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Warrenpoint Town vs Strabane Athletic Prediction & Stats

Date: 10/10/2026
Time: 14:00
Warrenpoint Town
Warrenpoint Town
Vs
29%
25%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Strabane Athletic
Strabane Athletic
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

The model projects a high-scoring affair, with an average of 3.2 goals and a most likely total of 3, the 1-1 scoreline carrying an 11.2% chance. Warrenpoint Town, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.09 goals scored and 1.64 conceded, while Strabane Athletic, in the away spot, is expected to mirror the same strength tier. The model’s favourite outcome is an away win, with probabilities of 28% for a home win, 25% for a draw, and 47% for an away victory. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.2%), Under 6.5 (95.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.7%), Under 5.5 (89.2%), Away under 3.5 goals (88.6%), Away +2 handicap (87.0%), Over 1.5 (84.2%), and Away over 0.5 goals (84.0%). Warrenpoint’s recent form shows a draw-heavy run, coming off a 3-3 draw with Loughgall, while Strabane Athletic has endured three straight defeats, losing 1-2 to Newington Youth. These statistics suggest a competitive match where the away side’s resilience may tip the balance.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Warrenpoint Town win
29.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic win
45.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D02L10W01L03L20W13L30W33DH·ARM28/03A·INS04/04A·DUN11/04A·BAL18/04H·ARD25/04A·H&W08/08H·ARM11/08H·ARD15/08A·NEW21/08A·LOU28/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.331.071.291.251.38
vs Stronger (23)0.871.701.091.640.671.75
vs Similar (7)2.140.141.000.003.000.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Strabane Athletic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Strabane AthleticStrabane Athletic

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L31W14L12L12LH·INS07/08A·MOY11/08A·GLE15/08H·H&W22/08H·NEW28/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.202.000.671.672.002.50
vs Stronger (3)1.331.330.501.503.001.00
vs Similar (2)1.003.001.002.001.004.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-24pp vs league)
This opponent (Warrenpoint Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.0%
Under 1.5
16.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.2%
Under 2.5
37.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
40.0%
Under 3.5
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
64.1%
No
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.5%
0-1
6.2%
1-3
5.5%
0-0
5.1%
Warrenpoint Town goals ↓
Strabane Athletic goals →
01234
05.1%6.2%6.5%3.9%1.8%
14.7%11%9.2%5.5%2.5%
24.0%7.2%6.5%3.9%1.8%
31.9%3.4%3.1%1.8%0.8%
40.7%1.2%1.1%0.6%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Warrenpoint Town goals (down), columns = Strabane Athletic goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Newington Youth
2.60
H&W Welders
2.40
Glenavon FC
2.00
Annagh United
2.00
Queen's University
2.00
Loughgall
1.80
Newry City AFC
1.80
Moyola Park
1.40
Ards
1.40
Warrenpoint Town
1.40
Ballinamallard United
1.20
Institute
0.80
Dundela
0.60
Strabane Athletic
0.60
Armagh City
0.40
Rathfriland
0.00
Warrenpoint Town is 0.80 points better than Strabane Athletic in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 0.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Glenavon FC
2.80
Newington Youth
2.80
Annagh United
2.40
Queen's University
2.20
Loughgall
2.00
Ards
1.80
Warrenpoint Town
1.80
H&W Welders
1.80
Dundela
1.40
Newry City AFC
1.40
Strabane Athletic
1.20
Moyola Park
1.20
Ballinamallard United
1.00
Rathfriland
1.00
Institute
0.80
Armagh City
0.60
Warrenpoint Town is 0.60 goals better than Strabane Athletic in terms of goals scored per game (1.80 vs 1.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
H&W Welders
0.60
Queen's University
1.00
Newington Youth
1.00
Loughgall
1.40
Moyola Park
1.40
Armagh City
1.40
Glenavon FC
1.60
Ballinamallard United
1.60
Annagh United
1.80
Institute
1.80
Newry City AFC
1.80
Ards
1.80
Warrenpoint Town
1.80
Dundela
2.00
Strabane Athletic
2.00
Rathfriland
3.20
Warrenpoint Town is 0.20 goals better than Strabane Athletic in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Warrenpoint Town or Draw
54.3%
Avg Implied -
29%
25%
46%
covers Warrenpoint Town + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Warrenpoint Town or Strabane Athletic
75.0%
Avg Implied -
29%
25%
46%
covers Warrenpoint Town + Strabane Athletic
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Strabane Athletic
70.7%
Avg Implied -
29%
25%
46%
covers Draw + Strabane Athletic
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 0.5
Over
75.6%
Under
24.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 1.5
Over
41.2%
Under
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 2.5
Over
16.9%
Under
83.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 3.5
Over
5.5%
Under
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic over/under 0.5
Over
83.5%
Under
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic over/under 1.5
Over
53.7%
Under
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic over/under 2.5
Over
26.9%
Under
73.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic over/under 3.5
Over
10.9%
Under
89.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Warrenpoint Town, so a minus line means Warrenpoint Town give that many goals of a start and Strabane Athletic receive them. At -1, Warrenpoint Town must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Warrenpoint Town win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Warrenpoint Town)
Warrenpoint Town -2
4.9%
Draw -2
8.7%
Strabane Athletic +2
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Warrenpoint Town)
Warrenpoint Town -1
13.6%
Draw -1
15.7%
Strabane Athletic +1
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Warrenpoint Town)
Warrenpoint Town +1
54.3%
Draw +1
20.3%
Strabane Athletic -1
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Warrenpoint Town)
Warrenpoint Town +2
74.6%
Draw +2
14.1%
Strabane Athletic -2
11.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L10W01L01L10W01L10W11DH·ARM28/03A·INS04/04A·DUN11/04A·BAL18/04H·ARD25/04A·H&W08/08H·ARM11/08H·ARD15/08A·NEW21/08A·LOU28/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.570.500.500.62
vs Stronger (23)0.350.700.550.640.170.75
vs Similar (7)1.140.140.670.001.500.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Strabane Athletic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Strabane AthleticStrabane Athletic

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W12L01L11DH·INS07/08A·MOY11/08A·GLE15/08H·H&W22/08H·NEW28/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.200.331.001.501.50
vs Stronger (3)1.001.000.501.002.001.00
vs Similar (2)0.501.500.001.001.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-24pp vs league)
This opponent (Warrenpoint Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D00D00D00D02L10W12L20W22DH·ARM28/03A·INS04/04A·DUN11/04A·BAL18/04H·ARD25/04A·H&W08/08H·ARM11/08H·ARD15/08A·NEW21/08A·LOU28/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.770.500.790.750.75
vs Stronger (23)0.521.000.551.000.501.00
vs Similar (7)1.000.000.330.001.500.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Strabane Athletic) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Strabane AthleticStrabane Athletic

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W02L11D01LH·INS07/08A·MOY11/08A·GLE15/08H·H&W22/08H·NEW28/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.330.670.501.00
vs Stronger (3)0.330.330.000.501.000.00
vs Similar (2)0.501.501.001.000.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Warrenpoint Town) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Warrenpoint Town over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Strabane Athletic over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.3%-------
Under 6.595.5%-------
Home under 3.5 goals94.5%-------
Under 5.589.3%-------
Away under 3.5 goals89.1%-------
Away +2 handicap86.4%-------
Over 1.584.0%-------
Away over 0.5 goals83.5%-------
Home under 2.5 goals83.1%-------
Under 4.577.9%-------
Home over 0.5 goals75.6%-------
Home or Away75.0%-------
Home +2 handicap74.6%-------
Away under 2.5 goals73.1%-------
Draw or Away70.7%-------
Away +1 handicap70.7%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (13)
€1m
AC (2)
€0m
HW (4)
€0m
LOU (3)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (3)
€0m
AC (2)
€0m
WT (1)
€0m
LOU (1)
€0m
HW (1)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
BU (0)
€0m
HW (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GF (9)
€1m
HW (3)
€0m
LOU (2)
€0m
BU (1)
€0m
AC (0)
€0m
WT (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
WT wins
0
Draws
0
SA wins

Head-to-head

Warrenpoint Town vs Strabane Athletic · H/A from WT
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26ALoughgall Vs WT3-3
21/08/26ANewry City AFC Vs WT0-3
15/08/26HWT Vs Ards1-3
11/08/26HWT Vs Armagh City2-0
08/08/26AH&W Welders Vs WT3-0
25/04/26HWT Vs Ards0-1
18/04/26ABallinamallard United Vs WT0-1
11/04/26ADundela Vs WT2-0
04/04/26AInstitute Vs WT0-0
28/03/26HWT Vs Armagh City0-0

Strabane AthleticStrabane Athletic

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26HSA Vs Newington Youth1-2
22/08/26HSA Vs H&W Welders1-2
15/08/26AGlenavon FC Vs SA4-1
11/08/26AMoyola Park Vs SA1-3
07/08/26HSA Vs Institute0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Warrenpoint Town
Warrenpoint Town
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWD1.18
HomeLDLWL1.46
AwayLWLWD0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%42%23%
AVG goals2.702.792.62
Over 1.5 %66%67%65%
Over 2.5 %46%46%46%
Over 3.5 %28%29%27%
Scored1.301.501.12
Conceded1.401.291.50
BTTS40%50%31%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Strabane Athletic
Strabane Athletic
Northern-Ireland: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL0.60
HomeLLL0.00
AwayWL1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%0%50%
AVG goals3.202.334.50
Over 1.5 %80%67%100%
Over 2.5 %80%67%100%
Over 3.5 %40%0%100%
Scored1.200.672.00
Conceded2.001.672.50
BTTS80%67%100%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Newington YouthNewington Youth513
80%
2.6
145+9
3.8
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.81.0
-
2H&W WeldersH&W Welders512
80%
2.4
93+6
2.4
80%
60%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.6
-
3Glenavon FCGlenavon FC510
60%
2.0
148+6
4.4
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.81.6
-
4QueenQueen's University510
60%
2.0
115+6
3.2
100%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
5Annagh UnitedAnnagh United510
60%
2.0
129+3
4.2
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.8
-
6LoughgallLoughgall59
40%
1.8
107+3
3.4
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
7Newry City AFCNewry City AFC59
60%
1.8
79-2
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.8
-
8ArdsArds57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
100%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
9Warrenpoint TownWarrenpoint Town57
40%
1.4
99+0
3.6
100%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.8
-
10Moyola ParkMoyola Park57
40%
1.4
67-1
2.6
80%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
11Ballinamallard UnitedBallinamallard United56
40%
1.2
58-3
2.6
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.6
-
12InstituteInstitute54
20%
0.8
49-5
2.6
60%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.8
-
13DundelaDundela53
0%
0.6
710-3
3.4
100%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.0
-
14Strabane AthleticStrabane Athletic53
20%
0.6
610-4
3.2
80%
80%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
15Armagh CityArmagh City52
0%
0.4
37-4
2.0
60%
20%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.4
-
16RathfrilandRathfriland50
0%
0.0
516-11
4.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.2
-
Northern-Ireland: Championship 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Championship stats & trends →

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