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Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro Result & Analysis

Date: 02/08/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 1-2
Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF
Vs
31%
29%
40%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hobro
Hobro
Denmark: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Vendsyssel FF host Hobro in the Denmark: 1. Division. Hobro's recent form has been impressive, with a 2-game winning run, while Vendsyssel FF are coming off a draw. The model predicts an away win, with a 40% probability of Hobro taking the three points. The expected total goals is 2.5, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring with a 14% probability.

At home, Vendsyssel FF have scored an average of 1.07 goals and conceded 1.36 goals, while Hobro have scored 1.17 goals and conceded 1.17 goals when playing away against similar opponents. The model's selection is the Under 3.5, which has a 75.9% probability of occurring, with an 8% edge. Another selection is the Over 1.5, which has a 72.4% probability of happening. The model's favoured match result is an Away win, with probabilities of 31% for a home win, 29% for a draw, and 40% for an away win.

Results analysis

The win extends Vendsyssel FF's run of inconsistent results, but it was Hobro who ultimately took the spoils. The final score was 1-2, which confirmed the actual result of an away win. The model's selection, an away win, was correct and the favourite, as it held a 40% chance of occurring. The model's selection of an Under 3.5 total goals hit, with a probability of 75.9%, and the selection of Over 1.5 total goals also came in, with a 72.4% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vendsyssel FF winâś— Miss
30.8%
Avg Implied 39.9% · @ 2.31
Edge
-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.38
Betano
2.37
Dafabet
2.37
1xBet
2.33
Superbet
2.32
Drawâś— Miss
29.5%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.32
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Pinnacle
3.40
Dafabet
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Hobro winâś“ Hit
39.8%
Avg Implied 32.4% · @ 2.84
Edge
+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.00
1xBet
2.91
Marathonbet
2.89
BetVictor
2.88
Superbet
2.87

âš˝ 2. Goal Analysis

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D13L31W12L22D01L20W13L22DA·HB 04/04H·ROS12/04A·HOB16/04H·B 920/04A·ROS26/04A·B 902/05H·HB 10/05H·HOB16/05A·HIL22/05A·HVI25/07
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.531.001.271.001.80
vs Stronger (27)1.041.521.071.361.001.69
vs Similar (3)0.671.670.000.001.002.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HobroHobro

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L60W12L10W11D33D03L10W32W12LH·AAL10/04A·MID18/04H·HB 22/04A·AAR26/04A·AAL01/05H·B 908/05H·AAR14/05A·HB 24/05H·MID30/05H·AAR26/07
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.331.401.191.751.501.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.111.481.071.731.171.17
vs Weaker (3)3.330.673.002.003.500.00
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.4%
@ 1.24-2.6%
Under 1.5
27.6%
@ 3.70+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Betfair
4.00
Pinnacle
3.99
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Unibet
3.70
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.4%
@ 1.79-6.7%
Under 2.5
54.6%
@ 1.96+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.87
Bet365
1.85
888Sport
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Under
Pinnacle
2.01
10Bet
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Betano
1.98
SBO
1.97
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.1%
@ 2.92-7.6%
Under 3.5
75.9%
@ 1.36+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.10
Pinnacle
3.01
Bet365
3.00
888Sport
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Under
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
Unibet
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.8%
@ 1.62-5.3%
No
48.2%
@ 2.15+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.63
Betano
1.62
BetVictor
1.62
888Sport
1.62
No
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.18
Unibet
2.17
1xBet
2.17
888Sport
2.15

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%@ 6.05+6.8%
0-1
9.8%@ 9.08+5.0%
0-0
9.5%@ 10.23+5.2%
1-2 âś“
8.6%@ 9.38+3.9%
1-0
8.2%@ 8.10+2.8%
0-2
7.4%@ 13.89+4.3%
2-1
7.4%@ 8.23+2.0%
2-0
5.5%@ 10.87+1.4%
Vendsyssel FF goals ↓
Hobro goals →
01234
09.5%9.8%7.4%3.3%1.1%
18.2%14%8.6%3.8%1.3%
25.5%7.4%4.9%2.2%0.7%
32.1%2.8%1.9%0.8%0.3%
40.6%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vendsyssel FF goals (down), columns = Hobro goals (across).

đź’Ş 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Vejle
1.63
Esbjerg
1.62
Hillerød
1.56
FC Fredericia
1.50
Hvidovre
1.44
Aalborg
1.44
Aarhus Fremad
1.38
Hobro
1.31
HB Koge
1.25
Kolding IF
1.19
Vendsyssel FF
0.78
AB Copenhagen
0.60
Vendsyssel FF is 0.53 points worse than Hobro in terms of average points per game (0.78 vs 1.31).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Vejle
1.68
Aarhus Fremad
1.62
Aalborg
1.56
FC Fredericia
1.54
Esbjerg
1.41
Hvidovre
1.34
HB Koge
1.31
Hillerød
1.31
Hobro
1.25
Kolding IF
1.16
Vendsyssel FF
0.80
AB Copenhagen
0.61
Vendsyssel FF is 0.45 goals worse than Hobro in terms of goals scored per game (0.80 vs 1.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Aarhus Fremad
1.16
Vejle
1.17
Hvidovre
1.22
Kolding IF
1.25
FC Fredericia
1.28
Esbjerg
1.34
Hobro
1.34
Hillerød
1.34
Aalborg
1.47
HB Koge
1.50
Vendsyssel FF
2.46
AB Copenhagen
3.21
Vendsyssel FF is 1.11 goals worse than Hobro in terms of goals conceded per game (2.46 vs 1.34).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D13L11D01L01L00D20W10W02LA·HB 04/04H·ROS12/04A·HOB16/04H·B 920/04A·ROS26/04A·B 902/05H·HB 10/05H·HOB16/05A·HIL22/05A·HVI25/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.800.470.530.471.07
vs Stronger (27)0.520.780.500.570.541.00
vs Similar (3)0.001.000.000.000.001.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HobroHobro

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W01L10W01L22D01L10W30W12LH·AAL10/04A·MID18/04H·HB 22/04A·AAR26/04A·AAL01/05H·B 908/05H·AAR14/05A·HB 24/05H·MID30/05H·AAR26/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.750.810.640.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.520.780.600.870.420.67
vs Weaker (3)2.330.003.000.002.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D20W11D21W01L00D03L20WA·HB 04/04H·ROS12/04A·HOB16/04H·B 920/04A·ROS26/04A·B 902/05H·HB 10/05H·HOB16/05A·HIL22/05A·HVI25/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.730.530.730.530.73
vs Stronger (27)0.520.740.570.790.460.69
vs Similar (3)0.670.670.000.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Hobro) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HobroHobro

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W11D00D10W11D02L00D02L00DH·AAL10/04A·MID18/04H·HB 22/04A·AAR26/04A·AAL01/05H·B 908/05H·AAR14/05A·HB 24/05H·MID30/05H·AAR26/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.440.940.860.43
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.590.700.470.870.750.50
vs Weaker (3)1.000.670.002.001.500.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Vendsyssel FF) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vendsyssel FF over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hobro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.575.9%1.36
Betano
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
Unibet
1.37
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
+7.6%âś“ Hit
Over 1.572.4%1.24
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
888Sport
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-2.6%âś“ Hit

đź’° 13. Squad value

đź’° Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (31)
€15m
FF (32)
€13m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (11)
€7m
FF (10)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEJ (8)
€3m
FF (6)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FF (16)
€6m
VEJ (12)
€5m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
VF wins
1
Draws
4
HOB wins

Head-to-head

Vendsyssel FF vs Hobro · H/A from VF
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/25HVF Vs Hobro2-0
16/04/25AHobro Vs VF3-1
21/02/25AHobro Vs VF1-0
21/08/24HVF Vs Hobro0-3
13/05/24AHobro Vs VF4-1
28/04/24HVF Vs Hobro3-1
16/03/24HVF Vs Hobro1-1
13/08/23AHobro Vs VF0-1

Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/07/26AHvidovre Vs VF2-2
22/05/25AHillerød Vs VF3-1
16/05/25HVF Vs Hobro2-0
10/05/25HVF Vs HB Koge0-1
02/05/25AB 93 Vs VF2-2
26/04/25ARoskilde Vs VF2-1
20/04/25HVF Vs B 933-1
16/04/25AHobro Vs VF3-1
12/04/25HVF Vs Roskilde0-0
04/04/25AHB Koge Vs VF0-0

HobroHobro

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/26HHOB Vs Aarhus Fremad1-2
30/05/26HHOB Vs Middelfart3-2
24/05/26AHB Koge Vs HOB0-1
14/05/26HHOB Vs Aarhus Fremad0-3
08/05/26HHOB Vs B 933-3
01/05/26AAalborg Vs HOB1-1
26/04/26AAarhus Fremad Vs HOB0-1
22/04/26HHOB Vs HB Koge1-2
18/04/26AMiddelfart Vs HOB0-6
10/04/26HHOB Vs Aalborg0-1

đź“Š 15. Overall Statistics

Vendsyssel FF
Vendsyssel FF
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLD1.00
HomeDDWLW1.21
AwayLLDLD0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%29%15%
AVG goals2.882.832.92
Over 1.5 %74%75%73%
Over 2.5 %56%50%62%
Over 3.5 %40%29%50%
Scored1.241.381.12
Conceded1.641.461.81
BTTS56%50%62%
Clean Sheet30%29%31%
Corners---
Cards---
Hobro
Hobro
Denmark: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWL1.26
HomeLDLWL1.16
AwayWWWDW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%28%36%
AVG goals2.482.602.36
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %40%52%28%
Over 3.5 %22%32%12%
Scored1.141.161.12
Conceded1.341.441.24
BTTS46%56%36%
Clean Sheet30%28%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1VejleVejle513
80%
2.6
1610+6
5.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
15
7353.22.0
-
2HobroHobro512
80%
2.4
85+3
2.6
80%
80%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
3HvidovreHvidovre511
60%
2.2
84+4
2.4
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.8
-
4FC FredericiaFC Fredericia59
40%
1.8
82+6
2.0
80%
40%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
3361.60.4
-
5Aarhus FremadAarhus Fremad58
40%
1.6
75+2
2.4
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
6AalborgAalborg57
40%
1.4
57-2
2.4
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.4
-
7AB CopenhagenAB Copenhagen56
20%
1.2
75+2
2.4
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
8Vendsyssel FFVendsyssel FF55
20%
1.0
58-3
2.6
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
9EsbjergEsbjerg54
20%
0.8
811-3
3.8
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.2
-
10Kolding IFKolding IF42
0%
0.5
46-2
2.5
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.5
-
11HillerødHillerød51
0%
0.2
711-4
3.6
60%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.2
-
12HB KogeHB Koge40
0%
0.0
110-9
2.8
100%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.22.5
-
Denmark: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Denmark: 1. Division stats & trends →

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