Vejle’s recent unbeaten run and a solid 2.1 goals per game at home suggest a potent attack, while Hvidovre’s 1.33 away scoring average and only 0.73 conceded points to a more defensive stance. The model projects a 52% chance of a Vejle win, 23% for a draw, and 25% for Hvidovre, making a home victory the clear favourite. With an expected 3.5 goals, the most likely total is three, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.7% probability. The suggested selections include Under 7.5 (97.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.3%), Under 6.5 (93.3%), Home +2 handicap (88.5%), Home over 0.5 goals (87.7%), Over 1.5 (87.5%), Under 5.5 (85.5%), and Home under 3.5 goals (84.0%). Each pick is presented with its exact percentage, and no other outcomes are given win probabilities.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Vejle win
52.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre win
25.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Vejle
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
1.67
2.00
1.57
1.44
1.75
vs Stronger (5)
1.60
2.20
1.67
1.67
1.50
3.00
vs Similar (23)
1.65
1.61
2.10
1.50
1.31
1.69
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
1.00
2.00
2.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Hvidovre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hvidovre
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.13
1.57
1.57
1.31
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.43
1.11
1.54
1.54
1.33
0.73
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
1.50
2.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Vejle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
87.6%
Under 1.5
12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
68.4%
Under 2.5
31.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
46.9%
Under 3.5
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
67.5%
No
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
1-0
5.3%
3-2
4.6%
Vejle goals ↓
Hvidovre goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.8%
3.3%
3.0%
1.4%
0.5%
1
5.3%
9.7%
6.3%
3.0%
1.1%
2
6.5%
9.3%
6.6%
3.1%
1.1%
3
4.5%
6.5%
4.6%
2.2%
0.8%
4
2.4%
3.4%
2.4%
1.2%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vejle goals (down), columns = Hvidovre goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hvidovre
2.33
Vejle
2.33
Hobro
2.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Aalborg
1.33
Kolding IF
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Hillerød
0.67
Esbjerg
0.67
HB Koge
0.33
Vejle and Hvidovre are level in average points per game (both 2.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Vejle
2.67
Hillerød
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Hobro
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Kolding IF
1.33
AB Copenhagen
1.33
Esbjerg
1.33
Aarhus Fremad
1.17
Vendsyssel FF
1.17
Aalborg
0.83
HB Koge
0.50
Vejle is 1.00 goals better than Hvidovre in terms of goals scored per game (2.67 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Fredericia
0.67
Aarhus Fremad
0.83
Hvidovre
0.83
Aalborg
1.17
AB Copenhagen
1.17
Hobro
1.33
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Kolding IF
1.50
Vejle
1.67
HB Koge
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Esbjerg
2.17
Vejle is 0.83 goals worse than Hvidovre in terms of goals conceded per game (1.67 vs 0.83).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Vejle or Draw
74.9%
Avg Implied -
52%
23%
25%
covers Vejle + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vejle or Hvidovre
77.2%
Avg Implied -
52%
23%
25%
covers Vejle + Hvidovre
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Hvidovre
47.9%
Avg Implied -
52%
23%
25%
covers Draw + Hvidovre
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Vejle over/under 0.5
Over
87.7%
Under
12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vejle over/under 1.5
Over
62.0%
Under
38.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vejle over/under 2.5
Over
35.0%
Under
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vejle over/under 3.5
Over
16.1%
Under
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 0.5
Over
76.0%
Under
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 1.5
Over
41.7%
Under
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 2.5
Over
17.3%
Under
82.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 3.5
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Vejle, so a minus line means Vejle give that many goals of a start and Hvidovre receive them. At -1, Vejle must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Vejle win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Vejle)
Vejle -2
15.7%
Draw -2
15.9%
Hvidovre +2
68.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Vejle)
Vejle -1
31.6%
Draw -1
20.5%
Hvidovre +1
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Vejle)
Vejle +1
74.9%
Draw +1
13.7%
Hvidovre -1
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Vejle)
Vejle +2
88.6%
Draw +2
7.4%
Hvidovre -2
4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Vejle
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.80
0.43
0.71
0.56
0.88
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.60
0.33
0.33
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.52
0.87
0.40
0.80
0.62
0.92
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Hvidovre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hvidovre
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.40
0.79
0.50
0.50
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.43
0.69
0.54
0.47
0.33
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Vejle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vejle over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vejle over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vejle over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Vejle
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.87
1.57
0.86
0.88
0.88
vs Stronger (5)
1.40
1.60
1.33
1.33
1.50
2.00
vs Similar (23)
1.13
0.74
1.70
0.70
0.69
0.77
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Hvidovre) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hvidovre
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.73
0.79
1.07
0.81
0.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.86
0.68
0.85
1.00
0.87
0.40
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Vejle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vejle over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vejle over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vejle over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hvidovre over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Vejle · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Anders Jacobsen25%
Christian Gammelgaard25%
Mikkel Duelund24%
Stefan Velkov20%
Jelle Duin17%
Tobias Bach15%
Amin Chiakha14%
Yusuf Faghir13%
Giorgi Tabatadze9%
Andrew Hjulsager8%
Abdoulaye Camara5%
Bismark Edjeodji4%
Lasse Flø4%
Lasse Nielsen0%
Thomas Gundelund0%
Jonathan Amon0%
Christian Sørensen0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Igor Vekić0%
Masaki Murata0%
Mike Vestergård0%
Mads Enggård0%
Valdemar Lund0%
Tobias Haahr Jakobsen0%
Tobias Lauritsen0%
Anders Sønderskov0%
Max Jensen0%
Hjalte Gitz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giorgi Tabatadze36%
Stefan Velkov30%
Lasse Nielsen26%
Mads Enggård20%
Tobias Bach20%
Mike Vestergård19%
Andrew Hjulsager17%
Bismark Edjeodji17%
Mikkel Duelund16%
Alexi Pitu12%
Valdemar Lund11%
Christian Sørensen8%
Amin Chiakha7%
Lasse Flø7%
Thomas Gundelund7%
Tobias Lauritsen7%
Christian Gammelgaard6%
Igor Vekić4%
Anders Jacobsen0%
Jonathan Amon0%
Jelle Duin0%
Masaki Murata0%
Yusuf Faghir0%
Tobias Haahr Jakobsen0%
Anders Sønderskov0%
Abdoulaye Camara0%
Max Jensen0%
Hjalte Gitz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Andrew Hjulsager17%
Tobias Bach15%
Anders Jacobsen12%
Christian Gammelgaard12%
Christian Sørensen12%
Giorgi Tabatadze9%
Lasse Flø7%
Thomas Gundelund7%
Tobias Lauritsen7%
Bismark Edjeodji4%
Mikkel Duelund4%
Mads Enggård4%
Lasse Nielsen4%
Mike Vestergård3%
Jonathan Amon0%
Stefan Velkov0%
Jelle Duin0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Igor Vekić0%
Masaki Murata0%
Yusuf Faghir0%
Valdemar Lund0%
Tobias Haahr Jakobsen0%
Amin Chiakha0%
Anders Sønderskov0%
Abdoulaye Camara0%
Max Jensen0%
Hjalte Gitz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amin Chiakha21%
Yusuf Faghir13%
Andrew Hjulsager12%
Mikkel Duelund12%
Tobias Bach10%
Christian Gammelgaard9%
Stefan Velkov5%
Christian Sørensen4%
Lasse Nielsen0%
Thomas Gundelund0%
Anders Jacobsen0%
Jonathan Amon0%
Jelle Duin0%
Alexi Pitu0%
Igor Vekić0%
Masaki Murata0%
Mike Vestergård0%
Mads Enggård0%
Valdemar Lund0%
Tobias Haahr Jakobsen0%
Giorgi Tabatadze0%
Tobias Lauritsen0%
Lasse Flø0%
Anders Sønderskov0%
Bismark Edjeodji0%
Abdoulaye Camara0%
Max Jensen0%
Hjalte Gitz0%
Hvidovre · 2023/24
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tobias Thomsen20%
Lirim Qamili18%
Mads Kaalund14%
Christian Jakobsen13%
Andreas Smed12%
Simon Makienok11%
Jeffrey Adjei-Broni4%
Magnus Fredslund4%
Matti Lund Nielsen0%
Marco Ramkilde0%
Adrian Kappenberger0%
Jonas Gemmer0%
Nikolaj Geertsen0%
Mathias Gehrt0%
Filip Đukić0%
Malte Kiilerich0%
Daniel Stenderup0%
Martin Spelmann0%
Matti Olsen0%
Philip Rejnhold0%
Thomas Jorgensen0%
Marcus Lindberg0%
Ahmed Iljazovski0%
Marc Nielsen0%
Mathias Andreasen0%
Magnus Petersen0%
Marius Papuga0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Philip Rejnhold38%
Jonas Gemmer33%
Nikolaj Geertsen30%
Ahmed Iljazovski21%
Martin Spelmann19%
Christian Jakobsen17%
Magnus Fredslund15%
Lirim Qamili14%
Marcus Lindberg14%
Marc Nielsen14%
Matti Olsen14%
Tobias Thomsen13%
Jeffrey Adjei-Broni13%
Malte Kiilerich11%
Filip Đukić8%
Andreas Smed8%
Mathias Andreasen7%
Thomas Jorgensen7%
Simon Makienok5%
Matti Lund Nielsen0%
Marco Ramkilde0%
Adrian Kappenberger0%
Mads Kaalund0%
Mathias Gehrt0%
Daniel Stenderup0%
Magnus Petersen0%
Marius Papuga0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Magnus Fredslund15%
Christian Jakobsen10%
Marc Nielsen10%
Marcus Lindberg7%
Ahmed Iljazovski7%
Tobias Thomsen7%
Simon Makienok5%
Jeffrey Adjei-Broni4%
Andreas Smed4%
Jonas Gemmer4%
Lirim Qamili4%
Matti Lund Nielsen0%
Marco Ramkilde0%
Adrian Kappenberger0%
Nikolaj Geertsen0%
Mads Kaalund0%
Mathias Gehrt0%
Filip Đukić0%
Malte Kiilerich0%
Daniel Stenderup0%
Martin Spelmann0%
Matti Olsen0%
Philip Rejnhold0%
Thomas Jorgensen0%
Mathias Andreasen0%
Magnus Petersen0%
Marius Papuga0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tobias Thomsen27%
Lirim Qamili21%
Andreas Smed8%
Thomas Jorgensen7%
Simon Makienok5%
Magnus Fredslund4%
Martin Spelmann4%
Christian Jakobsen3%
Matti Lund Nielsen0%
Marco Ramkilde0%
Adrian Kappenberger0%
Jonas Gemmer0%
Nikolaj Geertsen0%
Mads Kaalund0%
Mathias Gehrt0%
Filip Đukić0%
Malte Kiilerich0%
Daniel Stenderup0%
Matti Olsen0%
Philip Rejnhold0%
Marcus Lindberg0%
Ahmed Iljazovski0%
Marc Nielsen0%
Mathias Andreasen0%
Magnus Petersen0%
Marius Papuga0%
Jeffrey Adjei-Broni0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
Vejle's squad is €4m more valuable than Hvidovre's (€9m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
Vejle's attack is €1m more valuable than Hvidovre's (€3m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
Vejle and Hvidovre have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
Vejle's defence is €2m more valuable than Hvidovre's (€4m vs €2m).
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hobro
FC Fredericia
Aarhus Fremad
Vendsyssel FF
Aalborg
AB Copenhagen
Kolding IF
Hillerød
Esbjerg
HB Koge