In their upcoming match in the Netherlands: Eerste Divisie, Vitesse faces off against Waalwijk. The storyline here is a recent draw between these two teams, with both sides coming off a draw in their last matches. Vitesse, however, has been conceding an average of 1.69 goals at home, while Waalwijk has been conceding 1 goal on average away from home. This suggests a high-scoring match, as the expected total goals stands at 3.3.
The model predicts an Away win, with a 40% chance of Waalwijk emerging victorious. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 10.9% probability. Vitesse has been scoring 1.85 goals at home, while Waalwijk has been scoring 1.75 goals away from home. The model's selections include Over 1.5 goals, with a 85.5% chance of occurrence and a 5% edge, and Over 21.5 fouls, which has already hit. The probabilities for the match result are: Home win 35%, Draw 25%, and Away win 40%.
Results analysis
In a shocking turn of events, Waalwijk secured a draw against Vitesse, extending their run of consecutive draws to four. The final score was 1-1. The model's selection, Waalwijk's win, was incorrect, as they were not the favourites to win.
The pre-match favourite, Vitesse, was predicted to win with a 35% probability, but they failed to deliver. The model's call was wrong. Meanwhile, the model's selection, Waalwijk's win, had a 40% probability of occurring, but it was not the correct outcome.
The model did correctly suggest that the match would have over 1.5 goals, with an 85.5% probability, which hit. Additionally, the model correctly predicted that there would be over 21.5 fouls, with an 83.5% probability, which also hit.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Vitesse win✗ Miss
34.7%
Avg Implied 39.0% · @ 2.37
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.47
Betano
2.42
Bet365
2.40
10Bet
2.40
Dafabet
2.40
Draw✓ Hit
24.8%
Avg Implied 25.8% · @ 3.59
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Pinnacle
3.71
Betfair
3.70
Waalwijk win✗ Miss
40.4%
Avg Implied 35.2% · @ 2.63
Edge
+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.75
Superbet
2.70
Pinnacle
2.66
Unibet
2.65
Betano
2.65
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Vitesse
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.40
1.73
1.53
1.40
1.27
vs Stronger (3)
2.33
0.33
2.50
0.50
2.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
1.50
1.54
1.62
1.69
1.38
1.38
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Waalwijk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Waalwijk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.47
1.79
1.36
2.06
1.56
vs Stronger (5)
1.80
2.60
3.00
1.00
1.00
3.67
vs Similar (25)
1.96
1.24
1.58
1.42
2.31
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Vitesse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.5%
@ 1.16+5.1%
Under 1.5
14.5%
@ 4.75-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
Under
Pinnacle
5.05
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.7%
@ 1.56+4.6%
Under 2.5
35.3%
@ 2.34-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
1.57
888Sport
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Under
Betfair
2.45
Pinnacle
2.41
Bet365
2.35
Unibet
2.35
10Bet
2.35
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.7%
@ 2.36+3.3%
Under 3.5
57.3%
@ 1.53-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.45
Pinnacle
2.44
888Sport
2.40
10Bet
2.40
Betano
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.56
Unibet
1.56
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.7%
@ 1.46+3.5%
No
33.3%
@ 2.51-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.48
10Bet
1.48
Betfair
1.47
Betano
1.47
No
Betfair
2.63
Unibet
2.55
BetVictor
2.55
1xBet
2.53
Bet365
2.50
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
10.9%@ 6.91+4.4%
1-2
8.6%@ 9.24+3.7%
2-1
7.9%@ 8.78+2.8%
2-2
6.9%@ 10.34+2.5%
0-2
5.4%@ 14.69+2.3%
0-1
5.2%@ 11.33+1.3%
1-3
5.0%@ 17.35+2.4%
1-0
4.7%@ 10.60+0.5%
Vitesse goals ↓
Waalwijk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.6%
5.2%
5.4%
3.1%
1.3%
1
4.7%
11%
8.6%
5.0%
2.2%
2
4.6%
7.9%
6.9%
4.0%
1.7%
3
2.4%
4.2%
3.7%
2.1%
0.9%
4
1.0%
1.7%
1.5%
0.8%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vitesse goals (down), columns = Waalwijk goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
De Graafschap
1.60
Almere City FC
1.55
Heracles
1.53
NAC Breda
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
Jong PSV U21
1.47
Vitesse
1.47
Waalwijk
1.45
Roda
1.43
Den Bosch
1.27
Dordrecht
1.24
FC Eindhoven
1.24
Jong Utrecht
1.21
Emmen
1.18
VVV Venlo
1.18
FC OSS
1.16
Jong AZ
1.05
Helmond Sport
1.03
MVV
1.00
Jong Ajax
0.92
Vitesse is 0.02 points better than Waalwijk in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.45).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Almere City FC
2.02
De Graafschap
1.93
Waalwijk
1.76
Heracles
1.74
Jong PSV U21
1.74
NAC Breda
1.71
Vitesse
1.68
Den Bosch
1.68
Jong AZ
1.61
Emmen
1.53
Jong Utrecht
1.53
Roda
1.52
FC Volendam
1.50
FC OSS
1.42
FC Eindhoven
1.34
VVV Venlo
1.32
Jong Ajax
1.32
Dordrecht
1.26
Helmond Sport
1.11
MVV
1.08
Vitesse is 0.08 goals worse than Waalwijk in terms of goals scored per game (1.68 vs 1.76).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Roda
1.40
Heracles
1.44
Vitesse
1.45
NAC Breda
1.47
Dordrecht
1.47
FC Volendam
1.50
Waalwijk
1.50
VVV Venlo
1.53
De Graafschap
1.57
Almere City FC
1.61
Jong Utrecht
1.63
Helmond Sport
1.63
Jong PSV U21
1.68
FC OSS
1.68
FC Eindhoven
1.82
Den Bosch
1.88
Emmen
1.89
MVV
1.92
Jong Ajax
1.92
Jong AZ
2.00
Vitesse is 0.05 goals better than Waalwijk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.50).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
De Graafschap
56%
Jong AZ
54%
Roda
52%
Emmen
52%
Jong PSV U21
52%
Jong Ajax
52%
Waalwijk
50%
VVV Venlo
49%
Helmond Sport
49%
Dordrecht
48%
Almere City FC
48%
Jong Utrecht
48%
Den Bosch
47%
Vitesse
46%
FC Eindhoven
44%
MVV
44%
FC OSS
43%
Vitesse is 4.1 percentage points worse than Waalwijk in terms of average possession (46% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Vitesse
For 5.3 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 12.8 · Total 24.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Waalwijk
For 3.9 · Against 4.8 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.0 · Against 13.0 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vitesse
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.6
10.1
4.3
4.5
4.0
27.2
28.0
26.5
vs Stronger (5)
9.8
10.3
9.0
4.4
4.7
4.0
26.0
29.0
21.5
vs Similar (44)
10.0
9.5
10.5
4.3
4.5
4.1
27.6
27.8
27.4
vs Weaker (1)
4.0
-
4.0
3.0
-
3.0
16.0
-
16.0
% over line
58%
57%
60%
60%
67%
54%
90%
91%
88%
% under line
42%
43%
40%
40%
33%
46%
10%
9%
12%
This opponent (Waalwijk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Waalwijk
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.5
9.8
2.6
2.5
2.8
22.4
21.2
23.5
vs Stronger (12)
9.9
10.7
9.2
2.1
2.2
2.0
20.3
19.7
21.0
vs Similar (38)
10.2
10.4
10.1
2.8
2.6
3.0
23.1
21.8
24.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
52%
57%
48%
34%
24%
44%
43%
35%
52%
% under line
48%
43%
52%
66%
76%
56%
57%
65%
48%
This opponent (Vitesse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Den Bosch
12.2
FC OSS
11.9
De Graafschap
11.8
Dordrecht
11.7
VVV Venlo
11.2
Almere City FC
11.0
Jong AZ
10.9
Jong PSV U21
10.8
Heracles
10.7
Helmond Sport
10.6
Jong Ajax
10.6
Emmen
10.6
FC Eindhoven
10.5
Waalwijk
10.5
MVV
10.4
FC Volendam
10.4
Roda
10.3
Vitesse
10.0
Jong Utrecht
9.8
NAC Breda
9.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Vitesse
4.3
FC OSS
4.2
Dordrecht
4.2
Emmen
3.8
Jong Ajax
3.8
Den Bosch
3.8
NAC Breda
3.7
Heracles
3.6
VVV Venlo
3.5
FC Volendam
3.4
Roda
3.3
Jong AZ
3.3
Helmond Sport
3.3
Jong PSV U21
3.3
De Graafschap
3.2
MVV
3.2
FC Eindhoven
3.2
Waalwijk
3.2
Jong Utrecht
3.1
Almere City FC
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
FC OSS
29.3
Vitesse
27.1
Jong Utrecht
25.8
Emmen
25.7
Helmond Sport
25.7
Dordrecht
25.6
Roda
24.7
Jong Ajax
24.6
Heracles
24.2
Jong PSV U21
24.0
VVV Venlo
23.8
Jong AZ
23.5
Den Bosch
23.2
De Graafschap
22.7
MVV
22.7
FC Eindhoven
22.7
NAC Breda
22.6
Waalwijk
22.4
FC Volendam
22.4
Almere City FC
20.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.7%
@ 1.64-0.6%
Under 9.5
44.3%
@ 2.12+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Superbet
1.67
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Under
Unibet
2.33
Pinnacle
2.17
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.10
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
53.7%
Under 3.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
78.6%
Under 21.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Vitesse
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.60
1.20
0.60
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
0.33
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.88
0.65
1.15
0.62
0.62
0.69
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Waalwijk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Waalwijk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.50
0.79
0.50
1.00
0.50
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.80
1.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.96
0.44
0.67
0.50
1.23
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Vitesse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vitesse over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waalwijk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waalwijk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waalwijk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Vitesse
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.80
0.53
0.93
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
0.62
0.88
0.46
1.08
0.77
0.69
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Waalwijk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Waalwijk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.97
1.00
0.86
1.06
1.06
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.80
1.50
0.50
1.00
2.67
vs Similar (25)
1.00
0.80
0.92
0.92
1.08
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Vitesse) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vitesse over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vitesse over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waalwijk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waalwijk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Waalwijk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.5%
1.16
Betano
1.19
10Bet
1.18
Betfair
1.17
888Sport
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Vitesse
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Naoufal Bannis75%
Ayman Sellouf25%
Filipe de Ferreira25%
Marco Schikora0%
Valon Zumberi0%
Ricardo-Felipe Schwarz0%
Marcus Steffen0%
Chiel Olde Keizer0%
Pontus Dahbo0%
Nino Zonneveld0%
Mathijs Marschalk0%
Eduard Probst0%
Omar Achouitar0%
Maximilian Brüll0%
João Pinto0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chiel Olde Keizer50%
Nino Zonneveld33%
Mathijs Marschalk33%
Ayman Sellouf25%
Ricardo-Felipe Schwarz25%
Naoufal Bannis0%
Marco Schikora0%
Valon Zumberi0%
Filipe de Ferreira0%
Marcus Steffen0%
Pontus Dahbo0%
Eduard Probst0%
Omar Achouitar0%
Maximilian Brüll0%
João Pinto0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Filipe de Ferreira50%
Naoufal Bannis25%
Marco Schikora25%
Omar Achouitar25%
Ayman Sellouf0%
Valon Zumberi0%
Ricardo-Felipe Schwarz0%
Marcus Steffen0%
Chiel Olde Keizer0%
Pontus Dahbo0%
Nino Zonneveld0%
Mathijs Marschalk0%
Eduard Probst0%
Maximilian Brüll0%
João Pinto0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Naoufal Bannis75%
Ayman Sellouf25%
Chiel Olde Keizer25%
Marco Schikora0%
Valon Zumberi0%
Filipe de Ferreira0%
Ricardo-Felipe Schwarz0%
Marcus Steffen0%
Pontus Dahbo0%
Nino Zonneveld0%
Mathijs Marschalk0%
Eduard Probst0%
Omar Achouitar0%
Maximilian Brüll0%
João Pinto0%
Waalwijk
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Keyan Varela67%
Finn Stokkers33%
Haye Van Gemert33%
Yorem van der Veen25%
Jordy de Wijs0%
Liam Van Gelderen0%
Azzedine Dkidak0%
Juan Familia-Castillo0%
Thijs van Leeuwen0%
Ryan Fage0%
Niek Schiks0%
Loek Postma0%
Rein van Hedel0%
Faissal Al Mazyani0%
Jesse van de Haar0%
Jochem Nap0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordy de Wijs50%
Loek Postma33%
Azzedine Dkidak25%
Jochem Nap25%
Finn Stokkers0%
Liam Van Gelderen0%
Juan Familia-Castillo0%
Thijs van Leeuwen0%
Ryan Fage0%
Niek Schiks0%
Rein van Hedel0%
Faissal Al Mazyani0%
Jesse van de Haar0%
Yorem van der Veen0%
Keyan Varela0%
Haye Van Gemert0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Faissal Al Mazyani25%
Jesse van de Haar25%
Jochem Nap25%
Jordy de Wijs0%
Finn Stokkers0%
Liam Van Gelderen0%
Azzedine Dkidak0%
Juan Familia-Castillo0%
Thijs van Leeuwen0%
Ryan Fage0%
Niek Schiks0%
Loek Postma0%
Rein van Hedel0%
Yorem van der Veen0%
Keyan Varela0%
Haye Van Gemert0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Finn Stokkers33%
Keyan Varela33%
Juan Familia-Castillo25%
Thijs van Leeuwen25%
Ryan Fage25%
Faissal Al Mazyani25%
Jochem Nap25%
Jordy de Wijs0%
Liam Van Gelderen0%
Azzedine Dkidak0%
Niek Schiks0%
Loek Postma0%
Rein van Hedel0%
Jesse van de Haar0%
Yorem van der Veen0%
Haye Van Gemert0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (24)
€19m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
JPU (14)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
JA (19)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
JU (8)
€2m
Vitesse and Waalwijk have a similar squad value (both €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ACF (10)
€5m
JA (7)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
JA (7)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
JPU (4)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
Vitesse and Waalwijk have a similar attack value (both €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (6)
€3m
JPU (3)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
JA (4)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
Vitesse and Waalwijk have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (11)
€12m
NB (10)
€4m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
JPU (7)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
JA (8)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
Vitesse's defence is €1m less valuable than Waalwijk's (€2m vs €3m).
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →
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Heracles
MVV
Almere City FC
VVV Venlo
Emmen
Jong PSV U21
Roda
NAC Breda
FC Volendam
Jong AZ
Den Bosch
Jong Ajax
Dordrecht
FC OSS
FC Eindhoven
Helmond Sport
De Graafschap
Jong Utrecht