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Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl Result & Analysis

Date: 22/08/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 1-3
Volga Ulyanovsk
Volga Ulyanovsk
Vs
33%
32%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russia: First League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Volga Ulyanovsk have been defensively solid at home, conceding an average of 1.38 goals per match against similarly strong opponents. However, their recent form is a concern, coming off a win but having also suffered two consecutive losses. Shinnik Yaroslavl have been impressive on the road, scoring 0.92 goals and conceding 1.08 goals per match against similar opponents. Their recent form is also encouraging, having won their last match 2-0 and coming off a win.

The model predicts a narrow away win for Shinnik Yaroslavl, with a 36% chance of victory. The most likely match result is indeed an away win, with a predicted total of 2.2 goals. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a probability of 14.8%. The model suggests an under 3.5 goals total, which is likely to occur with an 82.2% probability.

Volga Ulyanovsk have a 33% chance of winning, a 32% chance of drawing, and a 36% chance of losing. The model's selection is the away win. The suggested picks are under 3.5 goals, with an 82.2% probability.

Results analysis

The win extends Volga Ulyanovsk’s recent run, but Shinnik Yaroslavl’s two-game winning streak proved decisive as the model’s favourite, an away victory with a 36 % probability, came true. The final score was 1-3, confirming the actual result. The model’s selection of Under 7.5 goals, with a 99.8 % probability, was hit, as were Under 6.5 (99.3 %), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.6 %), Home under 3.5 goals (97.7 %), Under 5.5 (97.6 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.3 %), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.0 %) and Away under 2.5 2H goals (96.9 %). All predictions were settled, and every probability was expressed as a percentage.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Volga Ulyanovsk win✗ Miss
32.6%
Avg Implied 38.2% · @ 2.43
Edge
-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.52
1xBet
2.50
Marathonbet
2.43
Dafabet
2.41
Superbet
2.40
Draw✗ Miss
31.9%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.21
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.32
Pinnacle
3.31
Dafabet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.22
Superbet
3.20
Shinnik Yaroslavl win✓ Hit
35.5%
Avg Implied 33.0% · @ 2.81
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.90
1xBet
2.89
Superbet
2.80
Dafabet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.80

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W00D01L22D03L20W02L21W01LA·ROD18/04H·CHA22/04A·ROT26/04H·FK 03/05A·FK 10/05H·FAK16/05H·FK 25/07H·CHE02/08A·KAM09/08A·FC 16/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.331.071.431.191.25
vs Stronger (8)0.620.750.670.670.600.80
vs Similar (22)1.321.551.181.641.451.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W22D30W10W11D22D11D03L22D20WH·ARS18/04A·FAK22/04H·SKA26/04A·URA04/05H·TOR11/05A·CHE16/05A·TOR26/07A·NIZ02/08H·ARS08/08A·FK 14/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.971.430.641.061.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)1.230.971.430.641.061.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Volga Ulyanovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%022%128%220%311%45%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
65.6%
@ 1.36-1.6%
Under 1.5
34.4%
@ 2.79+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.35
Under
Pinnacle
3.01
1xBet
2.74
Marathonbet
2.74
Superbet
2.67
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
37.4%
@ 2.22-5.1%
Under 2.5
62.6%
@ 1.64+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.25
1xBet
2.23
Superbet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
Under
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.66
Marathonbet
1.64
Superbet
1.57
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
17.8%
@ 3.92-5.5%
Under 3.5
82.2%
@ 1.19+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
4.16
Superbet
3.85
1xBet
3.84
Marathonbet
3.84
Under
Pinnacle
1.23
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.5%
@ 1.89-3.4%
No
54.5%
@ 1.81+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
No
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
Superbet
1.78

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.8%@ 5.65+7.2%
0-0
12.6%@ 7.70+7.0%
0-1
11.3%@ 7.38+5.4%
1-0
10.6%@ 6.70+4.2%
1-2
7.5%@ 9.96+3.2%
2-1
7.1%@ 9.16+2.5%
0-2
7.1%@ 13.00+3.8%
2-0
6.4%@ 10.78+2.4%
Volga Ulyanovsk goals ↓
Shinnik Yaroslavl goals →
01234
013%11%7.1%2.6%0.7%
111%15%7.5%2.8%0.8%
26.4%7.1%4.0%1.5%0.4%
32.3%2.5%1.4%0.5%0.1%
40.6%0.7%0.4%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Volga Ulyanovsk goals (down), columns = Shinnik Yaroslavl goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Sochi
2.57
Nizhny Novgorod
2.29
Veles
2.14
Ural
2.00
FC UFA
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.67
Spartak Kostroma
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.50
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Enisey
1.17
FK Neftekhimik
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.12
Leningradets
1.00
Tekstilshchik
0.71
KAMAZ
0.71
Chelyabinsk
0.67
Ska-khabarovsk
0.43
Volga Ulyanovsk is 0.33 points worse than Shinnik Yaroslavl in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Nizhny Novgorod
3.00
FC Sochi
2.29
Ural
1.83
Torpedo Moskva
1.83
Veles
1.57
Enisey
1.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.33
Rotor Volgograd
1.25
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.17
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
FC UFA
1.17
Chelyabinsk
1.00
KAMAZ
1.00
Arsenal Tula
0.88
Ska-khabarovsk
0.71
Leningradets
0.67
FK Neftekhimik
0.62
Tekstilshchik
0.29
Volga Ulyanovsk is 0.17 goals worse than Shinnik Yaroslavl in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.33).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Ural
0.50
Torpedo Moskva
0.67
Leningradets
0.83
Tekstilshchik
1.00
Rotor Volgograd
1.00
FC UFA
1.00
FC Sochi
1.00
Spartak Kostroma
1.17
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.17
Enisey
1.33
Nizhny Novgorod
1.43
Veles
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.50
FK Neftekhimik
1.50
KAMAZ
1.57
Arsenal Tula
1.62
Ska-khabarovsk
2.00
Chelyabinsk
2.17
Volga Ulyanovsk is 0.33 goals worse than Shinnik Yaroslavl in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
FC Sochi
54%
FK Neftekhimik
54%
Veles
54%
Volga Ulyanovsk
52%
Arsenal Tula
52%
Leningradets
50%
Nizhny Novgorod
50%
Chelyabinsk
50%
Tekstilshchik
49%
Spartak Kostroma
49%
Ska-khabarovsk
46%
FC UFA
46%
KAMAZ
46%
Ural
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk

For 3.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.0

🚩 Corners

60336H·FK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

801413332321352311135435518524H·FK H·URAH·TORA·CHEA·KAMH·RODA·FK H·FC H·ENIA·FAK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.
For 1.3 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

7013442311213121706434120A·CHEH·FK H·CHAA·ROTH·CHEH·SPAA·TORH·FAKA·SKAH·ROT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)6.36.06.52.22.32.1---
vs Stronger (16)6.5-6.52.22.32.1---
vs Similar (33)6.06.0-2.22.32.2---
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line0%0%0%28%33%23%---
% under line100%100%100%72%67%77%---
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---1.91.82.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (50)---1.91.82.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---22%17%26%---
% under line---78%83%74%---
This opponent (Volga Ulyanovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tekstilshchik
12.0
Arsenal Tula
11.0
Rotor Volgograd
11.0
Chelyabinsk
11.0
Spartak Kostroma
10.5
Nizhny Novgorod
10.5
FC Sochi
9.2
Veles
9.0
Ural
9.0
FC UFA
8.7
Torpedo Moskva
8.5
Leningradets
8.5
FK Neftekhimik
7.5
Ska-khabarovsk
7.2
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.3
Enisey
5.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Tekstilshchik
5.0
Nizhny Novgorod
4.5
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.5
KAMAZ
4.5
FC Sochi
4.4
Chelyabinsk
4.3
FC UFA
4.3
Veles
4.2
Spartak Kostroma
4.0
Arsenal Tula
3.9
Rotor Volgograd
3.8
Ural
3.8
Enisey
3.6
Ska-khabarovsk
3.6
Torpedo Moskva
3.5
Leningradets
3.4
FK Neftekhimik
3.1
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Torpedo Moskva
32.0
Nizhny Novgorod
28.6
Rotor Volgograd
28.5
FC Sochi
27.1
Ural
26.8
Enisey
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
36.2%
@ 2.01-10.0%
Under 9.5
63.8%
@ 1.73+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.02
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
1.99
Under
Pinnacle
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.9%
Under 3.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Volga Ulyanovsk or Draw✗ Miss
64.5%
Avg Implied 67.0% · @ 1.38
Edge
-2.5%
33%
32%
36%
covers Volga Ulyanovsk + Draw
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.39
Superbet
1.37
SBO
1.33
Volga Ulyanovsk or Shinnik Yaroslavl✓ Hit
68.1%
Avg Implied 71.1% · @ 1.30
Edge
-3.0%
33%
32%
36%
covers Volga Ulyanovsk + Shinnik Yaroslavl
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.29
SBO
1.26
Draw or Shinnik Yaroslavl✓ Hit
67.4%
Avg Implied 61.9% · @ 1.49
Edge
+5.5%
33%
32%
36%
covers Draw + Shinnik Yaroslavl
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.50
Superbet
1.49
SBO
1.44

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Volga Ulyanovsk over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.5%
@ 1.31-4.6%
Under
34.5%
@ 3.08+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.31
Under
Pinnacle
3.25
Marathonbet
3.08
1xBet
3.08
Superbet
2.92
Volga Ulyanovsk over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.8%
@ 2.56-7.6%
Under
71.2%
@ 1.46+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.71
Marathonbet
2.56
Superbet
2.52
1xBet
2.44
Under
1xBet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
Superbet
1.43
Volga Ulyanovsk over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.3%
@ 5.82-6.4%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.08+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.00
1xBet
6.00
Superbet
5.45
Under
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Volga Ulyanovsk over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.5%
@ 1.38+0.4%
Under
32.5%
@ 2.81-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.40
Superbet
1.38
1xBet
1.37
Marathonbet
1.37
Under
Pinnacle
2.97
1xBet
2.80
Marathonbet
2.80
Superbet
2.65
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
30.9%
@ 2.82-1.8%
Under
69.1%
@ 1.38+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.99
Marathonbet
2.85
Superbet
2.80
1xBet
2.65
Under
1xBet
1.41
Marathonbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Superbet
1.34
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
10.4%
@ 6.80-2.9%
Under
89.6%
@ 1.05+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Superbet
6.40
Under
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
Under
97.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Volga Ulyanovsk, so a minus line means Volga Ulyanovsk give that many goals of a start and Shinnik Yaroslavl receive them. At -1, Volga Ulyanovsk must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Volga Ulyanovsk win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Volga Ulyanovsk)Actual: Shinnik Yaroslavl
Volga Ulyanovsk -2
4.0%
@ 6.85-7.6%
Draw -2
9.3%
@ 4.55-8.1%
Shinnik Yaroslavl +2
86.7%
@ 1.11+15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
6.85
Draw
Marathonbet
4.55
Away
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (Volga Ulyanovsk)Actual: Shinnik Yaroslavl
Volga Ulyanovsk -1
13.3%
@ 4.85-4.8%
Draw -1
19.3%
@ 3.74-4.1%
Shinnik Yaroslavl +1
67.4%
@ 1.50+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
4.85
Draw
Marathonbet
3.74
Away
Marathonbet
1.50
Handicap +1 (Volga Ulyanovsk)Actual: Shinnik Yaroslavl
Volga Ulyanovsk +1
64.5%
@ 1.39+0.8%
Draw +1
20.5%
@ 4.20-0.6%
Shinnik Yaroslavl -1
15.1%
@ 5.80-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.39
Draw
Marathonbet
4.20
Away
Marathonbet
5.80
Handicap +2 (Volga Ulyanovsk)Actual: Draw
Volga Ulyanovsk +2
84.9%
Draw +2
10.4%
Shinnik Yaroslavl -2
4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W00D00D12L00D10W02L10W00DA·ROD18/04H·CHA22/04A·ROT26/04H·FK 03/05A·FK 10/05H·FAK16/05H·FK 25/07H·CHE02/08A·KAM09/08A·FC 16/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.500.570.500.69
vs Stronger (8)0.250.380.330.670.200.20
vs Similar (22)0.590.730.550.550.640.91
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W30W10W10W12L10W01L20W20WH·ARS18/04A·FAK22/04H·SKA26/04A·URA04/05H·TOR11/05A·CHE16/05A·TOR26/07A·NIZ02/08H·ARS08/08A·FK 14/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.301.070.070.560.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.800.301.070.070.560.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %77% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Volga Ulyanovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.1%
@ 1.45+4.2%
Under 0.5
31.9%
@ 2.57-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.46
1xBet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.70
Marathonbet
2.56
1xBet
2.56
Superbet
2.45
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
30.1%
@ 3.14+0.7%
Under 1.5
69.9%
@ 1.31-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.32
1xBet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.10
Superbet
3.05
Under
Pinnacle
1.33
1xBet
1.31
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.29
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.7%
@ 7.57-2.2%
Under 2.5
90.3%
@ 1.03+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.70
Marathonbet
7.70
Superbet
7.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.03

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Volga Ulyanovsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.9%
@ 2.17+0.1%
Under
57.1%
@ 1.62-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.22
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.14
Marathonbet
2.14
Under
Pinnacle
1.65
Marathonbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Superbet
1.60
Volga Ulyanovsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.9%
@ 7.30-1.8%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.06+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.30
Marathonbet
7.30
Under
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Volga Ulyanovsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
43.5%
@ 2.33+3.7%
Under
56.5%
@ 1.54-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.40
Superbet
2.35
1xBet
2.28
Marathonbet
2.28
Under
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathonbet
1.54
1xBet
1.54
Superbet
1.51
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
11.4%
@ 8.20+0.1%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.04-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
Marathonbet
8.20
Under
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D00D01L10W03L10W00D11D01LA·ROD18/04H·CHA22/04A·ROT26/04H·FK 03/05A·FK 10/05H·FAK16/05H·FK 25/07H·CHE02/08A·KAM09/08A·FC 16/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.570.860.690.56
vs Stronger (8)0.380.380.330.000.400.60
vs Similar (22)0.730.820.641.090.820.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Shinnik Yaroslavl) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W12L00D00D01L10W01L02L02L00DH·ARS18/04A·FAK22/04H·SKA26/04A·URA04/05H·TOR11/05A·CHE16/05A·TOR26/07A·NIZ02/08H·ARS08/08A·FK 14/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.670.360.570.500.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (30)0.430.670.360.570.500.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Volga Ulyanovsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.5%
Under 0.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.0%
Under 1.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.5%
Under 2.5
85.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Volga Ulyanovsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
50.7%
Under
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volga Ulyanovsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.9%
Under
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volga Ulyanovsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.0%
Under
97.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
50.0%
Under
50.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
17.1%
Under
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Shinnik Yaroslavl over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.599.3%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.6%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals97.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.597.6%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+3.9%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.3%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals97.0%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals96.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals96.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.592.9%1.03
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
--+5.3%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals90.7%1.08
Superbet
1.08
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
--+6.4%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals90.3%1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.03
--+2.2%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals89.6%1.05
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
--+2.9%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals89.1%1.06
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
---+1.8%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals88.6%1.04
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.04
----0.1%✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap86.7%1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
----+15.6%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals85.5%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap84.9%-------✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals84.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners83.9%1.21
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
---+9.2%-
Away under 1.5 2H goals82.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.582.2%1.19
Pinnacle
1.23
Marathonbet
1.18
1xBet
1.18
Superbet
1.17
-+5.5%✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards80.6%--------
Over 0.5 2H goals78.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners75.0%1.41
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.39
---+10.1%-
Over 2.5 cards74.1%--------
Home under 1.5 goals71.2%1.46
1xBet
1.49
Pinnacle
1.47
Marathonbet
1.46
Superbet
1.43
-+7.6%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (28)
€18m
FS (21)
€15m
URA (21)
€11m
TM (23)
€11m
RV (25)
€9m
CHE (23)
€9m
AT (26)
€8m
SK (27)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
LEN (22)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
TEK (25)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Volga Ulyanovsk and Shinnik Yaroslavl have a similar squad value (both €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (11)
€6m
TM (10)
€5m
FS (8)
€5m
URA (8)
€4m
CHE (9)
€4m
AT (8)
€3m
RV (7)
€3m
SK (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
TEK (9)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
LEN (7)
€1m
Volga Ulyanovsk and Shinnik Yaroslavl have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NN (5)
€3m
URA (4)
€2m
RV (7)
€2m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SK (7)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
FS (2)
€1m
LEN (6)
€1m
TM (4)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
CHE (2)
€1m
TEK (6)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Volga Ulyanovsk and Shinnik Yaroslavl have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (11)
€9m
NN (12)
€9m
URA (9)
€4m
TM (9)
€4m
SK (12)
€4m
RV (11)
€4m
CHE (12)
€3m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
LEN (9)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
TEK (10)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Volga Ulyanovsk and Shinnik Yaroslavl have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
0
VU wins
2
Draws
2
SY wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Volga Ulyanovsk vs Shinnik Yaroslavl · H/A from VU
DateH/AGameScore
12/04/26HVU Vs Shinnik Yaroslavl0-1
07/09/25AShinnik Yaroslavl Vs VU2-0
08/04/23AShinnik Yaroslavl Vs VU2-2
18/09/22HVU Vs Shinnik Yaroslavl1-1

Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/26AFC Sochi Vs VU1-0
09/08/26AKAMAZ Vs VU1-2
02/08/26HVU Vs Chelyabinsk0-2
25/07/26HVU Vs FK Neftekhimik2-0
16/05/26HVU Vs Fakel0-3
10/05/26AFK Neftekhimik Vs VU2-2
03/05/26HVU Vs FK Sokol Saratov0-1
26/04/26ARotor Volgograd Vs VU0-0
22/04/26HVU Vs Chayka2-1
18/04/26ARodina Moskva Vs VU0-0

Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/08/26AFK Neftekhimik Vs SY0-2
08/08/26HSY Vs Arsenal Tula2-2
02/08/26ANizhny Novgorod Vs SY3-0
26/07/26ATorpedo Moskva Vs SY1-1
16/05/26AChelyabinsk Vs SY2-2
11/05/26HSY Vs Torpedo Moskva1-1
04/05/26AUral Vs SY0-1
26/04/26HSY Vs Ska-khabarovsk3-0
22/04/26AFakel Vs SY2-2
18/04/26HSY Vs Arsenal Tula2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Volga Ulyanovsk
Volga Ulyanovsk
Russia: First League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.18
HomeWLLWL1.29
AwayDDDWL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%38%23%
AVG goals2.342.502.19
Over 1.5 %70%71%69%
Over 2.5 %38%42%35%
Over 3.5 %18%17%19%
Scored1.101.250.96
Conceded1.241.251.23
BTTS46%42%50%
Clean Sheet28%33%23%
Corners6.336.006.50
Cards4.364.234.50
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Russia: First League
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDLDW1.34
HomeDWWDD1.57
AwayWDDLW1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%39%26%
AVG goals2.202.092.30
Over 1.5 %66%70%63%
Over 2.5 %38%26%48%
Over 3.5 %18%17%19%
Scored1.081.171.00
Conceded1.120.911.30
BTTS46%39%52%
Clean Sheet34%39%30%
Corners---
Cards3.032.733.31

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC SochiFC Sochi718
86%
2.6
167+9
3.3
86%
86%
29%
10.5
100%
5.5
100%
-
0%
15
5192.31.0
54%
2Nizhny NovgorodNizhny Novgorod716
71%
2.3
2110+11
4.4
100%
100%
71%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
18
6393.01.4
50%
3VelesVeles715
71%
2.1
1110+1
3.0
86%
57%
29%
4.5
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
5
2221.61.4
54%
4UralUral612
50%
2.0
113+8
2.3
83%
50%
17%
6.0
0%
4.0
100%
-
0%
11
4241.80.5
40%
5FC UFAFC UFA611
50%
1.8
76+1
2.2
67%
33%
17%
10.5
100%
4.0
100%
27.0
100%
5
2221.21.0
46%
6Torpedo MoskvaTorpedo Moskva610
50%
1.7
114+7
2.5
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
5141.80.7
-
7Rotor VolgogradRotor Volgograd810
38%
1.2
108+2
2.2
62%
38%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3241.21.0
-
8Shinnik YaroslavlShinnik Yaroslavl69
33%
1.5
87+1
2.5
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.31.2
-
9Spartak KostromaSpartak Kostroma69
33%
1.5
77+0
2.3
67%
50%
33%
12.0
100%
5.0
100%
-
0%
8
3241.21.2
49%
10Arsenal TulaArsenal Tula89
25%
1.1
713-6
2.5
62%
50%
38%
8.5
50%
5.0
100%
-
0%
8
3230.91.6
52%
11FK NeftekhimikFK Neftekhimik89
38%
1.1
512-7
2.1
50%
25%
12%
8.5
50%
4.5
100%
27.0
100%
5
2120.61.5
54%
12EniseyEnisey67
17%
1.2
98+1
2.8
67%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.51.3
-
13Volga UlyanovskVolga Ulyanovsk67
33%
1.2
79-2
2.7
83%
50%
33%
6.0
0%
5.0
100%
-
0%
6
2131.21.5
52%
14LeningradetsLeningradets66
17%
1.0
45-1
1.5
50%
33%
0%
12.5
100%
4.0
50%
-
0%
5
1120.70.8
50%
15KAMAZKAMAZ75
14%
0.7
711-4
2.6
71%
43%
29%
15.0
100%
3.0
0%
-
0%
5
2121.01.6
46%
16TekstilshchikTekstilshchik75
14%
0.7
27-5
1.3
29%
14%
14%
9.0
50%
5.5
100%
-
0%
5
2120.31.0
49%
17ChelyabinskChelyabinsk64
17%
0.7
613-7
3.2
100%
67%
33%
11.0
100%
4.0
100%
-
0%
9
4131.02.2
50%
18Ska-khabarovskSka-khabarovsk73
14%
0.4
514-9
2.7
71%
43%
29%
6.5
50%
2.5
50%
-
0%
6
2230.72.0
46%
Russia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →

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