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Velež vs Borac Banja Luka Result & Analysis

Date: 02/11/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 0-0
Velež
Velež
Vs
28%
29%
43%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Velež win✗ Miss
28.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka win✗ Miss
42.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VeležVelež

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-434L11D11D00D40W01L12L04L30W20WA·RAD24/08H·IGM31/08A·SLO14/09H·SLO20/09A·GOŠ24/09H·ZRI28/09A·BOR12/10A·FK 19/10H·POS26/10A·SVA30/10
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.131.330.801.401.47
vs Stronger (9)0.442.000.500.750.403.00
vs Similar (16)1.500.691.330.561.710.86
vs Weaker (5)2.601.003.002.002.330.33
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D01L20W20W11D21W40W10W10W32WA·ZRI15/09H·FK 21/09A·POS25/09H·RAD29/09H·PAN03/10H·VEL12/10A·IGM16/10H·ZEL20/10A·APO24/10A·SIR28/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.670.931.500.691.861.21
vs Stronger (2)1.002.000.001.002.003.00
vs Similar (10)0.800.900.801.000.800.80
vs Weaker (18)2.220.832.000.502.501.25
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
72.6%
Under 1.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.7%
Under 2.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.3%
Under 3.5
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.6%
No
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.2%
0-0 ✓
9.4%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
4.9%
Velež goals ↓
Borac Banja Luka goals →
01234
09.4%10%8.1%3.8%1.3%
17.7%14%8.9%4.2%1.5%
24.9%6.9%4.9%2.3%0.8%
31.8%2.5%1.8%0.8%0.3%
40.5%0.7%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Velež goals (down), columns = Borac Banja Luka goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zrinjski
2.48
Borac Banja Luka
2.45
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.97
Siroki Brijeg
1.39
Sloga Doboj
1.33
Velež
1.27
Radnik Bijeljina
1.21
Posušje
1.12
Igman Konjic
0.88
GOŠK Gabela
0.48
Sloboda Tuzla
0.30
Velež is 1.18 points worse than Borac Banja Luka in terms of average points per game (1.27 vs 2.45).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zrinjski
2.18
FK Sarajevo
1.79
Borac Banja Luka
1.76
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.67
Velež
1.36
Radnik Bijeljina
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.30
Posušje
1.09
Sloga Doboj
1.06
Igman Konjic
0.91
GOŠK Gabela
0.85
Sloboda Tuzla
0.64
Velež is 0.39 goals worse than Borac Banja Luka in terms of goals scored per game (1.36 vs 1.76).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.39
Zrinjski
0.52
FK Sarajevo
0.73
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.15
Velež
1.18
Posušje
1.18
Sloga Doboj
1.36
Siroki Brijeg
1.39
Radnik Bijeljina
1.58
Igman Konjic
2.00
Sloboda Tuzla
2.15
GOŠK Gabela
2.30
Velež is 0.79 goals worse than Borac Banja Luka in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 0.39).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VeležVelež

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D10W00D30W01L00D02L00D00DA·RAD24/08H·IGM31/08A·SLO14/09H·SLO20/09A·GOŠ24/09H·ZRI28/09A·BOR12/10A·FK 19/10H·POS26/10A·SVA30/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.530.530.470.530.60
vs Stronger (9)0.001.000.000.750.001.20
vs Similar (16)0.620.380.670.330.570.43
vs Weaker (5)1.200.201.000.501.330.00
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L00D20W01L00D20W10W00D22DA·ZRI15/09H·FK 21/09A·POS25/09H·RAD29/09H·PAN03/10H·VEL12/10A·IGM16/10H·ZEL20/10A·APO24/10A·SIR28/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.570.560.381.070.79
vs Stronger (2)1.001.500.001.002.002.00
vs Similar (10)0.300.600.200.600.400.60
vs Weaker (18)1.060.440.800.201.380.75
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Velež over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VeležVelež

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-332W00D01L00D10W00D12L02L30W20WA·RAD24/08H·IGM31/08A·SLO14/09H·SLO20/09A·GOŠ24/09H·ZRI28/09A·BOR12/10A·FK 19/10H·POS26/10A·SVA30/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.600.800.330.870.87
vs Stronger (9)0.441.000.500.000.401.80
vs Similar (16)0.880.310.670.221.140.43
vs Weaker (5)1.400.802.001.501.000.33
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D20W00D10W21W20W00D10W10WA·ZRI15/09H·FK 21/09A·POS25/09H·RAD29/09H·PAN03/10H·VEL12/10A·IGM16/10H·ZEL20/10A·APO24/10A·SIR28/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.370.940.310.790.43
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (10)0.500.300.600.400.400.20
vs Weaker (18)1.170.391.200.301.120.50
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Velež over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.6%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Borac Banja Luka
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
David Vuković25%
Dino Skorup20%
Đorđe Despotović20%
Sandi Ogrinec20%
Stefan Savić10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Zoran Kvržić0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Sebastian Herrera0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Enver Kulašin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enver Kulašin56%
Marko Vukčević40%
Sebastian Herrera33%
Bart Meijers30%
Zoran Kvržić25%
David Vuković25%
Boban Nikolov22%
Dino Skorup20%
Đorđe Despotović20%
Nikola Srećković17%
David Čavić12%
Filip Manojlović11%
Jurich Carolina10%
Sandi Ogrinec10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Stefan Savić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Vuković25%
Zoran Kvržić12%
Sebastian Herrera11%
Stefan Savić10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Dino Skorup0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Đorđe Despotović0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Sandi Ogrinec0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Enver Kulašin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Đorđe Despotović30%
Sebastian Herrera11%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Zoran Kvržić0%
Dino Skorup0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Stefan Savić0%
Sandi Ogrinec0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
David Vuković0%
Enver Kulašin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
Velež's squad is €6m less valuable than Borac Banja Luka's (€3m vs €9m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
Velež's attack is €3m less valuable than Borac Banja Luka's (€2m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Velež and Borac Banja Luka have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
Velež's defence is €2m less valuable than Borac Banja Luka's (€1m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
2
VEL wins
3
Draws
2
BBL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Velež vs Borac Banja Luka · H/A from VEL
DateH/AGameScore
12/10/24ABorac Banja Luka Vs VEL2-1
07/04/24HVEL Vs Borac Banja Luka1-1
24/02/24HVEL Vs Borac Banja Luka0-0
01/10/23ABorac Banja Luka Vs VEL2-0
01/05/23HVEL Vs Borac Banja Luka2-0
04/03/23HVEL Vs Borac Banja Luka1-0
10/09/22ABorac Banja Luka Vs VEL0-0

VeležVelež

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/10/24ASvatovac Poljice Vs VEL0-2
26/10/24HVEL Vs Posušje3-0
19/10/24AFK Sarajevo Vs VEL4-0
12/10/24ABorac Banja Luka Vs VEL2-1
28/09/24HVEL Vs Zrinjski0-1
24/09/24AGOŠK Gabela Vs VEL0-4
20/09/24HVEL Vs Sloga Doboj0-0
14/09/24ASloboda Tuzla Vs VEL1-1
31/08/24HVEL Vs Igman Konjic1-1
24/08/24ARadnik Bijeljina Vs VEL4-3

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/10/24ASiroki Brijeg Vs BBL2-3
24/10/24AApoel Nicosia Vs BBL0-1
20/10/24HBBL Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1-0
16/10/24AIgman Konjic Vs BBL0-4
12/10/24HBBL Vs Velež2-1
03/10/24HBBL Vs Panathinaikos1-1
29/09/24HBBL Vs Radnik Bijeljina2-0
25/09/24APosušje Vs BBL0-2
21/09/24HBBL Vs FK Sarajevo0-1
15/09/24AZrinjski Vs BBL1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Velež
Velež
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWW1.52
HomeLDDLW1.76
AwayDWLLW1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%36%
AVG goals2.722.682.76
Over 1.5 %70%72%68%
Over 2.5 %44%40%48%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.541.721.36
Conceded1.180.961.40
BTTS44%52%36%
Clean Sheet40%44%36%
Corners---
Cards---
Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.18
HomeLWDWW2.35
AwayDWWWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %66%73%58%
AVG goals2.522.382.67
Over 1.5 %70%62%79%
Over 2.5 %46%42%50%
Over 3.5 %20%19%21%
Scored1.761.691.83
Conceded0.760.690.83
BTTS48%42%54%
Clean Sheet48%50%46%
Corners7.678.007.00
Cards5.506.005.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZrinjskiZrinjski3382
79%
2.5
7217+55
2.7
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4232.20.5
-
2Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3381
79%
2.5
5813+45
2.2
64%
30%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5141.80.4
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3365
55%
2.0
5924+35
2.5
73%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.80.7
-
4Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3365
61%
2.0
5538+17
2.8
76%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.71.2
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3346
39%
1.4
4346-3
2.7
73%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.31.4
-
6Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3344
39%
1.3
3545-10
2.4
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.11.4
-
7VeležVelež3342
30%
1.3
4539+6
2.5
70%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.41.2
-
8Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3340
36%
1.2
4452-8
2.9
82%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.31.6
-
9PosušjePosušje3337
30%
1.1
3639-3
2.3
73%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
10Igman KonjicIgman Konjic3329
24%
0.9
3066-36
2.9
79%
61%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
11GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela3316
12%
0.5
2876-48
3.2
88%
67%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.3
-
12Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla3310
3%
0.3
2171-50
2.8
76%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.2
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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