Villarreal vs Levante Result & Analysis

Villarreal are tipped to win this La Liga clash, with a 56% chance of triumph, a 25% chance of a draw and a 19% chance of a Levante victory. The model expects 2.7 goals in total, centring on a 2-goal outcome that is 25% likely. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.2% probability. Villarreal, playing at home against a weaker side, average 1.75 goals scored and 0.62 conceded, while Levante, on the road against a stronger opponent, average only 0.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 89.3%, Over 21.5 fouls at 79.3%, Over 1.5 goals at 76.7%, Under 11.5 corners at 75.7%, Under 5.5 cards at 74.6%, Under 3.5 goals at 70.8% and Over 2.5 cards at 79.5%. Villarreal’s recent form shows a loss, draw, draw, win, loss after a 0-1 defeat to Alaves, whereas Levante’s recent form is win, draw, loss, loss, win following a 5-2 win over Real Betis.

Villarreal’s win over Levante extended their recent form, turning a defeat into a triumph at home. The model’s pre-match favourite was a home win with a 56% probability, and it proved correct as Villarreal secured a 2-1 victory. The expected total of 2.7 goals materialised with a 2-goal final tally. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 89.3%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 79.3%, Over 1.5 hit at 76.7%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 75.7%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 74.6%, and Under 3.5 hit at 70.8%. Only Over 2.5 cards missed, coming in at 79.5%. The predictions matched the match’s outcome closely.