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Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina Result & Analysis

Date: 09/11/2025
Time: 16:30
Final 1-0
Velež
Velež
Vs
59%
24%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Radnik Bijeljina
Radnik Bijeljina
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Velež win✓ Hit
59.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina win✗ Miss
16.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VeležVelež

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L31W02L13L20W01L10W10W21WA·RAD23/08H·POS30/08A·RUD13/09A·FK 20/09H·ZRI27/09H·SLO04/10A·BOR19/10H·SIR25/10A·FK 28/10A·ZEL02/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.271.231.151.121.35
vs Stronger (9)0.441.330.801.400.001.25
vs Similar (18)1.561.391.501.001.601.70
vs Weaker (3)1.000.33--1.000.33
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L30W02L00D15L00D10W22D04L21WA·RUD15/08H·VEL23/08A·ZRI01/09H·SLO12/09A·BOR20/09H·SIR26/09H·ZEL05/10H·FK 18/10A·POS26/10H·RUD31/10
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.571.600.801.002.33
vs Stronger (12)1.172.171.171.331.173.00
vs Similar (18)1.391.171.890.440.891.89
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
78.3%
Under 1.5
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
53.6%
Under 2.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.3%
Under 3.5
68.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.2%
No
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
2-0
10.8%
1-0 ✓
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
0-0
7.0%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
Velež goals ↓
Radnik Bijeljina goals →
01234
07.0%4.4%2.5%0.8%0.2%
110%11%4.8%1.5%0.3%
211%9.9%4.5%1.4%0.3%
36.8%6.3%2.9%0.9%0.2%
43.2%3.0%1.4%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Velež goals (down), columns = Radnik Bijeljina goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.39
Zrinjski
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.81
Velež
1.42
Siroki Brijeg
1.25
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.17
Radnik Bijeljina
0.97
Sloga Doboj
0.94
Posušje
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.83
Velež is 0.44 points better than Radnik Bijeljina in terms of average points per game (1.42 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.11
FK Sarajevo
1.50
Zrinjski
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.03
Velež
1.00
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.86
Radnik Bijeljina
0.75
Posušje
0.69
Sloga Doboj
0.58
Velež is 0.25 goals better than Radnik Bijeljina in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.56
Zrinjski
0.69
Velež
0.97
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.03
FK Sarajevo
1.03
Posušje
1.14
Radnik Bijeljina
1.25
Sloga Doboj
1.28
Siroki Brijeg
1.33
Rudar Prijedor
1.53
Velež is 0.28 goals better than Radnik Bijeljina in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VeležVelež

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L21W01L02L00D00D10W00D10WA·RAD23/08H·POS30/08A·RUD13/09A·FK 20/09H·ZRI27/09H·SLO04/10A·BOR19/10H·SIR25/10A·FK 28/10A·ZEL02/11
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.600.460.620.530.59
vs Stronger (9)0.110.670.200.800.000.50
vs Similar (18)0.670.670.620.500.700.80
vs Weaker (3)0.670.00--0.670.00
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D01L00D14L00D10W10W02L11DA·RUD15/08H·VEL23/08A·ZRI01/09H·SLO12/09A·BOR20/09H·SIR26/09H·ZEL05/10H·FK 18/10A·POS26/10H·RUD31/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.830.800.270.401.40
vs Stronger (12)0.581.080.670.500.501.67
vs Similar (18)0.610.670.890.110.331.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Velež over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VeležVelež

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L00D10W01L11D20W01L00D10W11DA·RAD23/08H·POS30/08A·RUD13/09A·FK 20/09H·ZRI27/09H·SLO04/10A·BOR19/10H·SIR25/10A·FK 28/10A·ZEL02/11
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.770.540.590.76
vs Stronger (9)0.330.670.600.600.000.75
vs Similar (18)0.890.720.880.500.900.90
vs Weaker (3)0.330.33--0.330.33
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Radnik Bijeljina) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W01L00D01L00D00D12L02L10WA·RUD15/08H·VEL23/08A·ZRI01/09H·SLO12/09A·BOR20/09H·SIR26/09H·ZEL05/10H·FK 18/10A·POS26/10H·RUD31/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.730.800.530.600.93
vs Stronger (12)0.581.080.500.830.671.33
vs Similar (18)0.780.501.000.330.560.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Velež over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radnik Bijeljina over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
Velež and Radnik Bijeljina have a similar squad value (both €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
Velež and Radnik Bijeljina have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Velež and Radnik Bijeljina have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
Velež and Radnik Bijeljina have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
3
VEL wins
0
Draws
2
RB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Velež vs Radnik Bijeljina · H/A from VEL
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/25ARadnik Bijeljina Vs VEL3-0
13/04/25HVEL Vs Radnik Bijeljina3-2
08/02/25HVEL Vs Radnik Bijeljina2-1
29/11/24HVEL Vs Radnik Bijeljina2-1
24/08/24ARadnik Bijeljina Vs VEL4-3

VeležVelež

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/25AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs VEL1-2
28/10/25AFK Majevica Lopare Vs VEL0-1
25/10/25HVEL Vs Siroki Brijeg1-0
19/10/25ABorac Banja Luka Vs VEL1-0
04/10/25HVEL Vs Sloga Doboj2-0
27/09/25HVEL Vs Zrinjski1-3
20/09/25AFK Sarajevo Vs VEL2-0
13/09/25ARudar Prijedor Vs VEL1-3
30/08/25HVEL Vs Posušje0-1
23/08/25ARadnik Bijeljina Vs VEL3-0

Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/10/25HRB Vs Rudar Prijedor2-1
26/10/25APosušje Vs RB4-0
18/10/25HRB Vs FK Sarajevo2-2
05/10/25HRB Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo1-0
26/09/25HRB Vs Siroki Brijeg0-0
20/09/25ABorac Banja Luka Vs RB5-1
12/09/25HRB Vs Sloga Doboj0-0
01/09/25AZrinjski Vs RB2-0
23/08/25HRB Vs Velež3-0
15/08/25ARudar Prijedor Vs RB1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Velež
Velež
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.34
HomeLLLWW1.52
AwayWLLWW1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%39%33%
AVG goals2.462.262.63
Over 1.5 %70%61%78%
Over 2.5 %46%48%44%
Over 3.5 %24%26%22%
Scored1.281.301.26
Conceded1.180.961.37
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet28%35%22%
Corners---
Cards---
Radnik Bijeljina
Radnik Bijeljina
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLW1.25
HomeDDWDW1.91
AwayDLLLL0.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%57%16%
AVG goals2.922.703.12
Over 1.5 %79%74%84%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %31%26%36%
Scored1.381.741.04
Conceded1.540.962.08
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet23%39%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3686
75%
2.4
7620+56
2.7
67%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5142.10.6
-
2ZrinjskiZrinjski3671
58%
2.0
4825+23
2.0
67%
36%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4231.30.7
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3665
53%
1.8
5437+17
2.5
64%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.51.0
-
4VeležVelež3651
39%
1.4
3635+1
2.0
50%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.01.0
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3645
31%
1.2
3748-11
2.4
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.3
-
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3642
28%
1.2
3437-3
2.0
56%
33%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2110.91.0
-
7Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3635
22%
1.0
2745-18
2.0
53%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2010.81.2
-
8PosušjePosušje3634
22%
0.9
2541-16
1.8
56%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.1
-
9Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3634
22%
0.9
2146-25
1.9
53%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2010.61.3
-
10Rudar PrijedorRudar Prijedor3630
19%
0.8
3155-24
2.4
61%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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