Villarreal vs Elche Prediction & Stats

Villarreal’s recent loss to Alaves has left them looking to regain form at home, while Elche’s recent 2-3 defeat away to Racing Santander shows they struggle on the road. The model therefore rates a home win as the clear favourite, with a 66% probability, a draw at 20% and an away win only 14%. The expected total goals is 3.3, and the single most likely scoreline is 2-1 for Villarreal, with a 9.7% chance. Villarreal’s home form against weaker opponents averages 3.5 goals scored and just 1.0 conceded, whereas Elche’s away form against stronger sides sees them scoring only 1.0 and conceding 2.75. The suggested picks include Away under 3.5 goals at 98.2%, Home +2 handicap at 96.7%, Under 7.5 at 95.6%, Home over 0.5 goals at 94.4%, Over 19.5 fouls at 92.3%, Away under 2.5 goals at 92.1%, Home or Draw at 90.5% and Home +1 handicap also at 90.5%.