Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
π₯ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
βοΈ 7. Handicap
β±οΈ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
VVV Venlo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.57
0.33
0.40
0.27
0.73
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.80
0.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (25)
0.32
0.52
0.42
0.25
0.23
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Jong Ajax) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jong Ajax
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.69
0.75
0.36
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.52
0.78
0.60
0.80
0.42
0.75
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
VVV Venlo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jong Ajax over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jong Ajax over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jong Ajax over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
β±οΈ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
VVV Venlo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.97
0.80
1.07
1.07
0.87
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.20
0.33
2.00
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (25)
1.04
0.92
0.92
0.83
1.15
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Jong Ajax) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Jong Ajax
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.07
1.00
0.88
0.86
1.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.85
1.11
0.87
0.87
0.83
1.42
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.67
3.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
27% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (VVV Venlo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
VVV Venlo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
VVV Venlo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jong Ajax over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jong Ajax over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jong Ajax over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
π₯ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Over 1.5
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Miss
Over 8.5 corners
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Under 3.5
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Hit
Under 4.5 cards
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
β Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
π½ 13. Player market rates
VVV Venlo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bjorn van Zijl27%
Dean Zandbergen23%
Jorn Triep14%
Nassim Ait Mouhou11%
Philip Heise10%
Gabin Blancquart9%
NaΓ―m Matoug8%
Sylian Mokono8%
Lars de Blok6%
Navarone Foor6%
Layee Kromah4%
Luuk Verheij4%
Lasse Wehmeyer4%
Joshua Eijgenraam3%
Dries Saddiki0%
Youri Schoonderwaldt0%
Dylan Timber0%
Michael Davis0%
Joep Kluskens0%
Diego van Oorschot0%
Mohammed Odriss0%
Thomas Reinders0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Yousri Sbai0%
Thomas Janssen0%
Raf Vullers0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Michael Davis25%
Nassim Ait Mouhou19%
Gabin Blancquart19%
Yousri Sbai18%
Joshua Eijgenraam16%
Tijn Joosten16%
Sylian Mokono15%
Thomas Reinders14%
Navarone Foor14%
Mohammed Odriss13%
Dries Saddiki12%
Lars de Blok12%
Diego van Oorschot12%
Dean Zandbergen11%
Layee Kromah11%
NaΓ―m Matoug8%
Luuk Verheij7%
Bjorn van Zijl7%
Lasse Wehmeyer4%
Philip Heise3%
Youri Schoonderwaldt0%
Dylan Timber0%
Joep Kluskens0%
Jorn Triep0%
Thomas Janssen0%
Raf Vullers0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lars de Blok15%
Navarone Foor14%
Bjorn van Zijl13%
Jorn Triep9%
Dean Zandbergen9%
Philip Heise7%
Mohammed Odriss4%
NaΓ―m Matoug4%
Diego van Oorschot4%
Layee Kromah4%
Luuk Verheij4%
Lasse Wehmeyer4%
Nassim Ait Mouhou3%
Youri Schoonderwaldt3%
Dries Saddiki0%
Sylian Mokono0%
Dylan Timber0%
Joshua Eijgenraam0%
Michael Davis0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Joep Kluskens0%
Thomas Reinders0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Yousri Sbai0%
Thomas Janssen0%
Raf Vullers0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dean Zandbergen34%
Layee Kromah15%
Jorn Triep14%
Nassim Ait Mouhou14%
Bjorn van Zijl10%
Diego van Oorschot8%
NaΓ―m Matoug4%
Lasse Wehmeyer4%
Joshua Eijgenraam3%
Philip Heise0%
Dries Saddiki0%
Navarone Foor0%
Sylian Mokono0%
Youri Schoonderwaldt0%
Dylan Timber0%
Michael Davis0%
Gabin Blancquart0%
Joep Kluskens0%
Mohammed Odriss0%
Lars de Blok0%
Thomas Reinders0%
Luuk Verheij0%
Tijn Joosten0%
Yousri Sbai0%
Thomas Janssen0%
Raf Vullers0%
Jong Ajax
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ahmetcan Kaplan33%
Emre ΓnΓΌvar29%
Zakaria Ouazane25%
Lasse Abildgaard25%
David Kalokoh22%
Don O`Niel22%
Skye Vink20%
Don-Angelo Konadu18%
Aaron Bouwman17%
Abdellah Ouazane16%
Nassef Chourak15%
Kayden Wolff12%
Pharrel Nash11%
Rayane Bounida10%
Sean Steur9%
Mohamed Abdalla7%
Tijn Peters6%
Lucas Jetten4%
Ethan Butera0%
Paul Reverson0%
Gerald Alders0%
Joeri Heerkens0%
Avery Appiah0%
Aymean el Hani0%
Mylo van der Lans0%
Luca Messori0%
Mark Verkuijl0%
Jinairo Johnson0%
Marvyn Muzungu0%
Ryan van de Pavert0%
DamiΓ‘n van der Vaart0%
Kennynho Kasanwirjo0%
Thijmen Romers0%
Mark Verkuijl0%
Zakaria Ouazane0%
Leroy Frankel0%
Levi Acheampong0%
Maximilian IbrahimoviΔ0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Levi Acheampong50%
Mark Verkuijl33%
Ethan Butera27%
Paul Reverson25%
Aymean el Hani25%
Maximilian IbrahimoviΔ25%
Mark Verkuijl20%
Mohamed Abdalla20%
Don O`Niel16%
Kayden Wolff16%
Abdellah Ouazane16%
Nassef Chourak15%
Emre ΓnΓΌvar14%
DamiΓ‘n van der Vaart14%
Skye Vink13%
Avery Appiah12%
Marvyn Muzungu11%
Zakaria Ouazane11%
Jinairo Johnson10%
Gerald Alders10%
Rayane Bounida10%
Ryan van de Pavert10%
Tijn Peters10%
Lucas Jetten7%
Joeri Heerkens5%
Mylo van der Lans4%
Ahmetcan Kaplan0%
David Kalokoh0%
Zakaria Ouazane0%
Lasse Abildgaard0%
Aaron Bouwman0%
Sean Steur0%
Luca Messori0%
Don-Angelo Konadu0%
Kennynho Kasanwirjo0%
Thijmen Romers0%
Pharrel Nash0%
Leroy Frankel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rayane Bounida30%
Levi Acheampong25%
Abdellah Ouazane16%
Pharrel Nash16%
Don O`Niel14%
Mohamed Abdalla13%
Don-Angelo Konadu12%
Gerald Alders10%
Tijn Peters10%
Sean Steur9%
Kayden Wolff8%
Nassef Chourak8%
Lucas Jetten7%
Emre ΓnΓΌvar7%
Jinairo Johnson7%
Skye Vink7%
Avery Appiah6%
Mylo van der Lans4%
Ahmetcan Kaplan0%
Ethan Butera0%
David Kalokoh0%
Paul Reverson0%
Joeri Heerkens0%
Zakaria Ouazane0%
Lasse Abildgaard0%
Aymean el Hani0%
Aaron Bouwman0%
Luca Messori0%
Mark Verkuijl0%
Marvyn Muzungu0%
Ryan van de Pavert0%
DamiΓ‘n van der Vaart0%
Kennynho Kasanwirjo0%
Thijmen Romers0%
Mark Verkuijl0%
Zakaria Ouazane0%
Leroy Frankel0%
Maximilian IbrahimoviΔ0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ahmetcan Kaplan33%
Rayane Bounida30%
Kayden Wolff24%
Don O`Niel22%
Sean Steur18%
Emre ΓnΓΌvar14%
Abdellah Ouazane12%
Don-Angelo Konadu12%
Pharrel Nash11%
Skye Vink10%
Mohamed Abdalla7%
Jinairo Johnson3%
Tijn Peters3%
Nassef Chourak0%
Ethan Butera0%
David Kalokoh0%
Paul Reverson0%
Gerald Alders0%
Joeri Heerkens0%
Zakaria Ouazane0%
Avery Appiah0%
Lasse Abildgaard0%
Aymean el Hani0%
Aaron Bouwman0%
Lucas Jetten0%
Mylo van der Lans0%
Luca Messori0%
Mark Verkuijl0%
Marvyn Muzungu0%
Ryan van de Pavert0%
DamiΓ‘n van der Vaart0%
Kennynho Kasanwirjo0%
Thijmen Romers0%
Mark Verkuijl0%
Zakaria Ouazane0%
Leroy Frankel0%
Levi Acheampong0%
Maximilian IbrahimoviΔ0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
π° 14. Squad value
π° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (24)
€19m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
ACF (27)
€10m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
JPU (14)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
JA (19)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
JU (8)
€2m
VVV Venlo's squad is €15m less valuable than Jong Ajax's (€4m vs €19m).
βοΈ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ADH (11)
€7m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
JA (7)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
JA (7)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
JPU (4)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
VVV Venlo's attack is €3m less valuable than Jong Ajax's (€1m vs €4m).
π§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WI (4)
€4m
JA (6)
€3m
JPU (3)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
JA (4)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
JU (2)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
VVV Venlo's midfield is €3m less valuable than Jong Ajax's (€0m vs €3m).
π‘οΈ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
JA (11)
€12m
CAM (10)
€8m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
WAA (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
JPU (7)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
JA (8)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
JU (3)
€1m
VVV Venlo's defence is €9m less valuable than Jong Ajax's (€2m vs €12m).
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →