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Watford vs Bristol City Result & Analysis

Date: 26/12/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 1-4
Watford
Watford
Vs
44%
28%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bristol City
Bristol City
England: Championship
Referee: J Busby

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Watford win✗ Miss
43.8%
Avg Implied 49.1% · @ 1.94
Edge
-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.48
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bristol City win✓ Hit
27.9%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 4.04
Edge
+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D00D50W02L32W21W11D12L51W21WH·MIL28/10A·HUD04/11H·ROT11/11A·LEI25/11H·NOR28/11A·HUL02/12H·SOU09/12H·IPS12/12A·PRE16/12A·BLA23/12
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.301.881.191.291.43
vs Stronger (4)0.752.251.002.000.672.33
vs Similar (25)1.601.201.711.211.451.18
vs Weaker (1)5.000.005.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bristol CityBristol City

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W00D32W01L12L11D12L10W32WA·CAR28/10H·SHE04/11A·QPR11/11H·MID25/11A·SOU29/11H·NOR03/12A·HUD09/12A·BLA12/12H·SUN16/12H·HUL22/12
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.171.471.270.871.07
vs Stronger (3)0.671.000.500.501.002.00
vs Similar (25)1.161.201.581.420.771.00
vs Weaker (2)2.001.002.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.8%
Under 1.5
25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.5%
@ 2.04+1.9%
Under 2.5
51.5%
@ 1.78-1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.7%
Under 3.5
73.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.6%
No
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
8.6%
2-0
8.0%
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.0%
2-2
5.2%
Watford goals ↓
Bristol City goals →
01234
08.6%7.1%4.7%1.8%0.5%
19.6%14%7.0%2.6%0.8%
28.0%9.1%5.2%2.0%0.6%
33.9%4.5%2.5%1.0%0.3%
41.5%1.7%0.9%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Watford goals (down), columns = Bristol City goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.09
Leeds
1.96
Southampton
1.89
West Brom
1.63
Norwich
1.59
Hull
1.52
Middlesbrough
1.50
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Cardiff
1.35
Millwall
1.28
Swansea
1.24
Watford
1.22
QPR
1.22
Sunderland
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Blackburn
1.15
Sheffield Weds
1.15
Plymouth
1.11
Birmingham
1.09
Huddersfield
0.98
Rotherham
0.59
Watford is 0.13 points worse than Bristol City in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.35).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.00
Leicester
1.93
Southampton
1.89
Leeds
1.76
Norwich
1.72
Middlesbrough
1.54
West Brom
1.52
Coventry
1.52
Hull
1.48
Watford
1.33
Blackburn
1.30
Swansea
1.28
Plymouth
1.28
Preston
1.22
Bristol City
1.15
Cardiff
1.15
Sunderland
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Stoke
1.07
Huddersfield
1.04
QPR
1.02
Millwall
0.98
Sheffield Weds
0.96
Rotherham
0.80
Watford is 0.17 goals better than Bristol City in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.15).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.93
West Brom
1.02
Bristol City
1.11
Sunderland
1.17
Millwall
1.20
Ipswich
1.24
QPR
1.26
Coventry
1.28
Stoke
1.30
Hull
1.30
Watford
1.33
Middlesbrough
1.35
Southampton
1.37
Norwich
1.39
Swansea
1.41
Birmingham
1.41
Preston
1.46
Sheffield Weds
1.48
Plymouth
1.52
Cardiff
1.52
Blackburn
1.61
Huddersfield
1.67
Rotherham
1.93
Watford is 0.22 goals worse than Bristol City in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.11).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Southampton
66%
Leicester
62%
Leeds
58%
Hull
56%
Sunderland
56%
Swansea
55%
Ipswich
53%
Middlesbrough
53%
West Brom
52%
Watford
52%
Blackburn
52%
Coventry
51%
Stoke
51%
Norwich
49%
Bristol City
48%
QPR
46%
Cardiff
45%
Plymouth
45%
Preston
45%
Birmingham
44%
Sheffield Weds
43%
Millwall
42%
Huddersfield
40%
Rotherham
37%
Watford is 4.5 percentage points better than Bristol City in terms of average possession (52% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

WatfordWatford

For 5.1 · Against 4.8 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

1505751064732875267231721215101010128949A·BLAA·PREH·IPSH·SOUA·HULH·NORA·LEIH·ROTA·HUDH·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

8032132434211462212335467358326A·BLAA·PREH·IPSH·SOUA·HULH·NORA·LEIH·ROTA·HUDH·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 11.2 · Total 23.6

⚠️ Fouls

2808129141216101612714121451211206131320232826192619232626A·BLAA·PREH·IPSH·SOUA·HULH·NORA·LEIH·ROTA·HUDH·MIL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Bristol CityBristol City

For 5.0 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

1607651143926636382587341316711129117157H·HULH·SUNA·BLAA·HUDH·NORA·SOUH·MIDA·QPRH·SHEA·CAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

60233314111113222232215652244453H·HULH·SUNA·BLAA·HUDH·NORA·SOUH·MIDA·QPRH·SHEA·CAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 9.8 · Total 19.8

⚠️ Fouls

28091112876108571411812161210149920201318122520282418H·HULH·SUNA·BLAA·HUDH·NORA·SOUH·MIDA·QPRH·SHEA·CAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.39.64.74.74.824.524.324.6
vs Stronger (4)9.510.09.35.86.05.726.828.026.3
vs Similar (41)10.110.49.74.54.54.524.224.523.9
vs Weaker (5)9.610.08.05.45.07.025.022.834.0
% over line56%62%50%74%73%75%72%69%75%
% under line44%38%50%26%27%25%28%31%25%
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bristol CityBristol City

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.311.19.53.43.53.420.320.420.1
vs Stronger (4)10.811.510.03.55.02.022.523.022.0
vs Similar (42)10.010.89.23.43.23.520.420.420.5
vs Weaker (4)13.014.012.04.25.03.516.218.514.0
% over line52%64%40%50%48%52%34%36%32%
% under line48%36%60%50%52%48%66%64%68%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Plymouth
11.7
Blackburn
11.2
Middlesbrough
10.9
West Brom
10.9
Stoke
10.8
Coventry
10.8
Huddersfield
10.7
Southampton
10.6
QPR
10.6
Norwich
10.6
Rotherham
10.4
Leeds
10.3
Bristol City
10.3
Hull
10.3
Birmingham
10.1
Sunderland
10.1
Watford
10.0
Leicester
9.9
Cardiff
9.8
Ipswich
9.8
Preston
9.7
Millwall
9.4
Swansea
9.3
Sheffield Weds
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.8
Watford
4.7
Swansea
4.4
Southampton
4.4
Blackburn
4.3
Stoke
4.2
QPR
4.2
Norwich
4.1
Leeds
4.1
Coventry
4.1
Preston
4.0
Ipswich
4.0
Leicester
3.8
West Brom
3.8
Birmingham
3.8
Plymouth
3.8
Rotherham
3.7
Millwall
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.7
Cardiff
3.7
Sheffield Weds
3.6
Hull
3.5
Huddersfield
3.5
Bristol City
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Watford
24.5
Sunderland
23.7
Swansea
23.3
Stoke
23.1
Birmingham
22.8
QPR
22.8
Southampton
22.5
Coventry
22.1
Middlesbrough
22.0
Preston
21.9
Norwich
21.9
Leeds
21.9
Sheffield Weds
21.9
Millwall
21.8
Ipswich
21.6
Hull
21.2
Leicester
21.2
Plymouth
21.1
Huddersfield
20.8
Rotherham
20.5
Bristol City
20.3
Cardiff
19.9
West Brom
19.8
Blackburn
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
55.8%
Under 9.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
55.9%
Under 3.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
52.9%
Under 21.5
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D20W00D22D11D00D11D11D01LH·MIL28/10A·HUD04/11H·ROT11/11A·LEI25/11H·NOR28/11A·HUL02/12H·SOU09/12H·IPS12/12A·PRE16/12A·BLA23/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.631.000.750.430.50
vs Stronger (4)0.500.501.001.000.330.33
vs Similar (25)0.720.680.930.790.450.55
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bristol CityBristol City

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D20W00D10W01L01L10W12LA·CAR28/10H·SHE04/11A·QPR11/11H·MID25/11A·SOU29/11H·NOR03/12A·HUD09/12A·BLA12/12H·SUN16/12H·HUL22/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.870.470.130.53
vs Stronger (3)0.670.670.500.501.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.480.520.920.500.080.54
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D00D30W02L10W10W11D01L40W20WH·MIL28/10A·HUD04/11H·ROT11/11A·LEI25/11H·NOR28/11A·HUL02/12H·SOU09/12H·IPS12/12A·PRE16/12A·BLA23/12
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.670.880.440.860.93
vs Stronger (4)0.251.750.001.000.332.00
vs Similar (25)0.880.520.790.431.000.64
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bristol City) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bristol CityBristol City

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W00D12L01L02L10W11D00D20WA·CAR28/10H·SHE04/11A·QPR11/11H·MID25/11A·SOU29/11H·NOR03/12A·HUD09/12A·BLA12/12H·SUN16/12H·HUL22/12
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.600.800.730.53
vs Stronger (3)0.000.330.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.680.680.670.920.690.46
vs Weaker (2)1.501.001.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bristol City over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards79.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls77.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards75.6%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.574.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.3%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Dennis24%
Mileta Rajović20%
Rhys Healey18%
Edo Kayembe14%
Yáser Asprilla14%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo13%
Matheus Martins13%
Ismael Koné10%
Wesley Hoedt9%
Ryan Andrews8%
Thomas Ince7%
Jake Livermore7%
Imrân Louza7%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Ryan Porteous5%
Ken Sema3%
Giorgi Chakvetadze3%
Matthew Pollock0%
Ben Hamer0%
Jamal Lewis0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Porteous38%
Jake Livermore30%
Wesley Hoedt27%
Imrân Louza27%
Giorgi Chakvetadze21%
Edo Kayembe20%
Ryan Andrews18%
Matthew Pollock17%
James Morris17%
Yáser Asprilla16%
Ben Hamer16%
Francisco Sierralta15%
Daniel Bachmann15%
Jamal Lewis11%
Rhys Healey9%
Matheus Martins8%
Jeremy Ngakia7%
Ismael Koné7%
Emmanuel Dennis6%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo5%
Thomas Ince4%
Ken Sema3%
Mileta Rajović2%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Imrân Louza20%
Yáser Asprilla16%
Giorgi Chakvetadze12%
Ken Sema10%
Rhys Healey9%
Ryan Porteous8%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo8%
Thomas Ince7%
Jeremy Ngakia7%
Ismael Koné7%
Edo Kayembe6%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Jamal Lewis6%
Matheus Martins5%
Ryan Andrews5%
Wesley Hoedt5%
Francisco Sierralta4%
Jake Livermore3%
Emmanuel Dennis0%
Mileta Rajović0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Ben Hamer0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
James Morris0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edo Kayembe17%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo10%
Yáser Asprilla9%
Ismael Koné7%
Imrân Louza7%
Matheus Martins5%
Mileta Rajović5%
Wesley Hoedt5%
Thomas Ince4%
Giorgi Chakvetadze3%
Ryan Andrews2%
Emmanuel Dennis0%
Ken Sema0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Rhys Healey0%
Ben Hamer0%
Jamal Lewis0%
Jake Livermore0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Ryan Porteous0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Bristol City
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tommy Conway21%
Scott Twine20%
Nahki Wells17%
Sam Bell15%
Mark Sykes12%
Robert Dickie12%
Anis Mehmeti11%
Jason Knight9%
Matty James8%
Kal Naismith8%
Harry Cornick5%
Andreas Weimann5%
Haydon Roberts4%
Taylor Gardner-Hickman3%
Cameron Pring2%
Ross McCrorie0%
Andy King0%
Max O'Leary0%
Zak Vyner0%
Joe Williams0%
George Tanner0%
Adedire Mebude0%
Ephraim Yeboah0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Cameron Pring21%
Joe Williams20%
Taylor Gardner-Hickman19%
Haydon Roberts17%
Ross McCrorie16%
Robert Dickie15%
Nahki Wells11%
Zak Vyner11%
Andreas Weimann10%
Scott Twine10%
Ephraim Yeboah10%
Jason Knight9%
George Tanner8%
Kal Naismith8%
Mark Sykes8%
Andy King7%
Anis Mehmeti5%
Tommy Conway5%
Harry Cornick3%
Max O'Leary2%
Matty James0%
Adedire Mebude0%
Sam Bell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kal Naismith15%
Joe Williams12%
Taylor Gardner-Hickman11%
Mark Sykes10%
Andy King7%
Jason Knight7%
Ross McCrorie5%
Andreas Weimann5%
Cameron Pring5%
Anis Mehmeti3%
Harry Cornick3%
Tommy Conway3%
Robert Dickie2%
Matty James0%
Max O'Leary0%
Nahki Wells0%
Zak Vyner0%
Scott Twine0%
George Tanner0%
Haydon Roberts0%
Adedire Mebude0%
Sam Bell0%
Ephraim Yeboah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Scott Twine20%
Jason Knight20%
Tommy Conway15%
Robert Dickie10%
Anis Mehmeti8%
Nahki Wells6%
Sam Bell3%
Mark Sykes2%
Ross McCrorie0%
Cameron Pring0%
Matty James0%
Andy King0%
Max O'Leary0%
Andreas Weimann0%
Kal Naismith0%
Zak Vyner0%
Joe Williams0%
Harry Cornick0%
George Tanner0%
Haydon Roberts0%
Adedire Mebude0%
Taylor Gardner-Hickman0%
Ephraim Yeboah0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
ROT (19)
€5m
Watford's squad is €23m more valuable than Bristol City's (€88m vs €66m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
SHW (6)
€7m
PLY (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
ROT (6)
€2m
Watford and Bristol City have a similar attack value (both €28m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
ROT (5)
€1m
Watford's midfield is €20m more valuable than Bristol City's (€38m vs €19m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
MID (12)
€41m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
CAR (10)
€10m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
ROT (8)
€2m
Watford's defence is €4m more valuable than Bristol City's (€22m vs €18m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
WAT wins
2
Draws
0
BRC wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Watford vs Bristol City · H/A from WAT
DateH/AGameScore
15/04/23HWAT Vs Bristol City2-0
12/11/22ABristol City Vs WAT0-0
13/02/21HWAT Vs Bristol City6-0
25/11/20ABristol City Vs WAT0-0

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/12/23ABlackburn Vs WAT1-2
16/12/23APreston Vs WAT1-5
12/12/23HWAT Vs Ipswich1-2
09/12/23HWAT Vs Southampton1-1
02/12/23AHull Vs WAT1-2
28/11/23HWAT Vs Norwich3-2
25/11/23ALeicester Vs WAT2-0
11/11/23HWAT Vs Rotherham5-0
04/11/23AHuddersfield Vs WAT0-0
28/10/23HWAT Vs Millwall2-2

Bristol CityBristol City

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/12/23HBRC Vs Hull3-2
16/12/23HBRC Vs Sunderland1-0
12/12/23ABlackburn Vs BRC2-1
09/12/23AHuddersfield Vs BRC1-1
03/12/23HBRC Vs Norwich1-2
29/11/23ASouthampton Vs BRC1-0
25/11/23HBRC Vs Middlesbrough3-2
11/11/23AQPR Vs BRC0-0
04/11/23HBRC Vs Sheffield Weds1-0
28/10/23ACardiff Vs BRC2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.36
HomeDWWDL1.62
AwayDLWWW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%25%
AVG goals2.522.652.38
Over 1.5 %74%81%67%
Over 2.5 %40%42%38%
Over 3.5 %30%35%25%
Scored1.341.651.00
Conceded1.181.001.38
BTTS42%46%38%
Clean Sheet34%46%21%
Corners9.9810.359.58
Cards4.724.654.79
Bristol City
Bristol City
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWW1.38
HomeWWLWW1.60
AwayLDLDL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%44%28%
AVG goals2.182.481.88
Over 1.5 %68%68%68%
Over 2.5 %34%40%28%
Over 3.5 %14%24%4%
Scored1.101.360.84
Conceded1.081.121.04
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet26%32%20%
Corners10.3011.129.48
Cards3.443.483.40

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeicesterLeicester4697
67%
2.1
8941+48
2.8
78%
59%
30%
9.8
52%
4.3
63%
21.1
46%
69
2013361.90.9
62%
2IpswichIpswich4696
61%
2.1
9257+35
3.2
80%
61%
43%
10.5
57%
3.9
65%
22.9
59%
280
13066852.01.2
53%
3LeedsLeeds4690
59%
2.0
8143+38
2.7
72%
54%
30%
10.5
54%
4.1
57%
22.6
54%
427
166981631.80.9
58%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4687
57%
1.9
8763+24
3.3
85%
65%
37%
11.5
65%
4.8
76%
22.1
50%
205
7253791.91.4
66%
5West BromWest Brom4675
46%
1.6
7047+23
2.5
76%
48%
26%
10.9
61%
3.5
39%
18.8
22%
52
1522151.51.0
52%
6NorwichNorwich4673
46%
1.6
7964+15
3.1
78%
61%
41%
10.5
57%
4.1
52%
21.3
43%
107
4631291.71.4
49%
7HullHull4670
41%
1.5
6860+8
2.8
76%
59%
33%
10.5
70%
4.3
65%
22.7
54%
105
2231521.51.3
56%
8MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4669
43%
1.5
7162+9
2.9
85%
52%
30%
11.0
65%
3.7
59%
21.4
41%
142
7427411.51.3
53%
9CoventryCoventry4664
37%
1.4
7059+11
2.8
85%
63%
26%
11.7
65%
4.3
61%
23.2
70%
237
8552991.51.3
51%
10PrestonPreston4663
39%
1.4
5667-11
2.7
78%
59%
22%
9.3
46%
3.6
52%
22.4
52%
43
173221.21.5
45%
11Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5351+2
2.3
61%
37%
22%
10.5
57%
3.2
41%
20.2
41%
66
2919181.21.1
48%
12CardiffCardiff4662
41%
1.3
5370-17
2.7
76%
52%
26%
9.5
48%
3.5
50%
19.8
33%
29
154101.21.5
45%
13MillwallMillwall4659
35%
1.3
4555-10
2.2
63%
37%
20%
10.2
50%
4.2
63%
22.2
57%
85
3029251.01.2
42%
14SwanseaSwansea4657
33%
1.2
5965-6
2.7
78%
57%
30%
10.4
61%
4.1
61%
22.6
57%
91
569261.31.4
55%
15WatfordWatford4656
28%
1.2
6161+0
2.7
67%
50%
33%
9.9
52%
4.2
57%
23.4
63%
88
2838221.31.3
52%
16SunderlandSunderland4656
35%
1.2
5254-2
2.3
63%
46%
22%
10.5
59%
4.9
72%
23.3
65%
392
1571101251.11.2
56%
17StokeStoke4656
33%
1.2
4960-11
2.4
67%
43%
24%
11.0
50%
4.3
70%
22.3
59%
79
3511321.11.3
51%
18QPRQPR4656
33%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
72%
46%
17%
11.0
57%
4.4
65%
23.0
63%
71
2915271.01.3
46%
19BlackburnBlackburn4653
30%
1.2
6074-14
2.9
76%
63%
37%
11.3
76%
4.1
61%
19.7
39%
36
157141.31.6
52%
20Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4653
33%
1.2
4468-24
2.4
74%
46%
22%
10.6
59%
4.3
57%
22.5
54%
21
7681.01.5
43%
21PlymouthPlymouth4651
28%
1.1
5970-11
2.8
74%
54%
30%
12.5
80%
4.1
59%
21.8
57%
13
4361.31.5
45%
22BirminghamBirmingham4650
28%
1.1
5065-15
2.5
67%
46%
26%
10.6
59%
4.0
59%
23.3
70%
93
4612351.11.4
44%
23HuddersfieldHuddersfield4645
20%
1.0
4877-29
2.7
83%
46%
30%
11.0
63%
3.9
63%
22.8
59%
16
4481.01.7
40%
24RotherhamRotherham4627
11%
0.6
3789-52
2.7
80%
50%
24%
10.5
57%
3.2
35%
20.7
46%
5
2120.81.9
37%
England: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches