Villarreal are the clear favourite, with the model rating a 66% chance of a home win, 22% for a draw and 12% for Alaves to triumph. The prediction is driven by Villarreal’s dominant home form, averaging 2.5 goals scored and only 0.33 conceded against weaker opposition, while Alaves struggle away, scoring just 0.5 and conceding 1.25 against stronger teams. The most likely result is a 2-0 win for the hosts, a 13% probability that reflects the model’s confidence. The expected total is 2.7 goals, with the single most probable total of 2 goals at 25%. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls (91.9%), Over 21.5 fouls (83.5%), Over 23.5 fouls (71.4%), Over 1.5 (76.7%), Under 11.5 corners (76.2%) and Under 3.5 (70.6%). The only miss is Over 2.5 cards (83.4%). Villarreal’s recent form shows a loss against Alaves, yet the venue advantage and statistical edge keep the home win as the top pick.
Results analysis
The recent form sees Villarreal coming off a defeat, while Alaves arrive on a win, yet the model’s favourite - a home win - proved accurate as Villarreal edged Alaves 3-1. The pre-match probability for the home side was 66 percent, and the model’s pick was correct. The model’s selections largely materialised: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 91.9 percent, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 83.5 percent, Over 2.5 cards missed at 83.4 percent, Over 1.5 hit at 76.7 percent, Under 11.5 corners hit at 76.2 percent, Over 23.5 fouls hit at 71.4 percent, and Under 3.5 missed at 70.6 percent. The final score of 3-1 confirmed the predicted outcome.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Villarreal win✓ Hit
66.2%
Avg Implied 64.6% · @ 1.46
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.0%
Avg Implied 21.8% · @ 4.32
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Alaves win✗ Miss
11.7%
Avg Implied 13.6% · @ 6.96
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Villarreal
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.17
2.21
1.07
1.56
1.25
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
2.17
0.67
2.00
1.33
2.33
vs Similar (12)
1.92
1.33
2.80
1.40
1.29
1.29
vs Weaker (12)
2.25
0.50
2.50
0.33
2.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Alaves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alaves
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.83
1.00
0.75
1.14
0.93
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
0.90
0.67
0.67
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (18)
0.89
0.89
1.20
0.80
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
5.00
0.00
-
-
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.7%
Under 1.5
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.5%
@ 1.85+1.1%
Under 2.5
48.5%
@ 1.88-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.4%
Under 3.5
70.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.8%
No
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
13.0%
1-0
12.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-0
8.7%
0-0
7.4%
3-1 ✓
6.4%
4-0
4.4%
Villarreal goals ↓
Alaves goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
3.8%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
1
12%
10%
3.5%
0.8%
0.2%
2
13%
9.5%
3.5%
0.9%
0.2%
3
8.7%
6.4%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
4
4.4%
3.2%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Villarreal goals (down), columns = Alaves goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barcelona
2.47
Real Madrid
2.26
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.82
Real Betis
1.58
Celta Vigo
1.42
Getafe
1.34
Rayo Vallecano
1.32
Valencia
1.29
Real Sociedad
1.21
Espanyol
1.21
Athletic Club
1.18
Elche
1.13
Alaves
1.13
Sevilla
1.13
Levante
1.11
Mallorca
1.11
Osasuna
1.11
Girona
1.08
Oviedo
0.76
Villarreal is 0.76 points better than Alaves in terms of average points per game (1.89 vs 1.13).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.50
Real Madrid
2.03
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.63
Real Sociedad
1.55
Real Betis
1.55
Celta Vigo
1.39
Elche
1.29
Levante
1.24
Mallorca
1.24
Valencia
1.21
Sevilla
1.21
Osasuna
1.16
Alaves
1.16
Espanyol
1.13
Athletic Club
1.13
Rayo Vallecano
1.08
Girona
1.03
Getafe
0.84
Oviedo
0.68
Villarreal is 0.74 goals better than Alaves in terms of goals scored per game (1.89 vs 1.16).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Real Madrid
0.92
Barcelona
0.95
Getafe
1.00
Atletico Madrid
1.16
Rayo Vallecano
1.16
Villarreal
1.21
Real Betis
1.26
Celta Vigo
1.26
Osasuna
1.32
Valencia
1.45
Espanyol
1.45
Girona
1.45
Alaves
1.47
Elche
1.50
Mallorca
1.50
Athletic Club
1.53
Oviedo
1.58
Sevilla
1.58
Levante
1.61
Real Sociedad
1.61
Villarreal is 0.26 goals better than Alaves in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Barcelona
69%
Real Madrid
59%
Elche
58%
Rayo Vallecano
53%
Atletico Madrid
53%
Real Sociedad
51%
Sevilla
51%
Girona
51%
Celta Vigo
50%
Real Betis
50%
Athletic Club
49%
Alaves
48%
Valencia
48%
Mallorca
47%
Osasuna
47%
Oviedo
46%
Villarreal
45%
Levante
43%
Espanyol
42%
Getafe
40%
Villarreal is 3.6 percentage points worse than Alaves in terms of average possession (45% vs 48%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Villarreal
For 5.6 · Against 4.4 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 12.2 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Alaves
For 4.0 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.6 · Against 14.5 · Total 30.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Villarreal
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
10.0
8.6
4.6
4.2
5.0
24.4
23.7
25.2
vs Stronger (8)
10.1
10.2
10.0
4.6
4.0
5.2
24.1
24.0
24.2
vs Similar (20)
9.1
10.3
8.0
4.5
3.9
5.1
24.6
23.7
25.5
vs Weaker (22)
9.1
9.5
8.7
4.7
4.5
4.9
24.4
23.5
25.2
% over line
46%
54%
38%
64%
58%
69%
72%
67%
77%
% under line
54%
46%
62%
36%
42%
31%
28%
33%
23%
This opponent (Alaves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alaves
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.7
9.0
5.1
5.5
4.6
30.4
29.6
31.3
vs Stronger (16)
8.6
9.1
8.1
5.8
6.0
5.6
31.3
30.1
32.5
vs Similar (30)
10.7
11.4
9.7
5.2
5.3
5.0
29.7
29.4
30.2
vs Weaker (4)
8.0
-
8.0
1.2
-
1.2
36.0
-
36.0
% over line
40%
48%
32%
78%
88%
68%
96%
96%
95%
% under line
60%
52%
68%
22%
12%
32%
4%
4%
5%
This opponent (Villarreal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Real Madrid
11.3
Barcelona
10.9
Rayo Vallecano
10.8
Atletico Madrid
10.2
Real Sociedad
10.1
Real Betis
10.1
Alaves
10.0
Levante
9.9
Mallorca
9.9
Valencia
9.8
Espanyol
9.7
Girona
9.7
Sevilla
9.6
Villarreal
9.3
Osasuna
9.1
Athletic Club
9.1
Oviedo
9.1
Celta Vigo
8.6
Elche
8.3
Getafe
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Getafe
5.5
Alaves
5.5
Sevilla
5.3
Elche
4.9
Real Sociedad
4.9
Celta Vigo
4.9
Rayo Vallecano
4.8
Valencia
4.8
Osasuna
4.7
Levante
4.6
Oviedo
4.6
Villarreal
4.6
Real Betis
4.6
Real Madrid
4.5
Girona
4.3
Athletic Club
4.3
Mallorca
4.3
Espanyol
4.3
Barcelona
4.3
Atletico Madrid
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Alaves
30.0
Getafe
29.7
Elche
28.2
Sevilla
26.3
Oviedo
25.9
Real Sociedad
25.8
Espanyol
25.4
Athletic Club
24.6
Real Betis
24.6
Valencia
24.5
Levante
24.4
Mallorca
24.4
Osasuna
24.4
Villarreal
24.4
Rayo Vallecano
24.3
Girona
24.3
Celta Vigo
24.2
Real Madrid
23.2
Atletico Madrid
22.8
Barcelona
22.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.6%
Under 9.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
66.9%
Under 3.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.5%
Under 21.5
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Villarreal
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.50
1.21
0.50
0.56
0.50
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.00
0.33
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.92
0.33
1.60
0.40
0.43
0.29
vs Weaker (12)
1.08
0.42
1.33
0.33
0.83
0.50
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Alaves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alaves
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.33
0.38
0.25
0.57
0.43
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.60
0.33
0.50
0.25
0.75
vs Similar (18)
0.33
0.22
0.40
0.10
0.25
0.38
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.00
-
-
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Villarreal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Villarreal
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.67
1.00
0.57
1.00
0.75
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
1.17
0.33
1.00
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (12)
1.00
1.00
1.20
1.00
0.86
1.00
vs Weaker (12)
1.17
0.08
1.17
0.00
1.17
0.17
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Alaves) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Alaves
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.50
0.62
0.50
0.57
0.50
vs Stronger (10)
0.30
0.30
0.33
0.17
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.67
0.80
0.70
0.25
0.62
vs Weaker (2)
2.50
0.00
-
-
2.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Villarreal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Alaves over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Villarreal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gerard Moreno38%
Georges Mikautadze33%
Etta Eyong33%
Alberto Moleiro20%
Ayoze Pérez18%
Nicolas Pépé17%
Tani Oluwaseyi14%
Pape Gueye13%
Tajon Buchanan12%
Santi Comesaña11%
Alfon González10%
Manor Solomon9%
Ilias Akhomach7%
Rafa Marín3%
Santiago Mouriño3%
Alfonso Pedraza3%
Dani Parejo2%
Sergi Cardona2%
Renato Veiga2%
Thomas Partey0%
Juan Foyth0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Luiz Júnior0%
Alexander Freeman0%
Pau Navarro0%
Hugo Lopez0%
Carlos Maciá0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Santiago Mouriño38%
Pape Gueye31%
Alfonso Pedraza29%
Tajon Buchanan21%
Ilias Akhomach20%
Pau Navarro19%
Juan Foyth17%
Renato Veiga17%
Carlos Maciá17%
Santi Comesaña14%
Alberto Moleiro13%
Rafa Marín13%
Ayoze Pérez12%
Sergi Cardona12%
Nicolas Pépé11%
Luiz Júnior9%
Dani Parejo7%
Thomas Partey6%
Tani Oluwaseyi3%
Georges Mikautadze2%
Manor Solomon0%
Gerard Moreno0%
Alfon González0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Alexander Freeman0%
Etta Eyong0%
Hugo Lopez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Etta Eyong67%
Hugo Lopez20%
Manor Solomon18%
Nicolas Pépé15%
Ayoze Pérez15%
Georges Mikautadze14%
Santi Comesaña14%
Ilias Akhomach13%
Alfonso Pedraza11%
Alberto Moleiro11%
Sergi Cardona10%
Santiago Mouriño6%
Tani Oluwaseyi5%
Pape Gueye5%
Rafa Marín3%
Dani Parejo2%
Tajon Buchanan2%
Thomas Partey0%
Juan Foyth0%
Gerard Moreno0%
Alfon González0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Luiz Júnior0%
Renato Veiga0%
Alexander Freeman0%
Pau Navarro0%
Carlos Maciá0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Etta Eyong33%
Adrià Altimira25%
Nicolas Pépé20%
Pape Gueye18%
Georges Mikautadze17%
Gerard Moreno12%
Ayoze Pérez9%
Tani Oluwaseyi8%
Tajon Buchanan7%
Ilias Akhomach7%
Juan Foyth6%
Santi Comesaña5%
Alberto Moleiro4%
Rafa Marín3%
Sergi Cardona2%
Renato Veiga2%
Thomas Partey0%
Manor Solomon0%
Dani Parejo0%
Alfonso Pedraza0%
Alfon González0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Luiz Júnior0%
Santiago Mouriño0%
Alexander Freeman0%
Pau Navarro0%
Hugo Lopez0%
Carlos Maciá0%
Alaves
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Toni Martínez37%
Carlos Vicente33%
Lucas Boyé29%
Ibrahim Diabaté20%
Abderrahman Rebbach6%
Ángel Pérez6%
Nahuel Tenaglia5%
Antonio Blanco5%
Ander Guevara3%
Denis Suárez3%
Pablo Ibáñez2%
Carles Aleñá0%
Mariano Díaz0%
Carlos Benavídez0%
Facundo Garcés0%
Jonny Otto0%
Raúl Fernández0%
Antonio Sivera0%
Moussa Diarra0%
Jon Guridi0%
Ville Koski0%
Victor Parada0%
Jon Pacheco0%
Calebe Gonçalves0%
Aitor Mañas0%
Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim32%
Facundo Garcés30%
Moussa Diarra25%
Victor Parada25%
Abderrahman Rebbach25%
Ángel Pérez24%
Antonio Blanco23%
Pablo Ibáñez20%
Jon Pacheco20%
Jonny Otto19%
Denis Suárez19%
Mariano Díaz18%
Ander Guevara17%
Calebe Gonçalves14%
Carles Aleñá13%
Lucas Boyé13%
Carlos Benavídez12%
Ibrahim Diabaté10%
Antonio Sivera8%
Nahuel Tenaglia8%
Jon Guridi6%
Toni Martínez5%
Carlos Vicente4%
Raúl Fernández0%
Ville Koski0%
Aitor Mañas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ángel Pérez18%
Abderrahman Rebbach12%
Victor Parada9%
Carles Aleñá8%
Antonio Blanco8%
Aitor Mañas8%
Toni Martínez7%
Denis Suárez6%
Carlos Vicente4%
Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim4%
Ander Guevara3%
Lucas Boyé3%
Pablo Ibáñez2%
Mariano Díaz0%
Carlos Benavídez0%
Nahuel Tenaglia0%
Facundo Garcés0%
Jonny Otto0%
Raúl Fernández0%
Antonio Sivera0%
Moussa Diarra0%
Jon Guridi0%
Ville Koski0%
Jon Pacheco0%
Ibrahim Diabaté0%
Calebe Gonçalves0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lucas Boyé29%
Toni Martínez24%
Abderrahman Rebbach6%
Antonio Blanco5%
Pablo Ibáñez5%
Carles Aleñá0%
Mariano Díaz0%
Denis Suárez0%
Carlos Benavídez0%
Nahuel Tenaglia0%
Facundo Garcés0%
Jonny Otto0%
Raúl Fernández0%
Ander Guevara0%
Antonio Sivera0%
Moussa Diarra0%
Jon Guridi0%
Ville Koski0%
Victor Parada0%
Jon Pacheco0%
Ibrahim Diabaté0%
Carlos Vicente0%
Calebe Gonçalves0%
Aitor Mañas0%
Ángel Pérez0%
Youssef Enriquez Lekhedim0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
Villarreal's squad is €256m more valuable than Alaves's (€325m vs €68m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
GIR (12)
€64m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
Villarreal's attack is €100m more valuable than Alaves's (€124m vs €24m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
OVI (4)
€6m
Villarreal's midfield is €30m more valuable than Alaves's (€52m vs €22m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
OVI (8)
€10m
Villarreal's defence is €127m more valuable than Alaves's (€148m vs €22m).
Spain: La Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Barcelona
Real Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Real Betis
Celta Vigo
Getafe
Rayo Vallecano
Valencia
Real Sociedad
Espanyol
Athletic Club
Elche
Sevilla
Osasuna
Mallorca
Levante
Girona
Oviedo