This opponent (Arminia Bielefeld) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arminia Bielefeld
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.63
0.93
1.47
0.67
1.80
vs Stronger (26)
0.73
1.69
0.75
1.58
0.71
1.79
vs Similar (4)
1.25
1.25
1.67
1.00
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Bochum) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.5%
Under 1.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.5%
@ 1.79-15.9%
Under 2.5
62.5%
@ 2.05+15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.9%
Under 3.5
82.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
40.5%
No
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.4%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
12.4%
2-0
12.3%
2-1 ✓
8.7%
0-1
6.8%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.3%
VfL Bochum goals ↓
Arminia Bielefeld goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
6.8%
2.8%
0.7%
0.1%
1
15%
13%
4.2%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
8.7%
3.1%
0.7%
0.1%
3
6.0%
4.3%
1.5%
0.4%
0.1%
4
2.2%
1.6%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = VfL Bochum goals (down), columns = Arminia Bielefeld goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bayern München
2.26
Borussia Dortmund
2.03
Bayer Leverkusen
1.88
RB Leipzig
1.71
Union Berlin
1.68
SC Freiburg
1.62
1. FC Köln
1.53
FSV Mainz 05
1.35
1899 Hoffenheim
1.35
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.32
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.24
VfL Wolfsburg
1.24
VfL Bochum
1.24
FC Augsburg
1.12
Hertha BSC
0.97
VfB Stuttgart
0.97
Arminia Bielefeld
0.82
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0.53
VfL Bochum is 0.41 points better than Arminia Bielefeld in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 0.82).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bayern München
2.85
Borussia Dortmund
2.50
Bayer Leverkusen
2.35
RB Leipzig
2.12
1899 Hoffenheim
1.71
SC Freiburg
1.71
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.59
1. FC Köln
1.53
Union Berlin
1.47
FSV Mainz 05
1.47
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.32
VfL Wolfsburg
1.26
VfB Stuttgart
1.21
FC Augsburg
1.15
VfL Bochum
1.12
Hertha BSC
1.09
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
0.82
Arminia Bielefeld
0.79
VfL Bochum is 0.32 goals better than Arminia Bielefeld in terms of goals scored per game (1.12 vs 0.79).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bayern München
1.09
RB Leipzig
1.09
Union Berlin
1.29
FSV Mainz 05
1.32
SC Freiburg
1.35
Bayer Leverkusen
1.38
1. FC Köln
1.44
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.44
VfL Bochum
1.53
Borussia Dortmund
1.53
Arminia Bielefeld
1.56
VfL Wolfsburg
1.59
FC Augsburg
1.65
VfB Stuttgart
1.74
1899 Hoffenheim
1.76
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.79
Hertha BSC
2.09
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2.41
VfL Bochum is 0.03 goals better than Arminia Bielefeld in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.56).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
VfL Bochum
For 4.3 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 10.7 · Total 24.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arminia Bielefeld
For 4.6 · Against 4.1 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 10.4 · Total 22.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
VfL Bochum
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
9.7
9.5
3.6
3.5
3.7
25.1
25.8
24.3
vs Stronger (19)
9.0
9.2
8.8
3.7
3.5
4.0
23.9
25.6
22.0
vs Similar (25)
9.8
10.5
9.4
3.4
3.9
3.0
26.0
27.1
25.2
vs Weaker (6)
10.7
8.7
12.7
4.0
2.3
5.7
24.7
22.0
27.3
% over line
50%
46%
54%
40%
33%
46%
74%
83%
65%
% under line
50%
54%
46%
60%
67%
54%
26%
17%
35%
This opponent (Arminia Bielefeld) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arminia Bielefeld
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.1
9.9
3.5
4.0
3.0
22.6
22.6
22.5
vs Stronger (43)
9.9
9.4
10.3
3.2
3.7
2.7
22.3
22.3
22.2
vs Similar (7)
7.4
7.5
7.3
5.4
5.5
5.3
24.6
24.5
24.7
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
32%
44%
40%
52%
28%
66%
68%
64%
% under line
62%
68%
56%
60%
48%
72%
34%
32%
36%
This opponent (VfL Bochum) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Eintracht Frankfurt
10.6
FC Augsburg
10.0
VfL Wolfsburg
9.8
1. FC Köln
9.7
1899 Hoffenheim
9.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
9.7
VfL Bochum
9.6
Bayern München
9.6
Arminia Bielefeld
9.5
Bayer Leverkusen
9.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.5
Borussia Dortmund
9.5
Hertha BSC
9.4
SC Freiburg
9.3
FSV Mainz 05
9.2
VfB Stuttgart
9.0
RB Leipzig
8.6
Union Berlin
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4.0
FSV Mainz 05
4.0
FC Augsburg
3.9
1. FC Köln
3.8
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.8
VfL Wolfsburg
3.8
Borussia Dortmund
3.7
Hertha BSC
3.7
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
3.7
RB Leipzig
3.6
VfL Bochum
3.6
Arminia Bielefeld
3.5
1899 Hoffenheim
3.5
VfB Stuttgart
3.5
Union Berlin
3.4
Bayer Leverkusen
3.3
SC Freiburg
3.2
Bayern München
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FSV Mainz 05
26.8
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
26.0
1. FC Köln
25.9
Hertha BSC
25.6
VfL Wolfsburg
25.2
VfL Bochum
25.1
RB Leipzig
24.7
VfB Stuttgart
24.6
Borussia Mönchengladbach
24.4
FC Augsburg
24.4
SC Freiburg
24.1
1899 Hoffenheim
23.3
Union Berlin
23.1
Eintracht Frankfurt
23.1
Arminia Bielefeld
22.6
Borussia Dortmund
22.4
Bayer Leverkusen
21.6
Bayern München
20.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.1%
Under 9.5
48.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.8%
Under 3.5
62.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
63.5%
Under 21.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
VfL Bochum
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.67
0.53
0.53
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (17)
0.59
0.59
0.67
0.11
0.50
1.12
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.77
0.33
1.17
0.43
0.43
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Arminia Bielefeld) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arminia Bielefeld
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.77
0.27
0.80
0.33
0.73
vs Stronger (26)
0.31
0.85
0.25
0.92
0.36
0.79
vs Similar (4)
0.25
0.25
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Bochum) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
VfL Bochum over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Bochum over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Bochum over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
VfL Bochum
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.90
0.60
0.53
0.53
1.27
vs Stronger (17)
0.59
0.94
0.67
0.44
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (13)
0.54
0.85
0.50
0.67
0.57
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Arminia Bielefeld) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arminia Bielefeld
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.87
0.67
0.67
0.33
1.07
vs Stronger (26)
0.42
0.85
0.50
0.67
0.36
1.00
vs Similar (4)
1.00
1.00
1.33
0.67
0.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Bochum) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
VfL Bochum over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Bochum over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Bochum over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
VfL Bochum · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Philipp Hofmann50%
Christian Rasmussen25%
Enis Çokaj0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Oliver Olsen0%
Timo Horn0%
Berkan Taz0%
Maximilian Wittek0%
Jean-Manuel Mbom0%
Gerrit Holtmann0%
Koji Miyoshi0%
Karol Mets0%
Daniel Hanslik0%
Mats Pannewig0%
Tom Meyer0%
Alessandro Crimaldi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enis Çokaj67%
Philipp Hofmann50%
Mats Pannewig50%
Jean-Manuel Mbom33%
Daniel Hanslik33%
Tom Meyer33%
Maximilian Wittek25%
Michael Steinwender0%
Oliver Olsen0%
Timo Horn0%
Berkan Taz0%
Gerrit Holtmann0%
Koji Miyoshi0%
Karol Mets0%
Christian Rasmussen0%
Alessandro Crimaldi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Koji Miyoshi25%
Enis Çokaj0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Oliver Olsen0%
Timo Horn0%
Berkan Taz0%
Maximilian Wittek0%
Jean-Manuel Mbom0%
Gerrit Holtmann0%
Philipp Hofmann0%
Karol Mets0%
Daniel Hanslik0%
Christian Rasmussen0%
Mats Pannewig0%
Tom Meyer0%
Alessandro Crimaldi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Philipp Hofmann25%
Koji Miyoshi25%
Enis Çokaj0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Oliver Olsen0%
Timo Horn0%
Berkan Taz0%
Maximilian Wittek0%
Jean-Manuel Mbom0%
Gerrit Holtmann0%
Karol Mets0%
Daniel Hanslik0%
Christian Rasmussen0%
Mats Pannewig0%
Tom Meyer0%
Alessandro Crimaldi0%
Arminia Bielefeld · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joel Grodowski50%
Marvin Mehlem25%
Stefano Russo25%
Marius Wörl25%
Sam Schreck0%
Arne Sicker0%
Maximilian Bauer0%
Tim Handwerker0%
Roberts Uldriķis0%
Isaiah Young0%
Jonas Thomas Kersken0%
Jannik Rochelt0%
Monju Momuluh0%
Maximilian Großer0%
Henri Koudossou0%
Benjamin Boakye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Arne Sicker33%
Sam Schreck25%
Tim Handwerker25%
Joel Grodowski25%
Benjamin Boakye25%
Marvin Mehlem0%
Maximilian Bauer0%
Roberts Uldriķis0%
Stefano Russo0%
Isaiah Young0%
Jonas Thomas Kersken0%
Jannik Rochelt0%
Monju Momuluh0%
Maximilian Großer0%
Henri Koudossou0%
Marius Wörl0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maximilian Bauer25%
Isaiah Young25%
Henri Koudossou25%
Sam Schreck0%
Arne Sicker0%
Marvin Mehlem0%
Tim Handwerker0%
Roberts Uldriķis0%
Stefano Russo0%
Joel Grodowski0%
Jonas Thomas Kersken0%
Jannik Rochelt0%
Monju Momuluh0%
Maximilian Großer0%
Benjamin Boakye0%
Marius Wörl0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joel Grodowski50%
Sam Schreck0%
Arne Sicker0%
Marvin Mehlem0%
Maximilian Bauer0%
Tim Handwerker0%
Roberts Uldriķis0%
Stefano Russo0%
Isaiah Young0%
Jonas Thomas Kersken0%
Jannik Rochelt0%
Monju Momuluh0%
Maximilian Großer0%
Henri Koudossou0%
Benjamin Boakye0%
Marius Wörl0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
HB (24)
€25m
VB (24)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
AB (23)
€18m
VfL Bochum's squad is €2m more valuable than Arminia Bielefeld's (€19m vs €18m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
HB (8)
€8m
AB (8)
€7m
VB (9)
€6m
SGF (6)
€4m
VfL Bochum's attack is €1m less valuable than Arminia Bielefeld's (€6m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
VW (8)
€32m
UB (6)
€26m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
AB (5)
€4m
HB (6)
€3m
VfL Bochum's midfield is €2m more valuable than Arminia Bielefeld's (€5m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
HB (10)
€13m
SGF (10)
€9m
VB (11)
€8m
AB (10)
€7m
VfL Bochum's defence is €1m more valuable than Arminia Bielefeld's (€8m vs €7m).
Germany: Bundesliga 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →