Defensive solidity is the story heading into this match, with Vikingur Gota’s home form showing a low 0.83 goals conceded per game, while AB’s away form is slightly more porous at 1.2. The model favours a home win, with a 52% probability, followed by a 30% draw and 19% away win. The expected total goals is 2.2, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-0 for Vikingur Gota, a 15% chance. The match is projected to be tight and low-scoring, with the total goals hovering around two.
Vikingur Gota’s average goals scored at home is 2.17 against weaker opposition, whereas AB averages 1.8 goals scored away against stronger opponents. The suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.3%), Under 5.5 (97.6%), Away under 2.5 goals (95.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.4%), Home +2 handicap (94.2%) and Under 4.5 (93.0%). Vikingur Gota are coming off a defeat to HB Torshavn, while AB are still recovering from three straight losses.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Vikingur Gota win
53.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AB win
17.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Vikingur Gota
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.27
1.75
1.50
1.50
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
1.18
1.53
1.50
1.90
0.71
1.00
vs Weaker (13)
2.23
0.92
2.17
0.83
2.29
1.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (AB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AB
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
0.97
2.50
1.21
1.75
0.75
vs Stronger (10)
2.60
1.30
3.40
1.40
1.80
1.20
vs Similar (13)
1.46
0.85
1.80
1.20
1.25
0.62
vs Weaker (7)
2.57
0.71
2.25
1.00
3.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Vikingur Gota) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
65.7%
Under 1.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
37.7%
Under 2.5
62.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
18.0%
Under 3.5
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
41.0%
No
59.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.1%
1-1
13.1%
0-0
12.3%
2-0
12.0%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
4.3%
Vikingur Gota goals ↓
AB goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
6.9%
2.9%
0.7%
0.1%
1
15%
13%
4.3%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
8.7%
3.2%
0.8%
0.1%
3
5.9%
4.3%
1.6%
0.4%
0.1%
4
2.2%
1.6%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vikingur Gota goals (down), columns = AB goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
HB Torshavn
2.75
NSI Runavik
1.88
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
07 Vestur
1.38
Skála
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.12
EB / Streymur
1.00
AB
0.75
B68
0.50
Vikingur Gota is 0.82 points better than AB in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 0.75).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
HB Torshavn
2.62
NSI Runavik
2.25
Vikingur Gota
1.57
KI Klaksvik
1.57
EB / Streymur
1.50
07 Vestur
1.25
Skála
1.12
AB
1.12
B36 Torshavn
0.75
B68
0.50
Vikingur Gota is 0.45 goals better than AB in terms of goals scored per game (1.57 vs 1.12).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
HB Torshavn
0.50
KI Klaksvik
1.14
B68
1.25
NSI Runavik
1.38
07 Vestur
1.38
B36 Torshavn
1.38
Vikingur Gota
1.43
Skála
1.75
EB / Streymur
2.00
AB
2.00
Vikingur Gota is 0.57 goals better than AB in terms of goals conceded per game (1.43 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Vikingur Gota or Draw
82.7%
Avg Implied -
54%
29%
17%
covers Vikingur Gota + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Gota or AB
71.1%
Avg Implied -
54%
29%
17%
covers Vikingur Gota + AB
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or AB
46.3%
Avg Implied -
54%
29%
17%
covers Draw + AB
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Vikingur Gota over/under 0.5
Over
77.0%
Under
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Gota over/under 1.5
Over
43.2%
Under
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Gota over/under 2.5
Over
18.4%
Under
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Gota over/under 3.5
Over
6.2%
Under
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 0.5
Over
51.7%
Under
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 1.5
Over
16.5%
Under
83.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 2.5
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 3.5
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Vikingur Gota, so a minus line means Vikingur Gota give that many goals of a start and AB receive them. At -1, Vikingur Gota must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Vikingur Gota win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Vikingur Gota)
Vikingur Gota -2
11.3%
Draw -2
16.9%
AB +2
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Vikingur Gota)
Vikingur Gota -1
28.2%
Draw -1
25.6%
AB +1
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Vikingur Gota)
Vikingur Gota +1
82.7%
Draw +1
12.1%
AB -1
5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Vikingur Gota)
Vikingur Gota +2
94.7%
Draw +2
4.1%
AB -2
1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Vikingur Gota
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
0.88
0.50
0.79
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.53
0.71
0.80
0.70
0.14
0.71
vs Weaker (13)
1.23
0.38
1.00
0.17
1.43
0.57
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (AB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AB
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.33
1.21
0.50
0.94
0.19
vs Stronger (10)
1.30
0.30
1.40
0.40
1.20
0.20
vs Similar (13)
0.77
0.31
0.80
0.40
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.43
1.50
0.75
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Vikingur Gota) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vikingur Gota over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Gota over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Gota over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Vikingur Gota
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.70
0.88
1.00
0.71
0.36
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.82
0.70
1.20
0.57
0.29
vs Weaker (13)
1.00
0.54
1.17
0.67
0.86
0.43
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (AB) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
AB
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.63
1.29
0.71
0.81
0.56
vs Stronger (10)
1.30
1.00
2.00
1.00
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.54
1.00
0.80
0.50
0.38
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.29
0.75
0.25
2.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Vikingur Gota) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vikingur Gota over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Gota over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vikingur Gota over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AB over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (28)
€3m
NR (29)
€3m
HT (24)
€2m
BT (27)
€2m
VG (21)
€2m
B68 (28)
€1m
E/S (30)
€1m
0V (30)
€1m
AB (18)
€1m
SKÁ (20)
€0m
Vikingur Gota and AB have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (9)
€1m
HT (7)
€1m
NR (6)
€1m
VG (7)
€1m
BT (9)
€1m
B68 (8)
€0m
E/S (6)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
0V (4)
€0m
AB (3)
€0m
Vikingur Gota and AB have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NR (10)
€1m
KK (8)
€1m
HT (8)
€1m
BT (6)
€0m
B68 (12)
€0m
AB (8)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
VG (4)
€0m
0V (10)
€0m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
Vikingur Gota and AB have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (11)
€1m
NR (13)
€1m
VG (10)
€1m
BT (12)
€1m
HT (9)
€1m
0V (16)
€0m
E/S (12)
€0m
SKÁ (10)
€0m
AB (7)
€0m
B68 (8)
€0m
Vikingur Gota and AB have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
HB Torshavn
NSI Runavik
KI Klaksvik
07 Vestur
Skála
B36 Torshavn
EB / Streymur
B68