Defensive solidity will shape this tight encounter, with both sides averaging fewer than one goal conceded per match against similarly ranked opponents. The model projects a 32% chance for a home win, a 36% chance of a draw, and a 32% chance for an away win, making a draw the most likely result. The expected total is 1.8 goals, with the single most probable scoreline 0-0 at 18.3%. Viitorul Șelimbăr, hosting at home, has scored an average of one goal and conceded 0.86 against equal-strength teams, while Slatina, playing away, has also averaged one goal scored and 0.89 conceded. The model’s selections include an 89.6% probability for Under 3.5 and a 73.8% probability for Under 2.5. The home win probability is 32%, the draw 36%, and the away win 32%.
Viitorul Șelimbăr’s win over Slatina was a shock that overturned the model’s favourite. The final score was 2-0, giving home victory, while the model had tipped a draw at 36%. The prediction was wrong. The model’s other selections were accurate: Under 3.5 goals hit with an 89.6% chance, and Under 2.5 goals also hit at 73.8%. Viitorul had come off a win, extending a brief run, whereas Slatina had remained unbeaten in their last five. The game produced two goals, matching the most likely score of 1-0 but falling short of the predicted 2-0 outcome.
Viitorul Şelimbăr| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.10 | 1.20 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 1.20 | 1.50 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.25 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (16) | 1.06 | 1.25 | 1.00 | 0.86 | 1.11 | 1.56 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (-2pp vs league) | |||||
Slatina| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.86 | 0.62 | 0.90 | 0.50 | 0.82 | 0.73 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.95 | 0.68 | 0.90 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.89 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+26pp vs league) | |||||
| Slatina goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 18% | 14% | 6.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 14% | 15% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Viitorul Şelimbăr| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.15 | 0.60 | 0.10 | 0.50 | 0.20 | 0.70 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (16) | 0.19 | 0.62 | 0.14 | 0.43 | 0.22 | 0.78 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 45% (+13pp vs league) | |||||
Slatina| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.38 | 0.19 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.36 | 0.00 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.42 | 0.21 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.44 | 0.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 86% (+54pp vs league) | |||||
Viitorul Şelimbăr| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.95 | 0.60 | 0.90 | 0.40 | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.25 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.33 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (16) | 0.88 | 0.62 | 0.86 | 0.43 | 0.89 | 0.78 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+28pp vs league) | |||||
Slatina| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.48 | 0.43 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.45 | 0.73 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.53 | 0.47 | 0.50 | 0.10 | 0.56 | 0.89 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 71% (+40pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 89.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 2.5 | 73.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/22 | H | 0-0 |
Viitorul Şelimbăr| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/23 | A | 2-3 | |
| 12/03/23 | A | 0-3 | |
| 04/03/23 | H | 1-2 | |
| 25/02/23 | A | 4-1 | |
| 03/12/22 | H | 0-3 | |
| 28/11/22 | A | 1-2 | |
| 12/11/22 | H | 0-0 | |
| 05/11/22 | A | 2-0 | |
| 29/10/22 | H | 0-0 | |
| 23/10/22 | A | 3-0 |
Slatina| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/04/23 | H | 0-0 | |
| 18/03/23 | A | 2-0 | |
| 12/03/23 | H | 1-1 | |
| 04/03/23 | A | 0-1 | |
| 25/02/23 | H | 0-0 | |
| 03/12/22 | A | 1-1 | |
| 26/11/22 | H | 0-0 | |
| 12/11/22 | A | 0-0 | |
| 05/11/22 | H | 0-1 | |
| 27/10/22 | A | 0-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Politehnica Iasi | 29 | 60 | 59% | 2.1 | 50 | 22 | +28 | 2.5 | 69% | 52% | 31% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | 0.8 | - |
| 2 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 28 | 49 | 50% | 1.8 | 48 | 36 | +12 | 3.0 | 86% | 57% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.7 | 1.3 | - |
| 3 | Oţelul | 29 | 49 | 48% | 1.7 | 29 | 25 | +4 | 1.9 | 52% | 28% | 10% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1.0 | 0.9 | - |
| 4 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 29 | 46 | 45% | 1.6 | 43 | 30 | +13 | 2.5 | 72% | 48% | 24% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 1.5 | 1.0 | - |
| 5 | Brașov Steagul Renaște | 25 | 44 | 48% | 1.8 | 49 | 25 | +24 | 3.0 | 72% | 56% | 36% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 6 | SCM Gloria Buzău | 29 | 42 | 34% | 1.4 | 36 | 32 | +4 | 2.3 | 66% | 34% | 28% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.1 | - |
| 7 | Unirea Dej | 29 | 40 | 31% | 1.4 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 2.3 | 76% | 45% | 14% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | 1.2 | - |
| 8 | Csikszereda | 25 | 39 | 44% | 1.6 | 37 | 24 | +13 | 2.4 | 76% | 56% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | - |
| 9 | Concordia | 25 | 39 | 48% | 1.6 | 30 | 23 | +7 | 2.1 | 52% | 40% | 16% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 0.9 | - |
| 10 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 25 | 36 | 40% | 1.4 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 2.3 | 68% | 44% | 16% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.2 | - |
| 11 | Unirea Slobozia | 25 | 34 | 32% | 1.4 | 37 | 28 | +9 | 2.6 | 64% | 52% | 36% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.5 | 1.1 | - |
| 12 | Slatina | 25 | 34 | 32% | 1.4 | 20 | 16 | +4 | 1.4 | 48% | 20% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | - |
| 13 | Metaloglobus | 27 | 34 | 33% | 1.3 | 31 | 29 | +2 | 2.2 | 63% | 44% | 15% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | - |
| 14 | Dumbrăviţa | 25 | 33 | 40% | 1.3 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 3.1 | 84% | 68% | 36% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1.4 | 1.7 | - |
| 15 | ACS Sirineasa | 25 | 32 | 40% | 1.3 | 32 | 39 | -7 | 2.8 | 68% | 52% | 32% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.6 | - |
| 16 | Progresul Spartac | 27 | 31 | 26% | 1.1 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 2.6 | 63% | 48% | 30% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.3 | - |
| 17 | Minaur Baia Mare | 25 | 22 | 16% | 0.9 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 2.2 | 68% | 36% | 8% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 1.3 | - |
| 18 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 25 | 19 | 16% | 0.8 | 18 | 40 | -22 | 2.3 | 60% | 48% | 28% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 1.6 | - |
| 19 | Unirea Constanța | 24 | 18 | 25% | 0.8 | 20 | 71 | -51 | 3.8 | 83% | 71% | 38% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 3.0 | - |
| 20 | Ripensia Timisoara | 25 | 17 | 16% | 0.7 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 2.1 | 64% | 40% | 12% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | 1.4 | - |