This opponent (Lecce) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lecce
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.17
2.06
1.44
1.93
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.70
1.40
1.33
1.83
2.25
0.75
vs Weaker (20)
2.15
1.05
2.50
1.20
1.80
0.90
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Vicenza Virtus) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.8%
Under 1.5
26.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
47.4%
@ 2.01+0.4%
Under 2.5
52.6%
@ 1.78-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.7%
Under 3.5
74.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.9%
No
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
0-1
11.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-2 ✓
9.6%
0-0
8.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-0
5.6%
1-3
5.4%
Vicenza Virtus goals ↓
Lecce goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
12%
11%
6.1%
2.6%
1
5.6%
13%
9.6%
5.4%
2.3%
2
3.0%
5.0%
4.2%
2.4%
1.0%
3
0.9%
1.5%
1.2%
0.7%
0.3%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vicenza Virtus goals (down), columns = Lecce goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Empoli
1.92
Salernitana
1.82
Monza
1.68
Lecce
1.63
Venezia
1.55
Cittadella
1.50
Chievo
1.47
Spal
1.47
Brescia
1.47
Frosinone
1.32
Reggina
1.32
Cremonese
1.26
Pisa
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Pordenone
1.18
Ascoli
1.16
Cosenza
0.92
Reggiana
0.89
Pescara
0.84
Virtus Entella
0.61
Vicenza Virtus is 0.37 points worse than Lecce in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.63).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Lecce
1.79
Empoli
1.79
Brescia
1.61
Pisa
1.42
Venezia
1.39
Monza
1.34
Chievo
1.32
Cittadella
1.26
Vicenza Virtus
1.26
Cremonese
1.21
Salernitana
1.21
Spal
1.16
Reggina
1.11
Pordenone
1.05
Frosinone
1.00
Ascoli
0.97
Reggiana
0.82
Virtus Entella
0.79
Pescara
0.76
Cosenza
0.76
Vicenza Virtus is 0.53 goals worse than Lecce in terms of goals scored per game (1.26 vs 1.79).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Monza
0.87
Salernitana
0.89
Empoli
0.92
Cittadella
0.92
Chievo
0.97
Pordenone
1.03
Venezia
1.03
Frosinone
1.11
Spal
1.11
Cremonese
1.16
Reggina
1.18
Lecce
1.24
Cosenza
1.24
Ascoli
1.26
Brescia
1.39
Vicenza Virtus
1.39
Reggiana
1.50
Pisa
1.55
Pescara
1.58
Virtus Entella
1.68
Vicenza Virtus is 0.16 goals worse than Lecce in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.24).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Vicenza Virtus
For 4.8 · Against 4.6 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.0 · Against 15.4 · Total 32.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lecce
For 4.7 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vicenza Virtus
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.6
10.3
8.9
3.6
3.6
3.6
32.1
32.4
31.8
vs Stronger (17)
8.8
8.7
9.0
3.5
3.8
3.3
31.1
32.2
30.0
vs Similar (33)
10.0
11.3
8.9
3.7
3.6
3.8
32.7
32.6
32.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
56%
29%
56%
56%
56%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
58%
44%
71%
44%
44%
44%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Lecce) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lecce
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
11.2
10.4
4.9
4.8
5.0
24.9
23.9
25.9
vs Stronger (7)
12.9
12.5
13.3
4.1
4.5
3.7
20.6
20.8
20.3
vs Similar (18)
10.7
11.0
10.3
4.9
4.8
5.0
25.4
25.2
25.7
vs Weaker (25)
10.3
10.8
9.8
5.1
4.9
5.2
25.6
23.9
27.5
% over line
62%
58%
67%
70%
69%
71%
78%
69%
88%
% under line
38%
42%
33%
30%
31%
29%
22%
31%
12%
This opponent (Vicenza Virtus) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Empoli
10.9
Lecce
10.8
Cosenza
10.7
Cittadella
10.5
Venezia
10.4
Pordenone
10.3
Spal
10.3
Monza
10.2
Cremonese
10.1
Frosinone
10.1
Brescia
10.0
Reggina
10.0
Reggiana
9.8
Vicenza Virtus
9.6
Pisa
9.4
Chievo
9.4
Virtus Entella
9.3
Pescara
9.2
Ascoli
9.1
Salernitana
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Reggina
6.2
Ascoli
6.0
Pisa
5.6
Salernitana
5.6
Pordenone
5.5
Vicenza Virtus
5.5
Cosenza
5.5
Pescara
5.4
Reggiana
5.3
Virtus Entella
5.2
Monza
5.2
Cittadella
5.2
Venezia
5.2
Frosinone
5.0
Spal
5.0
Chievo
4.9
Lecce
4.9
Brescia
4.8
Cremonese
4.5
Empoli
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
35.3
Cittadella
32.8
Frosinone
32.7
Pisa
32.7
Monza
32.3
Ascoli
32.3
Vicenza Virtus
32.1
Venezia
32.1
Reggiana
31.9
Salernitana
31.8
Virtus Entella
31.6
Pordenone
31.2
Spal
30.5
Chievo
30.4
Pescara
30.2
Cosenza
30.1
Cremonese
29.0
Empoli
28.7
Brescia
28.3
Lecce
24.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
54.5%
Under 9.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
77.5%
Under 3.5
22.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
94.8%
Under 21.5
5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Vicenza Virtus
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.43
0.50
0.43
0.75
0.44
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
0.36
0.67
0.50
0.80
0.20
vs Similar (19)
0.58
0.47
0.38
0.38
0.73
0.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lecce
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.63
0.88
0.81
0.93
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.40
1.00
0.33
1.33
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (20)
1.15
0.45
1.20
0.50
1.10
0.40
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Vicenza Virtus) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vicenza Virtus over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vicenza Virtus over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vicenza Virtus over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Vicenza Virtus
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.97
0.71
0.71
0.69
1.19
vs Stronger (11)
0.64
1.09
0.67
1.00
0.60
1.20
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.89
0.75
0.50
0.73
1.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecce) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lecce
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.53
1.19
0.62
1.00
0.43
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.30
0.40
1.00
0.50
1.75
0.25
vs Weaker (20)
1.00
0.60
1.30
0.70
0.70
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Vicenza Virtus) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vicenza Virtus over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vicenza Virtus over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vicenza Virtus over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecce over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
89.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Lecce · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Olaf Gorter33%
Tiago Gabriel33%
Willem Geubbels0%
Lassana Coulibaly0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lassana Coulibaly33%
Danilo Veiga33%
Kialonda Gaspar33%
Oumar Ngom33%
Willem Geubbels0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lassana Coulibaly33%
Willem Geubbels0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Nikola Štulić0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Willem Geubbels33%
Nikola Štulić33%
Lassana Coulibaly0%
Santiago Pierotti0%
N'Dri Konan0%
Wladimiro Falcone0%
Youssef Maleh0%
Danilo Veiga0%
Kialonda Gaspar0%
Oumar Ngom0%
Olaf Gorter0%
Tiago Gabriel0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (36)
€117m
FRO (33)
€84m
LEC (31)
€72m
PIS (36)
€71m
MON (29)
€70m
CRE (30)
€49m
EMP (27)
€20m
VV (26)
€11m
VE (27)
€11m
ASC (29)
€11m
PES (27)
€8m
REG (27)
€8m
Vicenza Virtus's squad is €61m less valuable than Lecce's (€11m vs €72m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (9)
€39m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
PIS (13)
€24m
LEC (9)
€20m
CRE (7)
€12m
EMP (9)
€11m
ASC (11)
€5m
PES (10)
€4m
VE (7)
€3m
VV (6)
€2m
REG (6)
€1m
Vicenza Virtus's attack is €17m less valuable than Lecce's (€2m vs €20m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (11)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
MON (7)
€24m
LEC (8)
€16m
CRE (10)
€15m
VE (11)
€6m
EMP (9)
€6m
VV (12)
€5m
ASC (6)
€3m
REG (9)
€2m
PES (6)
€1m
Vicenza Virtus's midfield is €10m less valuable than Lecce's (€5m vs €16m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (16)
€47m
LEC (14)
€37m
FRO (14)
€24m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
MON (11)
€20m
REG (12)
€4m
EMP (9)
€4m
VV (8)
€4m
PES (11)
€3m
ASC (12)
€3m
VE (9)
€2m
Vicenza Virtus's defence is €33m less valuable than Lecce's (€4m vs €37m).
Italy: Serie B 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Empoli
Salernitana
Monza
Venezia
Cittadella
Brescia
Spal
Reggina
Frosinone
Cremonese
Pisa
Ascoli
Cosenza
Reggiana
Pescara
Virtus Entella