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Watford vs Middlesbrough Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2022
Time: 20:00
Final 2-1
Watford
Watford
Vs
27%
29%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Referee: C Kavanagh

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Watford win✓ Hit
27.4%
Avg Implied 39.3% · @ 2.42
Edge
-12.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied 30.3% · @ 3.14
Edge
-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough win✗ Miss
43.9%
Avg Implied 30.3% · @ 3.14
Edge
+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L00D15L12L10W11D10W11D00D23LA·CRY07/05H·EVE11/05H·LEI15/05A·CHE22/05H·SHE01/08A·WES08/08H·BUR12/08A·BIR16/08A·PRE20/08H·QPR27/08← Premier LeagueChampionship →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.870.802.330.601.40
vs Stronger (17)0.652.120.752.750.561.56
vs Similar (13)0.771.540.861.860.671.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D20W31W14L11D23L22D22D01L21WA·SWA23/04H·CAR27/04H·STO30/04A·PRE07/05H·WES30/07A·QPR06/08H·SHE14/08A·STO17/08A·REA20/08H·SWA27/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.231.600.871.331.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.401.151.670.831.001.62
vs Weaker (10)1.601.401.331.001.711.57
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.3%
Under 1.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.6%
@ 2.29+5.1%
Under 2.5
53.4%
@ 1.62-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.0%
Under 3.5
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.0%
No
48.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.7%
0-1
10.2%
0-0
9.2%
1-2
9.0%
0-2
8.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1 ✓
6.8%
2-2
4.9%
Watford goals ↓
Middlesbrough goals →
01234
09.2%10%8.2%4.0%1.4%
17.4%14%9.0%4.3%1.6%
24.7%6.8%4.9%2.4%0.9%
31.7%2.5%1.8%0.9%0.3%
40.5%0.7%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Watford goals (down), columns = Middlesbrough goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Burnley
2.20
Sheffield United
1.98
Luton
1.74
Middlesbrough
1.63
Coventry
1.52
Sunderland
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.48
Swansea
1.43
West Brom
1.43
Watford
1.37
Preston
1.37
Norwich
1.35
Bristol City
1.28
Hull
1.26
Birmingham
1.15
Huddersfield
1.15
Stoke
1.15
Rotherham
1.09
QPR
1.09
Reading
1.09
Cardiff
1.07
Wigan
0.98
Blackpool
0.96
Watford is 0.26 points worse than Middlesbrough in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.63).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Burnley
1.89
Middlesbrough
1.83
Sheffield United
1.59
Swansea
1.48
Sunderland
1.48
West Brom
1.28
Coventry
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Luton
1.24
Millwall
1.24
Watford
1.22
Bristol City
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Blackburn
1.13
Hull
1.11
Rotherham
1.07
Blackpool
1.04
Birmingham
1.02
Huddersfield
1.02
Reading
1.00
Preston
0.98
QPR
0.96
Cardiff
0.89
Wigan
0.83
Watford is 0.61 goals worse than Middlesbrough in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 1.83).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.76
Luton
0.85
Sheffield United
0.85
Coventry
1.00
Millwall
1.09
Watford
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Norwich
1.17
Blackburn
1.17
Stoke
1.17
Sunderland
1.20
Bristol City
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Birmingham
1.26
Cardiff
1.26
Preston
1.28
Rotherham
1.30
Hull
1.33
Huddersfield
1.35
Swansea
1.39
Wigan
1.41
Reading
1.48
QPR
1.54
Blackpool
1.57
Watford is 0.07 goals better than Middlesbrough in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.22).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Burnley
65%
Swansea
64%
Middlesbrough
58%
Norwich
57%
Sunderland
54%
Blackburn
54%
West Brom
53%
Stoke
53%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Hull
50%
Bristol City
50%
QPR
50%
Wigan
48%
Preston
48%
Coventry
47%
Cardiff
47%
Luton
46%
Millwall
45%
Blackpool
42%
Rotherham
42%
Reading
42%
Birmingham
42%
Huddersfield
41%
Watford is 5.4 percentage points worse than Middlesbrough in terms of average possession (53% vs 58%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

WatfordWatford

For 3.5 · Against 6.3 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

140145753361254337311358512891296101413H·QPRA·PREA·BIRH·BURA·WESH·SHEA·CHEH·LEIH·EVEA·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.3

🟨 Cards

70422211211243112226423370134H·QPRA·PREA·BIRH·BURA·WESH·SHEA·CHEH·LEIH·EVEA·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 10.0 · Total 19.8

⚠️ Fouls

2909991451213121371389946512181118231725202118101729H·QPRA·PREA·BIRH·BURA·WESH·SHEA·CHEH·LEIH·EVEA·CRY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

For 5.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

13084758454554377194281212129107781310H·SWAA·REAA·STOH·SHEA·QPRH·WESA·PREH·STOH·CARA·SWA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

905314122332216324128535539063H·SWAA·REAA·STOH·SHEA·QPRH·WESA·PREH·STOH·CARA·SWA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.8 · Against 11.7 · Total 21.5

⚠️ Fouls

27013141581012613121279131447616121227232219241627112224H·SWAA·REAA·STOH·SHEA·QPRH·WESA·PREH·STOH·CARA·SWA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.29.810.73.43.33.421.722.121.3
vs Stronger (27)10.09.810.13.23.33.120.921.520.4
vs Similar (22)10.810.211.43.53.33.822.021.522.5
vs Weaker (1)6.06.0-4.04.0-37.037.0-
% over line60%60%60%44%40%48%52%48%56%
% under line40%40%40%56%60%52%48%52%44%
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.810.44.64.44.822.722.223.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (32)10.210.59.94.64.44.922.922.523.4
vs Weaker (18)11.311.611.14.74.54.822.321.522.9
% over line64%64%64%68%68%68%66%60%72%
% under line36%36%36%32%32%32%34%40%28%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Burnley
11.4
Norwich
10.7
Middlesbrough
10.6
Sunderland
10.6
Coventry
10.5
Rotherham
10.5
Bristol City
10.5
Watford
10.2
Millwall
10.2
Stoke
10.1
Sheffield United
10.1
Preston
9.9
Luton
9.8
West Brom
9.7
QPR
9.7
Hull
9.7
Birmingham
9.6
Cardiff
9.5
Blackburn
9.4
Huddersfield
9.3
Swansea
9.1
Wigan
9.1
Blackpool
9.0
Reading
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Middlesbrough
4.6
Blackburn
4.6
Sunderland
4.1
Cardiff
4.1
Wigan
4.0
Stoke
3.9
Swansea
3.9
Coventry
3.9
Luton
3.9
Sheffield United
3.8
Reading
3.8
Preston
3.8
Blackpool
3.7
QPR
3.7
Rotherham
3.6
Bristol City
3.6
Huddersfield
3.5
West Brom
3.5
Millwall
3.4
Watford
3.4
Hull
3.3
Norwich
3.3
Birmingham
3.2
Burnley
3.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wigan
23.9
Rotherham
23.5
Sunderland
22.7
Middlesbrough
22.7
Luton
22.6
Reading
22.0
Blackburn
21.8
Watford
21.7
QPR
21.6
Preston
21.6
Birmingham
21.5
Blackpool
21.5
Norwich
21.4
Swansea
21.4
Coventry
20.9
Millwall
20.9
Stoke
20.7
Bristol City
20.7
West Brom
20.7
Cardiff
20.6
Hull
20.6
Sheffield United
20.5
Burnley
19.2
Huddersfield
19.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
67.7%
Under 9.5
32.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
59.6%
Under 3.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
49.5%
Under 21.5
50.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D12L01L00D11D10W01L00D12LA·CRY07/05H·EVE11/05H·LEI15/05A·CHE22/05H·SHE01/08A·WES08/08H·BUR12/08A·BIR16/08A·PRE20/08H·QPR27/08← Premier LeagueChampionship →
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.900.471.000.330.80
vs Stronger (17)0.291.000.381.380.220.67
vs Similar (13)0.540.770.570.570.501.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W20W02L10W13L11D11D01L20WA·SWA23/04H·CAR27/04H·STO30/04A·PRE07/05H·WES30/07A·QPR06/08H·SHE14/08A·STO17/08A·REA20/08H·SWA27/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.570.800.270.330.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.650.450.920.250.250.75
vs Weaker (10)0.400.800.330.330.431.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D03L11D10W00D00D10W00D11DA·CRY07/05H·EVE11/05H·LEI15/05A·CHE22/05H·SHE01/08A·WES08/08H·BUR12/08A·BIR16/08A·PRE20/08H·QPR27/08← Premier LeagueChampionship →
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.300.970.331.330.270.60
vs Stronger (17)0.351.120.381.380.330.89
vs Similar (13)0.230.770.291.290.170.17
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Middlesbrough) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W11D12L01L10W11D11D00D01LA·SWA23/04H·CAR27/04H·STO30/04A·PRE07/05H·WES30/07A·QPR06/08H·SHE14/08A·STO17/08A·REA20/08H·SWA27/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.670.800.601.000.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)0.750.700.750.580.750.88
vs Weaker (10)1.200.601.000.671.290.57
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Middlesbrough over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls80.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards78.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners78.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.575.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro26%
Ismaïla Sarr26%
Tom Cleverley25%
Tobi Adeyemo25%
Imrân Louza24%
Keinan Davis21%
João Ferreira20%
Britt Assombalonga18%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo17%
Rey Manaj17%
Ryan Porteous12%
Ken Sema8%
William Troost-Ekong7%
Wesley Hoedt7%
Francisco Sierralta6%
Christian Kabasele4%
Yaser Asprilla3%
Samuel Kalu0%
Edo Kayembe0%
Mario Gaspar0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Hamza Choudhury0%
Craig Cathcart0%
Dan Gosling0%
Leandro Bacuna0%
Kortney Hause0%
Hassane Kamara0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
Henrique Araújo0%
James Morris0%
Joseph Hungbo0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Matheus Martins0%
Ismael Koné0%
Ryan Andrews0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hamza Choudhury39%
Francisco Sierralta39%
Imrân Louza33%
Wesley Hoedt33%
Ryan Porteous29%
Tom Cleverley25%
Hassane Kamara25%
Tobi Adeyemo25%
Leandro Bacuna21%
João Pedro20%
João Ferreira20%
Keinan Davis18%
Rey Manaj17%
Matheus Martins17%
Ryan Andrews17%
Jeremy Ngakia14%
Daniel Bachmann13%
Mario Gaspar13%
Ken Sema12%
Samuel Kalu11%
Yaser Asprilla11%
Edo Kayembe10%
James Morris8%
Christian Kabasele8%
Craig Cathcart7%
William Troost-Ekong7%
Ismael Koné6%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo0%
Ismaïla Sarr0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Dan Gosling0%
Kortney Hause0%
Britt Assombalonga0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
Henrique Araújo0%
Joseph Hungbo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ken Sema22%
Ismaïla Sarr18%
Tom Dele-Bashiru17%
Matheus Martins17%
Imrân Louza14%
Henrique Araújo12%
João Pedro11%
Hassane Kamara6%
Ismael Koné6%
Keinan Davis6%
Ryan Porteous6%
Yaser Asprilla5%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo4%
Craig Cathcart4%
Samuel Kalu0%
Edo Kayembe0%
Mario Gaspar0%
William Troost-Ekong0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Hamza Choudhury0%
Christian Kabasele0%
Tom Cleverley0%
Dan Gosling0%
Leandro Bacuna0%
Kortney Hause0%
Britt Assombalonga0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Rey Manaj0%
Wesley Hoedt0%
João Ferreira0%
James Morris0%
Joseph Hungbo0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Tobi Adeyemo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Pedro29%
Ismaïla Sarr23%
Keinan Davis15%
Imrân Louza5%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo4%
Mario Gaspar3%
Yaser Asprilla3%
Ken Sema2%
Samuel Kalu0%
Edo Kayembe0%
William Troost-Ekong0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Hamza Choudhury0%
Craig Cathcart0%
Christian Kabasele0%
Tom Cleverley0%
Dan Gosling0%
Leandro Bacuna0%
Kortney Hause0%
Britt Assombalonga0%
Hassane Kamara0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Ryan Porteous0%
Rey Manaj0%
Wesley Hoedt0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
João Ferreira0%
Henrique Araújo0%
James Morris0%
Joseph Hungbo0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Matheus Martins0%
Ismael Koné0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Tobi Adeyemo0%
Middlesbrough
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chuba Akpom55%
Cameron Archer36%
Aaron Ramsey36%
Marcus Forss25%
Duncan Watmore24%
Matt Crooks15%
Riley McGree13%
Rodrigo Muniz12%
Hayden Hackney8%
Isaiah Jones8%
Paddy McNair3%
Ryan Giles0%
Tommy Smith0%
Dael Fry0%
Jonathan Howson0%
Darragh Lenihan0%
Alex Mowatt0%
Anfernee Dijksteel0%
Matthew Clarke0%
Marc Bola0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Liam Roberts0%
Zack Steffen0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Sonny Finch0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tommy Smith29%
Liam Roberts25%
Hayden Hackney25%
Isaiah Jones25%
Matt Crooks21%
Jonathan Howson20%
Paddy McNair19%
Matthew Clarke17%
Chuba Akpom15%
Darragh Lenihan14%
Marcus Forss12%
Marc Bola12%
Rodrigo Muniz12%
Anfernee Dijksteel10%
Aaron Ramsey9%
Riley McGree9%
Dael Fry7%
Zack Steffen5%
Cameron Archer5%
Ryan Giles4%
Alex Mowatt3%
Duncan Watmore0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Sonny Finch0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Cameron Archer23%
Ryan Giles17%
Matt Crooks15%
Marcus Forss12%
Hayden Hackney11%
Isaiah Jones11%
Duncan Watmore10%
Aaron Ramsey9%
Daniel Barlaser8%
Darragh Lenihan7%
Jonathan Howson7%
Riley McGree7%
Alex Mowatt7%
Chuba Akpom5%
Anfernee Dijksteel5%
Tommy Smith3%
Zack Steffen2%
Dael Fry0%
Paddy McNair0%
Matthew Clarke0%
Marc Bola0%
Liam Roberts0%
Rodrigo Muniz0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Sonny Finch0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chuba Akpom32%
Cameron Archer18%
Aaron Ramsey18%
Rodrigo Muniz12%
Duncan Watmore10%
Marcus Forss8%
Riley McGree7%
Matt Crooks5%
Hayden Hackney3%
Isaiah Jones3%
Darragh Lenihan2%
Ryan Giles0%
Tommy Smith0%
Dael Fry0%
Jonathan Howson0%
Paddy McNair0%
Alex Mowatt0%
Anfernee Dijksteel0%
Matthew Clarke0%
Marc Bola0%
Daniel Barlaser0%
Liam Roberts0%
Zack Steffen0%
Matthew Hoppe0%
Sonny Finch0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
HUD (26)
€16m
BLA (22)
€11m
REA (20)
€10m
WIG (21)
€7m
ROT (19)
€5m
Watford's squad is €54m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€88m vs €142m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
REA (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
Watford's attack is €46m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€28m vs €74m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (5)
€1m
Watford's midfield is €12m more valuable than Middlesbrough's (€38m vs €27m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
HUD (13)
€8m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
WIG (5)
€3m
ROT (8)
€2m
Watford's defence is €19m less valuable than Middlesbrough's (€22m vs €41m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
WAT wins
1
Draws
0
MID wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Watford vs Middlesbrough · H/A from WAT
DateH/AGameScore
05/04/21AMiddlesbrough Vs WAT1-1
11/09/20HWAT Vs Middlesbrough1-0

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/22HWAT Vs QPR2-3
20/08/22APreston Vs WAT0-0
16/08/22ABirmingham Vs WAT1-1
12/08/22HWAT Vs Burnley1-0
08/08/22AWest Brom Vs WAT1-1
01/08/22HWAT Vs Sheffield United1-0
22/05/22AChelsea Vs WAT2-1
15/05/22HWAT Vs Leicester1-5
11/05/22HWAT Vs Everton0-0
07/05/22ACrystal Palace Vs WAT1-0

MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/22HMID Vs Swansea2-1
20/08/22AReading Vs MID1-0
17/08/22AStoke Vs MID2-2
14/08/22HMID Vs Sheffield United2-2
06/08/22AQPR Vs MID3-2
30/07/22HMID Vs West Brom1-1
07/05/22APreston Vs MID4-1
30/04/22HMID Vs Stoke3-1
27/04/22HMID Vs Cardiff2-0
23/04/22ASwansea Vs MID1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDL0.88
HomeDLWWL0.92
AwayLLDDD0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%28%20%
AVG goals2.623.002.24
Over 1.5 %66%76%56%
Over 2.5 %44%56%32%
Over 3.5 %28%36%20%
Scored0.921.040.80
Conceded1.701.961.44
BTTS44%48%40%
Clean Sheet22%24%20%
Corners10.249.8010.68
Cards3.363.323.40
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLW1.44
HomeWWDDW1.84
AwayDLLDL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%56%24%
AVG goals2.462.442.48
Over 1.5 %76%80%72%
Over 2.5 %42%40%44%
Over 3.5 %24%16%32%
Scored1.301.481.12
Conceded1.160.961.36
BTTS50%52%48%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners10.6010.8410.36
Cards4.644.444.84

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BurnleyBurnley46101
63%
2.2
8735+52
2.7
76%
52%
22%
9.7
46%
4.0
52%
20.9
46%
115
708371.90.8
65%
2Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4691
61%
2.0
7339+34
2.4
61%
41%
26%
10.5
57%
4.3
67%
20.2
30%
110
2932491.60.8
51%
3LutonLuton4680
46%
1.7
5739+18
2.1
67%
30%
15%
10.7
61%
3.8
54%
22.5
52%
29
134121.20.8
46%
4MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4675
48%
1.6
8456+28
3.0
83%
65%
41%
10.3
54%
3.9
50%
21.3
41%
142
7427411.81.2
58%
5CoventryCoventry4670
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.3
63%
35%
24%
9.9
52%
4.1
63%
20.6
37%
237
8552991.31.0
47%
6SunderlandSunderland4669
39%
1.5
6855+13
2.7
78%
54%
20%
9.7
61%
4.5
70%
23.5
59%
392
1571101251.51.2
54%
7BlackburnBlackburn4669
43%
1.5
5254-2
2.3
65%
41%
15%
9.9
54%
4.1
57%
19.7
39%
36
157141.11.2
54%
8MillwallMillwall4668
41%
1.5
5750+7
2.3
67%
39%
17%
8.9
33%
3.4
50%
21.2
41%
85
3029251.21.1
45%
9West BromWest Brom4666
39%
1.4
5953+6
2.4
76%
37%
20%
10.8
70%
3.5
43%
19.9
39%
52
1522151.31.2
53%
10SwanseaSwansea4666
39%
1.4
6864+4
2.9
78%
57%
33%
9.5
41%
4.4
63%
22.0
48%
91
569261.51.4
64%
11WatfordWatford4663
35%
1.4
5653+3
2.4
74%
39%
26%
10.3
54%
4.7
78%
23.2
63%
88
2838221.21.2
53%
12PrestonPreston4663
37%
1.4
4559-14
2.3
63%
43%
20%
9.6
52%
4.4
67%
21.2
50%
43
173221.01.3
48%
13NorwichNorwich4662
37%
1.3
5754+3
2.4
67%
46%
22%
10.7
57%
4.0
57%
21.5
46%
107
4631291.21.2
57%
14Bristol CityBristol City4659
33%
1.3
5556-1
2.4
80%
39%
15%
10.5
57%
3.6
54%
20.7
30%
66
2919181.21.2
50%
15HullHull4658
30%
1.3
5161-10
2.4
67%
41%
26%
10.0
52%
3.2
37%
20.0
30%
105
2231521.11.3
50%
16StokeStoke4653
30%
1.2
5554+1
2.4
67%
43%
28%
10.7
67%
4.0
54%
22.4
52%
79
3511321.21.2
53%
17BirminghamBirmingham4653
30%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
67%
41%
15%
9.8
57%
3.9
48%
21.7
37%
93
4612351.01.3
42%
18HuddersfieldHuddersfield4653
30%
1.2
4762-15
2.4
67%
43%
22%
10.0
54%
3.6
52%
19.5
35%
16
4481.01.3
41%
19RotherhamRotherham4650
24%
1.1
4960-11
2.4
76%
48%
22%
10.1
61%
3.7
52%
20.1
35%
5
2121.11.3
42%
20ReadingReading4650
28%
1.1
4668-22
2.5
74%
50%
22%
9.5
54%
3.6
50%
21.2
39%
10
3341.01.5
42%
21QPRQPR4650
28%
1.1
4471-27
2.5
72%
50%
24%
10.3
50%
3.8
65%
22.1
48%
71
2915271.01.5
50%
22CardiffCardiff4649
28%
1.1
4158-17
2.2
61%
35%
20%
9.6
52%
4.1
57%
19.9
39%
29
154100.91.3
47%
23WiganWigan4645
22%
1.0
3865-27
2.2
67%
37%
15%
8.9
41%
3.7
54%
21.8
57%
7
2230.81.4
48%
24BlackpoolBlackpool4644
24%
1.0
4872-24
2.6
63%
48%
30%
10.3
54%
3.8
52%
22.5
63%
11
4341.01.6
42%
England: Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches