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Victoria Bardar vs Floreşti Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2025
Time: 14:30
Final 2-5
Victoria Bardar
Victoria Bardar
Vs
71%
14%
16%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Floreşti
Floreşti
Moldova: Liga 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Victoria Bardar win✗ Miss
70.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
13.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Floreşti win✓ Hit
15.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-513L50W15L31W02L15L21W01L23L03LH·SAX02/05A·FLO07/05H·DAC10/05H·FCM17/05H·SPE21/05A·FLO26/07H·ZIM01/08A·ISK08/08H·FCM15/08A·OGU22/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.431.832.871.802.001.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.881.532.381.621.441.44
vs Weaker (13)3.152.233.432.002.832.50
Clean sheet %13% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FloreştiFloreşti

Last 10 – goals for & against
90-903L19L05L13L02L51W12L31W40W32WH·DAC25/04H·FĂL03/05H·VIC07/05A·FC 10/05A·FĂL17/05H·VIC26/07H·ISK02/08A·OGU08/08H·ZIM15/08A·FCM22/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
4.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.634.670.793.930.505.31
vs Stronger (29)0.554.760.793.930.335.53
vs Similar (1)3.002.00--3.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %3% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

12%23%35%47%1%02%16%211%316%417%547%6+
The model estimates around 5.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (47%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
97.6%
Under 1.5
2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
91.2%
Under 2.5
8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
79.9%
Under 3.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
82.5%
No
17.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-1
6.2%
3-2
5.7%
4-1
5.7%
4-2
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.7%
5-1
4.1%
5-2
3.8%
Victoria Bardar goals ↓
Floreşti goals →
01234
00.7%0.5%0.7%0.4%0.2%
11.2%3.1%2.6%1.6%0.7%
22.7%5.1%4.7%2.9%1.4%
33.3%6.2%5.7%3.6%1.6%
43.0%5.7%5.2%3.2%1.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Victoria Bardar goals (down), columns = Floreşti goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Stăuceni
2.53
Sireți
2.33
Floreşti
2.07
FCM Ungheni
1.91
Iskra
1.80
Univer Comrat
1.73
Zimbru II
1.64
Sheriff II
0.95
Oguzsport
0.86
Făleşti
0.73
Olimp Comrat
0.68
Victoria Bardar
0.68
Victoria Bardar is 1.38 points worse than Floreşti in terms of average points per game (0.68 vs 2.07).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sireți
3.47
FC Stăuceni
3.00
Floreşti
2.87
FCM Ungheni
2.59
Univer Comrat
2.00
Iskra
1.93
Zimbru II
1.86
Victoria Bardar
1.23
Olimp Comrat
1.14
Făleşti
1.14
Oguzsport
1.09
Sheriff II
1.05
Victoria Bardar is 1.64 goals worse than Floreşti in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 2.87).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Stăuceni
0.80
Floreşti
0.87
Sireți
1.33
FCM Ungheni
1.55
Zimbru II
1.59
Oguzsport
1.64
Sheriff II
1.68
Univer Comrat
1.68
Iskra
1.93
Făleşti
2.55
Olimp Comrat
2.82
Victoria Bardar
2.91
Victoria Bardar is 2.04 goals worse than Floreşti in terms of goals conceded per game (2.91 vs 0.87).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L20W03L10W01L12L00D01L02L01LH·SAX02/05A·FLO07/05H·DAC10/05H·FCM17/05H·SPE21/05A·FLO26/07H·ZIM01/08A·ISK08/08H·FCM15/08A·OGU22/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.830.800.930.800.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.610.780.620.880.600.70
vs Weaker (12)1.080.921.001.001.200.80
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FloreştiFloreşti

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L04L02L01L00D21W01L21W20W21WH·DAC25/04H·FĂL03/05H·VIC07/05A·FC 10/05A·FĂL17/05H·VIC26/07H·ISK02/08A·OGU08/08H·ZIM15/08A·FCM22/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.800.311.690.431.93
vs Stronger (29)0.311.830.311.690.312.00
vs Similar (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Victoria Bardar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D30W12L21W01L03L21W00D21W02LH·SAX02/05A·FLO07/05H·DAC10/05H·FCM17/05H·SPE21/05A·FLO26/07H·ZIM01/08A·ISK08/08H·FCM15/08A·OGU22/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.430.901.730.801.131.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)1.220.611.620.620.900.60
vs Weaker (12)1.751.331.861.001.601.80
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Floreşti) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FloreştiFloreşti

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L15L03L12L02L30W11D10W20W11DH·DAC25/04H·FĂL03/05H·VIC07/05A·FC 10/05A·FĂL17/05H·VIC26/07H·ISK02/08A·OGU08/08H·ZIM15/08A·FCM22/08← Super LigaLiga 1 →
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.402.100.501.880.292.36
vs Stronger (29)0.382.140.501.880.232.46
vs Similar (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Victoria Bardar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Victoria Bardar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Victoria Bardar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Floreşti over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.597.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.591.2%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes82.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.579.9%-------✓ Hit
Home win70.6%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (7)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (2)
€0m
ZI (1)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SIR (5)
€1m
ZI (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FU (2)
€0m
SIR (0)
€0m
ZI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
VB wins
1
Draws
4
FLO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Victoria Bardar vs Floreşti · H/A from VB
DateH/AGameScore
26/07/25AFloreşti Vs VB5-1
07/05/25AFloreşti Vs VB0-5
05/04/25HVB Vs Floreşti4-1
16/04/24HVB Vs Floreşti1-0
10/03/24AFloreşti Vs VB4-0
19/05/23AFloreşti Vs VB3-3
03/05/23AFloreşti Vs VB3-1
23/03/23HVB Vs Floreşti1-2

Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/25AOguzsport Vs VB3-0
15/08/25HVB Vs FCM Ungheni2-3
08/08/25AIskra Vs VB1-0
01/08/25HVB Vs Zimbru II2-1
26/07/25AFloreşti Vs VB5-1
21/05/25HVB Vs Speranis Nisporeni0-2
17/05/25HVB Vs FCM Ungheni3-1
10/05/25HVB Vs Dacia-Buiucani1-5
07/05/25AFloreşti Vs VB0-5
02/05/25HVB Vs Saxan1-3

FloreştiFloreşti

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/08/25AFCM Ungheni Vs FLO2-3
15/08/25HFLO Vs Zimbru II4-0
08/08/25AOguzsport Vs FLO1-3
02/08/25HFLO Vs Iskra1-2
26/07/25HFLO Vs Victoria Bardar5-1
17/05/25AFăleşti Vs FLO2-0
10/05/25AFC Stăuceni Vs FLO3-1
07/05/25HFLO Vs Victoria Bardar0-5
03/05/25HFLO Vs Făleşti1-9
25/04/25HFLO Vs Dacia-Buiucani0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Victoria Bardar
Victoria Bardar
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.84
HomeLWLWL2.08
AwayWWLLL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %60%69%50%
AVG goals4.024.353.67
Over 1.5 %82%85%79%
Over 2.5 %76%81%71%
Over 3.5 %58%58%58%
Scored2.503.001.96
Conceded1.521.351.71
BTTS56%65%46%
Clean Sheet24%23%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Floreşti
Floreşti
Moldova: Liga 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 0 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW0.86
HomeLLWLW0.92
AwayLLLWW0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%25%27%
AVG goals4.404.004.77
Over 1.5 %90%92%88%
Over 2.5 %82%88%77%
Over 3.5 %56%58%54%
Scored1.021.210.85
Conceded3.382.793.92
BTTS34%29%38%
Clean Sheet16%25%8%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni2242
59%
1.9
5734+23
4.1
91%
82%
64%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.5
-
2FC StăuceniFC Stăuceni1538
80%
2.5
4512+33
3.8
80%
67%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.8
-
3Univer ComratUniver Comrat2238
55%
1.7
4437+7
3.7
100%
64%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.7
-
4Zimbru IIZimbru II2236
50%
1.6
4135+6
3.5
82%
77%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
5SirețiSireți1535
73%
2.3
5220+32
4.8
93%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0103.51.3
-
6FloreştiFloreşti1531
60%
2.1
4313+30
3.7
80%
60%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.90.9
-
7IskraIskra1527
53%
1.8
2929+0
3.9
80%
67%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.9
-
8Sheriff IISheriff II2221
23%
1.0
2337-14
2.7
73%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
9OguzsportOguzsport2219
18%
0.9
2436-12
2.7
82%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
10FăleştiFăleşti2216
18%
0.7
2556-31
3.7
77%
64%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.5
-
11Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar2215
18%
0.7
2764-37
4.1
91%
82%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.9
-
12Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat2215
18%
0.7
2562-37
4.0
77%
59%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.8
-
Moldova: Liga 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Liga 1 stats & trends →

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