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Vila Meã vs União de Leiria Result & Analysis

Date: 17/12/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 0-1
Vila Meã
Vila Meã
Vs
42%
25%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
União de Leiria
União de Leiria
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vila Meã win✗ Miss
42.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
União de Leiria win✓ Hit
32.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Vila MeãVila Meã

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D40W10W11DA·APA31/08A·OS 21/09H·VIL19/10H·LEI23/11
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.750.501.000.502.500.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.750.501.000.502.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (União de Leiria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D22D13L31W21W11D31W22D01L23LH·OLI11/10H·ALV18/10H·LEI25/10A·MAR30/10H·CHA03/11A·LUS09/11A·1º 22/11H·BEN30/11A·PEN05/12H·FEL13/12← Segunda LigaTaça de Portugal →
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.301.671.531.531.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)1.541.391.541.771.531.07
vs Weaker (2)2.500.002.500.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Vila Meã) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.7%
Under 1.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.6%
Under 2.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.3%
Under 3.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.2%
No
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.7%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.1%
1-0
6.0%
0-0
5.2%
3-1
5.1%
Vila Meã goals ↓
União de Leiria goals →
01234
05.2%5.1%4.5%2.2%0.8%
16.0%11%7.7%3.8%1.4%
26.1%8.9%6.6%3.2%1.2%
33.4%5.1%3.7%1.8%0.7%
41.5%2.2%1.6%0.8%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vila Meã goals (down), columns = União de Leiria goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Benfica
2.71
Sporting CP
2.43
Rebordosa
2.40
Anadia
2.33
Santa Clara
2.33
Alverca
2.33
Amarante
2.25
Oliveira Hospital
2.25
SC Braga
2.25
GIL Vicente
2.25
São João Ver
2.17
Tirsense
2.14
Leixoes
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Penafiel
2.00
Torreense
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Moncarapachense
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
União Santarém
2.00
Varzim
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Operário
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
SC Covilha
2.00
Casa Pia
2.00
Moreirense
2.00
Chaves
2.00
União de Leiria
2.00
Farense
2.00
Cinfães
1.75
Brito
1.75
Lusitânia
1.75
Vila Real
1.75
O Elvas
1.60
FC Porto
1.50
Vilaverdense
1.50
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Machico
1.50
Vianense
1.50
FC Serpa
1.50
Sintrense
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Louletano
1.50
Lagoa
1.50
Os Limianos
1.50
Paredes
1.50
Amora
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Mafra
1.50
Famalicao
1.50
Arouca
1.50
Academica
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
AVS
1.50
Sanjoanense
1.33
Caldas
1.33
Rio Ave
1.33
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Atlético Malveira
1.02
Vila Meã
1.02
Portalegrense
1.02
Florgrade
1.02
Correlhã
1.02
Vitória de Sernache
1.02
Nazarenos
1.02
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.02
Valenciano
1.02
Castro Daire
1.02
Rebordelo
1.02
Espinho
1.02
Uniao Nogueirense
1.02
Naval 1893
1.02
Portimonense B
1.02
AD Fornos Algodres
1.02
Resende
1.02
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.02
Silves
1.02
Vidago
1.02
Vila Caíz
1.02
Charneca Caparica
1.02
Oriental Lisboa
1.02
Angrense
1.02
Ançã
1.02
Sourense
1.02
Celoricense
1.02
AD Portomosense
1.02
Alcochetense
1.02
Fayal
1.02
Gouveia
1.02
Samora Correir
1.02
Estrela Calheta
1.02
Ribeira Brava
1.02
Aparecida GO
1.02
Mirandela
1.02
SC Celoricense
1.02
Almodôvar
1.02
Mosteirense
1.02
Águias do Moradal
1.02
Urzelinense
1.02
Celeirós
1.02
Quarteirense
1.02
AR São Martinho
1.02
Carregal
1.02
Juventude Évora
1.02
Pontassolense
1.02
Fazendense
1.02
AD Marco 09
1.00
Fátima
1.00
Marinhense
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Leça
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Beira-Mar
1.00
Estoril
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Estrela
0.50
Trofense
0.00
Vizela
0.00
Olímpico do Montijo
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Maritimo
0.00
Oliveirense
0.00
União Lamas
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Viana Alentejo
0.00
Fafe
0.00
Monção
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Castrense
0.00
Bragança
0.00
Portel
0.00
Vinhais
0.00
Comércio Indústria
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Nacional
0.00
Salgueiros
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Tondela
0.00
Valpaços
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Vila Meã is 0.98 points worse than União de Leiria in terms of average points per game (1.02 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Benfica
3.29
Amarante
3.00
Vizela
3.00
Penafiel
3.00
Comércio Indústria
3.00
SC Covilha
3.00
Casa Pia
3.00
Arouca
3.00
Valpaços
3.00
Anadia
2.67
Alverca
2.67
Vilaverdense
2.50
FC Serpa
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Sanjoanense
2.33
Moncarapachense
2.33
Farense
2.33
Cinfães
2.25
Sporting CP
2.14
FC Porto
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Rebordosa
2.00
Oliveira Hospital
2.00
Louletano
2.00
Atlético CP
2.00
São João Ver
2.00
Leça
2.00
Paredes
2.00
Castrense
2.00
Alpendorada
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Guimaraes
2.00
Portimonense
2.00
AVS
2.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.67
União Santarém
1.67
Varzim
1.67
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Torreense
1.50
Machico
1.50
Vianense
1.50
Ferreira Zêzere
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
SC Braga
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Rio Ave
1.50
Moreirense
1.33
Chaves
1.33
União de Leiria
1.33
Atlético Malveira
1.27
Vila Meã
1.27
Portalegrense
1.27
Florgrade
1.27
Correlhã
1.27
Vitória de Sernache
1.27
Nazarenos
1.27
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.27
Valenciano
1.27
Castro Daire
1.27
Rebordelo
1.27
Espinho
1.27
Uniao Nogueirense
1.27
Naval 1893
1.27
Portimonense B
1.27
AD Fornos Algodres
1.27
Resende
1.27
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.27
Silves
1.27
Vidago
1.27
Vila Caíz
1.27
Charneca Caparica
1.27
Oriental Lisboa
1.27
Angrense
1.27
Ançã
1.27
Sourense
1.27
Celoricense
1.27
AD Portomosense
1.27
Alcochetense
1.27
Fayal
1.27
Gouveia
1.27
Samora Correir
1.27
Estrela Calheta
1.27
Ribeira Brava
1.27
Aparecida GO
1.27
Mirandela
1.27
SC Celoricense
1.27
Almodôvar
1.27
Mosteirense
1.27
Águias do Moradal
1.27
Urzelinense
1.27
Celeirós
1.27
Quarteirense
1.27
AR São Martinho
1.27
Carregal
1.27
Juventude Évora
1.27
Pontassolense
1.27
Fazendense
1.27
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
GIL Vicente
1.25
O Elvas
1.20
Tirsense
1.14
Leixoes
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Maria da Fonte
1.00
Olímpico do Montijo
1.00
Sintrense
1.00
Maritimo
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
União Lamas
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
Lajense
1.00
Viana Alentejo
1.00
Fafe
1.00
Monção
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Bragança
1.00
Operário
1.00
Vinhais
1.00
Santa Clara
1.00
Nacional
1.00
Salgueiros
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Famalicao
1.00
Tondela
1.00
Academica
1.00
Brito
0.75
Vila Real
0.75
Caldas
0.67
Amora
0.50
Estrela
0.50
Trofense
0.00
Fátima
0.00
Académico do Fundão
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Sacavenense
0.00
Eléctrico
0.00
Felgueiras 1932
0.00
Camacha
0.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
0.00
Portel
0.00
Peniche
0.00
Estoril
0.00
UD da Serra
0.00
Feirense
0.00
Rabo Peixe
0.00
Vila Meã is 0.06 goals worse than União de Leiria in terms of goals scored per game (1.27 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Fátima
0.00
Marinhense
0.00
Operário
0.00
Estoril
0.00
GIL Vicente
0.25
Benfica
0.29
Santa Clara
0.33
FC Serpa
0.50
Atlético CP
0.50
Brito
0.50
Alpendorada
0.50
Vila Real
0.50
Famalicao
0.50
Academica
0.50
Sporting CP
0.57
Varzim
0.67
Caldas
0.67
SC Braga
0.75
São João Ver
0.83
FC Porto
1.00
Leixoes
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
AD Marco 09
1.00
Torreense
1.00
Machico
1.00
Anadia
1.00
Rebordosa
1.00
Ferreira Zêzere
1.00
Louletano
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Lagoa
1.00
União Santarém
1.00
Ovarense
1.00
Portel
1.00
Guimaraes
1.00
Casa Pia
1.00
UD da Serra
1.00
Mafra
1.00
Academico Viseu
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Arouca
1.00
Moreirense
1.00
Chaves
1.00
União de Leiria
1.00
O Elvas
1.20
Oliveira Hospital
1.25
Lusitano Évora 1911
1.25
Sanjoanense
1.33
Moncarapachense
1.33
Alverca
1.33
Tirsense
1.43
Pacos Ferreira
1.50
Os Marialvas
1.50
Penafiel
1.50
Lusitânia
1.50
Mortágua
1.50
1º Dezembro
1.50
Rio Ave
1.50
Portimonense
1.50
AVS
1.50
SC Covilha
1.67
Cinfães
1.75
Atlético Malveira
1.79
Vila Meã
1.79
Portalegrense
1.79
Florgrade
1.79
Correlhã
1.79
Vitória de Sernache
1.79
Nazarenos
1.79
Vasco da Gama Vidigueira
1.79
Valenciano
1.79
Castro Daire
1.79
Rebordelo
1.79
Espinho
1.79
Uniao Nogueirense
1.79
Naval 1893
1.79
Portimonense B
1.79
AD Fornos Algodres
1.79
Resende
1.79
CD Olivais e Moscavide
1.79
Silves
1.79
Vidago
1.79
Vila Caíz
1.79
Charneca Caparica
1.79
Oriental Lisboa
1.79
Angrense
1.79
Ançã
1.79
Sourense
1.79
Celoricense
1.79
AD Portomosense
1.79
Alcochetense
1.79
Fayal
1.79
Gouveia
1.79
Samora Correir
1.79
Estrela Calheta
1.79
Ribeira Brava
1.79
Aparecida GO
1.79
Mirandela
1.79
SC Celoricense
1.79
Almodôvar
1.79
Mosteirense
1.79
Águias do Moradal
1.79
Urzelinense
1.79
Celeirós
1.79
Quarteirense
1.79
AR São Martinho
1.79
Carregal
1.79
Juventude Évora
1.79
Pontassolense
1.79
Fazendense
1.79
Amarante
2.00
Lusitânia Lourosa
2.00
Maria da Fonte
2.00
Vianense
2.00
Olímpico do Montijo
2.00
Académico do Fundão
2.00
Sintrense
2.00
Sacavenense
2.00
Eléctrico
2.00
Maritimo
2.00
Oliveirense
2.00
União Lamas
2.00
Leça
2.00
Camacha
2.00
Viana Alentejo
2.00
Monção
2.00
Benfica Castelo Branco
2.00
Beira-Mar
2.00
Bragança
2.00
Vinhais
2.00
Peniche
2.00
Nacional
2.00
Salgueiros
2.00
Tondela
2.00
Farense
2.00
Vilaverdense
2.50
Os Limianos
2.50
Amora
2.50
Lajense
2.67
Trofense
3.00
Paredes
3.00
Rabo Peixe
3.00
Vizela
4.00
Fafe
4.00
Castrense
4.00
Comércio Indústria
4.00
Estrela
4.00
Valpaços
5.00
Vila Meã is 0.79 goals worse than União de Leiria in terms of goals conceded per game (1.79 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Sporting CP
59%
Rio Ave
42%
Benfica
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Vila MeãVila Meã

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria

For 5.5 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.2

🚩 Corners

1304676581016776362610131311131398H·FELA·PENA·LUSH·CHAA·PORH·ACAA·PACA·LEI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.4 · Total 6.0

🟨 Cards

120313334215331612435734666673712H·FELA·PENH·BENA·LUSH·CHAA·MARH·LEIH·OLIA·PORA·FC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 11.8 · Total 23.0

⚠️ Fouls

43018119181311161219221217225182529272428412922543H·FELA·PENA·LUSH·CHAA·PORH·ACAH·TONA·CHAH·OLIA·PAC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Vila MeãVila Meã

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (4)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (4)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (União de Leiria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.811.310.63.63.63.716.910.522.2
vs Stronger (1)---0.0-0.0---
vs Similar (45)10.811.310.63.83.83.917.511.122.2
vs Weaker (4)---2.21.53.05.05.0-
% over line64%100%50%52%50%54%50%30%67%
% under line36%0%50%48%50%46%50%70%33%
This opponent (Vila Meã) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Penafiel
11.9
Portimonense
11.7
Vizela
11.1
Academico Viseu
10.9
Vilaverdense
10.8
Oliveirense
10.8
União de Leiria
10.8
Farense
10.7
SC Covilha
10.6
Trofense
10.6
Chaves
10.5
Nacional
10.3
Famalicao
10.3
Arouca
10.2
Rio Ave
10.1
Lusitânia Lourosa
10.0
Guimaraes
10.0
Felgueiras 1932
9.8
Torreense
9.8
Benfica
9.6
Feirense
9.5
Tondela
9.4
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Estrela
9.3
Casa Pia
9.2
Sporting CP
9.2
SC Braga
9.1
Maritimo
9.0
GIL Vicente
8.9
Pacos Ferreira
8.9
Estoril
8.9
AVS
8.7
FC Porto
8.7
Leixoes
8.6
Mafra
8.5
Santa Clara
8.3
Alverca
8.2
Moreirense
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Trofense
7.1
Santa Clara
6.6
Felgueiras 1932
6.4
Pacos Ferreira
6.3
Vizela
5.9
Leixoes
5.9
FC Porto
5.9
Oliveirense
5.8
Chaves
5.8
Torreense
5.8
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.8
Famalicao
5.8
Farense
5.7
Casa Pia
5.7
Maritimo
5.7
União de Leiria
5.7
Sporting CP
5.6
Arouca
5.5
Guimaraes
5.4
Portimonense
5.4
SC Covilha
5.4
Nacional
5.4
Estrela
5.4
AVS
5.3
Moreirense
5.2
Feirense
5.2
Rio Ave
5.2
Academico Viseu
5.1
Tondela
5.1
Penafiel
5.1
Benfica
5.0
GIL Vicente
5.0
Alverca
4.8
Vilaverdense
4.8
SC Braga
4.6
Estoril
4.6
CF Os Belenenses
4.5
Mafra
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Trofense
32.3
Famalicao
31.6
Estrela
31.0
Moreirense
30.0
Santa Clara
29.8
Farense
28.8
Estoril
28.6
Vilaverdense
28.5
SC Covilha
28.2
GIL Vicente
28.2
Rio Ave
28.1
Guimaraes
28.1
Casa Pia
27.9
Arouca
27.7
Lusitânia Lourosa
27.5
AVS
27.3
Nacional
27.3
FC Porto
26.9
Sporting CP
26.4
SC Braga
25.3
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Benfica
24.9
Tondela
20.2
Leixoes
18.9
Pacos Ferreira
18.1
Academico Viseu
16.9
Oliveirense
16.8
Portimonense
16.6
União de Leiria
16.6
Alverca
16.5
Maritimo
14.9
Mafra
14.9
Felgueiras 1932
14.5
Feirense
14.2
Vizela
13.7
Penafiel
13.6
Chaves
12.9
Torreense
10.9
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
50.1%
Under 9.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
62.6%
Under 3.5
37.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
83.7%
Under 21.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Vila Meã or Draw✗ Miss
67.7%
Avg Implied -
42%
25%
32%
covers Vila Meã + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vila Meã or União de Leiria✓ Hit
74.6%
Avg Implied -
42%
25%
32%
covers Vila Meã + União de Leiria
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or União de Leiria✓ Hit
57.7%
Avg Implied -
42%
25%
32%
covers Draw + União de Leiria
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Vila Meã over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
81.9%
Under
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vila Meã over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
50.9%
Under
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vila Meã over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
24.5%
Under
75.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vila Meã over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
União de Leiria over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
77.1%
Under
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
União de Leiria over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.3%
Under
56.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
União de Leiria over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.5%
Under
81.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
União de Leiria over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.2%
Under
93.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Vila Meã, so a minus line means Vila Meã give that many goals of a start and União de Leiria receive them. At -1, Vila Meã must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Vila Meã win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Vila Meã)Actual: União de Leiria
Vila Meã -2
9.6%
Draw -2
13.0%
União de Leiria +2
77.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Vila Meã)Actual: União de Leiria
Vila Meã -1
22.7%
Draw -1
19.6%
União de Leiria +1
57.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Vila Meã)Actual: Draw
Vila Meã +1
67.7%
Draw +1
16.8%
União de Leiria -1
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Vila Meã)Actual: Vila Meã
Vila Meã +2
84.5%
Draw +2
9.7%
União de Leiria -2
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Vila MeãVila Meã

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W00D11DA·APA31/08A·OS 21/09H·VIL19/10H·LEI23/11
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.750.250.500.501.000.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)0.750.250.500.501.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %75% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (União de Leiria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W01L01L01L11D31W11D00D21WH·OLI11/10H·ALV18/10H·LEI25/10A·MAR30/10H·CHA03/11A·LUS09/11A·1º 22/11H·BEN30/11A·PEN05/12H·FEL13/12← Segunda LigaTaça de Portugal →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.730.530.600.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.640.540.690.620.600.47
vs Weaker (2)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Vila Meã) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vila Meã over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vila Meã over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vila Meã over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
União de Leiria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
União de Leiria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
União de Leiria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Vila MeãVila Meã

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W10W00DA·APA31/08A·OS 21/09H·VIL19/10H·LEI23/11
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.250.500.001.500.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (4)1.000.250.500.001.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %75% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (União de Leiria) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L12L30W20W00D00D11D01L02LH·OLI11/10H·ALV18/10H·LEI25/10A·MAR30/10H·CHA03/11A·LUS09/11A·1º 22/11H·BEN30/11A·PEN05/12H·FEL13/12← Segunda LigaTaça de Portugal →
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.800.931.000.930.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (28)0.890.860.851.150.930.60
vs Weaker (2)1.500.001.500.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Vila Meã) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vila Meã over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vila Meã over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vila Meã over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
União de Leiria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
União de Leiria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
União de Leiria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.598.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.595.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals93.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls92.0%--------
Home under 3.5 goals90.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.589.7%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap84.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls83.7%--------
Over 1.583.7%-------✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals81.9%-------✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals81.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards80.5%--------
Under 4.578.4%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap77.3%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals77.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals75.5%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away74.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards73.4%--------
Under 11.5 corners73.3%--------
Over 23.5 fouls71.7%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

União de Leiria
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Juan Muñoz33%
Victor Rofino33%
Pablo Fernández29%
Jordan van der Gaag20%
Bernardo Martim Aguiar Gomes17%
Jair da Silva17%
Dieu-Merci Michel14%
João Silva12%
Daniel Borges12%
José Pedro10%
Kouassi Eboue0%
Albert Lottin0%
Maga0%
Pablo Fernández0%
Marcelo0%
Diogo Martins0%
João Victor0%
Genaro0%
Marc Baró0%
Lucho Vega0%
Habib Sylla0%
Jair da Silva0%
Miguel Pires0%
Dieu-Merci Michel0%
Victor Silva0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Daniel Borges50%
Maga45%
Marc Baró36%
Victor Rofino33%
Jair da Silva33%
Dieu-Merci Michel29%
Marcelo25%
Albert Lottin20%
José Pedro20%
Miguel Pires18%
Bernardo Martim Aguiar Gomes17%
Genaro14%
Pablo Fernández14%
Jordan van der Gaag10%
Kouassi Eboue0%
Pablo Fernández0%
Juan Muñoz0%
Diogo Martins0%
João Victor0%
João Silva0%
Lucho Vega0%
Habib Sylla0%
Jair da Silva0%
Dieu-Merci Michel0%
Victor Silva0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jordan van der Gaag20%
Pablo Fernández20%
Marc Baró18%
Juan Muñoz17%
Dieu-Merci Michel14%
Daniel Borges12%
Lucho Vega10%
Maga9%
Kouassi Eboue0%
Albert Lottin0%
Marcelo0%
Diogo Martins0%
João Victor0%
João Silva0%
Genaro0%
Habib Sylla0%
Jair da Silva0%
José Pedro0%
Victor Rofino0%
Bernardo Martim Aguiar Gomes0%
Miguel Pires0%
Dieu-Merci Michel0%
Victor Silva0%
Pablo Fernández0%
Jair da Silva0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Juan Muñoz58%
Jair da Silva50%
Dieu-Merci Michel43%
Daniel Borges12%
Jordan van der Gaag10%
Kouassi Eboue0%
Albert Lottin0%
Maga0%
Pablo Fernández0%
Marcelo0%
Diogo Martins0%
João Victor0%
João Silva0%
Genaro0%
Marc Baró0%
Lucho Vega0%
Habib Sylla0%
Jair da Silva0%
José Pedro0%
Victor Rofino0%
Bernardo Martim Aguiar Gomes0%
Miguel Pires0%
Dieu-Merci Michel0%
Victor Silva0%
Pablo Fernández0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
ACA (11)
€2m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
AMA (6)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
ACA (6)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
AMA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
AMA (3)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
ACA (1)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
AVS (10)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
ACA (4)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
AMA (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
VM wins
0
Draws
0
UDL wins

Head-to-head

Vila Meã vs União de Leiria · H/A from VM
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Vila MeãVila Meã

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/11/25HVM Vs Leixoes1-1
19/10/25HVM Vs Vila Caíz1-0
21/09/25AOs Limianos Vs VM0-4
31/08/25AAparecida GO Vs VM1-1

União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/12/25HUDL Vs Felgueiras 19322-3
05/12/25APenafiel Vs UDL1-0
30/11/25HUDL Vs Benfica B2-2
22/11/25A1º Dezembro Vs UDL1-3
09/11/25ALusitânia Lourosa Vs UDL1-1
03/11/25HUDL Vs Chaves2-1
30/10/25AMaritimo Vs UDL1-3
25/10/25HUDL Vs Leixoes1-3
18/10/25HUDL Vs Alverca2-2
11/10/25HUDL Vs Oliveirense0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vila Meã
Vila Meã
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWD2.00
HomeWD2.00
AwayDW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals2.251.503.00
Over 1.5 %75%50%100%
Over 2.5 %25%0%50%
Over 3.5 %25%0%50%
Scored1.751.002.50
Conceded0.500.500.50
BTTS50%50%50%
Clean Sheet50%50%50%
Corners---
Cards---
União de Leiria
União de Leiria
Portugal: Taça de Portugal
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDLL1.56
HomeDLWDL1.54
AwayDWDWL1.58
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%42%46%
AVG goals2.622.622.62
Over 1.5 %70%67%73%
Over 2.5 %52%50%54%
Over 3.5 %34%42%27%
Scored1.461.381.54
Conceded1.161.251.08
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet28%33%23%
Corners10.8211.3310.62
Cards5.875.736.00

🏆 17. League Table

União de Leiria plays in Portugal - Segunda Liga
RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MaritimoMaritimo3466
59%
1.9
5029+21
2.3
65%
38%
24%
7.7
20%
6.4
91%
30.1
93%
16
7361.50.9
52%
2Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu3459
50%
1.7
5833+25
2.7
68%
56%
35%
9.8
54%
6.1
91%
29.1
100%
16
8361.71.0
49%
3TorreenseTorreense3459
53%
1.7
4633+13
2.3
59%
44%
21%
10.2
38%
5.4
82%
23.1
62%
19
72101.41.0
46%
4FC Porto BFC Porto B3451
44%
1.5
4142-1
2.4
68%
50%
21%
9.6
55%
6.3
82%
29.4
100%
29
13791.21.2
47%
5VizelaVizela3451
41%
1.5
3940-1
2.3
65%
41%
21%
9.1
33%
6.6
88%
29.9
78%
12
5241.11.2
54%
6União de LeiriaUnião de Leiria3450
38%
1.5
5246+6
2.9
74%
59%
44%
10.2
69%
5.9
82%
30.6
100%
10
4241.51.4
51%
7LeixoesLeixoes3450
44%
1.5
4655-9
3.0
82%
59%
35%
8.7
27%
6.1
91%
30.1
91%
6
2131.41.6
50%
8FeirenseFeirense3446
35%
1.4
3740-3
2.3
62%
44%
18%
9.3
29%
7.0
94%
29.1
86%
4
1131.11.2
42%
9ChavesChaves3445
38%
1.3
4240+2
2.4
65%
35%
24%
8.3
38%
6.3
82%
27.9
85%
9
3241.21.2
55%
10Benfica BBenfica B3444
32%
1.3
4344-1
2.6
79%
44%
15%
9.6
50%
6.9
91%
31.8
92%
31
910131.31.3
54%
11Felgueiras 1932Felgueiras 19323444
32%
1.3
3438-4
2.1
62%
32%
18%
10.2
56%
5.9
79%
29.4
89%
5
1121.01.1
54%
12FarenseFarense3644
31%
1.2
3237-5
1.9
61%
31%
8%
9.7
44%
5.9
86%
31.0
100%
8
3240.91.0
49%
13Lusitânia LourosaLusitânia Lourosa3443
32%
1.3
4452-8
2.8
76%
59%
32%
10.4
54%
5.9
85%
30.1
100%
5
1131.31.5
48%
14Sporting CP BSporting CP B3442
38%
1.2
4134+7
2.2
53%
44%
18%
8.3
40%
6.0
70%
25.0
80%
17
5571.21.0
54%
15PenafielPenafiel3441
32%
1.2
3739-2
2.2
65%
38%
15%
11.2
80%
5.6
71%
27.1
70%
5
1031.11.1
49%
16PortimonensePortimonense3440
32%
1.2
3949-10
2.6
68%
41%
24%
10.6
78%
5.7
88%
32.9
100%
6
2131.11.4
48%
17Pacos FerreiraPacos Ferreira3439
26%
1.1
3448-14
2.4
68%
50%
24%
9.5
46%
6.3
82%
29.5
85%
2
1011.01.4
46%
18OliveirenseOliveirense3434
24%
1.0
3449-15
2.4
65%
44%
24%
9.2
55%
5.2
61%
29.3
91%
1
0011.01.4
49%
19CF Os BelenensesCF Os Belenenses21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
0
0000.00.5
-
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →

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