Villarreal vs Levante Result & Analysis

Villarreal’s 62% chance of victory makes them the clear favourite, a figure that reflects their strong home form against weaker opposition, scoring an average of two goals and conceding just 1.1. Levante, on the other hand, struggles away, having scored none and conceded two on average against stronger teams. The model therefore favours a home win, matching the recent trend of Villarreal’s 5-0 triumph over Alaves after a defeat, while Levante’s 5-2 win over Real Betis shows they can score but still concede heavily.

The expected total is 3.4 goals, with the most likely total being three, and the single most probable scoreline is 2-1 for Villarreal, a 9.7% chance. The match-result probabilities are 62% for a home win, 21% for a draw, and 17% for an away win.

The model’s selections include Over 1.5 goals at 86.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 84.8%, Under 11.5 corners at 77.2%, Over 19.5 fouls at 91.5%, Over 21.5 fouls at 82.8% (miss), and Over 23.5 fouls at 70.5% (miss). All figures are expressed as percentages and each pick is named exactly as listed.

Villarreal’s 5-0 rout of Levante capped a win that extends their recent form, while Levante, fresh from a 5-2 victory, fell short of their momentum. The model’s favourite, a home win, was correct, matching the 62% probability it assigned. The final score of 5-0 confirmed the predicted outcome. The model’s selections performed largely well: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 91.5%, Over 1.5 goals hit at 86.6%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 84.8%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 77.2%, but Over 21.5 fouls and Over 23.5 fouls missed at 82.8% and 70.5% respectively. Overall, the model’s call and most picks were accurate, with a few over-estimates in foul totals.