.95
10Bet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Under
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.41
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Esbjerg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.9%
@ 6.72+9.0%
Under
77.1%
@ 1.08-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.10
BetVictor
7.00
10Bet
7.00
Betfair
6.50
Under
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.10
888Sport
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Esbjerg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.5%
@ 17.44+3.0%
Under
91.5%
@ 1.01-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
888Sport
21.00
Superbet
17.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Vejle, so a minus line means Vejle give that many goals of a start and Esbjerg receive them. At -1, Vejle must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Vejle win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Vejle)Actual: Draw
Vejle -2
23.0%
@ 4.42+2.8%
Draw -2
16.9%
@ 4.65-2.3%
Esbjerg +2
60.0%
@ 1.48-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Unibet
4.50
Marathonbet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Superbet
4.55
10Bet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Away
Bet365
1.53
Superbet
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
Unibet
1.44
Handicap -1 (Vejle)Actual: Vejle
Vejle -1
40.0%
@ 2.42+3.1%
Draw -1
19.2%
@ 3.74-4.7%
Esbjerg +1
40.8%
@ 2.27+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
2.48
10Bet
2.45
Superbet
2.42
Betfair
2.40
Bet365
2.40
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Superbet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.65
Away
Marathonbet
2.31
Betfair
2.30
10Bet
2.30
Bet365
2.30
Superbet
2.27
Handicap +1 (Vejle)Actual: Vejle
Vejle +1
78.1%
@ 1.17+2.9%
Draw +1
11.6%
@ 6.00-3.1%
Esbjerg -1
10.4%
@ 8.65+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
6.30
Unibet
5.80
Marathonbet
4.40
Away
Bet365
11.00
Unibet
9.00
Superbet
8.70
Marathonbet
5.90
Handicap +2 (Vejle)Actual: Vejle
Vejle +2
89.6%
@ 1.04+0.5%
Draw +2
6.4%
@ 13.50-0.5%
Esbjerg -2
4.0%
@ 23.50+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
12.00
Away
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
21.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VejleVejle

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D10W10W11D10W10W12L11DH·SIL22/04A·FC 27/04A·RAN03/05H·FC 10/05A·ODE17/05H·AB 24/07A·HB 31/07A·TAR05/08H·HIL09/08A·KOL14/08← Superliga1. Division →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.030.360.930.561.12
vs Stronger (7)0.141.290.250.750.002.00
vs Similar (21)0.521.000.331.000.671.00
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Esbjerg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EsbjergEsbjerg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W00D10W01L11D20W40W00D00DH·AC 30/04H·KOL09/05A·HIL16/05A·HVI25/05H·LYN31/05H·KOL25/07A·HIL01/08A·BOG06/08A·HVI09/08H·HOB15/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.570.600.600.870.53
vs Stronger (2)0.502.001.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.580.460.460.380.690.54
vs Weaker (2)3.000.502.001.004.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Vejle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.5%
@ 1.21+2.4%
Under 0.5
21.5%
@ 3.86-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
1xBet
3.98
BetVictor
3.90
Superbet
3.80
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
46.2%
@ 2.10+1.9%
Under 1.5
53.8%
@ 1.67-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.16
Unibet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.11
Betano
2.10
Under
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.68
Superbet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.67
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
20.4%
@ 4.51-0.1%
Under 2.5
79.6%
@ 1.16+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.80
1xBet
4.60
Marathonbet
4.60
Unibet
4.50
William Hil
4.50
Under
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.15

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vejle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
65.3%
@ 1.50+3.4%
Under
34.7%
@ 2.44-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
Pinnacle
1.51
Unibet
1.50
Superbet
1.49
1xBet
1.49
Under
Pinnacle
2.53
Superbet
2.45
1xBet
2.45
10Bet
2.45
Betano
2.42
Vejle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
22.8%
@ 3.38-4.7%
Under
77.2%
@ 1.28+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.55
Betano
3.40
10Bet
3.35
Superbet
3.30
1xBet
3.30
Under
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
Vejle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.0%
@ 8.43-4.0%
Under
93.0%
@ 1.04+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
10Bet
8.50
Superbet
8.40
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Esbjerg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
40.9%
@ 2.26-0.2%
Under
59.1%
@ 1.57+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.35
Superbet
2.30
Betano
2.25
10Bet
2.25
Unibet
2.23
Under
Betano
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.58
Marathonbet
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Esbjerg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 7.42-2.4%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.06+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.50
1xBet
7.60
Superbet
7.40
10Bet
7.00
Betano
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Esbjerg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 22.17-2.8%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
28.00
10Bet
26.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VejleVejle

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L02L01L10W00D11D10W20W42W21WH·SIL22/04A·FC 27/04A·RAN03/05H·FC 10/05A·ODE17/05H·AB 24/07A·HB 31/07A·TAR05/08H·HIL09/08A·KOL14/08← Superliga1. Division →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.901.210.860.940.94
vs Stronger (7)1.141.431.001.251.331.67
vs Similar (21)1.000.761.330.670.750.83
vs Weaker (2)1.500.501.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Esbjerg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EsbjergEsbjerg

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W11D31W20W00D12L20W12L12LH·AC 30/04H·KOL09/05A·HIL16/05A·HVI25/05H·LYN31/05H·KOL25/07A·HIL01/08A·BOG06/08A·HVI09/08H·HOB15/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.830.930.600.731.07
vs Stronger (2)0.501.001.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.770.850.850.540.691.15
vs Weaker (2)2.000.502.001.002.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Vejle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vejle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vejle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vejle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esbjerg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esbjerg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Esbjerg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.5%1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
---+2.8%✓ Hit
Over 1.593.6%1.12
Pinnacle
1.15
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.14
Unibet
1.14
888Sport
1.13
+10.8%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals93.2%1.07
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.08
10Bet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
+6.4%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals93.0%1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-+4.0%✓ Hit
Under 7.592.7%1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
----3.6%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals91.5%1.01
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
--3.0%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals90.0%1.06
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
+2.4%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap89.6%1.04
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
---+0.5%✓ Hit
Under 6.585.2%1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Superbet
1.02
--6.7%✓ Hit
Home or Away81.1%1.18
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
888Sport
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.19
+2.3%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals80.7%1.36
1xBet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
Betano
1.38
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.37
+12.8%✓ Hit
Over 2.580.6%1.44
10Bet
1.48
Bet365
1.48
Unibet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Pinnacle
1.47
+16.4%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals79.6%1.16
Betano
1.20
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.15
+0.1%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals78.5%1.21
Betano
1.25
Superbet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
BetVictor
1.22
+2.4%✓ Hit
Home or Draw78.1%1.16
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
888Sport
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.17
-1.9%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap78.1%1.17
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Unibet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.15
-+2.9%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals77.2%1.28
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.29
1xBet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.25
+4.7%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals77.1%1.08
Betano
1.11
1xBet
1.10
888Sport
1.08
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
-9.0%✓ Hit
BTTS Yes75.8%1.50
Superbet
1.54
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
+14.2%✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals74.8%1.46
Unibet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
+11.4%✓ Hit
Under 5.573.2%1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
Betfair
1.10
888Sport
1.10
Superbet
1.09
-12.1%✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals71.8%1.16
Betano
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
-8.6%✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Vejle · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anders Jacobsen25%
Christian Gammelgaard25%
Mikkel Duelund24%
Stefan Velkov20%
Jelle Duin17%
Tobias Bach15%
Amin Chiakha14%
Yusuf Faghir13%
Giorgi Tabatadze9%
Andrew Hjulsager8%
Abdoulaye Camara5%
Bismark Edjeodji4%
Lasse Flø4%
Lasse Nielsen0%
Thomas Gundelund0%
Jonathan Amon0%
Christian Sørensen0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Igor Vekić0%
Masaki Murata0%
Mike Vestergård0%
Mads Enggård0%
Valdemar Lund0%
Tobias Haahr Jakobsen0%
Tobias Lauritsen0%
Anders Sønderskov0%
Max Jensen0%
Hjalte Gitz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giorgi Tabatadze36%
Stefan Velkov30%
Lasse Nielsen26%
Mads Enggård20%
Tobias Bach20%
Mike Vestergård19%
Andrew Hjulsager17%
Bismark Edjeodji17%
Mikkel Duelund16%
Alexi Pitu12%
Valdemar Lund11%
Christian Sørensen8%
Amin Chiakha7%
Lasse Flø7%
Thomas Gundelund7%
Tobias Lauritsen7%
Christian Gammelgaard6%
Igor Vekić4%
Anders Jacobsen0%
Jonathan Amon0%
Jelle Duin0%
Masaki Murata0%
Yusuf Faghir0%
Tobias Haahr Jakobsen0%
Anders Sønderskov0%
Abdoulaye Camara0%
Max Jensen0%
Hjalte Gitz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrew Hjulsager17%
Tobias Bach15%
Anders Jacobsen12%
Christian Gammelgaard12%
Christian Sørensen12%
Giorgi Tabatadze9%
Lasse Flø7%
Thomas Gundelund7%
Tobias Lauritsen7%
Bismark Edjeodji4%
Mikkel Duelund4%
Mads Enggård4%
Lasse Nielsen4%
Mike Vestergård3%
Jonathan Amon0%
Stefan Velkov0%
Jelle Duin0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Igor Vekić0%
Masaki Murata0%
Yusuf Faghir0%
Valdemar Lund0%
Tobias Haahr Jakobsen0%
Amin Chiakha0%
Anders Sønderskov0%
Abdoulaye Camara0%
Max Jensen0%
Hjalte Gitz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amin Chiakha21%
Yusuf Faghir13%
Andrew Hjulsager12%
Mikkel Duelund12%
Tobias Bach10%
Christian Gammelgaard9%
Stefan Velkov5%
Christian Sørensen4%
Lasse Nielsen0%
Thomas Gundelund0%
Anders Jacobsen0%
Jonathan Amon0%
Jelle Duin0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Igor Vekić0%
Masaki Murata0%
Mike Vestergård0%
Mads Enggård0%
Valdemar Lund0%
Tobias Haahr Jakobsen0%
Giorgi Tabatadze0%
Tobias Lauritsen0%
Lasse Flø0%
Anders Sønderskov0%
Bismark Edjeodji0%
Abdoulaye Camara0%
Max Jensen0%
Hjalte Gitz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
Vejle's squad is €2m more valuable than Esbjerg's (€9m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
Vejle and Esbjerg have a similar attack value (both €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
Vejle and Esbjerg have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
Vejle's defence is €1m more valuable than Esbjerg's (€4m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
VEJ wins
0
Draws
0
ESB wins

Head-to-head

Vejle vs Esbjerg · H/A from VEJ
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

VejleVejle

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/08/26AKolding IF Vs VEJ2-3
09/08/26HVEJ Vs Hillerød5-4
05/08/26ATarup-Paarup Vs VEJ0-3
31/07/26AHB Koge Vs VEJ0-2
24/07/26HVEJ Vs AB Copenhagen2-2
17/05/26AOdense Vs VEJ0-1
10/05/26HVEJ Vs FC Fredericia2-0
03/05/26ARanders FC Vs VEJ1-0
27/04/26AFC Copenhagen Vs VEJ3-0
22/04/26HVEJ Vs Silkeborg1-2

EsbjergEsbjerg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26HESB Vs Hobro1-2
09/08/26AHvidovre Vs ESB2-1
06/08/26ABogense Vs ESB0-6
01/08/26AHillerød Vs ESB2-3
25/07/26HESB Vs Kolding IF1-1
31/05/26HESB Vs Lyngby2-1
25/05/26AHvidovre Vs ESB1-4
16/05/26AHillerød Vs ESB1-1
09/05/26HESB Vs Kolding IF3-0
30/04/26HESB Vs AC Horsens0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vejle
Vejle
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.20
HomeLLWDW1.17
AwayLWWWW1.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%30%33%
AVG goals3.243.433.07
Over 1.5 %86%96%78%
Over 2.5 %58%65%52%
Over 3.5 %36%39%33%
Scored1.521.611.44
Conceded1.721.831.63
BTTS56%65%48%
Clean Sheet24%22%26%
Corners9.959.4010.50
Cards3.323.583.05
Esbjerg
Esbjerg
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLL1.46
HomeLWWDL1.57
AwayDWWWL1.37
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%43%41%
AVG goals2.862.573.11
Over 1.5 %78%74%81%
Over 2.5 %50%43%56%
Over 3.5 %28%22%33%
Scored1.441.351.52
Conceded1.421.221.59
BTTS56%52%59%
Clean Sheet22%26%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VejleVejle614
67%
2.3
1610+6
4.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3242.71.7
-
2HvidovreHvidovre614
67%
2.3
105+5
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.70.8
-
3HobroHobro612
67%
2.0
98+1
2.8
83%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.51.3
-
4FC FredericiaFC Fredericia69
33%
1.5
94+5
2.2
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.50.7
-
5Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad69
33%
1.5
75+2
2.0
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.20.8
-
6Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF68
33%
1.3
78-1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.3
-
7AalborgAalborg68
33%
1.3
57-2
2.0
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2260.81.2
-
8AB CopenhagenAB Copenhagen66
17%
1.0
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.2
-
9Kolding IFKolding IF66
17%
1.0
89-1
2.8
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.31.5
-
10HillerødHillerød64
17%
0.7
1012-2
3.7
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.72.0
-
11EsbjergEsbjerg64
17%
0.7
813-5
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.32.2
-
12HB KogeHB Koge62
0%
0.3
312-9
2.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1220.52.0
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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