Vihren has been unbeaten in their last 5 matches, with a 3-2 win over Hebar 1918 in their last outing. Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, however, comes into this match off a 1-0 win over Beroe. The model expects Vihren to win at home, with a 57% probability of victory, while Chernomorets 1919 Burgas has a 19% chance of winning. The draw is seen as a 24% possibility.
The expected total number of goals is 2.9, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 11.6%.
Vihren has a strong record at home, scoring an average of 2.67 goals and conceding just 1 goal. Chernomorets 1919 Burgas, when playing away, scores an average of 1 goal and concedes 1 goal against a stronger opponent.
The model's selection is the Over 1.5 goals, with a 79.6% probability and a 10% edge. The suggested picks include the Over 1.5 goals, with a 79.6% probability and a 10% edge, the Home win, with a 57% probability, and the Draw, with a 24% probability. Vihren has a 57% chance of winning, Chernomorets 1919 Burgas has a 19% chance of winning, and the draw has a 24% chance.
A stunning draw unfolded at the Bulgaria: Second League match between Vihren and Chernomorets 1919 Burgas. The win extends Vihren's unbeaten run in their last 5 matches, a streak that has seen them draw with Chernomorets 1919 Burgas on their last two encounters. The pre-match favourite, Vihren's home win, was not the outcome, as the model's selection was wrong. The model had predicted a home win with 57% probability. The actual result was a 1-1 draw. The model's selection, Vihren's home win, was not the only option considered, as the model also suggested Over 1.5 goals with 79.6% probability, which hit.
Vihren| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.97 | 1.13 | 2.25 | 0.81 | 1.64 | 1.50 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (15) | 1.33 | 0.80 | 1.56 | 0.44 | 1.00 | 1.33 |
| vs Weaker (15) | 2.60 | 1.47 | 3.14 | 1.29 | 2.12 | 1.62 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (-2pp vs league) | |||||
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.23 | 0.97 | 1.25 | 0.50 | 1.21 | 1.50 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 2.25 | 0.75 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| vs Similar (26) | 1.08 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.43 | 1.17 | 1.67 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+8pp vs league) | |||||
| Chernomorets 1919 Burgas goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 6.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.3% | 12% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 9.8% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Vihren| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.83 | 0.50 | 0.94 | 0.44 | 0.71 | 0.57 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (15) | 0.40 | 0.27 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.50 | 0.17 |
| vs Weaker (15) | 1.27 | 0.73 | 1.71 | 0.57 | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.47 | 0.88 | 0.25 | 0.57 | 0.71 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.25 | 0.50 | 2.00 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.65 | 0.46 | 0.71 | 0.21 | 0.58 | 0.75 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
Vihren| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.13 | 0.63 | 1.31 | 0.38 | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (15) | 0.93 | 0.53 | 1.22 | 0.11 | 0.50 | 1.17 |
| vs Weaker (15) | 1.33 | 0.73 | 1.43 | 0.71 | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+22pp vs league) | |||||
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.38 | 0.25 | 0.64 | 0.79 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.00 | 0.25 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.42 | 0.54 | 0.29 | 0.21 | 0.58 | 0.92 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+25pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 79.6% | 1.30 | 1.31 | 1.31 | 1.30 | 1.30 | 1.30 | +10.0% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/03/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 13/09/25 | A | 3-2 |
Vihren| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 28/07/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 15/05/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 11/05/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 04/05/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 0-4 | |
| 16/04/26 | H | 4-1 | |
| 10/04/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 04/04/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 28/03/26 | A | 1-0 |
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 25/07/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 23/05/26 | A | 3-2 | |
| 15/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 11/05/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 27/04/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 16/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 09/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 1-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Vihren | 7 | 15 | 57% | 2.1 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 3.1 | 100% | 43% | 43% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2.1 | 1.0 | - |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 7 | 14 | 57% | 2.0 | 15 | 7 | +8 | 3.1 | 71% | 43% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2.1 | 1.0 | - |
| 3 | Fratria | 7 | 14 | 57% | 2.0 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 1.9 | 57% | 14% | 14% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.3 | 0.6 | - |
| 4 | Yantra 2019 | 7 | 13 | 57% | 1.9 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 2.3 | 71% | 29% | 14% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1.3 | 1.0 | - |
| 5 | Montana | 7 | 11 | 43% | 1.6 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 2.9 | 71% | 71% | 43% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.7 | 1.1 | - |
| 6 | Beroe | 7 | 11 | 43% | 1.6 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 2.1 | 71% | 43% | 14% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.3 | 0.9 | - |
| 7 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas | 7 | 11 | 43% | 1.6 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 1.6 | 43% | 14% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | - |
| 8 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo | 7 | 11 | 43% | 1.6 | 13 | 11 | +2 | 3.4 | 86% | 71% | 43% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.9 | 1.6 | - |
| 9 | Nesebar | 7 | 10 | 43% | 1.4 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 3.3 | 71% | 43% | 43% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.9 | 1.4 | - |
| 10 | Marek | 7 | 10 | 43% | 1.4 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 1.9 | 29% | 29% | 14% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | - |
| 11 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 7 | 10 | 43% | 1.4 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 2.3 | 86% | 43% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.3 | - |
| 12 | Rilski Sportist | 7 | 9 | 29% | 1.3 | 7 | 7 | +0 | 2.0 | 57% | 43% | 14% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 13 | Hebar 1918 | 7 | 8 | 29% | 1.1 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 3.6 | 86% | 57% | 43% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1.7 | 1.9 | - |
| 14 | Ludogorets II | 7 | 8 | 29% | 1.1 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 1.9 | 71% | 14% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 1.1 | - |
| 15 | Spartak Pleven | 7 | 7 | 29% | 1.0 | 7 | 14 | -7 | 3.0 | 86% | 57% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | - |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 7 | 6 | 14% | 0.9 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1.4 | 29% | 29% | 14% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 0.9 | - |
| 17 | Dobrudzha | 7 | 5 | 14% | 0.7 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 2.4 | 57% | 29% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 7 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 3 | 24 | -21 | 3.9 | 86% | 71% | 43% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.4 | 3.4 | - |