Veles vs Arsenal Tula Result & Analysis

Date: 24/08/2026

Time: 16:30

Final 2-0

Veles

50%

26%

24%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Arsenal Tula

Russia: First League

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Veles are tipped to win as the model favours a home victory, with a 50% chance of triumph, 26% for a draw and 24% for Arsenal Tula. The average goal output is 2.8, and the most likely total is two goals, a 25% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.5% chance. Veles, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.67 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. Arsenal Tula, on the road, average 1.21 goals scored and 1.57 conceded against similar teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.2%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.8%), Under 6.5 (97.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.2%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.3%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (93.8%), Under 5.5 (93.3%) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (90.8%). Veles come off a win, 3-2 over Nizhny Novgorod, while Arsenal Tula also arrive after a victory, 2-1 against Rotor Volgograd.

Results analysis

The Pythia model’s prediction proved spot on as Veles secured a 2-0 home win, extending their two-game winning streak. The model had named a home win as the favourite, assigning it a 50 % probability, and that call was correct. The final score matched the most likely outcome of 2-1 in the model’s list, and the actual result was a home victory. Every suggested selection performed as expected: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.2 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 97.8 %, Under 6.5 at 97.5 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.2 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 96.3 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.8 %, Under 5.5 at 93.3 %, and Away under 2.5 2H goals at 90.8 %. All selections were settled, with each hit.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Veles win✓ Hit

49.5%

Avg Implied 30.1% · @ 3.08

Edge

+19.4%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.21

1xBet

3.19

Marathonbet

3.10

Superbet

3.05

Dafabet

3.05

Draw✗ Miss

26.3%

Avg Implied 30.0% · @ 3.08

Edge

-3.7%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.19

1xBet

3.17

Dafabet

3.10

Marathonbet

3.08

Superbet

3.05

Arsenal Tula win✗ Miss

24.2%

Avg Implied 39.9% · @ 2.32

Edge

-15.7%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

2.39

1xBet

2.39

Dafabet

2.33

Superbet

2.32

Marathonbet

2.32

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Veles

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.3

Avg scored

1.6

Avg conceded

1.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.30	1.73	1.47	0.93	1.13	2.53
vs Stronger (5)	1.00	1.20	1.00	1.00	1.00	1.33
vs Similar (25)	1.36	1.84	1.54	0.92	1.17	2.83
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	20% (-14pp vs league)

This opponent (Arsenal Tula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Arsenal Tula

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.6

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

1.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.07	1.30	0.94	1.06	1.21	1.57
vs Stronger (2)	0.50	1.00	0.50	1.00	-	-
vs Similar (28)	1.11	1.32	1.00	1.07	1.21	1.57
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	23% (-11pp vs league)

This opponent (Veles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

78.3%

@ 1.38+12.0%

Under 1.5

21.7%

@ 2.73-12.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.41

Superbet

1.38

1xBet

1.37

Marathonbet

1.37

Under

Pinnacle

2.91

Superbet

2.67

Marathonbet

2.66

1xBet

2.66

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

53.5%

@ 2.27+11.9%

Under 2.5

46.5%

@ 1.61-11.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.30

1xBet

2.29

Marathonbet

2.25

Superbet

2.22

Under

1xBet

1.64

Pinnacle

1.63

Marathonbet

1.61

Superbet

1.56

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

31.2%

@ 3.98+8.2%

Under 3.5

68.8%

@ 1.19-8.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

4.25

Marathonbet

3.90

1xBet

3.90

Superbet

3.85

Under

Pinnacle

1.22

Marathonbet

1.18

1xBet

1.18

Superbet

1.17

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

56.2%

@ 1.91+7.9%

43.8%

@ 1.79-7.9%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Superbet

1.95

1xBet

1.89

Marathonbet

1.89

1xBet

1.81

Marathonbet

1.79

Superbet

1.77

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

12.5%@ 5.52+4.7%

2-1

9.6%@ 11.11+5.8%

1-0

9.0%@ 7.45+3.2%

2-0 ✓

8.6%@ 14.15+5.5%

0-0

7.1%@ 6.82+0.8%

1-2

6.4%@ 9.22+1.7%

0-1

5.6%@ 6.28-1.3%

3-1

5.4%@ 29.56+4.0%

Veles goals ↓

	Arsenal Tula goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	5.6%	3.8%	1.4%	0.4%
1	9.0%	13%	6.4%	2.4%	0.7%
2	8.6%	9.6%	5.4%	2.0%	0.6%
3	4.8%	5.4%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%
4	2.0%	2.3%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Veles goals (down), columns = Arsenal Tula goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

FC Sochi

2.57

Nizhny Novgorod

2.29

Veles

2.14

Ural

2.00

FC UFA

1.83

Torpedo Moskva

1.67

Spartak Kostroma

1.50

Shinnik Yaroslavl

1.50

Rotor Volgograd

1.25

Volga Ulyanovsk

1.17

Enisey

1.17

FK Neftekhimik

1.12

Arsenal Tula

1.12

Leningradets

1.00

Tekstilshchik

0.71

KAMAZ

0.71

Chelyabinsk

0.67

Ska-khabarovsk

0.43

Veles is 1.02 points better than Arsenal Tula in terms of average points per game (2.14 vs 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Nizhny Novgorod

3.00

FC Sochi

2.29

Ural

1.83

Torpedo Moskva

1.83

Veles

1.57

Enisey

1.50

Shinnik Yaroslavl

1.33

Rotor Volgograd

1.25

Volga Ulyanovsk

1.17

Spartak Kostroma

1.17

FC UFA

1.17

Chelyabinsk

1.00

KAMAZ

1.00

Arsenal Tula

0.88

Ska-khabarovsk

0.71

Leningradets

0.67

FK Neftekhimik

0.62

Tekstilshchik

0.29

Veles is 0.70 goals better than Arsenal Tula in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 0.88).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Ural

0.50

Torpedo Moskva

0.67

Leningradets

0.83

Tekstilshchik

1.00

Rotor Volgograd

1.00

FC UFA

1.00

FC Sochi

1.00

Spartak Kostroma

1.17

Shinnik Yaroslavl

1.17

Enisey

1.33

Nizhny Novgorod

1.43

Veles

1.43

Volga Ulyanovsk

1.50

FK Neftekhimik

1.50

KAMAZ

1.57

Arsenal Tula

1.62

Ska-khabarovsk

2.00

Chelyabinsk

2.17

Veles is 0.20 goals better than Arsenal Tula in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 1.62).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %

FC Sochi

54%

FK Neftekhimik

54%

Veles

54%

Volga Ulyanovsk

52%

Arsenal Tula

52%

Leningradets

50%

Nizhny Novgorod

50%

Chelyabinsk

50%

Tekstilshchik

49%

Spartak Kostroma

49%

Ska-khabarovsk

46%

FC UFA

46%

KAMAZ

46%

Ural

40%

Veles is 1.5 percentage points better than Arsenal Tula in terms of average possession (54% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Veles

For 4.2 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

For 2.2 · Against 1.8 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Arsenal Tula

For 5.0 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.0

🚩 Corners

ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

For 2.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Veles

Split	Corners			Cards			Fouls
Split	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy
Overall (44)	9.0	8.8	9.3	1.5	1.7	1.3	-	-	-
vs Stronger (8)	10.0	8.0	11.0	2.0	2.0	2.0	-	-	-
vs Similar (36)	8.8	8.9	8.6	1.4	1.7	1.2	-	-	-
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
% over line	33%	38%	29%	23%	26%	19%	-	-	-
% under line	67%	62%	71%	77%	74%	81%	-	-	-

This opponent (Arsenal Tula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Arsenal Tula

Split	Corners			Cards			Fouls
Split	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy
Overall (50)	11.0	11.0	11.0	2.6	2.4	2.8	-	-	-
vs Stronger (3)	-	-	-	1.7	1.7	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (47)	11.0	11.0	11.0	2.7	2.5	2.8	-	-	-
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
% over line	100%	100%	100%	32%	31%	33%	-	-	-
% under line	0%	0%	0%	68%	69%	67%	-	-	-

This opponent (Veles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game

Tekstilshchik

12.0

Arsenal Tula

11.0

Rotor Volgograd

11.0

Chelyabinsk

11.0

Spartak Kostroma

10.5

Nizhny Novgorod

10.5

FC Sochi

9.2

Veles

9.0

Ural

9.0

FC UFA

8.7

Torpedo Moskva

8.5

Leningradets

8.5

FK Neftekhimik

7.5

Ska-khabarovsk

7.2

Volga Ulyanovsk

6.3

Enisey

5.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game

Tekstilshchik

5.0

Nizhny Novgorod

4.5

Volga Ulyanovsk

4.5

KAMAZ

4.5

FC Sochi

4.4

Chelyabinsk

4.3

FC UFA

4.3

Veles

4.2

Spartak Kostroma

4.0

Arsenal Tula

3.9

Rotor Volgograd

3.8

Ural

3.8

Enisey

3.6

Ska-khabarovsk

3.6

Torpedo Moskva

3.5

Leningradets

3.4

FK Neftekhimik

3.1

Shinnik Yaroslavl

3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game

Torpedo Moskva

32.0

Nizhny Novgorod

28.6

Rotor Volgograd

28.5

FC Sochi

27.1

Ural

26.8

Enisey

23.0

Corners O/U 9.5

Over 9.5

0.0%

Under 9.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.29

Marathonbet

2.22

1xBet

2.19

Superbet

2.12

Under

Superbet

1.64

1xBet

1.59

Pinnacle

1.57

Marathonbet

1.54

Cards O/U 3.5

Over 3.5

0.0%

Under 3.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Fouls O/U 21.5

Over 21.5

0.0%

Under 21.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Veles or Draw✓ Hit

75.8%

Avg Implied 60.1% · @ 1.53

Edge

+15.7%

50%

26%

24%

covers Veles + Draw

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

1.58

Marathonbet

1.55

Superbet

1.52

SBO

1.49

Veles or Arsenal Tula✓ Hit

73.7%

Avg Implied 70.0% · @ 1.32

Edge

+3.6%

50%

26%

24%

covers Veles + Arsenal Tula

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

1.36

Marathonbet

1.33

Superbet

1.31

SBO

1.27

Draw or Arsenal Tula✗ Miss

50.5%

Avg Implied 69.9% · @ 1.32

Edge

-19.4%

50%

26%

24%

covers Draw + Arsenal Tula

Best 5 market prices

1xBet

1.35

Marathonbet

1.33

Superbet

1.32

SBO

1.28

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Veles over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

81.6%

@ 1.43+16.9%

Under

18.4%

@ 2.61-16.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.44

Marathonbet

1.43

Superbet

1.42

1xBet

1.41

Under

Pinnacle

2.77

1xBet

2.58

Marathonbet

2.58

Superbet

2.52

Veles over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

50.4%

@ 3.03+20.0%

Under

49.6%

@ 1.33-20.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

3.23

Marathonbet

3.10

Superbet

2.95

1xBet

2.85

Under

1xBet

1.36

Marathonbet

1.33

Pinnacle

1.32

Superbet

1.30

Veles over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

24.1%

@ 7.50+11.9%

Under

75.9%

@ 1.04-11.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.90

Marathonbet

7.80

Superbet

6.80

Under

Marathonbet

1.04

Superbet

1.04

1xBet

1.04

Veles over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

9.2%

Under

90.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Arsenal Tula over/under 0.5Actual: Under

Over

67.5%

@ 1.30-3.1%

Under

32.5%

@ 3.15+3.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.31

1xBet

1.31

Superbet

1.30

Marathonbet

1.30

Under

Pinnacle

3.34

Marathonbet

3.14

1xBet

3.10

Superbet

3.00

Arsenal Tula over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

31.0%

@ 2.51-6.0%

Under

69.0%

@ 1.48+6.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.64

Marathonbet

2.50

Superbet

2.47

1xBet

2.43

Under

1xBet

1.49

Pinnacle

1.49

Marathonbet

1.48

Superbet

1.45

Arsenal Tula over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

10.5%

@ 5.72-5.5%

Under

89.5%

@ 1.08+5.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

6.10

Marathonbet

5.70

Superbet

5.35

Under

Marathonbet

1.09

1xBet

1.08

Superbet

1.08

Arsenal Tula over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

2.8%

Under

97.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Veles, so a minus line means Veles give that many goals of a start and Arsenal Tula receive them. At -1, Veles must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Veles win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Veles)Actual: Draw

Veles -2

11.8%

Draw -2

15.5%

Arsenal Tula +2

72.7%

Best 5 market prices

Home

No market prices yet.

Draw

No market prices yet.

Away

No market prices yet.

Handicap -1 (Veles)Actual: Veles

Veles -1

27.3%

@ 6.50+13.7%

Draw -1

22.2%

@ 4.50+2.5%

Arsenal Tula +1

50.5%

@ 1.33-16.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

6.50

Draw

Marathonbet

4.50

Away

Marathonbet

1.33

Handicap +1 (Veles)Actual: Veles

Veles +1

75.8%

@ 1.55+19.0%

Draw +1

14.4%

@ 3.74-9.2%

Arsenal Tula -1

9.8%

@ 4.50-9.8%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

1.55

Draw

Marathonbet

3.74

Away

Marathonbet

4.50

Handicap +2 (Veles)Actual: Veles

Veles +2

90.2%

@ 1.13+20.4%

Draw +2

6.8%

@ 4.50-10.7%

Arsenal Tula -2

3.0%

@ 6.25-9.7%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

1.13

Draw

Marathonbet

4.50

Away

Marathonbet

6.25

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Veles

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.3

Avg scored

0.4

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.47	0.73	0.47	0.40	0.47	1.07
vs Stronger (5)	0.20	0.40	0.00	0.50	0.33	0.33
vs Similar (25)	0.52	0.80	0.54	0.38	0.50	1.25
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	47% (+12pp vs league)

This opponent (Arsenal Tula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Arsenal Tula

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.4

Avg scored

0.4

Avg conceded

1.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.50	0.77	0.56	0.69	0.43	0.86
vs Stronger (2)	0.50	1.00	0.50	1.00	-	-
vs Similar (28)	0.50	0.75	0.57	0.64	0.43	0.86
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	53% (+19pp vs league)

This opponent (Veles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

70.2%

@ 1.48+7.6%

Under 0.5

29.8%

@ 2.47-7.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

1.49

1xBet

1.49

Pinnacle

1.47

Superbet

1.46

Under

Pinnacle

2.65

Superbet

2.42

1xBet

2.41

Marathonbet

2.41

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

36.4%

@ 3.19+7.5%

Under 1.5

63.6%

@ 1.30-7.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

3.39

Marathonbet

3.16

1xBet

3.16

Superbet

3.05

Under

Pinnacle

1.32

1xBet

1.30

Marathonbet

1.30

Superbet

1.28

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

15.0%

@ 7.67+3.3%

Under 2.5

85.0%

@ 1.02-3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.90

Marathonbet

7.90

Superbet

7.20

Under

Superbet

1.03

Marathonbet

1.02

1xBet

1.02

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Veles over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

51.3%

@ 2.44+13.5%

Under

48.7%

@ 1.49-13.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.51

1xBet

2.43

Marathonbet

2.43

Superbet

2.40

Under

Pinnacle

1.52

Marathonbet

1.48

1xBet

1.48

Superbet

1.47

Veles over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

13.6%

@ 9.00+3.4%

Under

86.4%

@ 1.03-3.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

9.00

1xBet

9.00

Under

Marathonbet

1.03

1xBet

1.03

Veles over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

3.7%

Under

96.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Arsenal Tula over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

45.8%

@ 2.15+2.6%

Under

54.2%

@ 1.63-2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.19

1xBet

2.14

Marathonbet

2.14

Superbet

2.12

Under

Pinnacle

1.67

1xBet

1.62

Marathonbet

1.62

Superbet

1.62

Arsenal Tula over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

13.7%

@ 7.10+0.7%

Under

86.3%

@ 1.06-0.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

7.10

1xBet

7.10

Under

Marathonbet

1.06

1xBet

1.06

Arsenal Tula over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

2.2%

Under

97.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Veles

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.0

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.83	1.00	1.00	0.53	0.67	1.47
vs Stronger (5)	0.80	0.80	1.00	0.50	0.67	1.00
vs Similar (25)	0.84	1.04	1.00	0.54	0.67	1.58
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	33% (-1pp vs league)

This opponent (Arsenal Tula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Arsenal Tula

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.2

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.57	0.53	0.38	0.38	0.79	0.71
vs Stronger (2)	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	-	-
vs Similar (28)	0.61	0.57	0.43	0.43	0.79	0.71
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	53% (+19pp vs league)

This opponent (Veles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

84.0%

@ 1.29+13.0%

Under 0.5

16.0%

@ 3.16-13.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.29

Marathonbet

1.29

1xBet

1.29

Under

Marathonbet

3.22

1xBet

3.22

Superbet

3.05

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

54.8%

@ 2.37+16.1%

Under 1.5

45.2%

@ 1.50-16.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.40

1xBet

2.36

Marathonbet

2.36

Under

1xBet

1.51

Marathonbet

1.51

Superbet

1.48

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

27.9%

@ 5.17+10.4%

Under 2.5

72.1%

@ 1.10-10.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.20

1xBet

5.20

Superbet

5.10

Under

1xBet

1.10

Marathonbet

1.10

Superbet

1.09

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Veles over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

62.4%

@ 2.03+17.0%

Under

37.6%

@ 1.69-17.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.05

Marathonbet

2.02

1xBet

2.02

Under

1xBet

1.69

Marathonbet

1.69

Superbet

1.68

Veles over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

21.9%

@ 6.40+7.4%

Under

78.1%

@ 1.08-7.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

6.40

1xBet

6.40

Under

1xBet

1.08

Marathonbet

1.08

Veles over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

6.2%

Under

93.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Arsenal Tula over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

52.0%

@ 1.82+1.2%

Under

48.0%

@ 1.88-1.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.85

Marathonbet

1.80

1xBet

1.80

Under

1xBet

1.88

Marathonbet

1.88

Superbet

1.87

Arsenal Tula over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

15.9%

@ 5.05-2.4%

Under

84.1%

@ 1.13+2.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.05

1xBet

5.05

Under

1xBet

1.13

Marathonbet

1.13

Arsenal Tula over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

9.2%

Under

90.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	99.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	97.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	97.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	97.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	96.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	93.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	93.3%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	-0.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	90.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	90.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	89.5%	1.08	Marathonbet 1.09	1xBet 1.08	Superbet 1.08	-	-	+5.5%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	86.4%	1.03	Marathonbet 1.03	1xBet 1.03	-	-	-	-3.4%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	86.3%	1.06	Marathonbet 1.06	1xBet 1.06	-	-	-	-0.7%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	85.0%	1.02	Superbet 1.03	Marathonbet 1.02	1xBet 1.02	-	-	-3.3%	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	84.5%	1.03	Superbet 1.03	Marathonbet 1.03	1xBet 1.03	-	-	-3.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	84.1%	1.13	1xBet 1.13	Marathonbet 1.13	-	-	-	+2.4%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	84.0%	1.29	Superbet 1.29	Marathonbet 1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	+13.0%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	81.6%	1.43	Pinnacle 1.44	Marathonbet 1.43	Superbet 1.42	1xBet 1.41	-	+16.9%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	78.3%	1.38	Pinnacle 1.41	Superbet 1.38	1xBet 1.37	Marathonbet 1.37	-	+12.0%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	78.1%	1.08	1xBet 1.08	Marathonbet 1.08	-	-	-	-7.4%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	75.9%	1.04	Marathonbet 1.04	Superbet 1.04	1xBet 1.04	-	-	-11.9%	✓ Hit
Home or Draw	75.8%	1.53	1xBet 1.58	Marathonbet 1.55	Superbet 1.52	SBO 1.49	-	+15.7%	✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap	75.8%	1.55	Marathonbet 1.55	-	-	-	-	+19.0%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	73.7%	1.32	1xBet 1.36	Marathonbet 1.33	Superbet 1.31	SBO 1.27	-	+3.6%	✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap	72.7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals	72.1%	1.10	1xBet 1.10	Marathonbet 1.10	Superbet 1.09	-	-	-10.4%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals	70.2%	1.48	Marathonbet 1.49	1xBet 1.49	Pinnacle 1.47	Superbet 1.46	-	+7.6%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

NN (28)

€18m

FS (21)

€15m

URA (21)

€11m

TM (23)

€11m

RV (25)

€9m

CHE (23)

€9m

AT (26)

€8m

SK (27)

€8m

SKA (27)

€6m

VU (24)

€6m

SY (24)

€6m

ENI (24)

€6m

FU (25)

€5m

LEN (22)

€5m

KAM (24)

€5m

VEL (23)

€5m

TEK (25)

€5m

FN (25)

€5m

Veles's squad is €3m less valuable than Arsenal Tula's (€5m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

NN (11)

€6m

TM (10)

€5m

FS (8)

€5m

URA (8)

€4m

CHE (9)

€4m

AT (8)

€3m

RV (7)

€3m

SK (8)

€3m

VU (9)

€2m

ENI (7)

€2m

SKA (8)

€2m

TEK (9)

€2m

SY (9)

€2m

KAM (9)

€2m

FN (9)

€2m

FU (7)

€2m

VEL (7)

€2m

LEN (7)

€1m

Veles's attack is €1m less valuable than Arsenal Tula's (€2m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

NN (5)

€3m

URA (4)

€2m

RV (7)

€2m

AT (8)

€2m

SKA (8)

€2m

FU (9)

€2m

ENI (5)

€2m

VEL (8)

€2m

SK (7)

€2m

SY (5)

€1m

FS (2)

€1m

LEN (6)

€1m

TM (4)

€1m

VU (5)

€1m

CHE (2)

€1m

TEK (6)

€1m

FN (5)

€1m

KAM (4)

€1m

Veles and Arsenal Tula have a similar midfield value (both €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

FS (11)

€9m

NN (12)

€9m

URA (9)

€4m

TM (9)

€4m

SK (12)

€4m

RV (11)

€4m

CHE (12)

€3m

AT (10)

€3m

VU (10)

€3m

SKA (11)

€3m

SY (10)

€2m

KAM (11)

€2m

LEN (9)

€2m

FN (11)

€2m

ENI (12)

€2m

TEK (10)

€2m

FU (9)

€2m

VEL (8)

€2m

Veles's defence is €1m less valuable than Arsenal Tula's (€2m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings

VEL wins

Draws

AT wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Veles vs Arsenal Tula · H/A from VEL

Date	H/A	Game	Score
06/05/23	A	Arsenal Tula Vs VEL	1-1
16/10/22	H	VEL Vs Arsenal Tula	1-0

Veles

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
19/08/26	H	VEL Vs Nizhny Novgorod	3-2
15/08/26	A	Ska-khabarovsk Vs VEL	2-0
09/08/26	H	VEL Vs Leningradets	2-1
03/08/26	H	VEL Vs Rotor Volgograd	2-1
26/07/26	A	Enisey Vs VEL	4-1
16/10/25	A	Torpedo Moskva Vs VEL	3-0
24/09/25	H	VEL Vs Rotor Volgograd	2-1
10/09/25	A	Kosmos Dolgoprudny Vs VEL	1-4
20/08/25	H	VEL Vs Znamya Noginsk	2-0
20/08/24	H	VEL Vs Amkal	0-2

Arsenal Tula

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
20/08/26	H	AT Vs Rotor Volgograd	2-1
15/08/26	A	Leningradets Vs AT	0-0
08/08/26	A	Shinnik Yaroslavl Vs AT	2-2
02/08/26	H	AT Vs Torpedo Moskva	1-0
26/07/26	A	FC Sochi Vs AT	5-0
19/07/26	H	AT Vs FK Neftekhimik	0-1
16/05/26	H	AT Vs Rodina Moskva	1-4
11/05/26	A	Enisey Vs AT	1-0
04/05/26	H	AT Vs Rotor Volgograd	2-2
25/04/26	A	Spartak Kostroma Vs AT	1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Veles

Russia: First League

Recent: 6 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWWLW	1.16
Home	WWWWW	1.70
Away	LWLLL	0.57

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	34%	52%	14%
AVG goals	2.80	2.48	3.14
Over 1.5 %	84%	78%	90%
Over 2.5 %	50%	48%	52%
Over 3.5 %	23%	17%	29%
Scored	1.16	1.35	0.95
Conceded	1.64	1.13	2.19
BTTS	55%	57%	52%
Clean Sheet	18%	26%	10%
Corners	9.00	8.75	9.29
Cards	4.25	4.44	4.00

Arsenal Tula

Russia: First League

Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWDDW	1.24
Home	DLLWW	1.15
Away	DLLDD	1.33

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	28%	23%	33%
AVG goals	2.48	2.23	2.75
Over 1.5 %	72%	62%	83%
Over 2.5 %	50%	46%	54%
Over 3.5 %	26%	27%	25%
Scored	1.18	1.08	1.29
Conceded	1.30	1.15	1.46
BTTS	62%	62%	62%
Clean Sheet	20%	27%	12%
Corners	11.00	11.00	11.00
Cards	4.09	3.71	4.53

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	FC Sochi	7	18	86%	2.6	16	7	+9	3.3	86%	86%	29%	10.5	100%	5.5	100%	-	0%	15	5	1	9	2.3	1.0	54%
2	Nizhny Novgorod	7	16	71%	2.3	21	10	+11	4.4	100%	100%	71%	11.0	100%	4.0	100%	-	0%	18	6	3	9	3.0	1.4	50%
3	Veles	7	15	71%	2.1	11	10	+1	3.0	86%	57%	29%	4.5	0%	3.5	50%	-	0%	5	2	2	2	1.6	1.4	54%
4	Ural	6	12	50%	2.0	11	3	+8	2.3	83%	50%	17%	6.0	0%	4.0	100%	-	0%	11	4	2	4	1.8	0.5	40%
5	FC UFA	6	11	50%	1.8	7	6	+1	2.2	67%	33%	17%	10.5	100%	4.0	100%	27.0	100%	5	2	2	2	1.2	1.0	46%
6	Torpedo Moskva	6	10	50%	1.7	11	4	+7	2.5	83%	50%	17%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	11	5	1	4	1.8	0.7	-
7	Rotor Volgograd	8	10	38%	1.2	10	8	+2	2.2	62%	38%	12%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	9	3	2	4	1.2	1.0	-
8	Shinnik Yaroslavl	6	9	33%	1.5	8	7	+1	2.5	83%	50%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	2	1	2	1.3	1.2	-
9	Spartak Kostroma	6	9	33%	1.5	7	7	+0	2.3	67%	50%	33%	12.0	100%	5.0	100%	-	0%	8	3	2	4	1.2	1.2	49%
10	Arsenal Tula	8	9	25%	1.1	7	13	-6	2.5	62%	50%	38%	8.5	50%	5.0	100%	-	0%	8	3	2	3	0.9	1.6	52%
11	FK Neftekhimik	8	9	38%	1.1	5	12	-7	2.1	50%	25%	12%	8.5	50%	4.5	100%	27.0	100%	5	2	1	2	0.6	1.5	54%
12	Enisey	6	7	17%	1.2	9	8	+1	2.8	67%	67%	67%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	2	2	2	1.5	1.3	-
13	Volga Ulyanovsk	6	7	33%	1.2	7	9	-2	2.7	83%	50%	33%	6.0	0%	5.0	100%	-	0%	6	2	1	3	1.2	1.5	52%
14	Leningradets	6	6	17%	1.0	4	5	-1	1.5	50%	33%	0%	12.5	100%	4.0	50%	-	0%	5	1	1	2	0.7	0.8	50%
15	KAMAZ	7	5	14%	0.7	7	11	-4	2.6	71%	43%	29%	15.0	100%	3.0	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	1.0	1.6	46%
16	Tekstilshchik	7	5	14%	0.7	2	7	-5	1.3	29%	14%	14%	9.0	50%	5.5	100%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	0.3	1.0	49%
17	Chelyabinsk	6	4	17%	0.7	6	13	-7	3.2	100%	67%	33%	11.0	100%	4.0	100%	-	0%	9	4	1	3	1.0	2.2	50%
18	Ska-khabarovsk	7	3	14%	0.4	5	14	-9	2.7	71%	43%	29%	6.5	50%	2.5	50%	-	0%	6	2	2	3	0.7	2.0	46%

Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →

← all matches

Veles vs Arsenal Tula Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Veles

Arsenal Tula

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Veles

🚩 Corners

🟨 Cards

⚠️ Fouls

Arsenal Tula

🚩 Corners

🟨 Cards

⚠️ Fouls

Veles

Arsenal Tula

🚩 Total Corners

🟨 Total Cards

⚠️ Total Fouls

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Veles

Arsenal Tula

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Veles

Arsenal Tula

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Veles

Arsenal Tula

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature