This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torreense
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.27
1.50
1.43
1.50
1.12
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.61
1.28
1.29
1.43
1.82
1.18
vs Weaker (12)
1.33
1.25
1.71
1.43
0.80
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Vizela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.3%
Under 1.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.7%
Under 2.5
58.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.1%
Under 3.5
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.6%
No
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
1-0
11.1%
0-0
10.9%
0-1 ✓
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.3%
Vizela goals ↓
Torreense goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.8%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.9%
2.4%
0.6%
2
8.0%
8.4%
4.4%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.5%
3.6%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.1%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vizela goals (down), columns = Torreense goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maritimo
1.94
Torreense
1.74
Academico Viseu
1.74
Vizela
1.50
FC Porto B
1.50
Leixoes
1.47
União de Leiria
1.47
Feirense
1.35
Chaves
1.32
Benfica B
1.29
Felgueiras 1932
1.29
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.26
Sporting CP B
1.24
Farense
1.22
Penafiel
1.21
Portimonense
1.18
Pacos Ferreira
1.15
Oliveirense
1.00
CF Os Belenenses
0.50
Vizela is 0.24 points worse than Torreense in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Academico Viseu
1.71
União de Leiria
1.53
Maritimo
1.47
Torreense
1.35
Leixoes
1.35
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.29
Benfica B
1.26
Chaves
1.24
Sporting CP B
1.21
FC Porto B
1.21
Vizela
1.15
Portimonense
1.15
Penafiel
1.09
Feirense
1.09
Pacos Ferreira
1.00
Felgueiras 1932
1.00
Oliveirense
1.00
Farense
0.89
CF Os Belenenses
0.00
Vizela is 0.21 goals worse than Torreense in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.35).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
CF Os Belenenses
0.50
Maritimo
0.85
Torreense
0.97
Academico Viseu
0.97
Sporting CP B
1.00
Farense
1.03
Felgueiras 1932
1.12
Penafiel
1.15
Vizela
1.18
Chaves
1.18
Feirense
1.18
FC Porto B
1.24
Benfica B
1.29
União de Leiria
1.35
Pacos Ferreira
1.41
Portimonense
1.44
Oliveirense
1.44
Lusitânia Lourosa
1.53
Leixoes
1.62
Vizela is 0.21 goals worse than Torreense in terms of goals conceded per game (1.18 vs 0.97).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Chaves
55%
Sporting CP B
54%
Benfica B
54%
Vizela
54%
Felgueiras 1932
54%
Maritimo
52%
União de Leiria
51%
Leixoes
50%
Academico Viseu
49%
Farense
49%
Penafiel
49%
Oliveirense
49%
Portimonense
48%
Lusitânia Lourosa
48%
FC Porto B
47%
Pacos Ferreira
46%
Torreense
46%
Feirense
42%
Vizela is 7.7 percentage points better than Torreense in terms of average possession (54% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Vizela
For 7.1 · Against 4.1 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 4.5 · Against 3.8 · Total 8.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 10.3 · Total 22.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Torreense
For 5.1 · Against 5.0 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.4 · Against 7.6 · Total 17.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Vizela
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.2
12.0
4.3
4.6
4.0
14.0
16.6
11.6
vs Stronger (8)
17.0
-
17.0
4.0
2.0
6.0
10.7
2.0
15.0
vs Similar (42)
10.2
10.2
10.3
4.3
5.1
3.6
14.5
18.1
10.9
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
33%
75%
54%
54%
54%
39%
45%
33%
% under line
50%
67%
25%
46%
46%
46%
61%
55%
67%
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torreense
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.5
10.2
4.1
4.1
4.1
12.1
10.9
13.4
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
9.2
9.5
8.0
4.3
3.9
4.6
12.8
14.6
9.8
vs Weaker (20)
11.0
-
11.0
3.8
4.4
3.1
11.1
2.3
16.4
% over line
38%
50%
25%
56%
57%
56%
26%
20%
33%
% under line
62%
50%
75%
44%
43%
44%
74%
80%
67%
This opponent (Vizela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Penafiel
12.2
Portimonense
11.8
FC Porto B
11.5
Benfica B
11.2
União de Leiria
10.9
Vizela
10.8
Farense
10.8
Chaves
10.7
Academico Viseu
10.7
Torreense
10.3
Oliveirense
10.3
Felgueiras 1932
10.2
CF Os Belenenses
9.3
Feirense
9.2
Lusitânia Lourosa
9.0
Pacos Ferreira
9.0
Maritimo
8.8
Leixoes
8.5
Sporting CP B
7.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sporting CP B
7.0
Benfica B
6.4
Pacos Ferreira
6.4
Felgueiras 1932
6.3
Vizela
6.1
Torreense
6.0
Chaves
6.0
Leixoes
5.9
Oliveirense
5.8
Farense
5.8
Maritimo
5.7
FC Porto B
5.7
Lusitânia Lourosa
5.6
União de Leiria
5.6
Portimonense
5.5
Feirense
5.4
Academico Viseu
5.3
Penafiel
5.2
CF Os Belenenses
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Farense
29.4
Lusitânia Lourosa
28.0
Sporting CP B
26.2
CF Os Belenenses
25.0
Leixoes
19.8
Pacos Ferreira
18.4
Academico Viseu
17.9
Oliveirense
17.4
União de Leiria
17.3
Portimonense
16.6
Maritimo
15.7
FC Porto B
15.6
Feirense
15.4
Felgueiras 1932
14.9
Vizela
14.4
Penafiel
14.3
Chaves
13.4
Torreense
12.0
Benfica B
9.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.3%
Under 9.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
88.7%
Under 3.5
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
49.3%
Under 21.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Vizela
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.30
0.79
0.29
0.69
0.31
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
0.20
1.50
0.00
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (25)
0.68
0.32
0.67
0.33
0.69
0.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torreense
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.64
0.86
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.78
0.71
0.86
0.45
0.73
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
0.58
0.57
0.86
0.60
0.20
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Vizela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vizela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vizela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vizela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Vizela
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.70
1.07
0.71
0.56
0.69
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
0.20
1.00
0.50
0.67
0.00
vs Similar (25)
0.80
0.80
1.08
0.75
0.54
0.85
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Torreense) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Torreense
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.57
0.86
0.57
1.00
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.06
0.50
0.57
0.57
1.36
0.45
vs Weaker (12)
0.75
0.67
1.14
0.57
0.20
0.80
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Vizela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vizela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vizela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vizela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Torreense over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 4.5 cards
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Vizela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Heinz Mörschel57%
Jose Sampaio40%
Luís Rocha20%
Matías Lacava20%
Yassin Fortune17%
Angel Bastunov14%
Thio14%
Leverton Pierre0%
Damien Loppy0%
Andrea Hristov0%
Miguel Tavares0%
Aleksandar Busnić0%
Jean-Pierre Rhyner0%
Hristo Ivanov0%
Yann Kitala0%
Moha Moukhliss0%
Bright Osuoha Godwin0%
Jójó0%
Antonio Gomis0%
Rodrigo Ramos0%
Ítalo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandar Busnić57%
Thio43%
Moha Moukhliss43%
Jean-Pierre Rhyner40%
Antonio Gomis38%
Heinz Mörschel29%
Bright Osuoha Godwin25%
Ítalo25%
Matías Lacava20%
Rodrigo Ramos20%
Yassin Fortune17%
Angel Bastunov14%
Leverton Pierre0%
Damien Loppy0%
Andrea Hristov0%
Miguel Tavares0%
Luís Rocha0%
Hristo Ivanov0%
Yann Kitala0%
Jójó0%
Jose Sampaio0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matías Lacava40%
Moha Moukhliss29%
Jójó20%
Rodrigo Ramos20%
Yassin Fortune17%
Heinz Mörschel14%
Angel Bastunov0%
Leverton Pierre0%
Damien Loppy0%
Andrea Hristov0%
Miguel Tavares0%
Luís Rocha0%
Aleksandar Busnić0%
Jean-Pierre Rhyner0%
Hristo Ivanov0%
Thio0%
Yann Kitala0%
Bright Osuoha Godwin0%
Antonio Gomis0%
Ítalo0%
Jose Sampaio0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Heinz Mörschel71%
Luís Rocha20%
Thio14%
Angel Bastunov0%
Leverton Pierre0%
Damien Loppy0%
Andrea Hristov0%
Miguel Tavares0%
Aleksandar Busnić0%
Yassin Fortune0%
Jean-Pierre Rhyner0%
Hristo Ivanov0%
Matías Lacava0%
Yann Kitala0%
Moha Moukhliss0%
Bright Osuoha Godwin0%
Jójó0%
Antonio Gomis0%
Rodrigo Ramos0%
Ítalo0%
Jose Sampaio0%
Torreense
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kévin Zohi38%
Dany Jean20%
Stopira11%
Musa Drammeh10%
Javi Vázquez9%
Lucas Paes0%
Costinha0%
Pité0%
David Bruno0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Manuel Pozo Guerrero0%
Arnau Casas0%
Alejandro Alfaro0%
Luis Quintero0%
Andre Simões0%
Ismaïl Seydi0%
Mohamed Ali Diadié0%
Leo Azevedo0%
Arielson0%
Danilo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Guilherme Liberato33%
Alejandro Alfaro29%
Arnau Casas25%
Andre Simões25%
Manuel Pozo Guerrero20%
Musa Drammeh20%
Ismaïl Seydi20%
Leo Azevedo20%
Javi Vázquez18%
Pité17%
Stopira11%
Dany Jean10%
David Bruno9%
Lucas Paes0%
Kévin Zohi0%
Costinha0%
Luis Quintero0%
Mohamed Ali Diadié0%
Arielson0%
Danilo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Pozo Guerrero20%
Alejandro Alfaro14%
Dany Jean10%
Musa Drammeh10%
Ismaïl Seydi10%
Leo Azevedo10%
Javi Vázquez9%
Stopira0%
Lucas Paes0%
Kévin Zohi0%
Costinha0%
Pité0%
David Bruno0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Arnau Casas0%
Luis Quintero0%
Andre Simões0%
Mohamed Ali Diadié0%
Arielson0%
Danilo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kévin Zohi25%
Musa Drammeh20%
Alejandro Alfaro14%
Dany Jean10%
Javi Vázquez0%
Stopira0%
Lucas Paes0%
Costinha0%
Pité0%
David Bruno0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Manuel Pozo Guerrero0%
Arnau Casas0%
Luis Quintero0%
Andre Simões0%
Ismaïl Seydi0%
Mohamed Ali Diadié0%
Leo Azevedo0%
Arielson0%
Danilo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (26)
€31m
FPB (28)
€29m
TOR (32)
€19m
SCB (23)
€17m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
VIZ (29)
€12m
UDL (25)
€10m
CHA (22)
€9m
FAR (24)
€8m
POR (20)
€6m
LEI (21)
€6m
PEN (23)
€5m
F1 (20)
€5m
LL (19)
€5m
FEI (17)
€4m
PF (13)
€2m
OLI (7)
€1m
Vizela's squad is €7m less valuable than Torreense's (€12m vs €19m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FPB (10)
€13m
BB (9)
€9m
AV (11)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
MAR (10)
€7m
VIZ (13)
€5m
SCB (9)
€5m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (10)
€3m
CHA (5)
€3m
POR (7)
€2m
LEI (7)
€2m
PEN (8)
€1m
F1 (4)
€1m
FEI (6)
€1m
LL (6)
€1m
PF (3)
€1m
OLI (1)
€0m
Vizela's attack is €2m less valuable than Torreense's (€5m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (7)
€10m
FPB (6)
€7m
SCB (5)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
CHA (5)
€2m
TOR (5)
€2m
VIZ (5)
€2m
UDL (7)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
F1 (6)
€1m
LEI (3)
€1m
POR (5)
€1m
LL (2)
€1m
FEI (3)
€1m
PF (2)
€0m
PEN (2)
€0m
OLI (1)
€0m
Vizela and Torreense have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BB (10)
€13m
TOR (15)
€10m
FPB (12)
€9m
SCB (9)
€7m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
VIZ (11)
€4m
CHA (12)
€4m
UDL (9)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
PEN (13)
€3m
LL (11)
€3m
FEI (8)
€3m
LEI (11)
€3m
POR (8)
€3m
F1 (10)
€2m
OLI (5)
€1m
PF (8)
€1m
Vizela's defence is €5m less valuable than Torreense's (€4m vs €10m).
Portugal: Segunda Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Segunda Liga stats & trends →
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Maritimo
Academico Viseu
FC Porto B
União de Leiria
Leixoes
Feirense
Chaves
Benfica B
Felgueiras 1932
Farense
Lusitânia Lourosa
Sporting CP B
Penafiel
Portimonense
Pacos Ferreira
Oliveirense
CF Os Belenenses