This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.83
1.60
0.73
0.80
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.00
0.86
1.56
0.67
0.58
1.00
vs Weaker (9)
1.67
0.78
1.67
0.83
1.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.5%
Under 1.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
36.2%
@ 2.40-3.0%
Under 2.5
63.8%
@ 1.55+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
17.0%
Under 3.5
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
44.6%
No
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.8%
0-0
13.1%
1-0
11.5%
0-1
11.0%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
Villarreal II goals ↓
Oviedo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
13%
11%
6.4%
2.3%
0.6%
1
11%
15%
7.1%
2.5%
0.6%
2
7.0%
7.4%
3.9%
1.4%
0.4%
3
2.6%
2.7%
1.4%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.7%
0.7%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Villarreal II goals (down), columns = Oviedo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leganes
1.76
Valladolid
1.71
Espanyol
1.65
Eibar
1.64
Oviedo
1.54
Racing Santander
1.52
Sporting Gijon
1.50
Burgos
1.40
Levante
1.40
Elche
1.40
Racing Ferrol
1.40
Tenerife
1.33
FC Cartagena
1.21
Zaragoza
1.21
Albacete
1.21
Eldense
1.19
Huesca
1.17
Mirandes
1.17
Amorebieta
1.07
Alcorcon
1.05
Villarreal II
1.02
FC Andorra
1.02
Villarreal II is 0.52 points worse than Oviedo in terms of average points per game (1.02 vs 1.54).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Eibar
1.64
Racing Santander
1.50
Espanyol
1.35
Leganes
1.33
Oviedo
1.26
Burgos
1.24
Valladolid
1.21
Albacete
1.19
Levante
1.17
Racing Ferrol
1.17
Sporting Gijon
1.16
Mirandes
1.12
Eldense
1.10
Elche
1.02
Zaragoza
1.00
Villarreal II
0.98
Tenerife
0.90
Amorebieta
0.88
FC Cartagena
0.88
Huesca
0.86
FC Andorra
0.79
Alcorcon
0.76
Villarreal II is 0.28 goals worse than Oviedo in terms of goals scored per game (0.98 vs 1.26).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leganes
0.64
Huesca
0.79
Valladolid
0.86
Oviedo
0.89
Espanyol
0.89
Tenerife
0.98
Sporting Gijon
0.98
Zaragoza
1.00
Levante
1.07
Elche
1.10
Eibar
1.14
FC Cartagena
1.21
Racing Ferrol
1.24
Amorebieta
1.26
FC Andorra
1.26
Alcorcon
1.26
Burgos
1.29
Racing Santander
1.31
Mirandes
1.31
Eldense
1.33
Albacete
1.33
Villarreal II
1.48
Villarreal II is 0.58 goals worse than Oviedo in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 0.89).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
FC Andorra
63%
Elche
58%
Valladolid
56%
Eibar
55%
Oviedo
54%
Sporting Gijon
54%
Levante
52%
Racing Ferrol
52%
Espanyol
51%
Zaragoza
50%
Villarreal II
50%
Tenerife
50%
Albacete
49%
Racing Santander
47%
Burgos
47%
Amorebieta
46%
Leganes
46%
Eldense
45%
Huesca
45%
Mirandes
45%
FC Cartagena
44%
Alcorcon
42%
Villarreal II is 4.7 percentage points worse than Oviedo in terms of average possession (50% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Villarreal II
For 3.8 · Against 4.9 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.2 · Against 11.1 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oviedo
For 5.2 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 6.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 15.7 · Total 27.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Villarreal II
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
10.0
8.2
1.8
1.4
2.2
25.2
25.5
25.0
vs Stronger (30)
9.2
10.5
7.8
1.5
1.1
2.0
24.2
23.2
25.2
vs Similar (20)
9.0
9.2
8.8
2.2
2.1
2.4
26.9
29.0
24.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
40%
40%
40%
28%
20%
36%
70%
70%
70%
% under line
60%
60%
60%
72%
80%
64%
30%
30%
30%
This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
8.6
8.5
2.4
2.6
2.2
27.4
27.4
27.3
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (36)
8.6
9.0
8.4
2.3
2.1
2.5
28.1
28.8
27.6
vs Weaker (14)
8.3
8.0
9.0
2.5
3.7
1.3
25.5
25.2
26.0
% over line
30%
20%
40%
36%
42%
31%
95%
90%
100%
% under line
70%
80%
60%
64%
58%
69%
5%
10%
0%
This opponent (Villarreal II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Mirandes
10.3
Huesca
10.1
Espanyol
10.0
Valladolid
9.9
Levante
9.7
Sporting Gijon
9.7
Racing Santander
9.6
Burgos
9.6
Amorebieta
9.4
Elche
9.4
Zaragoza
9.4
Eldense
9.2
Eibar
9.2
Villarreal II
9.1
Tenerife
9.0
Oviedo
9.0
Alcorcon
8.9
Leganes
8.9
FC Cartagena
8.8
Albacete
8.2
Racing Ferrol
8.1
FC Andorra
8.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Espanyol
6.0
Racing Santander
5.9
Levante
5.7
Huesca
5.3
Elche
5.3
Oviedo
5.3
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Leganes
5.2
Tenerife
5.2
FC Cartagena
5.1
Mirandes
5.1
Zaragoza
5.1
Valladolid
5.0
FC Andorra
5.0
Albacete
4.8
Eibar
4.8
Villarreal II
4.7
Alcorcon
4.6
Burgos
4.5
Amorebieta
4.4
Eldense
4.0
Racing Ferrol
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Racing Santander
31.1
Leganes
28.9
Oviedo
27.8
FC Cartagena
27.6
Elche
27.3
Valladolid
27.2
Huesca
27.2
Espanyol
27.1
Albacete
27.1
Eldense
27.0
Tenerife
26.8
Zaragoza
26.3
Alcorcon
26.1
Levante
25.7
Amorebieta
25.5
FC Andorra
25.3
Villarreal II
25.2
Mirandes
24.9
Racing Ferrol
24.8
Eibar
24.3
Burgos
23.6
Sporting Gijon
23.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
45.7%
Under 9.5
54.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
71.9%
Under 3.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
79.5%
Under 21.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Villarreal II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.73
0.73
0.40
0.40
vs Stronger (19)
0.37
0.68
0.56
0.78
0.20
0.60
vs Similar (11)
0.91
0.36
1.00
0.67
0.80
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.43
0.40
0.53
0.47
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.33
0.33
0.44
0.33
0.25
0.33
vs Weaker (9)
0.67
0.67
0.33
0.83
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Villarreal II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Villarreal II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.90
0.60
0.60
0.47
1.20
vs Stronger (19)
0.53
0.84
0.56
0.56
0.50
1.10
vs Similar (11)
0.55
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.40
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Oviedo) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oviedo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.40
1.20
0.20
0.33
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.67
0.52
1.11
0.33
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (9)
1.00
0.11
1.33
0.00
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Villarreal II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oviedo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Villarreal II
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álex Forés38%
Javier Ontiveros21%
Víctor Moreno11%
Stefan Leković10%
Jorge Pascual8%
Pau Navarro8%
Alberto del Moral5%
Lanchi4%
Andrés Ferrari3%
Dani Tasende3%
Diego Collado3%
Daniel Requena3%
Miguel Ángel Morro0%
Pablo Íñiguez0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Iker Álvarez0%
Carlo Adriano García0%
Carlos Romero0%
Abraham Rando0%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara0%
Hugo Pérez0%
Marcos Sánchez0%
Tiago Geralnik0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
Antonio Espigares0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Javier Ontiveros39%
Stefan Leković24%
Abraham Rando24%
Dani Tasende21%
Lanchi20%
Marcos Sánchez20%
Daniel Requena18%
Carlos Romero18%
Pablo Íñiguez18%
Rodrigo Alonso17%
Jorge Pascual15%
Alberto del Moral14%
Tiago Geralnik12%
Adrià Altimira11%
Carlo Adriano García11%
Antonio Espigares10%
Iker Álvarez9%
Pau Navarro8%
Andrés Ferrari6%
Álex Forés5%
Diego Collado3%
Miguel Ángel Morro0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara0%
Hugo Pérez0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Carlos Romero18%
Dani Tasende12%
Javier Ontiveros11%
Jorge Pascual10%
Hugo Novoa Ramos9%
Carlo Adriano García6%
Lanchi4%
Adrià Altimira4%
Rodrigo Alonso3%
Álex Forés3%
Miguel Ángel Morro0%
Pablo Íñiguez0%
Iker Álvarez0%
Alberto del Moral0%
Diego Collado0%
Abraham Rando0%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara0%
Hugo Pérez0%
Marcos Sánchez0%
Tiago Geralnik0%
Antonio Espigares0%
Stefan Leković0%
Andrés Ferrari0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Daniel Requena0%
Pau Navarro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Javier Ontiveros39%
Álex Forés26%
Jorge Pascual8%
Diego Collado6%
Carlo Adriano García6%
Carlos Romero5%
Lanchi4%
Tiago Geralnik4%
Adrià Altimira4%
Andrés Ferrari3%
Dani Tasende3%
Daniel Requena3%
Miguel Ángel Morro0%
Pablo Íñiguez0%
Hugo Novoa Ramos0%
Iker Álvarez0%
Alberto del Moral0%
Abraham Rando0%
Aitor Gelardo Vegara0%
Hugo Pérez0%
Marcos Sánchez0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
Antonio Espigares0%
Stefan Leković0%
Víctor Moreno0%
Pau Navarro0%
Oviedo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Álex Suárez33%
Borja Bastón21%
Víctor Camarasa20%
Paulino de la Fuente19%
Alemão16%
Sebas Moyano16%
Masca14%
Borja Sánchez12%
Jaime Seoane10%
Santiago Colombatto7%
Oier Luengo Redondo5%
Dani Calvo5%
Abel Bretones2%
Santi Cazorla0%
Romario Ibarra0%
Viti Rozada0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Carlos Pomares Rayo0%
David Costas0%
Luismi0%
Mario Hernández0%
Lucas Ahijado0%
Leo Román0%
Álex Millán0%
Jonathan Dubasin0%
Santiago Homenchenko0%
Mario Sesé0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luismi33%
David Costas26%
Mario Hernández25%
Santiago Colombatto24%
Abel Bretones23%
Santiago Homenchenko20%
Jaime Seoane20%
Borja Sánchez19%
Dani Calvo18%
Jonathan Dubasin17%
Oier Luengo Redondo15%
Viti Rozada13%
Masca11%
Víctor Camarasa10%
Sebas Moyano9%
Paulino de la Fuente8%
Santi Cazorla8%
Jimmy Suárez6%
Lucas Ahijado6%
Alemão5%
Carlos Pomares Rayo5%
Leo Román4%
Romario Ibarra0%
Borja Bastón0%
Álex Millán0%
Álex Suárez0%
Mario Sesé0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Santiago Colombatto22%
Santi Cazorla16%
Viti Rozada11%
Abel Bretones9%
Sebas Moyano9%
Borja Bastón7%
Lucas Ahijado6%
Carlos Pomares Rayo5%
David Costas5%
Jaime Seoane5%
Dani Calvo5%
Jonathan Dubasin4%
Paulino de la Fuente3%
Alemão3%
Masca3%
Oier Luengo Redondo2%
Romario Ibarra0%
Víctor Camarasa0%
Borja Sánchez0%
Jimmy Suárez0%
Luismi0%
Mario Hernández0%
Leo Román0%
Álex Millán0%
Álex Suárez0%
Santiago Homenchenko0%
Mario Sesé0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sebas Moyano18%
Borja Bastón14%
Paulino de la Fuente8%
Alemão8%
Masca8%
Borja Sánchez6%
Carlos Pomares Rayo5%
Jaime Seoane5%
Dani Calvo5%
Jonathan Dubasin4%
Luismi4%
Jimmy Suárez3%
Oier Luengo Redondo2%
Santi Cazorla0%
Romario Ibarra0%
Víctor Camarasa0%
Santiago Colombatto0%
Viti Rozada0%
David Costas0%
Mario Hernández0%
Lucas Ahijado0%
Leo Román0%
Abel Bretones0%
Álex Millán0%
Álex Suárez0%
Santiago Homenchenko0%
Mario Sesé0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →