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Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro Result & Analysis

Date: 28/04/2024
Time: 13:00
Final 3-1
Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF
Vs
40%
29%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hobro
Hobro
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vendsyssel FF winâś“ Hit
40.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Drawâś— Miss
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hobro winâś— Miss
30.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D44D30W34L11D13L22D00D00DH·HB 26/11A·FC 01/12H·HIL23/02A·SON02/03A·AAL10/03H·HOB16/03A·FC 02/04H·AAL07/04A·KOL13/04A·SON18/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.401.641.431.501.38
vs Stronger (30)1.571.401.641.431.501.38
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HobroHobro

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W02L13L11D11D11D02L21W12LA·AAL26/11A·AC 01/12H·FC 25/02A·KOL02/03H·B 908/03A·VEN16/03H·KOL01/04A·SON06/04H·AAL12/04H·FC 20/04
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.171.001.441.210.86
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.141.181.071.471.230.85
vs Weaker (2)0.501.000.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.8%
Under 1.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.5%
Under 2.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.7%
Under 3.5
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
54.1%
No
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.8%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.3%
0-2
5.3%
Vendsyssel FF goals ↓
Hobro goals →
01234
08.6%7.6%5.3%2.1%0.6%
19.1%14%7.5%3.0%0.9%
27.3%8.8%5.3%2.1%0.6%
33.4%4.1%2.5%1.0%0.3%
41.2%1.4%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vendsyssel FF goals (down), columns = Hobro goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sonderjyske
2.12
Aalborg
2.03
Hillerød
1.53
Kolding IF
1.53
Hobro
1.47
FC Fredericia
1.47
AC Horsens
1.34
Vendsyssel FF
1.34
B 93
1.22
HB Koge
1.06
Naestved
0.84
FC Helsingor
0.50
Vendsyssel FF is 0.12 points worse than Hobro in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sonderjyske
2.22
Aalborg
2.06
Hillerød
1.81
Kolding IF
1.62
FC Fredericia
1.44
B 93
1.41
Vendsyssel FF
1.41
HB Koge
1.34
Hobro
1.31
AC Horsens
1.16
Naestved
1.03
FC Helsingor
1.00
Vendsyssel FF is 0.09 goals better than Hobro in terms of goals scored per game (1.41 vs 1.31).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sonderjyske
0.91
Aalborg
1.19
Hobro
1.25
Hillerød
1.28
FC Fredericia
1.31
AC Horsens
1.41
Kolding IF
1.44
Vendsyssel FF
1.56
Naestved
1.66
B 93
1.72
FC Helsingor
2.03
HB Koge
2.06
Vendsyssel FF is 0.31 goals worse than Hobro in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D12L10W11D11D11D12L00D00DH·HB 26/11A·FC 01/12H·HIL23/02A·SON02/03A·AAL10/03H·HOB16/03A·FC 02/04H·AAL07/04A·KOL13/04A·SON18/04
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.530.930.640.690.44
vs Stronger (30)0.800.530.930.640.690.44
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HobroHobro

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-100D00D01L00D10W11D00D01L00D01LA·AAL26/11A·AC 01/12H·FC 25/02A·KOL02/03H·B 908/03A·VEN16/03H·KOL01/04A·SON06/04H·AAL12/04H·FC 20/04
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.430.380.620.360.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.360.430.400.670.310.15
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D32W20W23L00D02L10W00D00DH·HB 26/11A·FC 01/12H·HIL23/02A·SON02/03A·AAL10/03H·HOB16/03A·FC 02/04H·AAL07/04A·KOL13/04A·SON18/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.870.710.790.810.94
vs Stronger (30)0.770.870.710.790.810.94
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HobroHobro

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W10W01L13L01L00D11D01L21W11DA·AAL26/11A·AC 01/12H·FC 25/02A·KOL02/03H·B 908/03A·VEN16/03H·KOL01/04A·SON06/04H·AAL12/04H·FC 20/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.730.620.810.860.64
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.790.750.670.800.920.69
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.8%-------âś“ Hit
Under 3.573.3%-------âś— Miss

đź’° 14. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (26)
€13m
AH (27)
€10m
AAL (24)
€10m
FF (17)
€8m
HOB (23)
€7m
KI (21)
€6m
HK (19)
€5m
HIL (18)
€4m
VF (3)
€1m
Vendsyssel FF's squad is €6m less valuable than Hobro's (€1m vs €7m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AH (9)
€4m
SON (6)
€3m
AAL (7)
€2m
FF (5)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HOB (9)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
VF (1)
€0m
Vendsyssel FF's attack is €1m less valuable than Hobro's (€0m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (7)
€3m
FF (5)
€3m
AH (6)
€2m
HOB (5)
€2m
AAL (5)
€2m
KI (5)
€2m
HK (6)
€2m
HIL (5)
€1m
VF (2)
€0m
Vendsyssel FF's midfield is €2m less valuable than Hobro's (€0m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SON (13)
€6m
AAL (12)
€6m
AH (12)
€4m
FF (7)
€3m
HOB (9)
€3m
HK (8)
€2m
KI (8)
€2m
HIL (8)
€2m
VF (0)
€0m
Vendsyssel FF's defence is €3m less valuable than Hobro's (€0m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
VF wins
1
Draws
1
HOB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro · H/A from VF
DateH/AGameScore
16/03/24HVF Vs Hobro1-1
13/08/23AHobro Vs VF0-1
19/02/23AHobro Vs VF3-1
16/08/22HVF Vs Hobro1-0

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/24ASonderjyske Vs VF0-0
13/04/24AKolding IF Vs VF0-0
07/04/24HVF Vs Aalborg2-2
02/04/24AFC Fredericia Vs VF3-1
16/03/24HVF Vs Hobro1-1
10/03/24AAalborg Vs VF4-3
02/03/24ASonderjyske Vs VF0-3
23/02/24HVF Vs Hillerød4-4
01/12/23AFC Fredericia Vs VF0-0
26/11/23HVF Vs HB Koge2-0

HobroHobro

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/04/24HHOB Vs FC Fredericia1-2
12/04/24HHOB Vs Aalborg2-1
06/04/24ASonderjyske Vs HOB2-0
01/04/24HHOB Vs Kolding IF1-1
16/03/24AVendsyssel FF Vs HOB1-1
08/03/24HHOB Vs B 931-1
02/03/24AKolding IF Vs HOB3-1
25/02/24HHOB Vs FC Fredericia0-2
01/12/23AAC Horsens Vs HOB0-1
26/11/23AAalborg Vs HOB1-2

đź“Š 16. Overall Statistics

Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDD1.44
HomeWWDDD1.75
AwayWLLDD1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%50%27%
AVG goals2.742.882.62
Over 1.5 %72%83%62%
Over 2.5 %50%54%46%
Over 3.5 %34%25%42%
Scored1.441.671.23
Conceded1.301.211.38
BTTS54%62%46%
Clean Sheet36%29%42%
Corners---
Cards---
Hobro
Hobro
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLWL1.38
HomeLDDWL1.30
AwayWWLDL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%37%39%
AVG goals2.362.482.22
Over 1.5 %70%70%70%
Over 2.5 %50%56%43%
Over 3.5 %22%22%22%
Scored1.201.221.17
Conceded1.161.261.04
BTTS56%59%52%
Clean Sheet24%19%30%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SonderjyskeSonderjyske3268
62%
2.1
7129+42
3.1
84%
62%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3362.20.9
-
2AalborgAalborg3265
59%
2.0
6638+28
3.2
84%
69%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
2262.11.2
-
3HillerødHillerød3249
41%
1.5
5841+17
3.1
78%
59%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.81.3
-
4Kolding IFKolding IF3249
44%
1.5
5246+6
3.1
78%
66%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.61.4
-
5FC FredericiaFC Fredericia3247
41%
1.5
4642+4
2.8
75%
53%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
2331.41.3
-
6HobroHobro3247
44%
1.5
4240+2
2.6
72%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2231.31.2
-
7Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF3243
34%
1.3
4550-5
3.0
75%
53%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.6
-
8AC HorsensAC Horsens3243
38%
1.3
3745-8
2.6
72%
44%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4241.21.4
-
9B 93B 933239
34%
1.2
4555-10
3.1
75%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.7
-
10HB KogeHB Koge3234
28%
1.1
4366-23
3.4
81%
59%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.32.1
-
11NaestvedNaestved3227
16%
0.8
3353-20
2.7
69%
47%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
12FC HelsingorFC Helsingor3216
6%
0.5
3265-33
3.0
75%
56%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.0
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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