This opponent (FC Porto B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Porto B
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
1.43
1.27
1.20
1.00
1.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.22
1.44
1.25
1.25
1.20
1.60
vs Weaker (21)
1.10
1.43
1.27
1.18
0.90
1.70
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Vizela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.9%
Under 1.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.6%
Under 2.5
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.6%
Under 3.5
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.5%
No
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.2%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
9.1%
2-1 ✓
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.0%
Vizela goals ↓
FC Porto B goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
9.1%
6.0%
2.4%
0.7%
1
9.8%
14%
7.6%
2.9%
0.9%
2
7.0%
8.2%
4.8%
1.8%
0.5%
3
2.9%
3.4%
2.0%
0.8%
0.2%
4
0.9%
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vizela goals (down), columns = FC Porto B goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Tondela
1.88
Alverca
1.85
Vizela
1.82
Benfica B
1.62
Torreense
1.59
União de Leiria
1.53
Chaves
1.50
CF Os Belenenses
1.50
Feirense
1.44
Felgueiras 1932
1.35
Academico Viseu
1.32
Penafiel
1.32
Maritimo
1.26
Leixoes
1.21
FC Porto B
1.03
Portimonense
1.00
Pacos Ferreira
1.00
Oliveirense
0.85
Mafra
0.79
Vizela is 0.79 points better than FC Porto B in terms of average points per game (1.82 vs 1.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Alverca
1.71
Tondela
1.71
Benfica B
1.56
Vizela
1.47
Torreense
1.44
União de Leiria
1.44
Penafiel
1.32
Academico Viseu
1.26
Felgueiras 1932
1.26
Maritimo
1.24
Chaves
1.18
Portimonense
1.12
Leixoes
1.09
FC Porto B
1.06
Feirense
1.03
Pacos Ferreira
1.03
CF Os Belenenses
1.00
Oliveirense
0.88
Mafra
0.85
Vizela is 0.41 goals better than FC Porto B in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.06).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Vizela
0.88
Chaves
1.00
Alverca
1.00
Feirense
1.00
Tondela
1.03
União de Leiria
1.09
Benfica B
1.12
Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Academico Viseu
1.21
Torreense
1.24
Leixoes
1.24
Penafiel
1.38
FC Porto B
1.38
Maritimo
1.41
Pacos Ferreira
1.44
CF Os Belenenses
1.50
Portimonense
1.59
Mafra
1.59
Oliveirense
1.88
Vizela is 0.50 goals better than FC Porto B in terms of goals conceded per game (0.88 vs 1.38).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Vizela
62%
Felgueiras 1932
57%
Chaves
56%
União de Leiria
55%
Benfica B
53%
Oliveirense
51%
Maritimo
51%
FC Porto B
51%
Leixoes
51%
Mafra
50%
Torreense
50%
Feirense
50%
Academico Viseu
48%
Alverca
48%
Penafiel
47%
Tondela
47%
Portimonense
40%
Pacos Ferreira
39%
Vizela is 10.7 percentage points better than FC Porto B in terms of average possession (62% vs 51%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Vizela
For 5.2 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.3 · Against 9.5 · Total 17.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
FC Porto B
For 5.3 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 3.5 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 11.8 · Total 22.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vizela
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
10.2
9.6
4.5
5.0
4.1
26.3
25.6
27.0
vs Stronger (15)
9.2
9.5
9.0
4.3
4.0
4.6
29.4
29.8
29.0
vs Similar (35)
10.2
10.6
9.8
4.6
5.4
3.9
25.0
23.9
26.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
51%
56%
47%
72%
75%
69%
90%
90%
90%
% under line
49%
44%
53%
28%
25%
31%
10%
10%
10%
This opponent (FC Porto B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Porto B
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.9
10.1
4.3
4.7
3.9
23.3
19.1
27.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (15)
8.6
9.2
7.8
3.9
3.7
4.2
20.1
15.5
27.0
vs Weaker (35)
11.2
11.6
10.8
4.5
5.2
3.8
24.8
21.6
27.1
% over line
66%
81%
50%
62%
68%
56%
69%
47%
88%
% under line
34%
19%
50%
38%
32%
44%
31%
53%
12%
This opponent (Vizela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oliveirense
11.3
Feirense
11.2
Tondela
11.1
Portimonense
10.7
Torreense
10.7
FC Porto B
10.5
União de Leiria
10.3
Penafiel
10.3
Benfica B
10.2
Chaves
10.2
Academico Viseu
10.1
Mafra
10.1
Vizela
9.9
Pacos Ferreira
9.8
Leixoes
9.7
Maritimo
9.4
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Felgueiras 1932
8.5
Alverca
7.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Felgueiras 1932
6.6
Maritimo
5.8
Chaves
5.8
Penafiel
5.5
Benfica B
5.4
Portimonense
5.4
Oliveirense
5.3
Pacos Ferreira
5.3
Leixoes
5.3
União de Leiria
5.2
Vizela
5.1
Torreense
5.1
Tondela
5.0
FC Porto B
4.9
Feirense
4.7
Academico Viseu
4.5
Mafra
4.4
CF Os Belenenses
4.1
Alverca
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Pacos Ferreira
28.3
Leixoes
27.8
Maritimo
26.3
Chaves
26.3
Vizela
25.9
Oliveirense
25.6
Portimonense
25.3
Feirense
25.1
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Tondela
24.9
Torreense
24.7
Penafiel
24.4
FC Porto B
23.9
União de Leiria
23.6
Benfica B
23.4
Mafra
23.3
Academico Viseu
23.0
Alverca
11.8
Felgueiras 1932
10.3
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
54.5%
Under 9.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
69.6%
Under 3.5
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
34.6%
Under 21.5
65.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Vizela
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.63
0.38
0.46
0.47
0.76
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.57
0.00
0.00
0.33
1.83
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.35
0.42
0.50
0.55
0.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Porto B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Porto B
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.80
0.60
0.47
0.33
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.56
1.11
0.75
1.00
0.40
1.20
vs Weaker (21)
0.43
0.67
0.55
0.27
0.30
1.10
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Vizela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vizela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vizela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vizela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto B over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto B over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto B over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Vizela
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.97
0.85
0.85
0.65
1.06
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.43
0.00
1.00
0.83
1.50
vs Similar (23)
0.74
0.83
0.92
0.83
0.55
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Porto B) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Porto B
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.63
0.67
0.73
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.25
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (21)
0.67
0.76
0.73
0.91
0.60
0.60
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Vizela) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vizela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vizela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vizela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto B over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto B over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Porto B over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Vizela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Heinz Mörschel40%
Orest Lebedenko25%
Uroš Milovanović25%
Prosper Obah17%
Sava Petrov0%
Angel Bastunov0%
Damien Loppy0%
André Schutte0%
Miguel Tavares0%
João Reis0%
Anthony Correia0%
Aleksandar Busnić0%
Jean-Pierre Rhyner0%
Yannick Semedo0%
Natanael Ntolla0%
Jota Gonçalves0%
Diogo Nascimento0%
Raúl García0%
Rodrigo Ramos0%
Vivaldo0%
Ítalo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Anthony Correia60%
Vivaldo40%
João Reis33%
Prosper Obah33%
Diogo Nascimento29%
Rodrigo Ramos29%
Aleksandar Busnić25%
Jota Gonçalves25%
Uroš Milovanović25%
Jean-Pierre Rhyner20%
Yannick Semedo14%
Sava Petrov0%
Angel Bastunov0%
Damien Loppy0%
Heinz Mörschel0%
André Schutte0%
Miguel Tavares0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Natanael Ntolla0%
Raúl García0%
Ítalo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Orest Lebedenko50%
Natanael Ntolla25%
Uroš Milovanović25%
Damien Loppy17%
Diogo Nascimento14%
Sava Petrov0%
Angel Bastunov0%
Heinz Mörschel0%
André Schutte0%
Miguel Tavares0%
João Reis0%
Anthony Correia0%
Aleksandar Busnić0%
Jean-Pierre Rhyner0%
Yannick Semedo0%
Jota Gonçalves0%
Raúl García0%
Rodrigo Ramos0%
Vivaldo0%
Prosper Obah0%
Ítalo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Heinz Mörschel40%
João Reis33%
Prosper Obah33%
Uroš Milovanović25%
Vivaldo20%
Sava Petrov0%
Angel Bastunov0%
Damien Loppy0%
André Schutte0%
Miguel Tavares0%
Anthony Correia0%
Aleksandar Busnić0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Jean-Pierre Rhyner0%
Yannick Semedo0%
Natanael Ntolla0%
Jota Gonçalves0%
Diogo Nascimento0%
Raúl García0%
Rodrigo Ramos0%
Ítalo0%
FC Porto B
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Abraham Marcus50%
Rui Monteiro33%
André Castro0%
Rodrigo Fernandes0%
Domingos Andrade0%
Lipe0%
Gabriel Brás0%
Diogo Fernandes0%
Tiago Andrade0%
Dinis Rodrigues0%
André Oliveira0%
Trofim Melnichenko0%
Gil Martins0%
João Teixeira0%
Gonçalo Sousa0%
Anhá Candé0%
Martim Cunha0%
Kaio Henrique0%
Filipe Sousa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Domingos Andrade60%
Gabriel Brás33%
Trofim Melnichenko33%
Gil Martins33%
Gonçalo Sousa33%
André Castro25%
Lipe25%
João Teixeira25%
Tiago Andrade17%
Rodrigo Fernandes0%
Abraham Marcus0%
Rui Monteiro0%
Diogo Fernandes0%
Dinis Rodrigues0%
André Oliveira0%
Anhá Candé0%
Martim Cunha0%
Kaio Henrique0%
Filipe Sousa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tiago Andrade33%
Trofim Melnichenko33%
André Castro25%
Rodrigo Fernandes0%
Domingos Andrade0%
Abraham Marcus0%
Lipe0%
Rui Monteiro0%
Gabriel Brás0%
Diogo Fernandes0%
Dinis Rodrigues0%
André Oliveira0%
Gil Martins0%
João Teixeira0%
Gonçalo Sousa0%
Anhá Candé0%
Martim Cunha0%
Kaio Henrique0%
Filipe Sousa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Anhá Candé40%
Dinis Rodrigues20%
André Castro0%
Rodrigo Fernandes0%
Domingos Andrade0%
Abraham Marcus0%
Lipe0%
Rui Monteiro0%
Gabriel Brás0%
Diogo Fernandes0%
Tiago Andrade0%
André Oliveira0%
Trofim Melnichenko0%
Gil Martins0%
João Teixeira0%
Gonçalo Sousa0%
Martim Cunha0%
Kaio Henrique0%
Filipe Sousa0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALV (30)
€39m
BB (26)
€31m
FPB (28)
€29m
TOR (32)
€19m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
VIZ (29)
€12m
TON (20)
€10m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
Vizela's squad is €17m less valuable than FC Porto B's (€12m vs €29m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALV (8)
€15m
FPB (10)
€13m
BB (9)
€9m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
VIZ (13)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
CHA (5)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
OLI (1)
€0m
Vizela's attack is €7m less valuable than FC Porto B's (€5m vs €13m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (7)
€10m
FPB (6)
€7m
ALV (8)
€6m
MAR (6)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
Vizela's midfield is €5m less valuable than FC Porto B's (€2m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ALV (14)
€18m
BB (10)
€13m
TOR (15)
€10m
FPB (12)
€9m
TON (9)
€6m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
Vizela's defence is €5m less valuable than FC Porto B's (€4m vs €9m).
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
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Tondela
Alverca
Benfica B
Torreense
União de Leiria
Chaves
Feirense
Felgueiras 1932
Academico Viseu
Penafiel
Maritimo
Leixoes
Pacos Ferreira
Portimonense
Oliveirense
Mafra
CF Os Belenenses