Vizela hosts União de Leiria in a Portugal Segunda Liga match on August 9, 2026. The recent form of both teams is worth noting, with Vizela coming off a 0-4 defeat to Torreense and União de Leiria drawing 2-2 against Feirense.
The market is split, with Vizela and União de Leiria each having a 37% and 35% chance of winning, respectively, while a 28% chance of a draw exists. The model, however, picks Vizela to win, favouring a home win by 37%.
A total of 2.7 goals are expected, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring at a 13.3% probability. Vizela has averaged 1.64 goals scored and 1.55 conceded at home, while União de Leiria has averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.09 conceded away from home against similar opponents.
The model's selections include Under 21.5 fouls (100%), Under 9.5 corners (99.9% with a 54% edge), Over 3.5 cards (79.5%), Over 1.5 (77% with a 4% edge), and Under 3.5 (70.6%). Vizela has a 37% chance of winning, a 28% chance of drawing, and a 35% chance of losing.
Vizela secured a narrow 1-0 win over União de Leiria, extending their winning streak. The model's call for a home win proved correct, with a pre-match probability of 37%. The model's selection was the correct favourite, but the margin of victory was not predicted. The model's selection of Over 3.5 cards hit, with a probability of 79.5%, while Under 3.5 goals also hit, with a probability of 70.6%. However, the model's selection of Over 1.5 goals missed, with a probability of 77%.
Vizela| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.03 | 1.30 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 0.73 | 1.27 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 1.00 | 0.80 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| vs Similar (25) | 1.04 | 1.40 | 1.38 | 1.38 | 0.67 | 1.42 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 30% (+2pp vs league) | |||||
União de Leiria| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.67 | 1.50 | 1.71 | 1.64 | 1.62 | 1.38 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (29) | 1.59 | 1.48 | 1.71 | 1.64 | 1.47 | 1.33 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 4.00 | 2.00 | - | - | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-8pp vs league) | |||||
| União de Leiria goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 7.8% | 13% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Vizela
União de Leiria
Vizela| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.9 | 9.3 | 11.0 | 5.5 | 5.7 | 5.3 | 20.8 | 25.7 | 15.8 |
| vs Stronger (8) | 13.0 | 9.0 | 17.0 | 5.1 | 3.5 | 6.8 | 13.2 | 11.5 | 15.0 |
| vs Similar (42) | 9.4 | 9.4 | 9.5 | 5.5 | 6.1 | 5.0 | 22.6 | 29.2 | 16.0 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 43% | 22% | 80% | 74% | 80% | 68% | 55% | 70% | 40% |
| % under line | 57% | 78% | 20% | 26% | 20% | 32% | 45% | 30% | 60% |
União de Leiria| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.8 | 8.9 | 11.0 | 4.5 | 4.5 | 4.6 | 25.1 | 22.0 | 30.1 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (47) | 9.8 | 8.9 | 11.0 | 4.7 | 4.8 | 4.7 | 26.1 | 23.4 | 30.1 |
| vs Weaker (3) | - | - | - | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | - |
| % over line | 56% | 56% | 57% | 64% | 58% | 69% | 76% | 69% | 88% |
| % under line | 44% | 44% | 43% | 36% | 42% | 31% | 24% | 31% | 12% |
Vizela| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.30 | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.33 | 0.20 | 0.47 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 0.60 | 0.60 | 0.50 | 1.00 | 0.67 | 0.33 |
| vs Similar (25) | 0.24 | 0.36 | 0.38 | 0.23 | 0.08 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 67% (+38pp vs league) | |||||
União de Leiria| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.87 | 0.57 | 0.86 | 0.64 | 0.88 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (29) | 0.86 | 0.59 | 0.86 | 0.64 | 0.87 | 0.53 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 1.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+18pp vs league) | |||||
Vizela| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.90 | 0.93 | 1.00 | 0.53 | 0.80 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 0.40 | 0.20 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| vs Similar (25) | 0.80 | 1.04 | 1.00 | 1.15 | 0.58 | 0.92 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+15pp vs league) | |||||
União de Leiria| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.80 | 0.93 | 0.86 | 1.00 | 0.75 | 0.88 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (29) | 0.72 | 0.90 | 0.86 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 3.00 | 2.00 | - | - | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 43% (+15pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 92.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 2.5 cards | 92.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 84.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 3.5 cards | 81.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 77.4% | 1.36 | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.35 | 1.34 | - | +9.7% | - |
| Over 1.5 | 77.0% | 1.28 | 1.31 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.28 | +4.4% | ✗ Miss |
| Over 23.5 fouls | 73.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 3.5 | 70.6% | 1.30 | 1.34 | 1.33 | 1.32 | 1.30 | 1.30 | -0.7% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 21/01/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 19/01/25 | H | 1-0 | |
| 11/08/24 | A | 0-2 |
Vizela| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/26 | A | 4-0 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 0-2 | |
| 12/04/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 07/04/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 21/03/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 15/03/26 | H | 4-3 | |
| 08/03/26 | A | 0-1 |
União de Leiria| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 03/05/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 4-2 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 05/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 29/03/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 20/03/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 15/03/26 | H | 1-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Lusitânia Lourosa | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 7 | 2 | +5 | 2.2 | 75% | 25% | 25% | - | 0% | 8.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 48% |
| 2 | Academica | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 2.5 | 75% | 25% | 25% | - | 0% | 4.7 | 67% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.8 | 0.8 | - |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 1.8 | 50% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | 6.0 | 50% | - | 0% | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 54% |
| 4 | Penafiel | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 2.5 | 75% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | 5.0 | 50% | - | 0% | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 49% |
| 5 | Farense | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 3.0 | 100% | 75% | 25% | - | 0% | 5.0 | 67% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 49% |
| 6 | Vizela | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | 4.5 | 100% | - | 0% | 12 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 54% |
| 7 | Benfica B | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 1.8 | 50% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | 9.0 | 100% | - | 0% | 31 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 54% |
| 8 | Portimonense | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 1.8 | 75% | 0% | 0% | 10.0 | 100% | 4.5 | 50% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 48% |
| 9 | União de Leiria | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 3.0 | 75% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | 4.0 | 50% | - | 0% | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 51% |
| 10 | Felgueiras 1932 | 4 | 6 | 25% | 1.5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 1.8 | 75% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | 5.7 | 100% | - | 0% | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 54% |
| 11 | Leixoes | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 2.5 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 10.0 | 100% | 7.3 | 100% | - | 0% | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 50% |
| 12 | AVS | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 5 | 4 | +1 | 2.2 | 75% | 25% | 25% | - | 0% | 3.7 | 33% | - | 0% | 7 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 13 | Amarante | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1.2 | 25% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | - |
| 14 | Tondela | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 2.0 | 75% | 25% | 0% | - | 0% | 5.0 | 50% | - | 0% | 10 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 0.5 | 1.5 | - |
| 15 | FC Porto B | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2.5 | 75% | 50% | 25% | - | 0% | 6.3 | 100% | - | 0% | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 47% |
| 16 | Torreense | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3.5 | 100% | 100% | 50% | - | 0% | 3.0 | 50% | - | 0% | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 46% |
| 17 | Feirense | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 1.0 | 25% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | 3.3 | 67% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 42% |
| 18 | Chaves | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3.2 | 75% | 75% | 50% | - | 0% | 4.5 | 50% | - | 0% | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 55% |