This opponent (SC Freiburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SC Freiburg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.77
1.07
1.27
1.00
2.27
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
2.40
0.67
1.67
1.00
3.50
vs Similar (20)
1.25
1.75
1.30
1.20
1.20
2.30
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
1.20
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.33
Clean sheet %
20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Wolfsburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.8%
Under 1.5
18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.7%
Under 2.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
36.3%
Under 3.5
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.4%
No
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
1-0
8.2%
3-1
6.4%
0-0
5.8%
3-0
5.7%
1-2
5.7%
VfL Wolfsburg goals ↓
SC Freiburg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.8%
4.3%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
1
8.2%
11%
5.7%
2.1%
0.6%
2
8.9%
9.9%
5.5%
2.0%
0.6%
3
5.7%
6.4%
3.5%
1.3%
0.4%
4
2.8%
3.1%
1.7%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = VfL Wolfsburg goals (down), columns = SC Freiburg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bayern München
2.29
Borussia Dortmund
2.24
RB Leipzig
1.94
Bayer Leverkusen
1.71
VfL Wolfsburg
1.62
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.62
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.59
Werder Bremen
1.56
1899 Hoffenheim
1.50
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.29
Hertha BSC
1.26
FSV Mainz 05
1.26
SC Freiburg
1.06
FC Schalke 04
0.97
FC Augsburg
0.94
VfB Stuttgart
0.82
Hannover 96
0.62
1. FC Nürnberg
0.56
VfL Wolfsburg is 0.56 points better than SC Freiburg in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 1.06).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bayern München
2.59
Borussia Dortmund
2.38
1899 Hoffenheim
2.06
Bayer Leverkusen
2.03
RB Leipzig
1.85
VfL Wolfsburg
1.82
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.76
Werder Bremen
1.71
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.62
FC Augsburg
1.50
Hertha BSC
1.44
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.44
FSV Mainz 05
1.35
SC Freiburg
1.35
FC Schalke 04
1.09
VfB Stuttgart
0.94
Hannover 96
0.91
1. FC Nürnberg
0.76
VfL Wolfsburg is 0.47 goals better than SC Freiburg in terms of goals scored per game (1.82 vs 1.35).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
RB Leipzig
0.85
Bayern München
0.94
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.24
Borussia Dortmund
1.29
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.41
Werder Bremen
1.44
VfL Wolfsburg
1.47
Bayer Leverkusen
1.53
1899 Hoffenheim
1.53
FC Schalke 04
1.62
Hertha BSC
1.68
FSV Mainz 05
1.68
SC Freiburg
1.79
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1.91
1. FC Nürnberg
2.00
VfB Stuttgart
2.06
Hannover 96
2.09
FC Augsburg
2.09
VfL Wolfsburg is 0.32 goals better than SC Freiburg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.79).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
VfL Wolfsburg
For 4.9 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.5 · Against 14.8 · Total 28.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SC Freiburg
For 4.4 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 13.3 · Total 26.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
VfL Wolfsburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
9.1
9.2
3.9
4.3
3.5
27.3
27.6
27.0
vs Stronger (12)
10.1
9.6
10.4
4.2
4.8
3.7
26.3
26.8
26.0
vs Similar (30)
9.3
9.7
9.0
3.7
4.5
2.9
27.1
27.1
27.1
vs Weaker (8)
7.2
7.0
7.7
4.2
3.2
6.0
29.2
29.8
28.3
% over line
42%
40%
44%
52%
56%
48%
84%
92%
76%
% under line
58%
60%
56%
48%
44%
52%
16%
8%
24%
This opponent (SC Freiburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SC Freiburg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
8.8
9.5
3.2
3.7
2.8
25.8
26.4
25.0
vs Stronger (12)
9.7
8.7
10.7
2.1
2.5
1.7
21.4
21.5
21.3
vs Similar (29)
9.4
9.5
9.4
3.6
3.9
3.3
26.0
25.9
26.1
vs Weaker (9)
7.6
7.0
8.2
3.6
4.4
2.5
30.7
33.8
26.8
% over line
42%
38%
46%
36%
46%
25%
70%
73%
67%
% under line
58%
62%
54%
64%
54%
75%
30%
27%
33%
This opponent (VfL Wolfsburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Fortuna Düsseldorf
10.6
1. FC Nürnberg
10.5
FSV Mainz 05
10.2
Borussia Mönchengladbach
10.1
Bayern München
10.0
Hannover 96
10.0
VfB Stuttgart
9.6
1899 Hoffenheim
9.6
Werder Bremen
9.5
RB Leipzig
9.5
Bayer Leverkusen
9.3
VfL Wolfsburg
9.2
SC Freiburg
9.2
FC Augsburg
9.1
Hertha BSC
9.0
Borussia Dortmund
8.7
Eintracht Frankfurt
8.5
FC Schalke 04
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Fortuna Düsseldorf
4.6
FSV Mainz 05
4.3
RB Leipzig
4.2
FC Schalke 04
4.0
VfL Wolfsburg
3.9
Bayer Leverkusen
3.9
1. FC Nürnberg
3.7
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.7
Hannover 96
3.7
FC Augsburg
3.6
Hertha BSC
3.5
1899 Hoffenheim
3.4
VfB Stuttgart
3.3
Borussia Dortmund
3.3
SC Freiburg
3.2
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.2
Werder Bremen
3.1
Bayern München
2.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Fortuna Düsseldorf
31.0
FC Schalke 04
29.7
Eintracht Frankfurt
28.3
FSV Mainz 05
28.2
Hannover 96
28.0
1899 Hoffenheim
27.8
RB Leipzig
27.5
Hertha BSC
27.5
VfL Wolfsburg
27.3
Werder Bremen
26.7
Bayer Leverkusen
26.6
FC Augsburg
26.3
SC Freiburg
25.8
VfB Stuttgart
25.7
1. FC Nürnberg
25.4
Borussia Dortmund
24.1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
23.2
Bayern München
21.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
47.5%
Under 9.5
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.5%
Under 3.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.5%
Under 21.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
VfL Wolfsburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.63
0.73
0.47
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
0.71
0.67
0.33
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.68
0.70
0.50
0.33
0.89
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.25
1.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Freiburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SC Freiburg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.70
0.27
0.40
0.27
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (20)
0.35
0.75
0.40
0.40
0.30
1.10
vs Weaker (5)
0.00
0.20
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Wolfsburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
VfL Wolfsburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.80
0.87
1.00
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.00
0.33
1.33
1.00
0.75
vs Similar (19)
0.63
0.68
0.90
0.70
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (4)
1.00
1.00
1.50
2.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (SC Freiburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SC Freiburg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
1.07
0.80
0.87
0.73
1.27
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.40
0.67
1.00
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (20)
0.90
1.00
0.90
0.80
0.90
1.20
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (VfL Wolfsburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VfL Wolfsburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SC Freiburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
76.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
75.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
VfL Wolfsburg · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Hauke Wahl50%
Fabian Reese50%
Maximilian Arnold33%
Vinícius Souza25%
Joakim Mæhle0%
Robert Glatzel0%
Yannick Gerhardt0%
Elvis Rexhbeçaj0%
Mattias Svanberg0%
Kilian Fischer0%
Alessio Besio0%
Muhammed Damar0%
Saël Kumbedi0%
Kento Shiogai0%
Jakub Zieliński0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vinícius Souza75%
Kilian Fischer25%
Joakim Mæhle0%
Robert Glatzel0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Fabian Reese0%
Yannick Gerhardt0%
Maximilian Arnold0%
Elvis Rexhbeçaj0%
Mattias Svanberg0%
Alessio Besio0%
Muhammed Damar0%
Saël Kumbedi0%
Kento Shiogai0%
Jakub Zieliński0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joakim Mæhle33%
Robert Glatzel33%
Alessio Besio33%
Fabian Reese25%
Vinícius Souza0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Yannick Gerhardt0%
Maximilian Arnold0%
Elvis Rexhbeçaj0%
Mattias Svanberg0%
Kilian Fischer0%
Muhammed Damar0%
Saël Kumbedi0%
Kento Shiogai0%
Jakub Zieliński0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fabian Reese75%
Muhammed Damar50%
Robert Glatzel33%
Joakim Mæhle0%
Vinícius Souza0%
Hauke Wahl0%
Yannick Gerhardt0%
Maximilian Arnold0%
Elvis Rexhbeçaj0%
Mattias Svanberg0%
Kilian Fischer0%
Alessio Besio0%
Saël Kumbedi0%
Kento Shiogai0%
Jakub Zieliński0%
SC Freiburg · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Igor Matanović75%
Keisuke Goto50%
Lucas Höler33%
Jordy Makengo33%
Matthias Ginter25%
Yuito Suzuki25%
Derry Scherhant25%
Cyriaque Irié25%
Maximilian Eggestein0%
Jan-Niklas Beste0%
Philipp Lienhart0%
Vincenzo Grifo0%
Yannick Engelhardt0%
Philipp Treu0%
Maximilian Rosenfelder0%
Mio Backhaus0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jan-Niklas Beste33%
Yuito Suzuki25%
Keisuke Goto25%
Matthias Ginter0%
Maximilian Eggestein0%
Philipp Lienhart0%
Vincenzo Grifo0%
Lucas Höler0%
Yannick Engelhardt0%
Philipp Treu0%
Jordy Makengo0%
Igor Matanović0%
Maximilian Rosenfelder0%
Derry Scherhant0%
Mio Backhaus0%
Cyriaque Irié0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Igor Matanović75%
Derry Scherhant50%
Jan-Niklas Beste33%
Vincenzo Grifo33%
Matthias Ginter25%
Maximilian Eggestein25%
Cyriaque Irié25%
Philipp Lienhart0%
Lucas Höler0%
Yannick Engelhardt0%
Philipp Treu0%
Jordy Makengo0%
Yuito Suzuki0%
Maximilian Rosenfelder0%
Mio Backhaus0%
Keisuke Goto0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yuito Suzuki50%
Matthias Ginter25%
Igor Matanović25%
Derry Scherhant25%
Cyriaque Irié25%
Maximilian Eggestein0%
Jan-Niklas Beste0%
Philipp Lienhart0%
Vincenzo Grifo0%
Lucas Höler0%
Yannick Engelhardt0%
Philipp Treu0%
Jordy Makengo0%
Maximilian Rosenfelder0%
Mio Backhaus0%
Keisuke Goto0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
VW (33)
€154m
BM (29)
€129m
WB (33)
€119m
FS0 (29)
€67m
1FN (28)
€40m
H9 (26)
€33m
HB (24)
€25m
FD (26)
€10m
VfL Wolfsburg's squad is €88m less valuable than SC Freiburg's (€154m vs €243m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
VW (10)
€56m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
FS0 (8)
€17m
1FN (9)
€14m
H9 (9)
€10m
HB (8)
€8m
FD (8)
€3m
VfL Wolfsburg's attack is €40m less valuable than SC Freiburg's (€56m vs €96m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
VW (8)
€32m
WB (5)
€28m
FS0 (8)
€24m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FN (6)
€13m
H9 (8)
€11m
HB (6)
€3m
FD (5)
€2m
VfL Wolfsburg's midfield is €5m less valuable than SC Freiburg's (€32m vs €36m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
VW (15)
€66m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
WB (15)
€41m
FS0 (13)
€26m
HB (10)
€13m
1FN (13)
€12m
H9 (9)
€12m
FD (13)
€5m
VfL Wolfsburg's defence is €44m less valuable than SC Freiburg's (€66m vs €110m).
Germany: Bundesliga 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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Bayern München
Borussia Dortmund
RB Leipzig
Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Eintracht Frankfurt
Werder Bremen
1899 Hoffenheim
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Hertha BSC
FSV Mainz 05
FC Schalke 04
FC Augsburg
VfB Stuttgart
Hannover 96
1. FC Nürnberg