Watford are favoured to win, with a 47% chance of triumph, a 29% chance of a draw and a 24% chance of a Cardiff victory. The model predicts an average of 2.4 goals, most likely a 2-goal total at 27%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.8% probability. Watford’s home form shows they average 1.58 goals scored and 0.83 conceded against similar opposition, while Cardiff’s away form sees them net 0.92 and concede 1.67 against similar teams. Suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls at 90.1%, Under 11.5 corners at 84.0%, Under 23.5 fouls at 80.8%, and Over 1.5 goals at 70.4%. Other picks are Under 5.5 cards at 88.3%, Under 3.5 at 77.9%, Under 4.5 cards at 76.2%, and Under 10.5 corners at 75.2%. The model’s selection for the match outcome remains a home win.
Results analysis
The surprise came early as Cardiff overturned a 0-2 loss to Swansea to finish 1-3, securing an away win that left the pre-match favourite, the model’s Home win call, wrong. The model had given the home side a 47% chance of triumph, but the result proved otherwise. The match’s final score of 1-3 matched the model’s prediction of an away victory, yet the favourite was missed. Among the model’s selections, Under 25.5 fouls hit at 90.1%, Under 11.5 corners hit at 84.0%, Under 23.5 fouls hit at 80.8%, and Over 1.5 hit at 70.4%. The other picks - Under 5.5 cards at 88.3%, Under 3.5 at 77.9%, Under 4.5 cards at 76.2%, and Under 10.5 corners at 75.2% - all missed. The game’s form narrative shows both sides coming off defeats, with Watford’s recent run of LDLDW and Cardiff’s LDLDD, underscoring the unpredictability of this Championship encounter.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Watford win✗ Miss
47.2%
Avg Implied 45.1% · @ 2.11
Edge
+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied 29.7% · @ 3.20
Edge
-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cardiff win✓ Hit
23.7%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.77
Edge
-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Watford
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.13
1.53
0.80
0.80
1.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.12
1.20
1.58
0.83
0.69
1.54
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.80
1.33
0.67
1.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cardiff
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.27
0.88
1.12
0.86
1.43
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.00
0.33
1.67
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.96
1.38
1.00
1.08
0.92
1.67
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.4%
Under 1.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.0%
@ 2.42+3.8%
Under 2.5
57.0%
@ 1.56-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.1%
Under 3.5
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.3%
No
51.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
11.9%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.0%
3-0
4.6%
Watford goals ↓
Cardiff goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
7.4%
4.1%
1.3%
0.3%
1
12%
14%
6.0%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.5%
9.0%
4.3%
1.4%
0.3%
3
4.6%
4.4%
2.1%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.6%
1.6%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Watford goals (down), columns = Cardiff goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Burnley
2.20
Sheffield United
1.98
Luton
1.74
Middlesbrough
1.63
Coventry
1.52
Sunderland
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.48
Swansea
1.43
West Brom
1.43
Watford
1.37
Preston
1.37
Norwich
1.35
Bristol City
1.28
Hull
1.26
Birmingham
1.15
Huddersfield
1.15
Stoke
1.15
Rotherham
1.09
QPR
1.09
Reading
1.09
Cardiff
1.07
Wigan
0.98
Blackpool
0.96
Watford is 0.30 points better than Cardiff in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.07).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Burnley
1.89
Middlesbrough
1.83
Sheffield United
1.59
Swansea
1.48
Sunderland
1.48
West Brom
1.28
Coventry
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Luton
1.24
Millwall
1.24
Watford
1.22
Bristol City
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Blackburn
1.13
Hull
1.11
Rotherham
1.07
Blackpool
1.04
Birmingham
1.02
Huddersfield
1.02
Reading
1.00
Preston
0.98
QPR
0.96
Cardiff
0.89
Wigan
0.83
Watford is 0.33 goals better than Cardiff in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 0.89).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.76
Luton
0.85
Sheffield United
0.85
Coventry
1.00
Millwall
1.09
Watford
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Norwich
1.17
Blackburn
1.17
Stoke
1.17
Sunderland
1.20
Bristol City
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Birmingham
1.26
Cardiff
1.26
Preston
1.28
Rotherham
1.30
Hull
1.33
Huddersfield
1.35
Swansea
1.39
Wigan
1.41
Reading
1.48
QPR
1.54
Blackpool
1.57
Watford is 0.11 goals better than Cardiff in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.26).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Burnley
65%
Swansea
64%
Middlesbrough
58%
Norwich
57%
Sunderland
54%
Blackburn
54%
West Brom
53%
Stoke
53%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Hull
50%
Bristol City
50%
QPR
50%
Wigan
48%
Preston
48%
Coventry
47%
Cardiff
47%
Luton
46%
Millwall
45%
Blackpool
42%
Rotherham
42%
Reading
42%
Birmingham
42%
Huddersfield
41%
Watford is 6.0 percentage points better than Cardiff in terms of average possession (53% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Watford
For 5.6 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cardiff
For 4.3 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 10.9 · Total 21.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Watford
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.3
10.6
4.3
4.7
4.0
22.4
22.1
22.8
vs Stronger (6)
11.2
11.0
11.3
2.3
3.0
1.7
19.5
18.0
21.0
vs Similar (38)
10.6
10.2
10.9
4.4
4.8
4.1
22.8
22.6
23.0
vs Weaker (6)
9.2
10.3
8.0
5.5
5.7
5.3
22.8
22.7
23.0
% over line
58%
58%
58%
68%
73%
62%
54%
46%
62%
% under line
42%
42%
42%
32%
27%
38%
46%
54%
38%
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cardiff
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.0
9.4
4.1
3.8
4.4
20.1
20.2
20.0
vs Stronger (7)
12.0
14.0
10.5
4.3
4.0
4.5
19.6
22.7
17.2
vs Similar (42)
9.3
9.3
9.2
4.2
3.9
4.4
20.4
20.3
20.5
vs Weaker (1)
13.0
13.0
-
1.0
1.0
-
12.0
12.0
-
% over line
50%
52%
48%
58%
56%
60%
36%
40%
32%
% under line
50%
48%
52%
42%
44%
40%
64%
60%
68%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
West Brom
10.9
Rotherham
10.6
Sheffield United
10.6
Stoke
10.5
Watford
10.5
Norwich
10.4
Bristol City
10.4
Luton
10.3
QPR
10.3
Middlesbrough
10.3
Burnley
10.2
Coventry
10.2
Huddersfield
10.1
Hull
10.1
Blackpool
10.1
Birmingham
10.0
Preston
9.8
Swansea
9.8
Cardiff
9.7
Blackburn
9.7
Millwall
9.6
Sunderland
9.5
Reading
9.3
Wigan
9.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sheffield United
4.4
Sunderland
4.4
Watford
4.3
Swansea
4.3
Preston
4.3
Cardiff
4.1
Blackburn
4.1
Middlesbrough
4.1
Luton
4.1
Birmingham
4.0
Coventry
3.9
Wigan
3.9
Burnley
3.9
Rotherham
3.8
Stoke
3.8
Norwich
3.8
Huddersfield
3.7
QPR
3.7
Bristol City
3.6
Blackpool
3.6
Reading
3.6
West Brom
3.4
Hull
3.3
Millwall
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sunderland
23.5
Luton
23.1
Watford
22.4
Stoke
22.2
Blackpool
22.2
Wigan
22.2
QPR
22.1
Swansea
21.9
Birmingham
21.4
Middlesbrough
21.4
Preston
21.3
Reading
21.2
Norwich
21.1
Millwall
21.0
Sheffield United
20.8
Burnley
20.8
Bristol City
20.7
Rotherham
20.4
Coventry
20.2
Cardiff
20.1
Hull
20.1
Blackburn
20.0
Huddersfield
19.8
West Brom
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
36.0%
Under 9.5
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.0%
Under 3.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
33.0%
Under 21.5
67.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Watford
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.50
0.73
0.33
0.40
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.56
0.75
0.33
0.38
0.77
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.20
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cardiff
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.57
0.25
0.56
0.43
0.57
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.60
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.38
0.58
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Watford
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.80
0.47
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.56
0.64
0.83
0.50
0.31
0.77
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.60
0.67
0.33
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Cardiff) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cardiff
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.70
0.62
0.56
0.43
0.86
vs Stronger (5)
0.20
0.40
0.00
0.67
0.50
0.00
vs Similar (24)
0.58
0.79
0.75
0.58
0.42
1.00
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cardiff over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
90.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro26%
Ismaïla Sarr26%
Tom Cleverley25%
Tobi Adeyemo25%
Imrân Louza24%
Keinan Davis21%
João Ferreira20%
Britt Assombalonga18%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo17%
Rey Manaj17%
Ryan Porteous12%
Ken Sema8%
William Troost-Ekong7%
Wesley Hoedt7%
Francisco Sierralta6%
Christian Kabasele4%
Yaser Asprilla3%
Samuel Kalu0%
Edo Kayembe0%
Mario Gaspar0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Hamza Choudhury0%
Craig Cathcart0%
Dan Gosling0%
Leandro Bacuna0%
Kortney Hause0%
Hassane Kamara0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
Henrique Araújo0%
James Morris0%
Joseph Hungbo0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Matheus Martins0%
Ismael Koné0%
Ryan Andrews0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hamza Choudhury39%
Francisco Sierralta39%
Imrân Louza33%
Wesley Hoedt33%
Ryan Porteous29%
Tom Cleverley25%
Hassane Kamara25%
Tobi Adeyemo25%
Leandro Bacuna21%
João Pedro20%
João Ferreira20%
Keinan Davis18%
Rey Manaj17%
Matheus Martins17%
Ryan Andrews17%
Jeremy Ngakia14%
Daniel Bachmann13%
Mario Gaspar13%
Ken Sema12%
Samuel Kalu11%
Yaser Asprilla11%
Edo Kayembe10%
James Morris8%
Christian Kabasele8%
Craig Cathcart7%
William Troost-Ekong7%
Ismael Koné6%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo0%
Ismaïla Sarr0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Dan Gosling0%
Kortney Hause0%
Britt Assombalonga0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
Henrique Araújo0%
Joseph Hungbo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ken Sema22%
Ismaïla Sarr18%
Tom Dele-Bashiru17%
Matheus Martins17%
Imrân Louza14%
Henrique Araújo12%
João Pedro11%
Hassane Kamara6%
Ismael Koné6%
Keinan Davis6%
Ryan Porteous6%
Yaser Asprilla5%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo4%
Craig Cathcart4%
Samuel Kalu0%
Edo Kayembe0%
Mario Gaspar0%
William Troost-Ekong0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Hamza Choudhury0%
Christian Kabasele0%
Tom Cleverley0%
Dan Gosling0%
Leandro Bacuna0%
Kortney Hause0%
Britt Assombalonga0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Rey Manaj0%
Wesley Hoedt0%
João Ferreira0%
James Morris0%
Joseph Hungbo0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Tobi Adeyemo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Pedro29%
Ismaïla Sarr23%
Keinan Davis15%
Imrân Louza5%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo4%
Mario Gaspar3%
Yaser Asprilla3%
Ken Sema2%
Samuel Kalu0%
Edo Kayembe0%
William Troost-Ekong0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Hamza Choudhury0%
Craig Cathcart0%
Christian Kabasele0%
Tom Cleverley0%
Dan Gosling0%
Leandro Bacuna0%
Kortney Hause0%
Britt Assombalonga0%
Hassane Kamara0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Ryan Porteous0%
Rey Manaj0%
Wesley Hoedt0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
João Ferreira0%
Henrique Araújo0%
James Morris0%
Joseph Hungbo0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Matheus Martins0%
Ismael Koné0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Tobi Adeyemo0%
Cardiff
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sory Kaba47%
Callum Robinson23%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace11%
Kion Etete11%
Mark Harris10%
Isaak Davies10%
Connor Wickham8%
Romaine Sawyers8%
Callum O'Dowda8%
Cédric Kipré7%
Gavin Whyte7%
Mark Harris7%
Perry Ng5%
Ryan Wintle4%
Sheyi Ojo3%
Joe Ralls2%
Jamilu Collins0%
Thomas Sang0%
Jack Simpson0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Mahlon Romeo0%
Curtis Nelson0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Jak Alnwick0%
Max Watters0%
Niels Nkounkou0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Rubin Colwill0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Niels Nkounkou28%
Mark Harris27%
Jamilu Collins25%
Cédric Kipré24%
Curtis Nelson22%
Mark McGuinness21%
Joe Ralls17%
Perry Ng16%
Jack Simpson16%
Callum O'Dowda15%
Kion Etete14%
Ryan Wintle13%
Mahlon Romeo12%
Ryan Allsop12%
Andy Rinomhota10%
Mark Harris10%
Callum Robinson9%
Sheyi Ojo8%
Gavin Whyte7%
Romaine Sawyers5%
Rubin Colwill5%
Thomas Sang0%
Connor Wickham0%
Jak Alnwick0%
Sory Kaba0%
Max Watters0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Isaak Davies0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Callum Robinson23%
Connor Wickham17%
Mahlon Romeo12%
Callum O'Dowda8%
Andy Rinomhota8%
Gavin Whyte7%
Ryan Wintle7%
Sory Kaba6%
Niels Nkounkou6%
Rubin Colwill5%
Joe Ralls5%
Perry Ng5%
Kion Etete4%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace3%
Jamilu Collins0%
Mark Harris0%
Thomas Sang0%
Jack Simpson0%
Romaine Sawyers0%
Cédric Kipré0%
Curtis Nelson0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Jak Alnwick0%
Sheyi Ojo0%
Max Watters0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Isaak Davies0%
Mark Harris0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sory Kaba35%
Callum Robinson23%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace22%
Sheyi Ojo11%
Kion Etete11%
Max Watters9%
Connor Wickham8%
Mark Harris7%
Mark Harris5%
Mahlon Romeo3%
Jamilu Collins0%
Perry Ng0%
Ryan Wintle0%
Thomas Sang0%
Jack Simpson0%
Joe Ralls0%
Callum O'Dowda0%
Romaine Sawyers0%
Cédric Kipré0%
Andy Rinomhota0%
Curtis Nelson0%
Gavin Whyte0%
Ryan Allsop0%
Jak Alnwick0%
Niels Nkounkou0%
Mark McGuinness0%
Isaak Davies0%
Rubin Colwill0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
HUD (26)
€16m
BLA (22)
€11m
REA (20)
€10m
WIG (21)
€7m
ROT (19)
€5m
Watford's squad is €59m more valuable than Cardiff's (€88m vs €29m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
REA (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
Watford's attack is €12m more valuable than Cardiff's (€28m vs €15m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (5)
€1m
Watford's midfield is €35m more valuable than Cardiff's (€38m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
HUD (13)
€8m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
WIG (5)
€3m
ROT (8)
€2m
Watford's defence is €12m more valuable than Cardiff's (€22m vs €10m).
England: Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Burnley
Sheffield United
Luton
Middlesbrough
Coventry
Sunderland
Blackburn
Millwall
West Brom
Swansea
Preston
Norwich
Bristol City
Hull
Stoke
Birmingham
Huddersfield
Rotherham
Reading
QPR
Wigan
Blackpool