Vendsyssel FF are expected to secure a home win against AB Copenhagen, with a predicted scoreline of 1-1 holding 11.2% probability. The expected total number of goals is 3.0, indicating a potentially high-scoring match. AB Copenhagen have struggled on the road, scoring an average of 1 goal and conceding 1.5 against stronger opponents. In contrast, Vendsyssel FF have been inconsistent at home, with recent form including a draw against FC Fredericia.
The model's selection is the home win, with a 58% probability of success. There is a 24% chance of a draw and a 19% chance of an AB Copenhagen victory. The model also suggests taking Over 1.5 goals, which has an 81.2% probability of occurring, with a 2% edge. The suggested picks include Home win (58%), Draw (24%), Away win (19%), and Over 1.5 (81.2%).
Results analysis
Vendsyssel FF's home win streak was brought to an end by a convincing 0-3 away win for AB Copenhagen. The model's selection, a home win, was wrong, given the low pre-match probability of 57%. In contrast, the model's pick of a home win was the only selection that did not hit, with the suggested pick of Over 1.5 goals hitting at 81.2%. The most likely scores, according to the model, included a 2-1 or 2-0 home win, but unfortunately for Vendsyssel FF, it was the away team that dominated, extending their run of form with a win over their opponents.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Vendsyssel FF win✗ Miss
57.4%
Avg Implied 35.0% · @ 2.62
Edge
+22.4%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.80
Dafabet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.70
Marathonbet
2.63
1xBet
2.63
Draw✗ Miss
23.7%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.61
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.95
Betano
3.85
1xBet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.70
Dafabet
3.65
AB Copenhagen win✓ Hit
18.9%
Avg Implied 39.5% · @ 2.32
Edge
-20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.55
BetVictor
2.38
10Bet
2.35
Dafabet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.33
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Vendsyssel FF
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.50
0.94
1.44
1.29
1.57
vs Stronger (30)
1.10
1.50
0.94
1.44
1.29
1.57
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (AB Copenhagen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AB Copenhagen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.62
1.12
1.00
1.00
1.83
1.17
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (2)
3.50
0.50
-
-
3.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
12% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.2%
@ 1.17+1.4%
Under 1.5
18.8%
@ 4.61-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.19
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
Under
Pinnacle
5.06
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
888Sport
4.60
10Bet
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.8%
@ 1.57-1.7%
Under 2.5
42.2%
@ 2.30+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.64
Bet365
1.57
Betfair
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Betano
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.42
Betano
2.35
1xBet
2.35
Bet365
2.35
Marathonbet
2.35
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.4%
@ 2.42-2.9%
Under 3.5
64.6%
@ 1.50+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.60
Betfair
2.55
10Bet
2.45
BetVictor
2.45
Pinnacle
2.42
Under
Pinnacle
1.56
Betano
1.55
Bet365
1.53
BetVictor
1.50
888Sport
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.8%
@ 1.47-5.7%
No
43.2%
@ 2.45+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.50
Unibet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Marathonbet
1.48
No
BetVictor
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Betfair
2.50
William Hil
2.50
888Sport
2.50
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%@ 6.66+4.6%
2-1
9.9%@ 9.06+5.1%
2-0
9.5%@ 14.10+6.4%
1-0
8.7%@ 10.62+4.5%
3-1
6.5%@ 16.84+3.9%
3-0
6.2%@ 26.42+4.5%
0-0
6.0%@ 13.30+2.7%
1-2
5.3%@ 8.40+0.1%
Vendsyssel FF goals ↓
AB Copenhagen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.0%
4.2%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
1
8.7%
11%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.5%
9.9%
5.2%
1.8%
0.5%
3
6.2%
6.5%
3.4%
1.2%
0.3%
4
3.0%
3.2%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vendsyssel FF goals (down), columns = AB Copenhagen goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hvidovre
2.33
Vejle
2.33
Hobro
2.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Aalborg
1.33
Kolding IF
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Hillerød
0.67
Esbjerg
0.67
HB Koge
0.33
Vendsyssel FF is 0.33 points better than AB Copenhagen in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Vejle
2.67
Hillerød
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Hobro
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Kolding IF
1.33
AB Copenhagen
1.33
Esbjerg
1.33
Aarhus Fremad
1.17
Vendsyssel FF
1.17
Aalborg
0.83
HB Koge
0.50
Vendsyssel FF is 0.17 goals worse than AB Copenhagen in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Fredericia
0.67
Aarhus Fremad
0.83
Hvidovre
0.83
Aalborg
1.17
AB Copenhagen
1.17
Hobro
1.33
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Kolding IF
1.50
Vejle
1.67
HB Koge
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Esbjerg
2.17
Vendsyssel FF is 0.17 goals worse than AB Copenhagen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.17).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Vendsyssel FF or Draw✗ Miss
81.1%
Avg Implied -
57%
24%
19%
covers Vendsyssel FF + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF or AB Copenhagen✓ Hit
76.3%
Avg Implied -
57%
24%
19%
covers Vendsyssel FF + AB Copenhagen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or AB Copenhagen✓ Hit
42.6%
Avg Implied -
57%
24%
19%
covers Draw + AB Copenhagen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Vendsyssel FF
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.87
0.44
0.75
0.64
1.00
vs Stronger (30)
0.53
0.87
0.44
0.75
0.64
1.00
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (AB Copenhagen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AB Copenhagen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.17
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.33
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.25
vs Similar (2)
1.50
0.00
-
-
1.50
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
75% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Vendsyssel FF
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.50
0.69
0.64
0.57
vs Stronger (30)
0.57
0.63
0.50
0.69
0.64
0.57
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (AB Copenhagen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AB Copenhagen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.62
0.88
0.00
0.50
0.83
1.00
vs Stronger (6)
0.17
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (2)
2.00
0.50
-
-
2.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
25% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB Copenhagen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
81.2%
1.17
Unibet
1.19
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.18
888Sport
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
+1.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
Vendsyssel FF and AB Copenhagen have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
Vendsyssel FF and AB Copenhagen have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
Vendsyssel FF and AB Copenhagen have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
Vendsyssel FF and AB Copenhagen have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →