PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Vushtrria vs Malisheva Result & Analysis

Date: 15/08/2026
Time: 14:30
Final 1-6
Vushtrria
Vushtrria
Vs
29%
31%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Malisheva
Malisheva
Kosovo: Superliga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

This Kosovo Superliga encounter between Vushtrria and Malisheva on August 15 is finely balanced, with the away side's recent-form storyline a significant factor. Malisheva is coming off a defeat, whereas Vushtrria is on a 5-game winning run, having beaten Vëllaznimi 3-1 in their last match.

The model's selection is an away win, with a 39% probability, while Vushtrria has a 30% chance of winning at home and a 31% chance of drawing. The expected total number of goals is 2.3, with the most likely total number of goals being 2. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 14.5% probability.

Vushtrria has been scoring an average of 2.07 goals at home, conceding 0.57. Malisheva, on the other hand, has been scoring 1.0 goal away, but conceding 2.25. The model suggests Under 3.5 goals, with an 80.1% probability.

Results analysis

The win extends Vushtrria's recent losing streak, with the 1-6 defeat marking their second consecutive loss. In contrast, Malisheva bounced back from a defeat to secure a convincing away win. The final score was well above the model's expected total of 2.3 goals, with the actual result being a 1-6 away win. The model correctly picked the away win, with a pre-match probability of 41%. The model's selection to win away was correct. The model's suggested selections included Under 3.5 goals, which was the model's pick, but it was a miss, with an 80.1% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Vushtrria win✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied 19.8% · @ 4.54
Edge
+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
4.75
Bet365
4.75
Betfair
4.75
Dafabet
4.70
1xBet
4.68
Draw✗ Miss
30.8%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.36
Edge
+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.40
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.40
Betano
3.35
Malisheva win✓ Hit
40.7%
Avg Implied 53.6% · @ 1.68
Edge
-12.9%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.80
Dafabet
1.70
1xBet
1.69
Marathonbet
1.67
Betano
1.67

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

VushtrriaVushtrria

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D30W22D11D00D10W41W10W10W31WA·VJO22/03H·KEK29/03H·TRE05/04A·FER11/04H·2 K19/04A·IST26/04H·PRI03/05A·TRE10/05H·RAM16/05A·VËL23/05← Liga E PareSuperliga →
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.730.732.070.601.400.87
vs Stronger (30)1.730.732.070.601.400.87
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Malisheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MalishevaMalisheva

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L42W10W31W10W11D41W23L32W14LA·PRI11/04H·BAL19/04A·DUK26/04H·GJI29/04A·PRI02/05A·FER10/05H·DRE17/05A·LLA24/05H·DRI31/05A·HIB30/07
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.331.861.291.311.38
vs Stronger (1)1.004.00--1.004.00
vs Similar (23)1.481.261.731.551.251.00
vs Weaker (6)2.001.172.330.331.672.00
Clean sheet %37% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Vushtrria) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%021%128%220%312%45%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.0%
@ 1.32-1.0%
Under 1.5
32.0%
@ 2.95+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.31
Under
10Bet
3.00
1xBet
2.92
Marathonbet
2.92
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.2%
@ 1.99-5.5%
Under 2.5
59.8%
@ 1.67+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.08
10Bet
2.05
1xBet
2.01
Marathonbet
2.01
Betano
1.98
Under
Bet365
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Betano
1.65
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.9%
@ 3.51-6.1%
Under 3.5
80.1%
@ 1.24+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.70
1xBet
3.42
Marathonbet
3.42
Under
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.3%
@ 1.85-0.8%
No
52.7%
@ 1.72+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Marathonbet
1.91
1xBet
1.91
10Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.75
No
1xBet
1.77
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.74
BetVictor
1.60

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%@ 6.35+7.8%
0-1
11.5%@ 5.75+4.2%
0-0
11.4%@ 8.30+6.4%
1-0
9.0%@ 10.40+5.0%
1-2
8.3%@ 8.00+3.1%
0-2
8.1%@ 6.90+2.1%
2-1
6.7%@ 14.20+3.8%
2-0
5.3%@ 21.60+3.3%
Vushtrria goals ↓
Malisheva goals →
01234
011%12%8.1%3.4%1.1%
19.0%14%8.3%3.5%1.1%
25.3%6.7%4.3%1.8%0.6%
31.8%2.3%1.5%0.6%0.2%
40.5%0.6%0.4%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Vushtrria goals (down), columns = Malisheva goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Drita
1.83
Malisheva
1.64
Ballkani
1.61
Drenica Skënderaj
1.43
Dukagjini
1.42
Gjilani
1.42
Llapi
1.41
Prishtina
1.36
Feronikeli
1.04
Vushtrria
0.45
Vushtrria is 1.19 points worse than Malisheva in terms of average points per game (0.45 vs 1.64).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ballkani
1.69
Malisheva
1.61
Prishtina
1.44
Drita
1.39
Drenica Skënderaj
1.31
Gjilani
1.31
Llapi
1.30
Dukagjini
1.17
Feronikeli
0.97
Vushtrria
0.42
Vushtrria is 1.19 goals worse than Malisheva in terms of goals scored per game (0.42 vs 1.61).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Drita
0.97
Dukagjini
1.00
Ballkani
1.14
Gjilani
1.33
Llapi
1.35
Malisheva
1.39
Prishtina
1.42
Drenica Skënderaj
1.49
Feronikeli
1.68
Vushtrria
3.89
Vushtrria is 2.50 goals worse than Malisheva in terms of goals conceded per game (3.89 vs 1.39).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

VushtrriaVushtrria

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W00D21W00D00D10W40W00D00D10WH·TEF15/03A·VJO22/03H·TRE05/04A·FER11/04H·2 K19/04A·IST26/04H·PRI03/05A·TRE10/05H·RAM16/05A·VËL23/05← Liga E PareSuperliga →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.331.270.330.530.33
vs Stronger (30)0.900.331.270.330.530.33
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Malisheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MalishevaMalisheva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L00D20W00D01L00D13L02L03LA·PRI11/04H·BAL19/04A·DUK26/04H·GJI29/04A·PRI02/05A·FER10/05H·DRE17/05A·LLA24/05H·DRI31/05A·HIB30/07
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.630.570.500.620.75
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (23)0.520.650.450.640.580.67
vs Weaker (6)1.000.171.000.001.000.33
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Vushtrria) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Vushtrria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vushtrria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vushtrria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

VushtrriaVushtrria

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D01L11D00D00D01L10W10W21WH·TEF15/03A·VJO22/03H·TRE05/04A·FER11/04H·2 K19/04A·IST26/04H·PRI03/05A·TRE10/05H·RAM16/05A·VËL23/05← Liga E PareSuperliga →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.500.800.470.870.53
vs Stronger (30)0.830.500.800.470.870.53
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Malisheva) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MalishevaMalisheva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L41W10W11D10W10W41W10W30W11DA·PRI11/04H·BAL19/04A·DUK26/04H·GJI29/04A·PRI02/05A·FER10/05H·DRE17/05A·LLA24/05H·DRI31/05A·HIB30/07
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.701.290.790.690.62
vs Stronger (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.960.611.270.910.670.33
vs Weaker (6)1.001.001.330.330.671.67
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Vushtrria) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Vushtrria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vushtrria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vushtrria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malisheva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.580.1%1.24
10Bet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
--+6.1%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (24)
€8m
BAL (26)
€7m
PRI (24)
€6m
MAL (19)
€5m
LLA (28)
€5m
GJI (16)
€4m
DUK (20)
€3m
FER (14)
€3m
DS (8)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
Vushtrria's squad is €5m less valuable than Malisheva's (€0m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PRI (10)
€4m
DRI (8)
€3m
BAL (7)
€3m
LLA (9)
€2m
GJI (6)
€2m
MAL (6)
€2m
DUK (7)
€2m
FER (7)
€1m
DS (5)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
Vushtrria's attack is €2m less valuable than Malisheva's (€0m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAL (8)
€2m
DRI (5)
€2m
MAL (4)
€1m
LLA (7)
€1m
GJI (3)
€1m
PRI (3)
€1m
DUK (5)
€1m
FER (2)
€0m
DS (1)
€0m
VUS (0)
€0m
Vushtrria's midfield is €1m less valuable than Malisheva's (€0m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DRI (11)
€3m
PRI (11)
€2m
BAL (11)
€2m
MAL (9)
€2m
LLA (12)
€2m
GJI (7)
€2m
DUK (8)
€1m
FER (5)
€1m
VUS (3)
€0m
DS (2)
€0m
Vushtrria's defence is €2m less valuable than Malisheva's (€0m vs €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
VUS wins
0
Draws
0
MAL wins

Head-to-head

Vushtrria vs Malisheva · H/A from VUS
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

VushtrriaVushtrria

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26AVëllaznimi Vs VUS1-3
16/05/26HVUS Vs Ramiz Sadiku1-0
10/05/26ATrepça Mitrovicë Vs VUS0-1
03/05/26HVUS Vs Prizreni4-1
26/04/26AIstogu Vs VUS0-1
19/04/26HVUS Vs 2 Korriku0-0
11/04/26AFeronikeli Vs VUS1-1
05/04/26HVUS Vs Trepça'892-2
29/03/26HVUS Vs KEK-u3-0
22/03/26AVjosa Vs VUS1-1

MalishevaMalisheva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/07/26AHibernian Vs MAL4-1
31/05/26HMAL Vs Drita3-2
24/05/26ALlapi Vs MAL3-2
17/05/26HMAL Vs Drenica Skënderaj4-1
10/05/26AFerizaj Vs MAL1-1
02/05/26APrishtina Vs MAL0-1
29/04/26HMAL Vs Gjilani3-1
26/04/26ADukagjini Vs MAL0-1
19/04/26HMAL Vs Ballkani4-2
11/04/26APrishtina e Re Vs MAL2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Vushtrria
Vushtrria
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW2.17
HomeWDDWW2.44
AwayDDWWW1.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %63%72%53%
AVG goals2.512.722.29
Over 1.5 %71%72%71%
Over 2.5 %49%56%41%
Over 3.5 %23%28%18%
Scored1.772.061.47
Conceded0.740.670.82
BTTS51%44%59%
Clean Sheet46%56%35%
Corners---
Cards---
Malisheva
Malisheva
Kosovo: Superliga
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWL1.42
HomeWWWWW1.56
AwayWWDLL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%36%
AVG goals2.942.803.08
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %56%56%56%
Over 3.5 %34%36%32%
Scored1.401.441.36
Conceded1.541.361.72
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MalishevaMalisheva37
67%
2.3
102+8
4.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2123.30.7
-
2GjilaniGjilani37
67%
2.3
73+4
3.3
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2122.31.0
-
3PrishtinaPrishtina26
100%
3.0
82+6
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
4124.01.0
-
4DritaDrita26
100%
3.0
63+3
4.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
3233.01.5
-
5BallkaniBallkani36
67%
2.0
65+1
3.7
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3222.01.7
-
6DukagjiniDukagjini35
33%
1.7
32+1
1.7
33%
33%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.00.7
-
7Drenica SkënderajDrenica Skënderaj32
0%
0.7
13-2
1.3
67%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.31.0
-
8FeronikeliFeronikeli30
0%
0.0
17-6
2.7
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1010.32.3
-
9VushtrriaVushtrria30
0%
0.0
29-7
3.7
67%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.73.0
-
10LlapiLlapi30
0%
0.0
311-8
4.7
100%
67%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.03.7
-
Kosovo: Superliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Kosovo: Superliga stats & trends →

← all matches