PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Warrenpoint Town vs Loughgall Result & Analysis

Date: 20/12/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Warrenpoint Town
Warrenpoint Town
Vs
41%
28%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Loughgall
Loughgall
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Warrenpoint Town win✓ Hit
40.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Loughgall win✗ Miss
31.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L41W11D22D33D10W20W23L11D40WA·NEW27/09H·BAL04/10A·LOU11/10H·H&W18/10A·LIM01/11H·INS08/11A·ARM15/11A·DUN22/11H·QUE29/11A·BAL13/12
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.371.871.271.271.47
vs Stronger (25)1.281.361.581.001.001.69
vs Similar (5)3.001.403.002.333.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Loughgall) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LoughgallLoughgall

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D10W22D23L11D11D21W11D20WA·LIM04/10H·WAR11/10A·BAL17/10H·NEW25/10H·ANN01/11A·H&W08/11H·LIM15/11H·DUN29/11A·ARD06/12H·QUE13/12
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.501.381.621.141.36
vs Stronger (6)1.331.831.252.001.501.50
vs Similar (20)1.301.601.401.601.201.60
vs Weaker (4)1.000.501.501.000.500.00
Clean sheet %20% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Warrenpoint Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
76.2%
Under 1.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.4%
Under 2.5
49.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.4%
Under 3.5
71.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.6%
No
44.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
2-1
8.8%
1-0 ✓
8.6%
0-0
8.0%
1-2
7.6%
0-1
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
2-2
5.5%
Warrenpoint Town goals ↓
Loughgall goals →
01234
08.0%7.2%5.2%2.2%0.7%
18.6%13%7.6%3.1%1.0%
27.1%8.8%5.5%2.3%0.7%
33.4%4.3%2.7%1.1%0.3%
41.2%1.5%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Warrenpoint Town goals (down), columns = Loughgall goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Limavady United
2.13
Annagh United
1.89
H&W Welders
1.74
Newington Youth
1.58
Institute
1.55
Queen's University
1.50
Loughgall
1.47
Ards
1.37
Warrenpoint Town
1.08
Ballinamallard United
1.00
Dundela
0.74
Armagh City
0.50
Warrenpoint Town is 0.39 points worse than Loughgall in terms of average points per game (1.08 vs 1.47).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
H&W Welders
2.29
Newington Youth
2.03
Limavady United
1.82
Institute
1.55
Ards
1.47
Annagh United
1.45
Queen's University
1.34
Loughgall
1.32
Warrenpoint Town
1.18
Ballinamallard United
1.16
Dundela
1.13
Armagh City
0.79
Warrenpoint Town is 0.13 goals worse than Loughgall in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 1.32).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Limavady United
0.89
Loughgall
1.00
Annagh United
1.03
Queen's University
1.21
Institute
1.21
H&W Welders
1.26
Ards
1.34
Warrenpoint Town
1.39
Ballinamallard United
1.58
Newington Youth
1.63
Dundela
2.03
Armagh City
2.95
Warrenpoint Town is 0.39 goals worse than Loughgall in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.00).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D10W10W13L00D20W01L10W20WA·NEW27/09H·BAL04/10A·LOU11/10H·H&W18/10A·LIM01/11H·INS08/11A·ARM15/11A·DUN22/11H·QUE29/11A·BAL13/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.630.800.530.670.73
vs Stronger (25)0.600.640.750.420.460.85
vs Similar (5)1.400.601.001.002.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Loughgall) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LoughgallLoughgall

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W21W01L11D00D00D01L00DA·LIM04/10H·WAR11/10A·BAL17/10H·NEW25/10H·ANN01/11A·H&W08/11H·LIM15/11H·DUN29/11A·ARD06/12H·QUE13/12
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.770.380.810.360.71
vs Stronger (6)0.331.000.251.000.501.00
vs Similar (20)0.400.800.500.800.300.80
vs Weaker (4)0.250.250.000.500.500.00
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Warrenpoint Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loughgall over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loughgall over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loughgall over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L30W01L12L20W10W00D22D01L20WA·NEW27/09H·BAL04/10A·LOU11/10H·H&W18/10A·LIM01/11H·INS08/11A·ARM15/11A·DUN22/11H·QUE29/11A·BAL13/12
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.731.070.730.600.73
vs Stronger (25)0.680.720.830.580.540.85
vs Similar (5)1.600.802.001.331.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Loughgall) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LoughgallLoughgall

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D01L22D00D11D21W10W20WA·LIM04/10H·WAR11/10A·BAL17/10H·NEW25/10H·ANN01/11A·H&W08/11H·LIM15/11H·DUN29/11A·ARD06/12H·QUE13/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.731.000.810.790.64
vs Stronger (6)1.000.831.001.001.000.50
vs Similar (20)0.900.800.900.800.900.80
vs Weaker (4)0.750.251.500.500.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Warrenpoint Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loughgall over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loughgall over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Loughgall over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.571.6%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (5)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
LOU (3)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
Warrenpoint Town and Loughgall have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AC (2)
€0m
LU (1)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
LOU (1)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
Warrenpoint Town and Loughgall have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LU (2)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HW (3)
€0m
LU (2)
€0m
LOU (2)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
Warrenpoint Town and Loughgall have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
WT wins
1
Draws
2
LOU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Warrenpoint Town vs Loughgall · H/A from WT
DateH/AGameScore
11/10/25ALoughgall Vs WT1-1
22/04/23ALoughgall Vs WT1-2
14/02/23HWT Vs Loughgall1-3
22/10/22HWT Vs Loughgall2-0
13/08/22ALoughgall Vs WT2-0

Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/12/25ABallinamallard United Vs WT0-4
29/11/25HWT Vs Queen's University1-1
22/11/25ADundela Vs WT3-2
15/11/25AArmagh City Vs WT0-2
08/11/25HWT Vs Institute1-0
01/11/25ALimavady United Vs WT3-3
18/10/25HWT Vs H&W Welders2-2
11/10/25ALoughgall Vs WT1-1
04/10/25HWT Vs Ballinamallard United4-1
27/09/25ANewington Youth Vs WT3-0

LoughgallLoughgall

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/12/25HLOU Vs Queen's University2-0
06/12/25AArds Vs LOU1-1
29/11/25HLOU Vs Dundela2-1
15/11/25HLOU Vs Limavady United1-1
08/11/25AH&W Welders Vs LOU1-1
01/11/25HLOU Vs Annagh United2-3
25/10/25HLOU Vs Newington Youth2-2
17/10/25ABallinamallard United Vs LOU0-1
11/10/25HLOU Vs Warrenpoint Town1-1
04/10/25ALimavady United Vs LOU1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Warrenpoint Town
Warrenpoint Town
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDW1.68
HomeLWDWD2.04
AwayDDWLW1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%62%33%
AVG goals3.003.122.88
Over 1.5 %80%85%75%
Over 2.5 %48%54%42%
Over 3.5 %34%38%29%
Scored1.761.961.54
Conceded1.241.151.33
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet24%31%17%
Corners---
Cards---
Loughgall
Loughgall
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDW0.90
HomeDLDWW0.96
AwayDLWDD0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%24%16%
AVG goals2.863.202.52
Over 1.5 %80%92%68%
Over 2.5 %54%68%40%
Over 3.5 %40%44%36%
Scored1.081.280.88
Conceded1.781.921.64
BTTS60%68%52%
Clean Sheet16%12%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Limavady UnitedLimavady United3881
63%
2.1
6934+35
2.7
68%
47%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.9
-
2Annagh UnitedAnnagh United3872
58%
1.9
5539+16
2.5
71%
45%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
3H&W WeldersH&W Welders3866
50%
1.7
8748+39
3.6
92%
76%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.3
-
4Newington YouthNewington Youth3860
47%
1.6
7762+15
3.7
87%
74%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
5InstituteInstitute3859
45%
1.6
5946+13
2.8
71%
61%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
6QueenQueen's University3857
39%
1.5
5146+5
2.6
76%
39%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
7LoughgallLoughgall3856
37%
1.5
5038+12
2.3
74%
42%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
8ArdsArds3852
39%
1.4
5651+5
2.8
74%
55%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
9Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town3841
29%
1.1
4553-8
2.6
58%
39%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
10Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United3838
24%
1.0
4460-16
2.7
68%
55%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
11DundelaDundela3828
13%
0.7
4377-34
3.2
89%
68%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
12Armagh CityArmagh City3819
11%
0.5
30112-82
3.7
87%
71%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.9
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches