Virtus Entella vs Vicenza Virtus Result & Analysis

Virtus Entella are tipped to win the match, with a 51% chance of triumph, 29% for a draw and 20% for Vicenza Virtus. The model expects an average of 2.4 goals, most likely a total of two, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1, which carries a 13.4% probability. Virtus Entella, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 2.23 goals scored and concede only 0.54, while Vicenza Virtus, on the road, average 0.83 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. The suggested pick is Under 3.5 goals, with a 78.6% chance. The home win probability is 51%, the draw probability is 29% and the away win probability is 20%. The model’s selection for the Under 3.5 outcome carries the 78.6% probability. The recent form shows Virtus Entella after two straight defeats, and Vicenza Virtus coming off a loss, but the overall shape still favours the home side.

Virtus Entella’s win over Vicenza Virtus extended a run that had seen them slip to two straight defeats before a late victory, while Vicenza’s five-match streak of four wins was halted by a heavy loss. The final score of 4-1 produced a total well above the model’s expected 2.4 goals, confirming the home side’s dominance. The pre-match favourite was the home win, with a 51% probability, and the model’s call was correct. The only suggested pick was Under 3.5, with a 78.6% probability, but it missed as the match exceeded that threshold. The result matched the model’s home win prediction, while the goal total exceeded expectations.