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Victoria Bardar vs FC Stăuceni Result & Analysis

Date: 15/08/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 3-2
Victoria Bardar
Victoria Bardar
Vs
29%
24%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Stăuceni
FC Stăuceni
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Victoria Bardar and FC Stăuceni are set for a high-scoring encounter in the Moldova: Liga 1. Recent form suggests that Victoria Bardar's struggles continue, having lost three straight matches, including a 0-1 defeat to Fălești. Meanwhile, FC Stăuceni comes off a draw against FC National Ialoveni. The expected total goals stand at 3.5, with the most likely total goals being 3. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 10.1%.

Victoria Bardar's home form has seen them average 1.44 goals scored and 2.67 conceded, while FC Stăuceni's away form has seen them average 1.75 goals scored and 2.25 conceded against similar opponents. The model's selection is the Over 1.5, with a probability of 87.1%. The model pick is an away win, with a probability of 48%. The home win percentage is 29%, the draw percentage is 24%, and the away win percentage is 48%.

Results analysis

In a stunning upset, Victoria Bardar secured a home win with a final score of 3-2, extending their winning streak after coming off a win. This result defies the pre-match favourite, FC Stăuceni, which was predicted to win with a probability of 48%. The model's selection, Away win, was incorrect.

The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit with a probability of 87.1%. The most likely total goals scored was 3, with a probability of 22%. The most likely scores included 1-1, 1-2, and 2-1, each with a probability of 10.1%, 9%, and 6.9% respectively.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Victoria Bardar win✓ Hit
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni win✗ Miss
47.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-621W12L02L00D26L43W11D11D01L01LA·ZIM06/03H·FĂL13/03A·SHE21/03H·OGU03/04A·FCM10/04A·OLI18/04H·UNI24/04A·FCM06/05H·OGU31/07A·FĂL08/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.272.601.202.471.332.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.932.130.882.121.002.14
vs Weaker (15)1.603.071.572.861.623.25
Clean sheet %7% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L01L11D15L00D25L00D34L13L11DH·SPA20/03A·FLO03/04H·SIR10/04A·POL17/04H·ISK25/04A·SPA01/05H·FLO05/05A·SIR09/05A·ISK16/05H·FC 01/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.071.272.400.731.731.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.600.802.000.601.201.00
vs Weaker (20)2.301.502.600.802.002.20
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.1%
Under 1.5
12.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
67.5%
Under 2.5
32.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
45.8%
Under 3.5
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
67.9%
No
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%
1-2
9.0%
2-1
6.9%
2-2
6.8%
0-2
6.0%
1-3
5.9%
0-1
5.2%
2-3
4.5%
Victoria Bardar goals ↓
FC Stăuceni goals →
01234
04.0%5.2%6.0%3.9%1.9%
13.7%10%9.0%5.9%2.9%
23.5%6.9%6.8%4.5%2.2%
31.8%3.5%3.4%2.2%1.1%
40.7%1.3%1.3%0.8%0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Victoria Bardar goals (down), columns = FC Stăuceni goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Floreşti
2.07
Spartanii Selemet
1.94
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
FC National Ialoveni
1.49
Vulturii Cutezători
1.49
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Victoria Bardar is 1.85 points worse than FC Stăuceni in terms of average points per game (0.68 vs 2.53).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Spartanii Selemet
2.53
Univer Comrat
2.00
FC National Ialoveni
1.95
Vulturii Cutezători
1.95
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Victoria Bardar is 1.77 goals worse than FC Stăuceni in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 3.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Spartanii Selemet
1.37
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Univer Comrat
1.68
FC National Ialoveni
1.78
Vulturii Cutezători
1.78
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Victoria Bardar is 2.11 goals worse than FC Stăuceni in terms of goals conceded per game (2.91 vs 0.80).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W02L01L00D12L30W10W11D01L00DA·ZIM06/03H·FĂL13/03A·SHE21/03H·OGU03/04A·FCM10/04A·OLI18/04H·UNI24/04A·FCM06/05H·OGU31/07A·FĂL08/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.270.271.400.731.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.400.930.251.380.570.43
vs Weaker (15)0.601.600.291.430.881.75
Clean sheet %30% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D11D12L00D12L00D21W02L11DH·SPA20/03A·FLO03/04H·SIR10/04A·POL17/04H·ISK25/04A·SPA01/05H·FLO05/05A·SIR09/05A·ISK16/05H·FC 01/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.501.070.270.670.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.700.401.200.200.200.60
vs Weaker (20)0.950.551.000.300.900.80
Clean sheet %63% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Victoria Bardar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W01L00D14L13L01L00D00D01LA·ZIM06/03H·FĂL13/03A·SHE21/03H·OGU03/04A·FCM10/04A·OLI18/04H·UNI24/04A·FCM06/05H·OGU31/07A·FĂL08/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.330.931.070.601.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (15)0.531.200.620.750.431.71
vs Weaker (15)1.001.471.291.430.751.50
Clean sheet %27% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Stăuceni) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L01L00D03L00D13L00D13L11D00DH·SPA20/03A·FLO03/04H·SIR10/04A·POL17/04H·ISK25/04A·SPA01/05H·FLO05/05A·SIR09/05A·ISK16/05H·FC 01/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.771.330.471.071.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.900.400.800.401.000.40
vs Weaker (20)1.350.951.600.501.101.40
Clean sheet %57% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Victoria Bardar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Stăuceni over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (12)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
VB wins
0
Draws
4
FS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Victoria Bardar vs FC Stăuceni · H/A from VB
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/25AFC Stăuceni Vs VB3-1
08/03/25HVB Vs FC Stăuceni0-1
22/11/24HVB Vs FC Stăuceni1-2
04/10/24AFC Stăuceni Vs VB0-3
24/08/24HVB Vs FC Stăuceni0-1

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/26AFăleşti Vs VB1-0
31/07/26HVB Vs Oguzsport0-1
06/05/26AFCM Ungheni Vs VB1-1
24/04/26HVB Vs Univer Comrat1-1
18/04/26AOlimp Comrat Vs VB3-4
10/04/26AFCM Ungheni Vs VB6-2
03/04/26HVB Vs Oguzsport0-0
21/03/26ASheriff II Vs VB2-0
13/03/26HVB Vs Făleşti1-2
06/03/26AZimbru II Vs VB1-2

FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/08/26HFS Vs FC National Ialoveni1-1
16/05/26AIskra Vs FS3-1
09/05/26ASireți Vs FS4-3
05/05/26HFS Vs Floreşti0-0
01/05/26ASpartanii Selemet Vs FS5-2
25/04/26HFS Vs Iskra0-0
17/04/26APolitehnica UTM Vs FS5-1
10/04/26HFS Vs Sireți1-1
03/04/26AFloreşti Vs FS1-0
20/03/26HFS Vs Spartanii Selemet1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Victoria Bardar
Victoria Bardar
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLL1.18
HomeLLDDL1.12
AwayLLWDL1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%33%38%
AVG goals4.104.214.00
Over 1.5 %86%83%88%
Over 2.5 %76%75%77%
Over 3.5 %58%54%62%
Scored1.922.171.69
Conceded2.182.042.31
BTTS64%71%58%
Clean Sheet10%8%12%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Stăuceni
FC Stăuceni
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLD1.66
HomeLDDDD1.84
AwayLLLLL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%52%44%
AVG goals3.383.443.32
Over 1.5 %80%88%72%
Over 2.5 %60%60%60%
Over 3.5 %48%52%44%
Scored1.982.241.72
Conceded1.401.201.60
BTTS54%60%48%
Clean Sheet34%28%40%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Vulturii CutezătoriVulturii Cutezători513
80%
2.6
208+12
5.6
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0004.01.6
-
2IskraIskra512
80%
2.4
186+12
4.8
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.61.2
-
3FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni57
40%
1.4
1310+3
4.6
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.62.0
-
4OguzsportOguzsport47
50%
1.8
31+2
1.0
25%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.2
-
5Univer ComratUniver Comrat57
40%
1.4
1514+1
5.8
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.02.8
-
6FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.2
-
7FăleştiFăleşti47
50%
1.8
32+1
1.2
25%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.5
-
8FC National IaloveniFC National Ialoveni44
25%
1.0
34-1
1.8
75%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
9Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar43
25%
0.8
36-3
2.2
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
10Zimbru IIZimbru II53
20%
0.6
914-5
4.6
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.8
-
11Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet51
0%
0.2
427-23
6.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.85.4
-
12FloreştiFloreşti00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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