Viktoriya Mykolaivka are tipped to win the match against Polissya II, with a 42 % chance of a home victory, 29 % for a draw and 30 % for an away win. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly high-scoring affair, and the most likely exact scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.6 % probability. Viktoriya, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 2.0 goals scored and has not conceded in recent matches, while Polissya, on the road to a stronger opponent, averages 1.0 goal scored and 2.0 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5 %), Under 6.5 (98.3 %), Away under 3.5 goals (96.8 %), Under 5.5 (95.0 %), Home under 3.5 goals (94.3 %), Away under 2.5 goals (88.5 %), Under 4.5 (87.6 %) and Home +2 handicap (87.3 %). Viktoriya are on a four-game winning run, having beaten Kulykiv 2-1, whereas Polissya come off a draw, 2-2 with Chernihiv.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Viktoriya Mykolaivka win
41.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
28.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Polissya II win
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.07
1.64
0.79
1.19
1.31
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.00
1.50
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.38
1.08
1.64
0.64
1.20
1.40
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Polissya II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Polissya II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.80
1.00
1.67
1.50
2.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (4)
1.25
1.75
1.00
1.67
2.00
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoriya Mykolaivka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.7%
Under 1.5
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
48.4%
Under 2.5
51.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
26.6%
Under 3.5
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.9%
No
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
0-0
8.6%
2-0
7.5%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
Viktoriya Mykolaivka goals ↓
Polissya II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
7.4%
5.1%
2.0%
0.6%
1
9.3%
14%
7.3%
2.9%
0.8%
2
7.5%
8.9%
5.2%
2.1%
0.6%
3
3.6%
4.2%
2.5%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.3%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Viktoriya Mykolaivka goals (down), columns = Polissya II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
3.00
SK Poltava
2.20
Oleksandria
2.20
Kulykiv
2.00
Prykarpattia
1.40
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.40
Metal Kharkiv
1.40
Inhulets
1.40
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Nyva Ternopil
1.20
UCSA
1.20
Chernihiv
0.80
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.60
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.60
Polissya II
0.40
Probiy Horodenka
0.40
Viktoriya Mykolaivka is 2.60 points better than Polissya II in terms of average points per game (3.00 vs 0.40).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Kulykiv
2.20
Oleksandria
2.20
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
1.80
Prykarpattia
1.60
SK Poltava
1.60
UCSA
1.60
Inhulets
1.40
Yarud Mariupol'
1.20
Polissya II
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Chernihiv
1.00
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Probiy Horodenka
0.80
Lokomotiv Kyiv
0.80
Kolos Kovalivka II
0.60
Viktoriya Mykolaivka is 0.60 goals better than Polissya II in terms of goals scored per game (1.80 vs 1.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SK Poltava
0.20
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
0.20
Oleksandria
1.00
Nyva Ternopil
1.00
Chernihiv
1.20
Prykarpattia
1.20
Kulykiv
1.20
Metal Kharkiv
1.20
Lokomotiv Kyiv
1.40
Kolos Kovalivka II
1.60
Yarud Mariupol'
1.60
UCSA
1.60
Polissya II
1.80
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1.80
Inhulets
1.80
Probiy Horodenka
2.40
Viktoriya Mykolaivka is 1.60 goals better than Polissya II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.20 vs 1.80).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka or Draw
70.2%
Avg Implied -
42%
29%
30%
covers Viktoriya Mykolaivka + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka or Polissya II
71.4%
Avg Implied -
42%
29%
30%
covers Viktoriya Mykolaivka + Polissya II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Polissya II
58.3%
Avg Implied -
42%
29%
30%
covers Draw + Polissya II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka over/under 0.5
Over
76.1%
Under
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka over/under 1.5
Over
41.9%
Under
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka over/under 2.5
Over
17.4%
Under
82.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka over/under 3.5
Over
5.7%
Under
94.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 0.5
Over
69.2%
Under
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 1.5
Over
32.9%
Under
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 2.5
Over
11.6%
Under
88.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 3.5
Over
3.2%
Under
96.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Viktoriya Mykolaivka, so a minus line means Viktoriya Mykolaivka give that many goals of a start and Polissya II receive them. At -1, Viktoriya Mykolaivka must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Viktoriya Mykolaivka win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Viktoriya Mykolaivka)
Viktoriya Mykolaivka -2
7.8%
Draw -2
12.8%
Polissya II +2
79.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Viktoriya Mykolaivka)
Viktoriya Mykolaivka -1
20.6%
Draw -1
21.1%
Polissya II +1
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Viktoriya Mykolaivka)
Viktoriya Mykolaivka +1
70.2%
Draw +1
17.1%
Polissya II -1
12.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Viktoriya Mykolaivka)
Viktoriya Mykolaivka +2
87.3%
Draw +2
8.6%
Polissya II -2
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.43
0.43
0.21
0.44
0.62
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.46
0.46
0.45
0.18
0.47
0.67
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Polissya II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Polissya II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.60
0.67
0.33
0.50
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.33
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoriya Mykolaivka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
73.3%
Under 0.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.5%
Under 1.5
63.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.0%
Under 2.5
85.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka over/under 0.5 HT
Over
57.6%
Under
42.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka over/under 1.5 HT
Over
21.1%
Under
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka over/under 2.5 HT
Over
6.3%
Under
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
35.0%
Under
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.3%
Under
92.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Viktoriya Mykolaivka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.63
1.21
0.57
0.75
0.69
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
1.00
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.92
0.62
1.18
0.45
0.73
0.73
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Polissya II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Polissya II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.20
0.33
1.33
1.00
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (4)
0.75
1.25
0.33
1.33
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
0% (-32pp vs league)
This opponent (Viktoriya Mykolaivka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.9%
Under 0.5
23.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
48.9%
Under 1.5
51.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
22.9%
Under 2.5
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka over/under 0.5 2H
Over
63.8%
Under
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka over/under 1.5 2H
Over
26.1%
Under
73.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Viktoriya Mykolaivka over/under 2.5 2H
Over
10.4%
Under
89.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
42.0%
Under
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.1%
Under
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polissya II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
94.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
88.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (25)
€8m
SP (22)
€4m
YM (21)
€3m
NT (23)
€3m
MK (17)
€3m
UCS (23)
€2m
AV (18)
€2m
CHE (22)
€2m
VM (19)
€2m
PRY (18)
€2m
PH (20)
€1m
INH (15)
€1m
PI (5)
€1m
KKI (3)
€0m
LK (7)
€0m
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Polissya II have a similar squad value (both €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (10)
€3m
YM (6)
€1m
SP (5)
€1m
UCS (8)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
VM (5)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
PH (11)
€1m
PI (2)
€0m
MK (4)
€0m
AV (3)
€0m
CHE (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
LK (3)
€0m
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Polissya II have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
YM (7)
€1m
OLE (4)
€1m
CHE (8)
€1m
SP (7)
€1m
NT (5)
€1m
VM (8)
€1m
AV (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
UCS (5)
€1m
PI (1)
€0m
PH (3)
€0m
INH (5)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
LK (0)
€0m
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Polissya II have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OLE (11)
€3m
SP (10)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
AV (11)
€1m
NT (9)
€1m
UCS (10)
€1m
CHE (10)
€1m
INH (4)
€1m
PRY (6)
€1m
YM (8)
€1m
VM (6)
€1m
PH (6)
€0m
PI (2)
€0m
LK (4)
€0m
KKI (1)
€0m
Viktoriya Mykolaivka and Polissya II have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Ukraine: Persha Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Persha Liga stats & trends →