Volos NFC are tipped to win the Cup clash against Kalamata, with a 53% chance of a home victory, a 27% draw probability and a 20% chance of an away win. The match is expected to see about 2.6 goals, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 26% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 12.8% chance. Volos, playing at home against a side of similar strength, averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded, while Kalamata, on the road, averages 1.8 scored and 0.9 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 99.9%, Over 21.5 fouls at 99.7%, Under 7.5 at 99.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1% with a 5% edge, Over 23.5 fouls at 99.1%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.5% with a 6% edge, Under 6.5 at 98.3% with a 4% edge, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.0% with a 7% edge. Volos’ recent form shows a draw, while Kalamata has just come off two defeats.
Results analysis
The upset came early as the pre-match favourite, a home win for Volos NFC, fell short, ending in a 2-2 draw. The model had given Volos a 53% chance to triumph, but the result was a draw, so the model’s call was wrong. The match delivered on every other selection: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.3%, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.5%, and Under 6.5 goals at 98.3%. Volos, coming off a draw, had a recent run of DDLWL, while Kalamata, also fresh from a draw, had DLLWW. The final score of 2-2 confirmed the model’s predictions for total goals and both-team-goals picks, but not the favourite.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Volos NFC win✗ Miss
53.3%
Avg Implied 48.0% · @ 1.90
Edge
+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
2.08
Superbet
1.97
Dafabet
1.96
SBO
1.93
Betano
1.90
Draw✓ Hit
26.7%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.30
Edge
-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.50
Dafabet
3.45
Betano
3.45
10Bet
3.35
Superbet
3.35
Kalamata win✗ Miss
20.0%
Avg Implied 24.3% · @ 3.75
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.98
Pinnacle
3.96
Dafabet
3.95
Betano
3.95
Bet365
3.90
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Volos NFC
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.67
1.19
1.31
1.00
2.07
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
1.60
1.17
1.33
0.75
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.15
1.70
1.20
1.30
1.10
2.10
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalamata) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kalamata
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.10
0.73
2.24
0.76
1.92
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
1.78
0.83
1.77
0.77
1.80
0.90
vs Weaker (7)
3.14
0.43
3.75
0.75
2.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Volos NFC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.3%
@ 1.28+2.4%
Under 1.5
25.7%
@ 3.29-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.30
Superbet
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Betano
3.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.0%
@ 1.92-0.5%
Under 2.5
52.0%
@ 1.81+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.97
Betano
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
10Bet
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Under
Bet365
1.90
Betano
1.83
Pinnacle
1.82
SBO
1.81
10Bet
1.80
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.3%
@ 3.22-2.4%
Under 3.5
73.7%
@ 1.29+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.35
Betfair
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.20
Under
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.29
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.3%
@ 1.76-2.0%
No
49.7%
@ 1.93+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.76
No
Unibet
2.00
Betfair
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.92
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%@ 6.12+5.6%
1-0
11.2%@ 6.75+4.7%
2-0
10.3%@ 8.64+5.2%
2-1
9.6%@ 7.95+4.1%
0-0
8.6%@ 8.96+3.7%
0-1
5.8%@ 9.91+1.4%
3-0
5.7%@ 15.33+2.8%
1-2
5.4%@ 11.72+1.7%
Volos NFC goals ↓
Kalamata goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.6%
5.8%
3.3%
1.0%
0.2%
1
11%
13%
5.4%
1.7%
0.4%
2
10%
9.6%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
3
5.7%
5.3%
2.5%
0.8%
0.2%
4
2.4%
2.2%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Volos NFC goals (down), columns = Kalamata goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.40
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.40
Levadiakos
2.38
OFI
2.22
Aris Thessalonikis
2.17
Panathinaikos
2.14
PAOK
2.00
Volos NFC
1.67
Atromitos
1.60
Kifisia
1.29
Kallithea
1.20
Ellas Syros
1.20
Panetolikos
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.03
Zakynthos
1.03
Panthrakikos
1.03
Trikala
1.03
Iraklis 1908
1.00
Panionios
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.00
Marko
0.80
Larisa
0.80
Asteras Tripolis
0.80
Apollon Pontou
0.71
Kalamata
0.00
Niki Volos
0.00
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.00
Volos NFC is 1.67 points better than Kalamata in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 0.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
3.60
Volos NFC
2.33
PAOK
2.00
Levadiakos
1.88
Ellas Syros
1.80
Atromitos
1.60
OFI
1.56
Asteras Tripolis
1.40
Aris Thessalonikis
1.33
Panathinaikos
1.29
AEK Athens FC
1.20
Larisa
1.20
Panetolikos
1.17
Pyrgos 1968
1.10
Zakynthos
1.10
Panthrakikos
1.10
Trikala
1.10
Kalamata
1.00
Panionios
1.00
Niki Volos
1.00
Marko
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.00
Kifisia
0.86
Kallithea
0.80
Apollon Pontou
0.76
Iraklis 1908
0.60
Nestos Chrisoupolis
0.00
Volos NFC is 1.33 goals better than Kalamata in terms of goals scored per game (2.33 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
AEK Athens FC
0.40
OFI
0.67
Panathinaikos
0.71
Levadiakos
0.75
Aris Thessalonikis
0.83
Panionios
1.00
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.00
Kallithea
1.00
Panserraikos
1.00
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.00
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1.00
Kifisia
1.00
PAOK
1.11
Panetolikos
1.17
Atromitos
1.20
Asteras Tripolis
1.20
Volos NFC
1.33
Pyrgos 1968
1.45
Zakynthos
1.45
Panthrakikos
1.45
Trikala
1.45
Kalamata
2.00
Iraklis 1908
2.00
Niki Volos
2.00
Marko
2.00
Larisa
2.00
Apollon Pontou
2.10
Ellas Syros
2.60
Volos NFC is 0.67 goals better than Kalamata in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Volos NFC
87%
Levadiakos
71%
Panserraikos
65%
Kifisia
63%
Kallithea
60%
Niki Volos
59%
Ellas Syros
59%
Panionios
56%
Kalamata
50%
Marko
50%
Larisa
50%
Iraklis 1908
44%
Nestos Chrisoupolis
41%
Panetolikos
41%
Anagennisi Karditsas
37%
Volos NFC is 37.0 percentage points better than Kalamata in terms of average possession (87% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Volos NFC
For 3.3 · Against 3.5 · Total 6.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 14.0 · Total 29.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Kalamata
For 1.7 · Against 6.7 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.3 · Against 3.0 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.0 · Against 22.5 · Total 37.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Volos NFC
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.8
8.3
4.5
4.5
4.5
30.3
30.0
30.6
vs Stronger (16)
8.9
8.7
9.0
4.7
4.6
4.8
28.6
27.7
29.6
vs Similar (34)
8.4
8.8
7.9
4.4
4.4
4.4
31.0
31.0
31.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
30%
36%
24%
74%
72%
76%
93%
91%
95%
% under line
70%
64%
76%
26%
28%
24%
7%
9%
5%
This opponent (Kalamata) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kalamata
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
9.0
7.0
0.4
0.4
0.3
37.5
38.0
37.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (35)
8.3
9.0
7.0
0.5
0.6
0.5
37.5
38.0
37.0
vs Weaker (15)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
33%
50%
0%
6%
7%
4%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
67%
50%
100%
94%
93%
96%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Volos NFC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Panionios
10.4
Kallithea
9.7
Asteras Tripolis
9.4
Kifisia
9.2
Aris Thessalonikis
9.1
Atromitos
8.9
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.9
PAOK
8.8
OFI
8.8
AEK Athens FC
8.7
Larisa
8.6
Panetolikos
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.6
Levadiakos
8.6
Volos NFC
8.5
Panserraikos
8.5
Kalamata
8.3
Marko
7.0
Anagennisi Karditsas
6.0
Ellas Syros
5.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
5.0
Iraklis 1908
4.7
Niki Volos
4.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Anagennisi Karditsas
8.0
Kifisia
6.6
Kalamata
6.3
Larisa
6.1
Panserraikos
6.0
Kallithea
5.9
Panionios
5.8
Levadiakos
5.6
Volos NFC
5.5
Panetolikos
5.5
Asteras Tripolis
5.5
AEK Athens FC
5.4
OFI
5.3
Aris Thessalonikis
5.2
Panathinaikos
5.1
Atromitos
4.9
Iraklis 1908
4.7
PAOK
4.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.4
Ellas Syros
4.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
4.0
Marko
3.0
Niki Volos
2.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Iraklis 1908
38.0
Kalamata
37.5
Anagennisi Karditsas
37.0
Marko
37.0
Ellas Syros
34.0
Nestos Chrisoupolis
34.0
Kifisia
32.3
Larisa
32.0
Atromitos
30.8
Levadiakos
30.6
Volos NFC
30.5
Panionios
30.5
AEK Athens FC
29.3
OFI
28.8
Kallithea
28.8
Aris Thessalonikis
28.7
Panathinaikos
28.2
Asteras Tripolis
27.8
Panserraikos
27.2
Panetolikos
27.1
Niki Volos
27.0
PAOK
25.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
25.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
10.9%
@ 2.27-30.2%
Under 9.5
89.1%
@ 1.58+30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.37
Superbet
2.17
Under
Superbet
1.62
Betano
1.55
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.1%
@ 1.19-10.3%
Under 3.5
31.9%
@ 4.30+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.19
Under
Betano
4.30
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
99.7%
Under 21.5
0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Volos NFC or Draw✓ Hit
80.0%
Avg Implied 75.2% · @ 1.23
Edge
+4.8%
53%
27%
20%
covers Volos NFC + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Superbet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
Volos NFC or Kalamata✗ Miss
73.3%
Avg Implied 72.9% · @ 1.27
Edge
+0.4%
53%
27%
20%
covers Volos NFC + Kalamata
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.25
Draw or Kalamata✓ Hit
46.7%
Avg Implied 51.9% · @ 1.78
Edge
-5.2%
53%
27%
20%
covers Draw + Kalamata
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.93
10Bet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
SBO
1.82
William Hil
1.80
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Volos NFC over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.0%
@ 1.20+3.8%
Under
19.0%
@ 4.07-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
Under
1xBet
4.25
10Bet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
Betano
4.05
Bet365
3.75
Volos NFC over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
49.4%
@ 1.98+2.5%
Under
50.6%
@ 1.75-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
Superbet
1.97
Betano
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Pinnacle
1.93
Under
Pinnacle
1.81
Betano
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Volos NFC over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
23.2%
@ 4.12+0.7%
Under
76.8%
@ 1.20-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.20
Superbet
4.10
10Bet
4.00
Betano
3.80
Under
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.17
Volos NFC over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.7%
@ 8.90-1.8%
Under
91.3%
@ 1.05+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Superbet
9.10
Bet365
9.00
Betano
7.50
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Kalamata over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
60.7%
@ 1.46-2.7%
Under
39.3%
@ 2.53+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Under
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.57
Betano
2.55
Pinnacle
2.50
10Bet
2.50
Kalamata over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
24.0%
@ 3.23-4.7%
Under
76.0%
@ 1.30+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
10Bet
3.25
Bet365
3.25
Betano
3.20
Under
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
Kalamata over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 7.64-5.4%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.07+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.50
Superbet
7.70
Betano
7.50
Bet365
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Under
10Bet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
Kalamata over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 18.88-3.6%
Under
98.5%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
29.00
Superbet
21.00
Bet365
13.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
1xBet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Volos NFC, so a minus line means Volos NFC give that many goals of a start and Kalamata receive them. At -1, Volos NFC must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Volos NFC win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Volos NFC)Actual: Kalamata
Volos NFC -2
12.8%
@ 7.74+1.2%
Draw -2
16.8%
@ 5.53+0.4%
Kalamata +2
70.4%
@ 1.25-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
10.00
Superbet
7.20
10Bet
7.00
Marathonbet
6.75
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.45
Superbet
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Away
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Handicap -1 (Volos NFC)Actual: Kalamata
Volos NFC -1
29.6%
@ 3.56+4.4%
Draw -1
23.7%
@ 3.67-0.7%
Kalamata +1
46.7%
@ 1.78-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.60
Superbet
3.50
10Bet
3.40
Marathonbet
3.28
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.65
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
10Bet
3.50
Away
10Bet
1.85
Betfair
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Marathonbet
1.78
Bet365
1.67
Handicap +1 (Volos NFC)Actual: Volos NFC
Volos NFC +1
80.0%
@ 1.26+8.9%
Draw +1
12.8%
@ 5.09-4.7%
Kalamata -1
7.2%
@ 7.88-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Draw
Superbet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.15
10Bet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Away
10Bet
8.50
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
7.50
Superbet
7.50
Handicap +2 (Volos NFC)Actual: Volos NFC
Volos NFC +2
92.8%
@ 1.08+6.2%
Draw +2
5.3%
@ 11.00-3.2%
Kalamata -2
1.9%
@ 19.00-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
19.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Volos NFC
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.93
0.25
0.69
0.57
1.21
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
1.00
0.33
0.83
0.75
1.25
vs Similar (20)
0.35
0.90
0.20
0.60
0.50
1.20
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalamata) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kalamata
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.20
1.06
0.12
1.00
0.31
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.22
0.77
0.08
0.90
0.40
vs Weaker (7)
1.71
0.14
2.00
0.25
1.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Volos NFC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.9%
@ 1.38+5.1%
Under 0.5
28.1%
@ 2.78-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Superbet
1.39
Under
William Hil
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.85
10Bet
2.85
Superbet
2.77
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
32.4%
@ 2.78-0.9%
Under 1.5
67.6%
@ 1.38+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.90
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.75
1xBet
2.75
Under
10Bet
1.42
William Hil
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Betano
1.40
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.6%
@ 6.87+1.0%
Under 2.5
85.4%
@ 1.07-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
William Hil
7.00
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.70
Superbet
6.60
Under
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Volos NFC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
35.5%
@ 1.83-15.2%
Under
64.5%
@ 1.88+15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Superbet
1.83
10Bet
1.83
Pinnacle
1.82
1xBet
1.78
Under
1xBet
1.92
Pinnacle
1.89
Superbet
1.87
Betano
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Volos NFC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.3%
@ 5.00-11.2%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.14+11.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Betano
5.00
1xBet
4.90
Under
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
Volos NFC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 13.92-6.1%
Under
99.3%
@ 1.02+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
Kalamata over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
55.0%
@ 2.46+17.3%
Under
45.0%
@ 1.49-17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.57
1xBet
2.50
Superbet
2.50
Pinnacle
2.44
10Bet
2.30
Under
10Bet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Kalamata over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
17.1%
@ 8.53+6.2%
Under
82.9%
@ 1.04-6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.60
Superbet
8.50
Betano
8.00
10Bet
8.00
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Kalamata over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.1%
@ 22.83-0.1%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.01+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
33.00
10Bet
23.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Volos NFC
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.73
0.94
0.62
0.43
0.86
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
0.60
0.83
0.50
0.00
0.75
vs Similar (20)
0.80
0.80
1.00
0.70
0.60
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Kalamata) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Kalamata
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.53
1.18
0.65
0.92
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.96
0.61
1.00
0.69
0.90
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.29
1.75
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Volos NFC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
78.8%
@ 1.24+3.7%
Under 0.5
21.2%
@ 3.73-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.85
1xBet
3.80
Superbet
3.65
10Bet
3.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
45.9%
@ 2.10+1.8%
Under 1.5
54.1%
@ 1.66-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.15
10Bet
2.15
William Hil
2.15
Betano
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
Under
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.63
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
19.6%
@ 4.48-1.2%
Under 2.5
80.4%
@ 1.18+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.80
Superbet
4.55
1xBet
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Betano
4.30
Under
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Volos NFC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
44.0%
@ 1.57-14.9%
Under
56.0%
@ 2.25+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.61
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.57
1xBet
1.55
Under
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.30
10Bet
2.25
Superbet
2.17
Volos NFC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
11.3%
@ 3.73-13.6%
Under
88.7%
@ 1.23+13.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.90
10Bet
3.80
1xBet
3.60
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Volos NFC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 10.06-6.6%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.03+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
1xBet
10.50
10Bet
9.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Kalamata over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
63.8%
@ 2.10+19.6%
Under
36.2%
@ 1.66-19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.15
1xBet
2.12
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.05
Under
Betano
1.72
Superbet
1.67
1xBet
1.64
10Bet
1.62
Kalamata over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
22.5%
@ 6.58+8.4%
Under
77.5%
@ 1.08-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
7.00
1xBet
7.00
Superbet
6.30
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Kalamata over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.7%
@ 19.67+1.8%
Under
93.3%
@ 1.01-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+6.1%
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
98.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.3%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.3%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.01
-
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
97.1%
1.18
Betano
1.18
-
-
-
-
+17.9%
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
95.9%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Superbet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
-1.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
93.1%
1.07
10Bet
1.07
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Betano
1.07
Superbet
1.05
+5.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
92.8%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.7%
1.14
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
10Bet
1.13
-
+11.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.3%
1.05
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Superbet
1.04
-
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
88.7%
1.23
Betano
1.26
1xBet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
-
+13.6%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
87.8%
1.09
Bet365
1.12
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
+2.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
85.4%
1.07
Betano
1.09
Superbet
1.08
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
84.1%
1.08
Betano
1.08
-
-
-
-
-2.7%
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
82.9%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-6.2%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
81.0%
1.20
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
1xBet
1.16
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
William Hil
1.15
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
80.0%
1.23
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.27
Unibet
1.26
Superbet
1.24
William Hil
1.22
+4.8%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
80.0%
1.26
Bet365
1.30
Superbet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
-
+8.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
78.8%
1.24
Betano
1.25
10Bet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.22
+3.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
77.5%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.07
1xBet
1.05
-
-8.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
76.8%
1.20
Betano
1.24
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Bet365
1.17
-0.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
76.0%
1.30
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
Superbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.27
+4.7%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
74.3%
1.28
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.29
+2.4%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.7%
1.29
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Superbet
1.29
+2.4%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
73.3%
1.27
William Hil
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.25
+0.4%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.9%
1.38
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
1xBet
1.39
Superbet
1.39
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
70.4%
1.25
10Bet
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
Bet365
1.22
-
-1.6%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Volos NFC · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Said Hamulić27%
Jan Hurtado25%
Lazaros Lamprou23%
Joca Fernandes15%
Maximiliano Comba14%
David Martínez11%
Juanpi Añor10%
Iason Kyrkos10%
Matías González6%
Núrio Fortuna6%
Giannis Kargas4%
Marios Siampanis0%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Giannis Bouzoukis0%
Tasos Tsokanis0%
Georgios Mygas0%
André Moreira0%
Jasin Assehnoun0%
Óscar Pinchi0%
Vasilis Grosdis0%
Leroy Abanda0%
Carles Soria0%
Antonio Zarzana0%
Derek Agyakwa0%
Nabil Makni0%
Athanasios Triantafyllou0%
Lefteris Tasiouras0%
Konstantinos Lykourinos0%
Klearchos Vainopoulos0%
Diamanti Legisi0%
Athanasios Papathanasiou Gerofokoas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Maximiliano Comba41%
Giannis Kargas40%
David Martínez37%
Jan Hurtado33%
Núrio Fortuna33%
Konstantinos Lykourinos33%
Leroy Abanda31%
Georgios Mygas29%
Athanasios Triantafyllou29%
Hjörtur Hermannsson25%
Nabil Makni24%
Jasin Assehnoun21%
Tasos Tsokanis20%
Lefteris Tasiouras17%
Giannis Bouzoukis16%
Marios Siampanis15%
Juanpi Añor14%
Said Hamulić13%
Matías González12%
Iason Kyrkos10%
Carles Soria10%
Óscar Pinchi8%
Lazaros Lamprou3%
Joca Fernandes0%
André Moreira0%
Vasilis Grosdis0%
Antonio Zarzana0%
Derek Agyakwa0%
Klearchos Vainopoulos0%
Diamanti Legisi0%
Athanasios Papathanasiou Gerofokoas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Said Hamulić13%
Leroy Abanda12%
Núrio Fortuna11%
Jan Hurtado8%
Óscar Pinchi8%
Joca Fernandes7%
Maximiliano Comba7%
Matías González6%
Carles Soria5%
Giannis Bouzoukis4%
Georgios Mygas4%
Lazaros Lamprou3%
Marios Siampanis0%
Juanpi Añor0%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Tasos Tsokanis0%
Giannis Kargas0%
André Moreira0%
Jasin Assehnoun0%
Vasilis Grosdis0%
Antonio Zarzana0%
Derek Agyakwa0%
Nabil Makni0%
Athanasios Triantafyllou0%
Iason Kyrkos0%
Lefteris Tasiouras0%
David Martínez0%
Konstantinos Lykourinos0%
Klearchos Vainopoulos0%
Diamanti Legisi0%
Athanasios Papathanasiou Gerofokoas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Said Hamulić27%
Jan Hurtado25%
Juanpi Añor14%
Lazaros Lamprou13%
Maximiliano Comba7%
Giannis Kargas4%
Marios Siampanis0%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Núrio Fortuna0%
Giannis Bouzoukis0%
Tasos Tsokanis0%
Georgios Mygas0%
Joca Fernandes0%
André Moreira0%
Jasin Assehnoun0%
Óscar Pinchi0%
Vasilis Grosdis0%
Leroy Abanda0%
Carles Soria0%
Antonio Zarzana0%
Derek Agyakwa0%
Matías González0%
Nabil Makni0%
Athanasios Triantafyllou0%
Iason Kyrkos0%
Lefteris Tasiouras0%
David Martínez0%
Konstantinos Lykourinos0%
Klearchos Vainopoulos0%
Diamanti Legisi0%
Athanasios Papathanasiou Gerofokoas0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
KAL (28)
€11m
VN (25)
€10m
KIF (27)
€10m
I1 (25)
€9m
PAN (27)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
KAL (27)
€5m
PAN (24)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
MAR (27)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
NC (23)
€3m
ES (20)
€3m
AP (16)
€2m
Volos NFC and Kalamata have a similar squad value (both €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
KIF (10)
€4m
KAL (8)
€4m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
PAN (11)
€2m
I1 (6)
€2m
MAR (11)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (9)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Volos NFC and Kalamata have a similar attack value (both €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
I1 (7)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
KAL (6)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
KIF (6)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
PAN (3)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
NC (5)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
ES (3)
€1m
MAR (4)
€0m
PAN (1)
€0m
Volos NFC and Kalamata have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
KIF (11)
€4m
I1 (12)
€4m
PAN (11)
€3m
KAL (14)
€3m
PAN (13)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
LAR (13)
€2m
MAR (12)
€2m
PAN (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
NC (9)
€1m
ES (8)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Volos NFC and Kalamata have a similar defence value (both €5m).
Greece: Super League 1 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PAOK
Panetolikos
Aris Thessalonikis
Olympiakos Piraeus
AEK Athens FC
Panathinaikos
OFI
Kifisia
Iraklis 1908
Atromitos
Asteras Tripolis
Levadiakos