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Watford vs Burnley Result & Analysis

Date: 12/08/2022
Time: 20:00
Final 1-0
Watford
Watford
Vs
20%
26%
54%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Burnley
Burnley
England: Championship
Referee: T Bramall

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Watford win✓ Hit
20.0%
Avg Implied 39.5% · @ 2.41
Edge
-19.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.3%
Avg Implied 29.5% · @ 3.23
Edge
-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Burnley win✗ Miss
53.7%
Avg Implied 30.9% · @ 3.08
Edge
+22.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L12L15L12L01L00D15L12L10W11DH·LEE09/04H·BRE16/04A·MAN23/04H·BUR30/04A·CRY07/05H·EVE11/05H·LEI15/05A·CHE22/05H·SHE01/08A·WES08/08← Premier LeagueChampionship →
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
2.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.802.000.932.330.671.67
vs Stronger (20)0.802.001.102.500.501.50
vs Similar (10)0.802.000.602.001.002.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurnleyBurnley

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W10W21W13L01L11D12L10W11DA·WES17/04H·SOU21/04H·WOL24/04A·WAT30/04H·AST07/05A·TOT15/05A·AST19/05H·NEW22/05A·HUD29/07H·LUT06/08← Premier LeagueChampionship →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.270.931.400.801.13
vs Stronger (11)0.551.550.501.830.601.20
vs Similar (18)1.061.171.221.110.891.22
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.5%
Under 1.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.6%
@ 2.15+5.3%
Under 2.5
50.4%
@ 1.71-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.6%
Under 3.5
72.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
0-1
10.8%
0-2
10.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-0 ✓
5.6%
1-3
5.5%
Watford goals ↓
Burnley goals →
01234
08.2%11%10%5.7%2.4%
15.6%13%9.7%5.5%2.3%
23.2%5.5%4.6%2.6%1.1%
31.0%1.7%1.5%0.8%0.4%
40.2%0.4%0.4%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Watford goals (down), columns = Burnley goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Burnley
2.20
Sheffield United
1.98
Luton
1.74
Middlesbrough
1.63
Coventry
1.52
Sunderland
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.48
Swansea
1.43
West Brom
1.43
Watford
1.37
Preston
1.37
Norwich
1.35
Bristol City
1.28
Hull
1.26
Birmingham
1.15
Huddersfield
1.15
Stoke
1.15
Rotherham
1.09
QPR
1.09
Reading
1.09
Cardiff
1.07
Wigan
0.98
Blackpool
0.96
Watford is 0.83 points worse than Burnley in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 2.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Burnley
1.89
Middlesbrough
1.83
Sheffield United
1.59
Swansea
1.48
Sunderland
1.48
West Brom
1.28
Coventry
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Luton
1.24
Millwall
1.24
Watford
1.22
Bristol City
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Blackburn
1.13
Hull
1.11
Rotherham
1.07
Blackpool
1.04
Birmingham
1.02
Huddersfield
1.02
Reading
1.00
Preston
0.98
QPR
0.96
Cardiff
0.89
Wigan
0.83
Watford is 0.67 goals worse than Burnley in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 1.89).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.76
Luton
0.85
Sheffield United
0.85
Coventry
1.00
Millwall
1.09
Watford
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Norwich
1.17
Blackburn
1.17
Stoke
1.17
Sunderland
1.20
Bristol City
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Birmingham
1.26
Cardiff
1.26
Preston
1.28
Rotherham
1.30
Hull
1.33
Huddersfield
1.35
Swansea
1.39
Wigan
1.41
Reading
1.48
QPR
1.54
Blackpool
1.57
Watford is 0.39 goals worse than Burnley in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 0.76).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Burnley
65%
Swansea
64%
Middlesbrough
58%
Norwich
57%
Sunderland
54%
Blackburn
54%
West Brom
53%
Stoke
53%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Hull
50%
Bristol City
50%
QPR
50%
Wigan
48%
Preston
48%
Coventry
47%
Cardiff
47%
Luton
46%
Millwall
45%
Blackpool
42%
Rotherham
42%
Reading
42%
Birmingham
42%
Huddersfield
41%
Watford is 12.1 percentage points worse than Burnley in terms of average possession (53% vs 65%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

WatfordWatford

For 3.9 · Against 7.3 · Total 11.2

🚩 Corners

1501254337311358564116538129610141311151111A·WESH·SHEA·CHEH·LEIH·EVEA·CRYH·BURA·MANH·BREH·LEE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.7

🟨 Cards

701243112221212123701343132A·WESH·SHEA·CHEH·LEIH·EVEA·CRYH·BURA·MANH·BREH·LEE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.1 · Against 9.2 · Total 19.3

⚠️ Fouls

290137138994651218111397911981220211810172922162020A·WESH·SHEA·CHEH·LEIH·EVEA·CRYH·BURA·MANH·BREH·LEE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BurnleyBurnley

For 5.9 · Against 6.5 · Total 12.4

🚩 Corners

200112518261328456536101041313610191091192017H·LUTA·HUDH·NEWA·ASTA·TOTH·ASTA·WATH·WOLH·SOUA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

502121122312213122223312533444H·LUTA·HUDH·NEWA·ASTA·TOTH·ASTA·WATH·WOLH·SOUA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 10.3 · Total 20.6

⚠️ Fouls

310101110138920118121311913877710921231731202422151419H·LUTA·HUDH·NEWA·ASTA·TOTH·ASTA·WATH·WOLH·SOUA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.010.73.23.33.222.222.621.8
vs Stronger (27)10.09.810.13.23.33.120.921.520.4
vs Similar (21)11.010.711.23.43.23.723.022.523.4
vs Weaker (2)9.56.013.02.04.00.031.537.026.0
% over line62%64%60%42%40%44%56%52%60%
% under line38%36%40%58%60%56%44%48%40%
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurnleyBurnley

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.711.511.92.82.82.919.119.418.8
vs Stronger (16)11.810.513.01.91.62.218.918.019.8
vs Similar (33)11.912.111.83.33.43.219.120.118.2
vs Weaker (1)6.0-6.03.0-3.023.0-23.0
% over line76%71%81%30%25%35%30%33%27%
% under line24%29%19%70%75%65%70%67%73%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Burnley
11.7
Rotherham
10.6
Coventry
10.6
Norwich
10.5
Sunderland
10.5
Middlesbrough
10.4
Millwall
10.4
Watford
10.4
Stoke
10.2
QPR
10.0
Bristol City
10.0
West Brom
9.9
Luton
9.8
Sheffield United
9.8
Preston
9.8
Birmingham
9.7
Hull
9.5
Huddersfield
9.3
Cardiff
9.3
Blackburn
9.2
Blackpool
9.2
Wigan
9.2
Swansea
9.0
Reading
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Blackburn
4.4
Middlesbrough
4.4
Wigan
4.0
Sunderland
4.0
Cardiff
3.9
Coventry
3.8
Luton
3.8
Swansea
3.8
Sheffield United
3.8
Reading
3.8
Stoke
3.7
Preston
3.7
Blackpool
3.6
Huddersfield
3.6
Rotherham
3.5
QPR
3.5
West Brom
3.4
Bristol City
3.4
Millwall
3.3
Hull
3.3
Watford
3.2
Birmingham
3.2
Norwich
3.2
Burnley
2.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wigan
24.3
Rotherham
24.0
Middlesbrough
23.2
Sunderland
23.0
Luton
22.7
Reading
22.5
Watford
22.2
Blackburn
22.1
Preston
21.9
QPR
21.7
Birmingham
21.7
Norwich
21.6
Swansea
21.5
Blackpool
21.5
Coventry
21.3
Millwall
21.1
West Brom
21.0
Cardiff
21.0
Stoke
20.8
Bristol City
20.6
Hull
20.5
Sheffield United
20.3
Huddersfield
19.6
Burnley
19.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
56.8%
Under 9.5
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.4%
Under 3.5
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
34.2%
Under 21.5
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L13L10W01L00D12L01L00D11DH·LEE09/04H·BRE16/04A·MAN23/04H·BUR30/04A·CRY07/05H·EVE11/05H·LEI15/05A·CHE22/05H·SHE01/08A·WES08/08← Premier LeagueChampionship →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.930.530.930.400.93
vs Stronger (20)0.400.900.601.200.200.60
vs Similar (10)0.601.000.400.400.801.60
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurnleyBurnley

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D01L02L01L10W01L10W01LA·WES17/04H·SOU21/04H·WOL24/04A·WAT30/04H·AST07/05A·TOT15/05A·AST19/05H·NEW22/05A·HUD29/07H·LUT06/08← Premier LeagueChampionship →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.770.330.870.400.67
vs Stronger (11)0.181.000.001.000.401.00
vs Similar (18)0.440.670.560.780.330.56
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D02L02L00D00D03L11D10W00DH·LEE09/04H·BRE16/04A·MAN23/04H·BUR30/04A·CRY07/05H·EVE11/05H·LEI15/05A·CHE22/05H·SHE01/08A·WES08/08← Premier LeagueChampionship →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.331.070.401.400.270.73
vs Stronger (20)0.401.100.501.300.300.90
vs Similar (10)0.201.000.201.600.200.40
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Burnley) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BurnleyBurnley

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W20W11D00D01L11D00D10WA·WES17/04H·SOU21/04H·WOL24/04A·WAT30/04H·AST07/05A·TOT15/05A·AST19/05H·NEW22/05A·HUD29/07H·LUT06/08← Premier LeagueChampionship →
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.500.600.530.400.47
vs Stronger (11)0.360.550.500.830.200.20
vs Similar (18)0.610.500.670.330.560.67
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Burnley over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls89.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards83.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls79.8%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.575.5%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.572.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards70.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro26%
Ismaïla Sarr26%
Tom Cleverley25%
Tobi Adeyemo25%
Imrân Louza24%
Keinan Davis21%
João Ferreira20%
Britt Assombalonga18%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo17%
Rey Manaj17%
Ryan Porteous12%
Ken Sema8%
William Troost-Ekong7%
Wesley Hoedt7%
Francisco Sierralta6%
Christian Kabasele4%
Yaser Asprilla3%
Samuel Kalu0%
Edo Kayembe0%
Mario Gaspar0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Hamza Choudhury0%
Craig Cathcart0%
Dan Gosling0%
Leandro Bacuna0%
Kortney Hause0%
Hassane Kamara0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
Henrique Araújo0%
James Morris0%
Joseph Hungbo0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Matheus Martins0%
Ismael Koné0%
Ryan Andrews0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hamza Choudhury39%
Francisco Sierralta39%
Imrân Louza33%
Wesley Hoedt33%
Ryan Porteous29%
Tom Cleverley25%
Hassane Kamara25%
Tobi Adeyemo25%
Leandro Bacuna21%
João Pedro20%
João Ferreira20%
Keinan Davis18%
Rey Manaj17%
Matheus Martins17%
Ryan Andrews17%
Jeremy Ngakia14%
Daniel Bachmann13%
Mario Gaspar13%
Ken Sema12%
Samuel Kalu11%
Yaser Asprilla11%
Edo Kayembe10%
James Morris8%
Christian Kabasele8%
Craig Cathcart7%
William Troost-Ekong7%
Ismael Koné6%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo0%
Ismaïla Sarr0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Dan Gosling0%
Kortney Hause0%
Britt Assombalonga0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
Henrique Araújo0%
Joseph Hungbo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ken Sema22%
Ismaïla Sarr18%
Tom Dele-Bashiru17%
Matheus Martins17%
Imrân Louza14%
Henrique Araújo12%
João Pedro11%
Hassane Kamara6%
Ismael Koné6%
Keinan Davis6%
Ryan Porteous6%
Yaser Asprilla5%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo4%
Craig Cathcart4%
Samuel Kalu0%
Edo Kayembe0%
Mario Gaspar0%
William Troost-Ekong0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Hamza Choudhury0%
Christian Kabasele0%
Tom Cleverley0%
Dan Gosling0%
Leandro Bacuna0%
Kortney Hause0%
Britt Assombalonga0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Rey Manaj0%
Wesley Hoedt0%
João Ferreira0%
James Morris0%
Joseph Hungbo0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Tobi Adeyemo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Pedro29%
Ismaïla Sarr23%
Keinan Davis15%
Imrân Louza5%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo4%
Mario Gaspar3%
Yaser Asprilla3%
Ken Sema2%
Samuel Kalu0%
Edo Kayembe0%
William Troost-Ekong0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Hamza Choudhury0%
Craig Cathcart0%
Christian Kabasele0%
Tom Cleverley0%
Dan Gosling0%
Leandro Bacuna0%
Kortney Hause0%
Britt Assombalonga0%
Hassane Kamara0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Ryan Porteous0%
Rey Manaj0%
Wesley Hoedt0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
João Ferreira0%
Henrique Araújo0%
James Morris0%
Joseph Hungbo0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Matheus Martins0%
Ismael Koné0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Tobi Adeyemo0%
Burnley
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jay Rodriguez32%
Manuel Benson30%
Nathan Tella28%
Scott Twine21%
Anass Zaroury18%
Michael Obafemi17%
Ashley Barnes15%
Josh Brownhill15%
Halil Dervişoğlu12%
Hjalmar Ekdal11%
Connor Roberts9%
Lyle Foster9%
Vitinho9%
Jóhann Guðmundsson8%
Ian Maatsen8%
Samuel Bastien6%
Jordan Beyer3%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis3%
Josh Cullen2%
Arijanet Murić0%
Charlie Taylor0%
Jack Cork0%
Bailey Peacock-Farrell0%
Dara Costelloe0%
Darko Churlinov0%
CJ Egan-Riley0%
Ameen Al-Dakhil0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jack Cork31%
Josh Brownhill22%
Ian Maatsen21%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis19%
Josh Cullen19%
Michael Obafemi17%
Connor Roberts16%
Jordan Beyer13%
Ashley Barnes13%
Ameen Al-Dakhil12%
Hjalmar Ekdal11%
Nathan Tella10%
Arijanet Murić10%
Manuel Benson9%
Scott Twine7%
Charlie Taylor6%
Jóhann Guðmundsson5%
Jay Rodriguez4%
Anass Zaroury3%
Vitinho3%
Samuel Bastien0%
Bailey Peacock-Farrell0%
Halil Dervişoğlu0%
Dara Costelloe0%
Lyle Foster0%
Darko Churlinov0%
CJ Egan-Riley0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Josh Brownhill20%
Anass Zaroury18%
Ian Maatsen15%
Connor Roberts14%
Jóhann Guðmundsson14%
Nathan Tella13%
Hjalmar Ekdal11%
Josh Cullen9%
Manuel Benson9%
Michael Obafemi8%
Ashley Barnes8%
Jay Rodriguez7%
Scott Twine7%
Jordan Beyer7%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis6%
Samuel Bastien6%
Jack Cork5%
Charlie Taylor3%
Vitinho3%
Arijanet Murić0%
Bailey Peacock-Farrell0%
Halil Dervişoğlu0%
Dara Costelloe0%
Lyle Foster0%
Darko Churlinov0%
CJ Egan-Riley0%
Ameen Al-Dakhil0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ashley Barnes28%
Jay Rodriguez21%
Anass Zaroury18%
Nathan Tella15%
Manuel Benson15%
Lyle Foster9%
Jóhann Guðmundsson8%
Josh Brownhill7%
Scott Twine7%
Ian Maatsen5%
Connor Roberts5%
Vitinho3%
Arijanet Murić0%
Samuel Bastien0%
Charlie Taylor0%
Jack Cork0%
Michael Obafemi0%
Bailey Peacock-Farrell0%
Josh Cullen0%
Jordan Beyer0%
Halil Dervişoğlu0%
Hjalmar Ekdal0%
Dara Costelloe0%
Darko Churlinov0%
Taylor Harwood-Bellis0%
CJ Egan-Riley0%
Ameen Al-Dakhil0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
HUD (26)
€16m
BLA (22)
€11m
REA (20)
€10m
WIG (21)
€7m
ROT (19)
€5m
Watford's squad is €27m less valuable than Burnley's (€88m vs €115m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
REA (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
Watford's attack is €42m less valuable than Burnley's (€28m vs €70m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (5)
€1m
Watford's midfield is €30m more valuable than Burnley's (€38m vs €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
HUD (13)
€8m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
WIG (5)
€3m
ROT (8)
€2m
Watford's defence is €15m less valuable than Burnley's (€22m vs €37m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
WAT wins
1
Draws
1
BUR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Watford vs Burnley · H/A from WAT
DateH/AGameScore
30/04/22HWAT Vs Burnley1-2
05/02/22ABurnley Vs WAT0-0

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/08/22AWest Brom Vs WAT1-1
01/08/22HWAT Vs Sheffield United1-0
22/05/22AChelsea Vs WAT2-1
15/05/22HWAT Vs Leicester1-5
11/05/22HWAT Vs Everton0-0
07/05/22ACrystal Palace Vs WAT1-0
30/04/22HWAT Vs Burnley1-2
23/04/22AManchester City Vs WAT5-1
16/04/22HWAT Vs Brentford1-2
09/04/22HWAT Vs Leeds0-3

BurnleyBurnley

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
06/08/22HBUR Vs Luton1-1
29/07/22AHuddersfield Vs BUR0-1
22/05/22HBUR Vs Newcastle1-2
19/05/22AAston Villa Vs BUR1-1
15/05/22ATottenham Vs BUR1-0
07/05/22HBUR Vs Aston Villa1-3
30/04/22AWatford Vs BUR1-2
24/04/22HBUR Vs Wolves1-0
21/04/22HBUR Vs Southampton2-0
17/04/22AWest Ham Vs BUR1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWD0.98
HomeLLDLW1.04
AwayLLLLD0.92
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%32%24%
AVG goals2.682.922.44
Over 1.5 %68%76%60%
Over 2.5 %46%56%36%
Over 3.5 %28%32%24%
Scored1.021.080.96
Conceded1.661.841.48
BTTS44%44%44%
Clean Sheet22%28%16%
Corners10.3610.0410.68
Cards3.243.283.20
Burnley
Burnley
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLWD0.96
HomeWWLLD0.92
AwayDWLDW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%21%23%
AVG goals2.442.422.46
Over 1.5 %74%71%77%
Over 2.5 %44%46%42%
Over 3.5 %28%25%31%
Scored0.980.881.08
Conceded1.461.541.38
BTTS48%46%50%
Clean Sheet24%25%23%
Corners11.7411.5411.92
Cards2.842.792.88

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BurnleyBurnley46101
63%
2.2
8735+52
2.7
76%
52%
22%
9.7
46%
4.0
52%
20.9
46%
115
708371.90.8
65%
2Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4691
61%
2.0
7339+34
2.4
61%
41%
26%
10.5
57%
4.3
67%
20.2
30%
110
2932491.60.8
51%
3LutonLuton4680
46%
1.7
5739+18
2.1
67%
30%
15%
10.7
61%
3.8
54%
22.5
52%
29
134121.20.8
46%
4MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4675
48%
1.6
8456+28
3.0
83%
65%
41%
10.3
54%
3.9
50%
21.3
41%
142
7427411.81.2
58%
5CoventryCoventry4670
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.3
63%
35%
24%
9.9
52%
4.1
63%
20.6
37%
237
8552991.31.0
47%
6SunderlandSunderland4669
39%
1.5
6855+13
2.7
78%
54%
20%
9.7
61%
4.5
70%
23.5
59%
392
1571101251.51.2
54%
7BlackburnBlackburn4669
43%
1.5
5254-2
2.3
65%
41%
15%
9.9
54%
4.1
57%
19.7
39%
36
157141.11.2
54%
8MillwallMillwall4668
41%
1.5
5750+7
2.3
67%
39%
17%
8.9
33%
3.4
50%
21.2
41%
85
3029251.21.1
45%
9West BromWest Brom4666
39%
1.4
5953+6
2.4
76%
37%
20%
10.8
70%
3.5
43%
19.9
39%
52
1522151.31.2
53%
10SwanseaSwansea4666
39%
1.4
6864+4
2.9
78%
57%
33%
9.5
41%
4.4
63%
22.0
48%
91
569261.51.4
64%
11WatfordWatford4663
35%
1.4
5653+3
2.4
74%
39%
26%
10.3
54%
4.7
78%
23.2
63%
88
2838221.21.2
53%
12PrestonPreston4663
37%
1.4
4559-14
2.3
63%
43%
20%
9.6
52%
4.4
67%
21.2
50%
43
173221.01.3
48%
13NorwichNorwich4662
37%
1.3
5754+3
2.4
67%
46%
22%
10.7
57%
4.0
57%
21.5
46%
107
4631291.21.2
57%
14Bristol CityBristol City4659
33%
1.3
5556-1
2.4
80%
39%
15%
10.5
57%
3.6
54%
20.7
30%
66
2919181.21.2
50%
15HullHull4658
30%
1.3
5161-10
2.4
67%
41%
26%
10.0
52%
3.2
37%
20.0
30%
105
2231521.11.3
50%
16StokeStoke4653
30%
1.2
5554+1
2.4
67%
43%
28%
10.7
67%
4.0
54%
22.4
52%
79
3511321.21.2
53%
17BirminghamBirmingham4653
30%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
67%
41%
15%
9.8
57%
3.9
48%
21.7
37%
93
4612351.01.3
42%
18HuddersfieldHuddersfield4653
30%
1.2
4762-15
2.4
67%
43%
22%
10.0
54%
3.6
52%
19.5
35%
16
4481.01.3
41%
19RotherhamRotherham4650
24%
1.1
4960-11
2.4
76%
48%
22%
10.1
61%
3.7
52%
20.1
35%
5
2121.11.3
42%
20ReadingReading4650
28%
1.1
4668-22
2.5
74%
50%
22%
9.5
54%
3.6
50%
21.2
39%
10
3341.01.5
42%
21QPRQPR4650
28%
1.1
4471-27
2.5
72%
50%
24%
10.3
50%
3.8
65%
22.1
48%
71
2915271.01.5
50%
22CardiffCardiff4649
28%
1.1
4158-17
2.2
61%
35%
20%
9.6
52%
4.1
57%
19.9
39%
29
154100.91.3
47%
23WiganWigan4645
22%
1.0
3865-27
2.2
67%
37%
15%
8.9
41%
3.7
54%
21.8
57%
7
2230.81.4
48%
24BlackpoolBlackpool4644
24%
1.0
4872-24
2.6
63%
48%
30%
10.3
54%
3.8
52%
22.5
63%
11
4341.01.6
42%
England: Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches