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Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge Prediction & Stats

Date: 10/10/2026
Time: 12:00
Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF
Vs
18%
26%
56%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
HB Koge
HB Koge
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model’s pick is an away win for HB Koge, reflecting the 56% probability that the visitors will come out on top. With an expected total of 2.7 goals, the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.2% chance that the match will finish evenly. Vendsyssel FF, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.14 goals scored and 1.00 conceded, while HB Koge’s away form shows 0.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded in their last five matches. The home win probability stands at 18%, the draw at 26%, and the away win at 56%. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.6%), Under 6.5 (98.0%), Under 5.5 (94.5%), Away +2 handicap (93.5%), Home under 2.5 goals (93.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (89.8%), and Under 4.5 (86.7%). Vendsyssel’s recent three-game winning streak contrasts with HB Koge’s recent draw, setting the stage for a tight contest where the visitors are favoured to edge out a victory.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vendsyssel FF win
18.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
HB Koge win
56.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L11D22D12L40W11D03L10W21W20WA·HIL22/05H·AAL06/08A·HVI25/07H·HOB02/08A·HOB05/08A·FC 09/08H·AB 16/08H·HIL20/08A·FUG25/08A·ESB30/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.331.071.131.331.53
vs Stronger (29)1.241.281.141.001.331.53
vs Similar (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HB KogeHB Koge

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W01L01L03L02L01L13L02L22D00DA·MID16/05H·HOB24/05A·AAL30/05A·FC 25/07H·VEJ31/07A·BRØ04/08A·AAR08/08H·HVI15/08H·KOL23/08A·AAL29/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.531.211.431.061.62
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (29)1.171.481.211.431.131.53
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
75.8%
Under 1.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50.0%
Under 2.5
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
28.0%
Under 3.5
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.0%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
8.0%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
5.7%
1-0
5.2%
Vendsyssel FF goals ↓
HB Koge goals →
01234
08.0%11%11%6.2%2.7%
15.2%12%9.8%5.7%2.5%
22.9%5.1%4.5%2.6%1.2%
30.9%1.6%1.4%0.8%0.4%
40.2%0.4%0.3%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vendsyssel FF goals (down), columns = HB Koge goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Hvidovre
2.33
Vejle
2.33
Hobro
2.00
Aarhus Fremad
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Aalborg
1.33
Kolding IF
1.00
AB Copenhagen
1.00
Hillerød
0.67
Esbjerg
0.67
HB Koge
0.33
Vendsyssel FF is 1.00 points better than HB Koge in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vejle
2.67
Hillerød
1.67
Hvidovre
1.67
Hobro
1.50
FC Fredericia
1.50
Kolding IF
1.33
AB Copenhagen
1.33
Esbjerg
1.33
Aarhus Fremad
1.17
Vendsyssel FF
1.17
Aalborg
0.83
HB Koge
0.50
Vendsyssel FF is 0.67 goals better than HB Koge in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 0.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Fredericia
0.67
Aarhus Fremad
0.83
Hvidovre
0.83
Aalborg
1.17
AB Copenhagen
1.17
Hobro
1.33
Vendsyssel FF
1.33
Kolding IF
1.50
Vejle
1.67
HB Koge
2.00
Hillerød
2.00
Esbjerg
2.17
Vendsyssel FF is 0.67 goals better than HB Koge in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Vendsyssel FF or Draw
44.0%
Avg Implied -
18%
26%
56%
covers Vendsyssel FF + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF or HB Koge
74.4%
Avg Implied -
18%
26%
56%
covers Vendsyssel FF + HB Koge
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or HB Koge
81.6%
Avg Implied -
18%
26%
56%
covers Draw + HB Koge
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5
Over
60.1%
Under
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5
Over
23.4%
Under
76.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5
Over
6.6%
Under
93.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 3.5
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 0.5
Over
82.7%
Under
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5
Over
52.4%
Under
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5
Over
25.8%
Under
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 3.5
Over
10.2%
Under
89.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Vendsyssel FF, so a minus line means Vendsyssel FF give that many goals of a start and HB Koge receive them. At -1, Vendsyssel FF must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Vendsyssel FF win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Vendsyssel FF)
Vendsyssel FF -2
1.7%
Draw -2
4.8%
HB Koge +2
93.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Vendsyssel FF)
Vendsyssel FF -1
6.5%
Draw -1
11.9%
HB Koge +1
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Vendsyssel FF)
Vendsyssel FF +1
44.0%
Draw +1
23.8%
HB Koge -1
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Vendsyssel FF)
Vendsyssel FF +2
67.8%
Draw +2
17.6%
HB Koge -2
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D02L12L30W10W03L10W20W10WA·HIL22/05H·AAL06/08A·HVI25/07H·HOB02/08A·HOB05/08A·FC 09/08H·AB 16/08H·HIL20/08A·FUG25/08A·ESB30/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.530.600.670.93
vs Stronger (29)0.620.690.570.430.670.93
vs Similar (1)0.003.000.003.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HB KogeHB Koge

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L01L00D01L01L02L00D21W00DA·MID16/05H·HOB24/05A·AAL30/05A·FC 25/07H·VEJ31/07A·BRØ04/08A·AAR08/08H·HVI15/08H·KOL23/08A·AAL29/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.570.500.560.69
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (29)0.590.620.570.500.600.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L11D20W00D10W01L00D00D01L10WA·HIL22/05H·AAL06/08A·HVI25/07H·HOB02/08A·HOB05/08A·FC 09/08H·AB 16/08H·HIL20/08A·FUG25/08A·ESB30/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.570.530.530.670.60
vs Stronger (29)0.620.590.570.570.670.60
vs Similar (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (HB Koge) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HB KogeHB Koge

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D03L01L00D11D02L01L00DA·MID16/05H·HOB24/05A·AAL30/05A·FC 25/07H·VEJ31/07A·BRØ04/08A·AAR08/08H·HVI15/08H·KOL23/08A·AAL29/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.930.640.930.500.94
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (29)0.590.860.640.930.530.80
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HB Koge over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.4%-------
Home under 3.5 goals98.6%-------
Under 6.598.0%-------
Under 5.594.5%-------
Away +2 handicap93.5%-------
Home under 2.5 goals93.4%-------
Away under 3.5 goals89.8%-------
Under 4.586.7%-------
Away over 0.5 goals82.7%-------
Draw or Away81.6%-------
Away +1 handicap81.6%-------
Home under 1.5 goals76.6%-------
Over 1.575.8%-------
Home or Away74.4%-------
Away under 2.5 goals74.2%-------
Under 3.572.0%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (24)
€10m
VEJ (22)
€9m
FF (17)
€8m
ESB (23)
€7m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HVI (21)
€5m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
AF (21)
€3m
VF (3)
€1m
AC (3)
€1m
Vendsyssel FF's squad is €4m less valuable than HB Koge's (€1m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (7)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
ESB (8)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
HVI (6)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
AF (6)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
AC (1)
€0m
Vendsyssel FF and HB Koge have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (5)
€3m
VEJ (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
ESB (6)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HVI (6)
€1m
AF (8)
€1m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
Vendsyssel FF's midfield is €1m less valuable than HB Koge's (€0m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AAL (12)
€6m
VEJ (9)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
ESB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
HVI (9)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
AF (7)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
VF (0)
€0m
Vendsyssel FF's defence is €2m less valuable than HB Koge's (€0m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
VF wins
2
Draws
2
HK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Vendsyssel FF vs HB Koge · H/A from VF
DateH/AGameScore
10/05/25HVF Vs HB Koge0-1
04/04/25AHB Koge Vs VF0-0
02/11/24HVF Vs HB Koge1-1
20/09/24AHB Koge Vs VF0-2
26/11/23HVF Vs HB Koge2-0
28/07/23AHB Koge Vs VF3-1
23/10/22HVF Vs HB Koge1-0
31/07/22AHB Koge Vs VF1-2

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AEsbjerg Vs VF0-2
25/08/26AFuglebakken KFUM Vs VF1-2
20/08/26HVF Vs Hillerød1-0
16/08/26HVF Vs AB Copenhagen0-3
09/08/26AFC Fredericia Vs VF1-1
05/08/26AHobro Vs VF0-4
02/08/26HVF Vs Hobro1-2
25/07/26AHvidovre Vs VF2-2
06/08/25HVF Vs Aalborg1-1
22/05/25AHillerød Vs VF3-1

HB KogeHB Koge

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26AAalborg Vs HK0-0
23/08/26HHK Vs Kolding IF2-2
15/08/26HHK Vs Hvidovre0-2
08/08/26AAarhus Fremad Vs HK3-1
04/08/26ABrønshøj Vs HK1-0
31/07/26HHK Vs Vejle0-2
25/07/26AFC Fredericia Vs HK3-0
30/05/26AAalborg Vs HK1-0
24/05/26HHK Vs Hobro0-1
16/05/26AMiddelfart Vs HK0-4

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWW1.10
HomeWDLLW1.08
AwayDWDWW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals2.842.643.04
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %58%52%64%
Over 3.5 %36%24%48%
Scored1.201.081.32
Conceded1.641.561.72
BTTS56%44%68%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners---
Cards---
HB Koge
HB Koge
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDD1.10
HomeWLLLD1.33
AwayLLLLD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%38%19%
AVG goals2.782.503.04
Over 1.5 %80%79%81%
Over 2.5 %52%33%69%
Over 3.5 %32%17%46%
Scored1.181.171.19
Conceded1.601.331.85
BTTS52%42%62%
Clean Sheet18%21%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VejleVejle614
67%
2.3
1610+6
4.3
83%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3242.71.7
-
2HvidovreHvidovre614
67%
2.3
105+5
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.70.8
-
3HobroHobro612
67%
2.0
98+1
2.8
83%
83%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.51.3
-
4FC FredericiaFC Fredericia69
33%
1.5
94+5
2.2
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.50.7
-
5Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad69
33%
1.5
75+2
2.0
67%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.20.8
-
6Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF68
33%
1.3
78-1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.3
-
7AalborgAalborg68
33%
1.3
57-2
2.0
67%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2260.81.2
-
8AB CopenhagenAB Copenhagen66
17%
1.0
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.2
-
9Kolding IFKolding IF66
17%
1.0
89-1
2.8
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.31.5
-
10HillerødHillerød64
17%
0.7
1012-2
3.7
67%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.72.0
-
11EsbjergEsbjerg64
17%
0.7
813-5
3.5
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.32.2
-
12HB KogeHB Koge62
0%
0.3
312-9
2.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1220.52.0
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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