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Volga Ulyanovsk vs Arsenal Tula Prediction & Stats

Date: 05/09/2026
Time: 13:00
Volga Ulyanovsk
Volga Ulyanovsk
Vs
36%
30%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Arsenal Tula
Arsenal Tula
Russia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Volga Ulyanovsk and Arsenal Tula is finely balanced, with the model favouring a home win. Volga, fresh from a 2-2 draw against Nizhny Novgorod, has been averaging 1.18 goals scored and 1.55 conceded at home against similarly strong opponents. Arsenal Tula, also ending their last match in a 2-2 draw with Ural, has posted 1.07 goals scored and 1.57 conceded on the road against comparable opposition. The expected total goals hover at 2.4, with the most likely total being two goals at a 27% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 14.4% chance. Home win, draw and away win probabilities stand at 36%, 30% and 33% respectively. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.8%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.5%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.6%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.4%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (96.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.9%) and Under 5.5 (96.4%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Volga Ulyanovsk win
36.3%
Avg Implied 38.3% · @ 2.40
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.56
Pinnacle
2.53
Marathonbet
2.49
Dafabet
2.33
Superbet
2.32
Draw
30.2%
Avg Implied 29.0% · @ 3.18
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.28
Dafabet
3.25
Pinnacle
3.24
Superbet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.18
Arsenal Tula win
33.4%
Avg Implied 32.7% · @ 2.81
Edge
+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.90
Superbet
2.87
1xBet
2.84
Pinnacle
2.80
Marathonbet
2.76

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L22D03L20W02L21W01L13L22DA·ROT26/04H·FK 03/05A·FK 10/05H·FAK16/05H·FK 25/07H·CHE02/08A·KAM09/08A·FC 16/08H·SHI22/08A·NIZ30/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.301.071.361.121.25
vs Stronger (8)0.620.750.670.670.600.80
vs Similar (22)1.271.501.181.551.361.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Tula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L14L01L05L10W22D00D21W02L22DA·ENI11/05H·ROD16/05H·FK 19/07A·FC 26/07H·TOR02/08A·SHI08/08A·LEN15/08H·ROT20/08A·VEL24/08H·URA29/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.371.001.191.071.57
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.501.00--
vs Similar (28)1.071.391.071.211.071.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Volga Ulyanovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
70.5%
@ 1.33+1.9%
Under 1.5
29.5%
@ 2.91-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.36
Superbet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Under
Pinnacle
3.06
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.88
Superbet
2.82
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
43.1%
@ 2.13-0.9%
Under 2.5
56.9%
@ 1.68+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.16
Pinnacle
2.16
Marathonbet
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Under
1xBet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.68
Superbet
1.65
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
22.2%
@ 3.72-2.4%
Under 3.5
77.8%
@ 1.21+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.88
1xBet
3.72
Marathonbet
3.72
Superbet
3.55
Under
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Both teams to score
Yes
50.2%
@ 1.84+0.1%
No
49.8%
@ 1.85-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
No
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.85
Superbet
1.83

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%@ 5.57+6.6%
0-0
10.4%@ 7.90+4.9%
1-0
9.8%@ 6.79+3.5%
0-1
9.3%@ 7.51+3.6%
2-1
8.0%@ 9.13+3.3%
1-2
7.6%@ 10.01+3.3%
2-0
6.9%@ 10.96+2.9%
0-2
6.2%@ 13.24+3.0%
Volga Ulyanovsk goals ↓
Arsenal Tula goals →
01234
010%9.3%6.2%2.4%0.7%
19.8%14%7.6%3.0%0.9%
26.9%8.0%4.7%1.8%0.5%
32.8%3.3%1.9%0.8%0.2%
40.9%1.0%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Volga Ulyanovsk goals (down), columns = Arsenal Tula goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
Volga Ulyanovsk is 0.04 points better than Arsenal Tula in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
Volga Ulyanovsk is 0.29 goals better than Arsenal Tula in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 0.88).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
Volga Ulyanovsk is 0.12 goals better than Arsenal Tula in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.62).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
Volga Ulyanovsk and Arsenal Tula are level in average possession (both 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk

For 3.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.0

🚩 Corners

60336H·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

801413332321352311135435518524H·FK H·URAH·TORA·CHEA·KAMH·RODA·FK H·FC H·ENIA·FAK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula

For 4.3 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

11033743861111H·URAA·FC H·FAK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

60134233212124331251214663366363H·URAA·FC H·FAKH·LOKH·FK H·CHEA·FC H·CHAA·ROTA·FAK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)6.36.06.52.22.32.1---
vs Stronger (16)6.5-6.52.22.32.1---
vs Similar (33)6.06.0-2.22.32.2---
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line0%0%0%28%33%23%---
% under line100%100%100%72%67%77%---
This opponent (Arsenal Tula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.38.511.02.52.32.6---
vs Stronger (3)---1.71.7----
vs Similar (47)9.38.511.02.52.42.6---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line67%50%100%30%31%29%---
% under line33%50%0%70%69%71%---
This opponent (Volga Ulyanovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
KAMAZ
15.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
Arsenal Tula
9.3
FC Sochi
9.2
Tekstilshchik
9.0
Leningradets
8.9
Veles
8.8
FK Neftekhimik
8.7
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Ural
8.4
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.5
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Veles
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.3
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
FK Neftekhimik
27.0
FC UFA
27.0
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
39.9%
@ 2.02-5.9%
Under 9.5
60.1%
@ 1.72+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.04
Marathonbet
2.01
Under
Pinnacle
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
60.4%
Under 3.5
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
85.0%
Under 21.5
15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Volga Ulyanovsk or Draw
66.6%
Avg Implied 67.3% · @ 1.37
Edge
-0.7%
36%
30%
33%
covers Volga Ulyanovsk + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.40
Superbet
1.35
SBO
1.30
Volga Ulyanovsk or Arsenal Tula
69.8%
Avg Implied 71.1% · @ 1.30
Edge
-1.3%
36%
30%
33%
covers Volga Ulyanovsk + Arsenal Tula
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.28
SBO
1.26
Draw or Arsenal Tula
63.7%
Avg Implied 61.6% · @ 1.50
Edge
+2.1%
36%
30%
33%
covers Draw + Arsenal Tula
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.52
1xBet
1.51
SBO
1.48
Marathonbet
1.48

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Volga Ulyanovsk over/under 0.5
Over
70.8%
@ 1.30+0.0%
Under
29.2%
@ 3.15-0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
Under
Pinnacle
3.23
Marathonbet
3.14
1xBet
3.14
Superbet
3.10
Volga Ulyanovsk over/under 1.5
Over
34.9%
@ 2.51-2.1%
Under
65.1%
@ 1.47+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.66
Marathonbet
2.56
1xBet
2.42
Superbet
2.40
Under
1xBet
1.49
Superbet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
Volga Ulyanovsk over/under 2.5
Over
12.7%
@ 5.75-3.1%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.08+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.15
1xBet
6.00
Superbet
5.10
Under
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Volga Ulyanovsk over/under 3.5
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Tula over/under 0.5
Over
69.0%
@ 1.35+1.1%
Under
31.0%
@ 2.86-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.37
1xBet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.01
1xBet
2.88
Marathonbet
2.88
Superbet
2.67
Arsenal Tula over/under 1.5
Over
32.7%
@ 2.76-0.8%
Under
67.3%
@ 1.39+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.86
Marathonbet
2.77
Superbet
2.77
1xBet
2.65
Under
1xBet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Superbet
1.35
Arsenal Tula over/under 2.5
Over
11.4%
@ 6.70-2.1%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.05+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.90
Superbet
6.20
Under
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Arsenal Tula over/under 3.5
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Volga Ulyanovsk, so a minus line means Volga Ulyanovsk give that many goals of a start and Arsenal Tula receive them. At -1, Volga Ulyanovsk must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Volga Ulyanovsk win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Volga Ulyanovsk)
Volga Ulyanovsk -2
5.5%
@ 7.00-5.8%
Draw -2
10.8%
@ 4.70-6.0%
Arsenal Tula +2
83.7%
@ 1.10+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.00
Draw
Marathonbet
4.70
Away
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (Volga Ulyanovsk)
Volga Ulyanovsk -1
16.3%
@ 5.10-1.2%
Draw -1
20.1%
@ 4.05-2.0%
Arsenal Tula +1
63.7%
@ 1.48+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.10
Draw
Marathonbet
4.05
Away
Marathonbet
1.48
Handicap +1 (Volga Ulyanovsk)
Volga Ulyanovsk +1
66.6%
@ 1.40+2.8%
Draw +1
19.0%
@ 4.30-1.8%
Arsenal Tula -1
14.4%
@ 5.80-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.40
Draw
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Marathonbet
5.80
Handicap +2 (Volga Ulyanovsk)
Volga Ulyanovsk +2
85.6%
Draw +2
9.8%
Arsenal Tula -2
4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D12L00D10W02L10W00D02L12LA·ROT26/04H·FK 03/05A·FK 10/05H·FAK16/05H·FK 25/07H·CHE02/08A·KAM09/08A·FC 16/08H·SHI22/08A·NIZ30/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.500.570.560.75
vs Stronger (8)0.250.380.330.670.200.20
vs Similar (22)0.640.770.550.550.731.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Tula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L03L00D03L10W02L00D20W01L01LA·ENI11/05H·ROD16/05H·FK 19/07A·FC 26/07H·TOR02/08A·SHI08/08A·LEN15/08H·ROT20/08A·VEL24/08H·URA29/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.770.500.750.430.79
vs Stronger (2)0.501.000.501.00--
vs Similar (28)0.460.750.500.710.430.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Volga Ulyanovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
67.1%
@ 1.44+2.8%
Under 0.5
32.9%
@ 2.60-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Pinnacle
1.43
Superbet
1.43
Under
Pinnacle
2.74
1xBet
2.56
Marathonbet
2.56
Superbet
2.52
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
29.5%
@ 3.05-0.7%
Under 1.5
70.5%
@ 1.32+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.19
Marathonbet
3.05
1xBet
3.05
Superbet
2.92
Under
Pinnacle
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.6%
@ 7.53-2.4%
Under 2.5
90.4%
@ 1.03+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.90
Marathonbet
7.90
Superbet
6.80
Under
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Volga Ulyanovsk over/under 0.5 HT
Over
45.0%
@ 2.15+2.0%
Under
55.0%
@ 1.62-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.19
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.15
Superbet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
Superbet
1.64
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Volga Ulyanovsk over/under 1.5 HT
Over
11.3%
@ 7.60-0.9%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.05+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.60
Marathonbet
7.60
Under
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Volga Ulyanovsk over/under 2.5 HT
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Tula over/under 0.5 HT
Over
39.5%
@ 2.27-1.0%
Under
60.5%
@ 1.55+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.32
Pinnacle
2.30
Marathonbet
2.24
1xBet
2.24
Under
Pinnacle
1.57
Marathonbet
1.56
1xBet
1.56
Superbet
1.52
Arsenal Tula over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.7%
@ 8.30-1.5%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.04+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.30
Marathonbet
8.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Arsenal Tula over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L10W03L10W00D11D01L11D10WA·ROT26/04H·FK 03/05A·FK 10/05H·FAK16/05H·FK 25/07H·CHE02/08A·KAM09/08A·FC 16/08H·SHI22/08A·NIZ30/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.630.570.790.560.50
vs Stronger (8)0.380.380.330.000.400.60
vs Similar (22)0.640.730.641.000.640.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Tula) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D01L02L00D20W00D01L01L21WA·ENI11/05H·ROD16/05H·FK 19/07A·FC 26/07H·TOR02/08A·SHI08/08A·LEN15/08H·ROT20/08A·VEL24/08H·URA29/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.600.500.440.640.79
vs Stronger (2)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (28)0.610.640.570.500.640.79
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Volga Ulyanovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.5%
@ 1.25-1.0%
Under 0.5
28.5%
@ 3.31+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Under
Marathonbet
3.36
1xBet
3.36
Superbet
3.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.7%
@ 2.31-1.5%
Under 1.5
61.3%
@ 1.55+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.31
1xBet
2.31
Superbet
2.30
Under
1xBet
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Superbet
1.53
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
14.8%
@ 5.05-3.3%
Under 2.5
85.2%
@ 1.11+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.20
Superbet
4.75
Under
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Volga Ulyanovsk over/under 0.5 2H
Over
52.7%
@ 1.81+1.9%
Under
47.3%
@ 1.87-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
Superbet
1.80
Under
Superbet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.86
1xBet
1.86
Volga Ulyanovsk over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.1%
@ 5.35-1.2%
Under
83.9%
@ 1.12+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.35
1xBet
5.35
Under
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
Volga Ulyanovsk over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal Tula over/under 0.5 2H
Over
46.2%
@ 1.92-1.9%
Under
53.8%
@ 1.78+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.89
1xBet
1.89
Under
1xBet
1.79
Marathonbet
1.79
Superbet
1.75
Arsenal Tula over/under 1.5 2H
Over
14.2%
@ 5.85-1.7%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.10+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.85
Marathonbet
5.85
Under
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Arsenal Tula over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.7%-------
Under 6.598.8%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.6%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.8%-------
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.5%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals97.0%-------
Away under 3.5 goals96.9%-------
Under 5.596.4%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+2.8%
Home under 3.5 goals96.3%-------
Over 19.5 fouls92.7%-------
Under 2.5 HT goals90.4%1.03
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
--+2.4%
Under 4.590.4%1.03
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
--+3.1%
Away under 1.5 HT goals90.3%1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
---+1.5%
Home under 1.5 HT goals88.7%1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
---+0.9%
Away under 2.5 goals88.6%1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
--+2.1%
Home under 2.5 goals87.3%1.08
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
--+3.1%
Away under 1.5 2H goals85.8%1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
---+1.7%
Home +2 handicap85.6%-------
Under 2.5 2H goals85.2%1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
--+3.3%
Over 21.5 fouls85.0%-------
Home under 1.5 2H goals83.9%1.12
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
---+1.2%
Away +2 handicap83.7%1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
----+11.8%
Under 11.5 corners81.3%1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
----+6.5%
Over 2.5 cards78.9%-------
Under 3.577.8%1.21
Pinnacle
1.24
Superbet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
-+2.4%
Under 5.5 cards75.4%-------
Over 23.5 fouls73.4%-------
Under 10.5 corners71.8%1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
----+6.4%
Over 0.5 2H goals71.5%1.25
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
---1.0%
Home over 0.5 goals70.8%1.30
Pinnacle
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.30
Superbet
1.28
-+0.0%
Over 1.570.5%1.33
Pinnacle
1.36
Superbet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
-+1.9%
Under 1.5 HT goals70.5%1.32
Pinnacle
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
-+0.7%

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Volga Ulyanovsk's squad is €2m less valuable than Arsenal Tula's (€6m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Volga Ulyanovsk and Arsenal Tula have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Volga Ulyanovsk's midfield is €1m less valuable than Arsenal Tula's (€1m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Volga Ulyanovsk and Arsenal Tula have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
VU wins
1
Draws
1
AT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Volga Ulyanovsk vs Arsenal Tula · H/A from VU
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/26AArsenal Tula Vs VU0-1
30/08/25HVU Vs Arsenal Tula2-1
15/04/23HVU Vs Arsenal Tula0-0
25/09/22AArsenal Tula Vs VU2-0

Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ANizhny Novgorod Vs VU2-2
22/08/26HVU Vs Shinnik Yaroslavl1-3
16/08/26AFC Sochi Vs VU1-0
09/08/26AKAMAZ Vs VU1-2
02/08/26HVU Vs Chelyabinsk0-2
25/07/26HVU Vs FK Neftekhimik2-0
16/05/26HVU Vs Fakel0-3
10/05/26AFK Neftekhimik Vs VU2-2
03/05/26HVU Vs FK Sokol Saratov0-1
26/04/26ARotor Volgograd Vs VU0-0

Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HAT Vs Ural2-2
24/08/26AVeles Vs AT2-0
20/08/26HAT Vs Rotor Volgograd2-1
15/08/26ALeningradets Vs AT0-0
08/08/26AShinnik Yaroslavl Vs AT2-2
02/08/26HAT Vs Torpedo Moskva1-0
26/07/26AFC Sochi Vs AT5-0
19/07/26HAT Vs FK Neftekhimik0-1
16/05/26HAT Vs Rodina Moskva1-4
11/05/26AEnisey Vs AT1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Volga Ulyanovsk
Volga Ulyanovsk
Russia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLD1.12
HomeLLWLL1.17
AwayDDWLD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%33%23%
AVG goals2.442.622.27
Over 1.5 %72%75%69%
Over 2.5 %42%46%38%
Over 3.5 %22%21%23%
Scored1.121.251.00
Conceded1.321.381.27
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners6.336.006.50
Cards4.364.234.50
Arsenal Tula
Arsenal Tula
Russia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLD1.24
HomeLLWWD1.15
AwayLLDDL1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%23%33%
AVG goals2.442.312.58
Over 1.5 %72%62%83%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %26%31%21%
Scored1.181.121.25
Conceded1.261.191.33
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet20%27%12%
Corners9.338.5011.00
Cards3.973.594.43

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC SochiFC Sochi718
86%
2.6
167+9
3.3
86%
86%
29%
10.5
100%
5.5
100%
-
0%
15
5192.31.0
54%
2Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod716
71%
2.3
2110+11
4.4
100%
100%
71%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
18
6393.01.4
50%
3VelesVeles715
71%
2.1
1110+1
3.0
86%
57%
29%
4.5
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
5
2221.61.4
54%
4UralUral612
50%
2.0
113+8
2.3
83%
50%
17%
6.0
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
11
4241.80.5
40%
5FC UFAFC UFA611
50%
1.8
76+1
2.2
67%
33%
17%
10.5
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
5
2221.21.0
46%
6Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva610
50%
1.7
114+7
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
5141.80.7
-
7Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd810
38%
1.2
108+2
2.2
62%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.21.0
-
8Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl69
33%
1.5
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.31.2
-
9Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma69
33%
1.5
77+0
2.3
67%
50%
33%
12.0
100%
5.0
100%
-
0%
8
3241.21.2
49%
10Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula89
25%
1.1
713-6
2.5
62%
50%
38%
8.5
50%
5.0
100%
-
0%
8
3230.91.6
52%
11FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik89
38%
1.1
512-7
2.1
50%
25%
12%
8.5
50%
4.5
100%
27.0
100%
5
2120.61.5
54%
12EniseyEnisey67
17%
1.2
98+1
2.8
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.51.3
-
13Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk67
33%
1.2
79-2
2.7
83%
50%
33%
6.0
0%
5.0
100%
-
0%
6
2131.21.5
52%
14LeningradetsLeningradets66
17%
1.0
45-1
1.5
50%
33%
0%
12.5
100%
4.0
50%
-
0%
5
1120.70.8
50%
15KAMAZKAMAZ75
14%
0.7
711-4
2.6
71%
43%
29%
15.0
100%
3.0
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.6
46%
16TekstilshchikTekstilshchik75
14%
0.7
27-5
1.3
29%
14%
14%
9.0
50%
5.5
100%
-
0%
5
2120.31.0
49%
17ChelyabinskChelyabinsk64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
67%
33%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
9
4131.02.2
50%
18Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk73
14%
0.4
514-9
2.7
71%
43%
29%
6.5
50%
2.5
50%
-
0%
6
2230.72.0
46%
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →

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