Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
π₯ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
βοΈ 7. Handicap
β±οΈ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
VVV Venlo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.80
0.27
0.40
0.53
1.20
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.60
0.00
0.50
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (25)
0.44
0.84
0.31
0.38
0.58
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Jong Ajax) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jong Ajax
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.53
0.47
0.53
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.57
0.53
0.47
0.62
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
VVV Venlo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jong Ajax over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jong Ajax over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jong Ajax over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
β±οΈ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
VVV Venlo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.97
0.53
0.87
0.60
1.07
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.60
0.96
0.62
0.85
0.58
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Jong Ajax) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jong Ajax
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.90
0.73
0.60
0.53
1.20
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.61
0.86
0.73
0.60
0.46
1.15
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
1.50
-
-
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
VVV Venlo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jong Ajax over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jong Ajax over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jong Ajax over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Over 8.5 corners
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Under 3.5
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Over 1.5
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
72.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
π½ 13. Player market rates
VVV Venlo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dean Zandbergen22%
Layee Kromah21%
Gabin Blancquart17%
Bjorn van Zijl15%
Navarone Foor14%
Konstantinos Doumtsios12%
Max de Waal11%
NaΓ―m Matoug9%
Sylian Mokono8%
Martijn Berden8%
Thijme Verheijen8%
Tim Braem6%
Simon Janssen6%
Lasse Wehmeyer6%
Elias Sierra6%
Paul Friedrich PΓΆpperl6%
Pepijn Doesburg5%
Rick Ketting4%
Dries Saddiki0%
Jan de Boer0%
Trevor Doornbusch0%
Brahim Darri0%
Delano van Crooij0%
Roel Janssen0%
Yahcuroo Roemer0%
Robin Lathouwers0%
Serano Seymor0%
Emmanuel Gyamfi0%
Diego van Zutphen0%
Mohammed Odriss0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Yousri El Anbri0%
Resley Kessels0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Roel Janssen43%
Tim Braem26%
Gabin Blancquart24%
Emmanuel Gyamfi19%
Simon Janssen18%
Lasse Wehmeyer18%
Paul Friedrich PΓΆpperl17%
Navarone Foor14%
Sylian Mokono12%
Rick Ketting11%
Max de Waal11%
Diego van Zutphen11%
Brahim Darri10%
Jan de Boer9%
Trevor Doornbusch8%
Yousri El Anbri8%
Serano Seymor7%
Konstantinos Doumtsios4%
Martijn Berden4%
Thijme Verheijen4%
NaΓ―m Matoug3%
Dries Saddiki0%
Delano van Crooij0%
Yahcuroo Roemer0%
Elias Sierra0%
Robin Lathouwers0%
Pepijn Doesburg0%
Dean Zandbergen0%
Layee Kromah0%
Mohammed Odriss0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Resley Kessels0%
Bjorn van Zijl0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martijn Berden15%
Navarone Foor14%
Dean Zandbergen11%
Brahim Darri10%
NaΓ―m Matoug9%
Konstantinos Doumtsios8%
Bjorn van Zijl8%
Serano Seymor7%
Layee Kromah7%
Emmanuel Gyamfi6%
Elias Sierra6%
Thijme Verheijen4%
Tim Braem3%
Simon Janssen3%
Lasse Wehmeyer3%
Dries Saddiki0%
Jan de Boer0%
Trevor Doornbusch0%
Delano van Crooij0%
Roel Janssen0%
Yahcuroo Roemer0%
Rick Ketting0%
Sylian Mokono0%
Max de Waal0%
Robin Lathouwers0%
Pepijn Doesburg0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Diego van Zutphen0%
Paul Friedrich PΓΆpperl0%
Mohammed Odriss0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Yousri El Anbri0%
Resley Kessels0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dean Zandbergen33%
Navarone Foor21%
Thijme Verheijen19%
Konstantinos Doumtsios17%
Layee Kromah14%
Pepijn Doesburg11%
Lasse Wehmeyer9%
Martijn Berden8%
Rick Ketting7%
NaΓ―m Matoug6%
Max de Waal5%
Sylian Mokono4%
Tim Braem3%
Elias Sierra3%
Dries Saddiki0%
Jan de Boer0%
Trevor Doornbusch0%
Brahim Darri0%
Delano van Crooij0%
Roel Janssen0%
Simon Janssen0%
Yahcuroo Roemer0%
Robin Lathouwers0%
Serano Seymor0%
Emmanuel Gyamfi0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Diego van Zutphen0%
Paul Friedrich PΓΆpperl0%
Mohammed Odriss0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Yousri El Anbri0%
Resley Kessels0%
Bjorn van Zijl0%
Jong Ajax
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ahmetcan Kaplan67%
Rayane Bounida32%
Julian Rijkhoff21%
Jaydon Banel20%
Kristian Hlynsson14%
Jan Faberski12%
Jorthy Mokio12%
Nassef Chourak10%
Kayden Wolff6%
Dies Janse5%
Don-Angelo Konadu5%
Skye Vink5%
Julian Brandes4%
Precious Ugwu4%
Diant Ramaj0%
Sivert Mannsverk0%
Amourricho van Axel-Dongen0%
Yoram Boerhout0%
Charlie Setford0%
Diyae Jermoumi0%
David Kalokoh0%
Rida Chahid0%
Paul Reverson0%
Gerald Alders0%
Rico Speksnijder0%
Avery Appiah0%
Nick Verschuren0%
Aaron Bouwman0%
Lucas Jetten0%
Sean Steur0%
Mark Verkuijl0%
Jinairo Johnson0%
Ryan van de Pavert0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ahmetcan Kaplan67%
Jorthy Mokio24%
Nick Verschuren21%
Jan Faberski21%
Charlie Setford20%
Rida Chahid20%
Lucas Jetten15%
Dies Janse15%
Kristian Hlynsson14%
Jaydon Banel13%
Kayden Wolff12%
Rico Speksnijder12%
Don-Angelo Konadu10%
Ryan van de Pavert10%
Nassef Chourak10%
Gerald Alders9%
Mark Verkuijl8%
Jinairo Johnson8%
Paul Reverson7%
Precious Ugwu4%
Julian Rijkhoff3%
Diant Ramaj0%
Sivert Mannsverk0%
Amourricho van Axel-Dongen0%
Yoram Boerhout0%
Julian Brandes0%
Diyae Jermoumi0%
David Kalokoh0%
Skye Vink0%
Rayane Bounida0%
Avery Appiah0%
Aaron Bouwman0%
Sean Steur0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kristian Hlynsson29%
Don-Angelo Konadu15%
Rida Chahid13%
Sean Steur11%
Jan Faberski9%
Precious Ugwu7%
Jaydon Banel7%
Diyae Jermoumi6%
Kayden Wolff6%
Rayane Bounida5%
Nassef Chourak5%
Gerald Alders4%
Julian Rijkhoff3%
Lucas Jetten3%
Diant Ramaj0%
Sivert Mannsverk0%
Amourricho van Axel-Dongen0%
Yoram Boerhout0%
Ahmetcan Kaplan0%
Charlie Setford0%
Julian Brandes0%
David Kalokoh0%
Skye Vink0%
Paul Reverson0%
Rico Speksnijder0%
Dies Janse0%
Avery Appiah0%
Nick Verschuren0%
Jorthy Mokio0%
Aaron Bouwman0%
Mark Verkuijl0%
Jinairo Johnson0%
Ryan van de Pavert0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jaydon Banel40%
Julian Rijkhoff24%
Rayane Bounida21%
Kayden Wolff12%
Jan Faberski12%
Yoram Boerhout8%
Aaron Bouwman7%
Jorthy Mokio6%
Dies Janse5%
Sean Steur4%
Diant Ramaj0%
Sivert Mannsverk0%
Kristian Hlynsson0%
Amourricho van Axel-Dongen0%
Ahmetcan Kaplan0%
Charlie Setford0%
Julian Brandes0%
Diyae Jermoumi0%
Nassef Chourak0%
David Kalokoh0%
Rida Chahid0%
Skye Vink0%
Paul Reverson0%
Gerald Alders0%
Rico Speksnijder0%
Precious Ugwu0%
Avery Appiah0%
Nick Verschuren0%
Lucas Jetten0%
Don-Angelo Konadu0%
Mark Verkuijl0%
Jinairo Johnson0%
Ryan van de Pavert0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
π° 14. Squad value
π° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (24)
€19m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
JPU (14)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
JA (19)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
JU (8)
€2m
VVV Venlo's squad is €15m less valuable than Jong Ajax's (€4m vs €19m).
βοΈ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
JA (7)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
JA (7)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
JPU (4)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
VVV Venlo's attack is €3m less valuable than Jong Ajax's (€1m vs €4m).
π§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (6)
€3m
JPU (3)
€3m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
JA (4)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
VVV Venlo's midfield is €3m less valuable than Jong Ajax's (€0m vs €3m).
π‘οΈ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (11)
€12m
CAM (10)
€8m
EXC (11)
€6m
ADH (9)
€5m
TEL (10)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
JPU (7)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
JA (8)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
VVV Venlo's defence is €9m less valuable than Jong Ajax's (€2m vs €12m).
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →