Pythia gives Vikingur Gota a 36% win probability against NSI Runavik in the Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin on 2026-06-29, with 23% for the draw and 41% for NSI Runavik. The model estimates around 3.8 total goals, with 3 the most likely total (20%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (8.8%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (90%), Over 2.5 (73%), BTTS Yes (73%).
Results analysis
Vikingur Gota finished 3-3 against NSI Runavik (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 36% home win, 23% draw and 41% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (90%), Over 2.5 (73%), BTTS Yes (73%).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Vikingur Gota win✗ Miss
36.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NSI Runavik win✗ Miss
41.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Vikingur Gota
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.17
1.73
1.40
1.27
0.93
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.90
1.90
1.17
2.17
0.50
1.50
vs Weaker (17)
2.12
0.76
2.38
0.88
1.89
0.67
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (NSI Runavik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
NSI Runavik
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
3.23
1.40
2.87
1.13
3.60
1.67
vs Stronger (6)
2.17
2.83
1.33
3.33
3.00
2.33
vs Similar (11)
2.73
1.55
2.50
1.00
3.00
2.20
vs Weaker (13)
4.15
0.62
4.00
0.17
4.29
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Vikingur Gota) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
90.2%
Under 1.5
9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
73.4%
Under 2.5
26.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.1%
Under 3.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
73.3%
No
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-1
7.4%
2-2
7.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-3
4.8%
3-1
4.6%
3-2
4.5%
Vikingur Gota goals ↓
NSI Runavik goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.0%
3.5%
4.3%
2.8%
1.4%
1
3.3%
8.8%
7.9%
5.2%
2.5%
2
3.7%
7.4%
7.3%
4.8%
2.4%
3
2.3%
4.6%
4.5%
3.0%
1.5%
4
1.1%
2.1%
2.1%
1.4%
0.7%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vikingur Gota goals (down), columns = NSI Runavik goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
HB Torshavn
3.00
Vikingur Gota
2.00
NSI Runavik
1.83
07 Vestur
1.50
KI Klaksvik
1.40
Skála
1.17
B36 Torshavn
1.17
AB
1.00
EB / Streymur
0.83
B68
0.50
Vikingur Gota is 0.17 points better than NSI Runavik in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
HB Torshavn
3.00
NSI Runavik
2.17
Vikingur Gota
2.00
EB / Streymur
1.67
07 Vestur
1.50
AB
1.33
KI Klaksvik
1.20
Skála
1.17
B36 Torshavn
0.83
B68
0.50
Vikingur Gota is 0.17 goals worse than NSI Runavik in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 2.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
HB Torshavn
0.50
KI Klaksvik
1.20
NSI Runavik
1.33
B68
1.33
Vikingur Gota
1.40
07 Vestur
1.67
B36 Torshavn
1.67
AB
1.83
Skála
2.17
EB / Streymur
2.17
Vikingur Gota is 0.07 goals worse than NSI Runavik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🔢 6. Odd / Even
🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 8. Handicap
🔥 9. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
90.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS Yes
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
💰 10. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (20)
€3m
NR (17)
€2m
HT (16)
€2m
VG (13)
€1m
Vikingur Gota's squad is €1m less valuable than NSI Runavik's (€1m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (6)
€1m
HT (4)
€1m
NR (4)
€1m
VG (4)
€0m
Vikingur Gota and NSI Runavik have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (7)
€1m
NR (5)
€1m
HT (6)
€1m
VG (3)
€0m
Vikingur Gota and NSI Runavik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KK (7)
€1m
NR (8)
€1m
VG (6)
€1m
HT (6)
€1m
Vikingur Gota and NSI Runavik have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: Meistaradeildin stats & trends →