This opponent (Arminia Bielefeld) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arminia Bielefeld
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.37
1.40
1.13
2.33
1.60
vs Stronger (7)
1.00
1.57
1.00
1.00
1.00
2.33
vs Similar (22)
2.00
1.27
1.55
1.18
2.45
1.36
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
2.00
-
-
5.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Osnabrück) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
88.3%
Under 1.5
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
69.8%
@ 1.64+12.1%
Under 2.5
30.2%
@ 2.23-12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
48.5%
Under 3.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
69.9%
No
30.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-2
7.0%
2-1
7.0%
1-3
5.8%
0-2
5.5%
2-3
4.7%
0-1 ✓
4.6%
VfL Osnabrück goals ↓
Arminia Bielefeld goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.6%
4.6%
5.5%
3.6%
1.8%
1
3.5%
9.6%
8.7%
5.8%
2.9%
2
3.5%
7.0%
7.0%
4.7%
2.3%
3
1.9%
3.7%
3.7%
2.5%
1.2%
4
0.7%
1.5%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = VfL Osnabrück goals (down), columns = Arminia Bielefeld goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arminia Bielefeld
2.00
VfB Stuttgart
1.71
1. FC Heidenheim
1.62
Hamburger SV
1.59
SV Darmstadt 98
1.53
Hannover 96
1.41
Erzgebirge Aue
1.38
VfL Bochum
1.35
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.29
Holstein Kiel
1.26
SV Sandhausen
1.26
Regensburg
1.26
VfL Osnabrück
1.18
FC St. Pauli
1.15
Karlsruher SC
1.09
1. FC Nürnberg
1.09
Wehen
1.00
Dynamo Dresden
0.94
VfL Osnabrück is 0.82 points worse than Arminia Bielefeld in terms of average points per game (1.18 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Arminia Bielefeld
1.91
Hamburger SV
1.82
VfB Stuttgart
1.82
Hannover 96
1.59
Holstein Kiel
1.56
VfL Bochum
1.56
Regensburg
1.47
SV Darmstadt 98
1.41
VfL Osnabrück
1.35
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.35
Erzgebirge Aue
1.35
Karlsruher SC
1.32
Wehen
1.32
1. FC Heidenheim
1.32
1. FC Nürnberg
1.32
SV Sandhausen
1.26
FC St. Pauli
1.21
Dynamo Dresden
0.94
VfL Osnabrück is 0.56 goals worse than Arminia Bielefeld in terms of goals scored per game (1.35 vs 1.91).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arminia Bielefeld
0.88
1. FC Heidenheim
1.06
VfB Stuttgart
1.21
SV Darmstadt 98
1.26
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.32
SV Sandhausen
1.32
Hamburger SV
1.35
VfL Osnabrück
1.41
Erzgebirge Aue
1.41
Hannover 96
1.44
FC St. Pauli
1.47
VfL Bochum
1.50
Karlsruher SC
1.65
Holstein Kiel
1.65
Regensburg
1.65
Dynamo Dresden
1.71
1. FC Nürnberg
1.71
Wehen
1.91
VfL Osnabrück is 0.53 goals worse than Arminia Bielefeld in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 0.88).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
VfL Osnabrück
For 3.8 · Against 6.6 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 3.1 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 16.0 · Total 28.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Arminia Bielefeld
For 5.9 · Against 3.4 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 12.9 · Total 24.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
VfL Osnabrück
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (8)
10.4
12.0
8.8
5.5
5.8
5.2
28.8
31.0
26.5
vs Stronger (5)
12.6
12.0
15.0
5.4
5.8
4.0
29.6
31.0
24.0
vs Similar (3)
6.7
-
6.7
5.7
-
5.7
27.3
-
27.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
75%
25%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
50%
25%
75%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Arminia Bielefeld) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arminia Bielefeld
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.4
10.4
3.8
3.9
3.7
26.1
26.2
26.0
vs Stronger (13)
8.2
7.0
9.5
3.5
4.1
2.7
24.8
25.9
23.5
vs Similar (36)
10.6
10.3
10.9
3.9
3.8
4.0
26.6
26.3
26.9
vs Weaker (1)
6.0
-
6.0
5.0
-
5.0
24.0
-
24.0
% over line
46%
44%
48%
54%
60%
48%
86%
84%
88%
% under line
54%
56%
52%
46%
40%
52%
14%
16%
12%
This opponent (VfL Osnabrück) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Holstein Kiel
11.7
Regensburg
11.4
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
11.4
Karlsruher SC
11.1
1. FC Heidenheim
10.9
1. FC Nürnberg
10.8
VfB Stuttgart
10.6
VfL Osnabrück
10.4
SV Darmstadt 98
10.2
SV Sandhausen
10.2
VfL Bochum
10.1
Hamburger SV
10.0
Arminia Bielefeld
9.9
Hannover 96
9.8
Erzgebirge Aue
9.7
Dynamo Dresden
9.3
FC St. Pauli
9.3
Wehen
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
VfL Osnabrück
5.5
Erzgebirge Aue
5.1
Wehen
4.8
Regensburg
4.5
Dynamo Dresden
4.5
SV Sandhausen
4.3
FC St. Pauli
4.3
VfL Bochum
4.2
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
4.2
SV Darmstadt 98
4.1
Hannover 96
4.0
VfB Stuttgart
3.9
Hamburger SV
3.9
1. FC Heidenheim
3.8
Arminia Bielefeld
3.8
Karlsruher SC
3.8
1. FC Nürnberg
3.6
Holstein Kiel
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
VfL Osnabrück
28.8
Regensburg
28.5
Dynamo Dresden
28.2
Erzgebirge Aue
27.7
VfL Bochum
27.5
SV Sandhausen
27.1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
27.0
SV Darmstadt 98
26.8
Arminia Bielefeld
26.1
FC St. Pauli
26.0
Hamburger SV
25.5
Holstein Kiel
25.3
Hannover 96
25.1
1. FC Heidenheim
25.1
Wehen
24.8
Karlsruher SC
24.3
1. FC Nürnberg
23.2
VfB Stuttgart
22.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
62.3%
Under 9.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.8%
Under 3.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
86.8%
Under 21.5
13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
VfL Osnabrück
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.38
0.38
0.75
0.25
0.00
0.50
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.20
0.75
0.25
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (3)
0.00
0.67
-
-
0.00
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
62% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Arminia Bielefeld) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arminia Bielefeld
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.57
0.53
0.47
0.87
0.67
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.71
0.75
0.50
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.50
0.45
0.45
0.82
0.55
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
-
-
3.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Osnabrück) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
VfL Osnabrück
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.88
0.62
1.50
0.75
0.25
0.50
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
0.80
1.50
0.75
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (3)
0.33
0.33
-
-
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
62% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Arminia Bielefeld) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arminia Bielefeld
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.80
0.87
0.67
1.47
0.93
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.86
0.25
0.50
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (22)
1.36
0.77
1.09
0.73
1.64
0.82
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Osnabrück) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Osnabrück over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arminia Bielefeld over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
VfL Osnabrück · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Robin Meißner50%
N. Wiemann25%
Ismail Badjie25%
Bjarke Jacobsen0%
P. Kammerbauer0%
J. Müller0%
F. Wagner0%
Konrad Faber0%
L. Münst0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
L. Opitz0%
Robin Fabinski0%
B. Riesselmann0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ismail Badjie50%
P. Kammerbauer25%
N. Wiemann25%
F. Wagner25%
Konrad Faber25%
Bjarke Jacobsen0%
J. Müller0%
Robin Meißner0%
L. Münst0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
L. Opitz0%
Robin Fabinski0%
B. Riesselmann0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Konrad Faber25%
L. Münst25%
Bjarke Jacobsen0%
P. Kammerbauer0%
J. Müller0%
N. Wiemann0%
F. Wagner0%
Robin Meißner0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
Ismail Badjie0%
L. Opitz0%
Robin Fabinski0%
B. Riesselmann0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Robin Meißner25%
Ismail Badjie25%
B. Riesselmann25%
Bjarke Jacobsen0%
P. Kammerbauer0%
J. Müller0%
N. Wiemann0%
F. Wagner0%
Konrad Faber0%
L. Münst0%
Jonas Krumrey0%
L. Opitz0%
Robin Fabinski0%
Arminia Bielefeld · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joel Grodowski50%
Marvin Mehlem25%
Stefano Russo25%
Marius Wörl25%
Sam Schreck0%
Arne Sicker0%
Maximilian Bauer0%
Tim Handwerker0%
Roberts Uldriķis0%
Isaiah Young0%
Jonas Thomas Kersken0%
Jannik Rochelt0%
Monju Momuluh0%
Maximilian Großer0%
Henri Koudossou0%
Benjamin Boakye0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Arne Sicker33%
Sam Schreck25%
Tim Handwerker25%
Joel Grodowski25%
Benjamin Boakye25%
Marvin Mehlem0%
Maximilian Bauer0%
Roberts Uldriķis0%
Stefano Russo0%
Isaiah Young0%
Jonas Thomas Kersken0%
Jannik Rochelt0%
Monju Momuluh0%
Maximilian Großer0%
Henri Koudossou0%
Marius Wörl0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maximilian Bauer25%
Isaiah Young25%
Henri Koudossou25%
Sam Schreck0%
Arne Sicker0%
Marvin Mehlem0%
Tim Handwerker0%
Roberts Uldriķis0%
Stefano Russo0%
Joel Grodowski0%
Jonas Thomas Kersken0%
Jannik Rochelt0%
Monju Momuluh0%
Maximilian Großer0%
Benjamin Boakye0%
Marius Wörl0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joel Grodowski50%
Sam Schreck0%
Arne Sicker0%
Marvin Mehlem0%
Maximilian Bauer0%
Tim Handwerker0%
Roberts Uldriķis0%
Stefano Russo0%
Isaiah Young0%
Jonas Thomas Kersken0%
Jannik Rochelt0%
Monju Momuluh0%
Maximilian Großer0%
Henri Koudossou0%
Benjamin Boakye0%
Marius Wörl0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VS (54)
€430m
HS (28)
€117m
FSP (27)
€46m
1FN (28)
€40m
HK (32)
€34m
1FH (26)
€33m
H9 (26)
€33m
KS (25)
€31m
SD9 (28)
€24m
VB (24)
€19m
DD (26)
€19m
SGF (24)
€19m
AB (23)
€18m
VO (25)
€10m
EA (18)
€2m
VfL Osnabrück's squad is €7m less valuable than Arminia Bielefeld's (€10m vs €18m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VS (19)
€193m
HS (11)
€46m
KS (7)
€16m
1FH (11)
€15m
1FN (9)
€14m
HK (12)
€12m
FSP (7)
€10m
H9 (9)
€10m
SD9 (11)
€9m
AB (8)
€7m
DD (8)
€6m
VB (9)
€6m
VO (9)
€5m
SGF (6)
€4m
EA (5)
€1m
VfL Osnabrück's attack is €2m less valuable than Arminia Bielefeld's (€5m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VS (10)
€92m
HS (5)
€34m
FSP (8)
€15m
1FN (6)
€13m
H9 (8)
€11m
HK (5)
€7m
1FH (4)
€7m
SD9 (4)
€6m
SGF (8)
€5m
VB (4)
€5m
DD (4)
€4m
KS (6)
€4m
AB (5)
€4m
VO (7)
€3m
EA (5)
€1m
VfL Osnabrück's midfield is €1m less valuable than Arminia Bielefeld's (€3m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VS (25)
€145m
HS (12)
€37m
FSP (12)
€21m
HK (15)
€16m
1FN (13)
€12m
1FH (11)
€12m
H9 (9)
€12m
KS (12)
€12m
SGF (10)
€9m
SD9 (13)
€8m
DD (14)
€8m
VB (11)
€8m
AB (10)
€7m
VO (9)
€3m
EA (8)
€1m
VfL Osnabrück's defence is €4m less valuable than Arminia Bielefeld's (€3m vs €7m).
Germany: 2. Bundesliga 2019/20 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: 2. Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
VfB Stuttgart
1. FC Heidenheim
Hamburger SV
SV Darmstadt 98
Hannover 96
Erzgebirge Aue
VfL Bochum
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
SV Sandhausen
Holstein Kiel
FC St. Pauli
Karlsruher SC
1. FC Nürnberg
Dynamo Dresden