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Watford vs Stoke Result & Analysis

Date: 29/12/2023
Time: 19:45
Final 1-1
Watford
Watford
Vs
47%
28%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Referee: S Oldham

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Watford win✗ Miss
47.0%
Avg Implied 45.9% · @ 2.07
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.3%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.48
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Stoke win✗ Miss
24.7%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.56
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D50W02L32W21W11D12L51W21W14LA·HUD04/11H·ROT11/11A·LEI25/11H·NOR28/11A·HUL02/12H·SOU09/12H·IPS12/12A·PRE16/12A·BLA23/12H·BRI26/12
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.331.811.251.291.43
vs Stronger (4)0.752.251.002.000.672.33
vs Similar (25)1.561.241.641.291.451.18
vs Weaker (1)5.000.005.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D03L24L12L01L11D11D00D31WH·CAR04/11A·COV11/11H·BLA25/11A·QPR28/11A·PLY02/12H·SHE09/12H·SWA12/12A·WES17/12H·MIL23/12A·BIR26/12
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.270.731.131.001.40
vs Stronger (4)0.750.751.500.500.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.761.360.331.251.151.46
vs Weaker (1)4.001.004.001.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.2%
Under 1.5
26.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.5%
@ 1.95-2.3%
Under 2.5
53.5%
@ 1.86+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.0%
Under 3.5
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.2%
No
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
9.2%
2-0
9.0%
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.8%
Watford goals ↓
Stoke goals →
01234
09.2%6.9%4.2%1.4%0.4%
111%14%6.3%2.2%0.6%
29.0%9.2%4.8%1.6%0.4%
34.5%4.6%2.4%0.8%0.2%
41.7%1.7%0.9%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Watford goals (down), columns = Stoke goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.09
Leeds
1.96
Southampton
1.89
West Brom
1.63
Norwich
1.59
Hull
1.52
Middlesbrough
1.50
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Cardiff
1.35
Millwall
1.28
Swansea
1.24
Watford
1.22
QPR
1.22
Sunderland
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Blackburn
1.15
Sheffield Weds
1.15
Plymouth
1.11
Birmingham
1.09
Huddersfield
0.98
Rotherham
0.59
Watford and Stoke are level in average points per game (both 1.22).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.00
Leicester
1.93
Southampton
1.89
Leeds
1.76
Norwich
1.72
Middlesbrough
1.54
West Brom
1.52
Coventry
1.52
Hull
1.48
Watford
1.33
Blackburn
1.30
Swansea
1.28
Plymouth
1.28
Preston
1.22
Bristol City
1.15
Cardiff
1.15
Sunderland
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Stoke
1.07
Huddersfield
1.04
QPR
1.02
Millwall
0.98
Sheffield Weds
0.96
Rotherham
0.80
Watford is 0.26 goals better than Stoke in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.07).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.93
West Brom
1.02
Bristol City
1.11
Sunderland
1.17
Millwall
1.20
Ipswich
1.24
QPR
1.26
Coventry
1.28
Stoke
1.30
Hull
1.30
Watford
1.33
Middlesbrough
1.35
Southampton
1.37
Norwich
1.39
Swansea
1.41
Birmingham
1.41
Preston
1.46
Sheffield Weds
1.48
Plymouth
1.52
Cardiff
1.52
Blackburn
1.61
Huddersfield
1.67
Rotherham
1.93
Watford is 0.02 goals worse than Stoke in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.30).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Southampton
66%
Leicester
62%
Leeds
58%
Hull
56%
Sunderland
56%
Swansea
55%
Ipswich
53%
Middlesbrough
53%
West Brom
52%
Watford
52%
Blackburn
52%
Coventry
51%
Stoke
51%
Norwich
49%
Bristol City
48%
QPR
46%
Cardiff
45%
Plymouth
45%
Preston
45%
Birmingham
44%
Sheffield Weds
43%
Millwall
42%
Huddersfield
40%
Rotherham
37%
Watford is 1.4 percentage points better than Stoke in terms of average possession (52% vs 51%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

WatfordWatford

For 5.0 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

15066575106473287526723112121510101012894H·BRIA·BLAA·PREH·IPSH·SOUA·HULH·NORA·LEIH·ROTA·HUD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

801321324342114622121546735832H·BRIA·BLAA·PREH·IPSH·SOUA·HULH·NORA·LEIH·ROTA·HUD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 10.3 · Total 22.4

⚠️ Fouls

280104812914121610161271412145121120614202328261926192326H·BRIA·BLAA·PREH·IPSH·SOUA·HULH·NORA·LEIH·ROTA·HUD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

StokeStoke

For 5.8 · Against 5.7 · Total 11.5

🚩 Corners

220357111116345877137144178822991520888A·BIRH·MILA·WESH·SWAH·SHEA·PLYA·QPRH·BLAA·COVH·CAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

8032131332342162211115445738321A·BIRH·MILA·WESH·SWAH·SHEA·PLYA·QPRH·BLAA·COVH·CAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 10.5 · Total 22.9

⚠️ Fouls

3001210111614911147111531113119161416622272325181824203022A·BIRH·MILA·WESH·SWAH·SHEA·PLYA·QPRH·BLAA·COVH·CAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.010.49.64.64.54.824.123.724.6
vs Stronger (4)9.510.09.35.86.05.726.828.026.3
vs Similar (42)10.110.59.74.54.44.524.024.023.9
vs Weaker (4)9.510.08.05.55.07.023.520.034.0
% over line56%62%50%72%69%75%70%65%75%
% under line44%38%50%28%31%25%30%35%25%
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.610.011.24.24.44.023.123.722.5
vs Stronger (6)8.78.09.04.06.52.826.026.525.8
vs Similar (41)11.010.211.94.34.24.322.723.921.4
vs Weaker (3)8.710.06.04.04.53.023.019.530.0
% over line52%44%60%66%68%64%60%60%60%
% under line48%56%40%34%32%36%40%40%40%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Plymouth
11.8
Blackburn
11.3
Middlesbrough
10.9
West Brom
10.9
Coventry
10.9
Norwich
10.7
Stoke
10.6
Huddersfield
10.6
QPR
10.5
Southampton
10.4
Rotherham
10.4
Hull
10.4
Bristol City
10.4
Leeds
10.2
Sunderland
10.1
Watford
10.0
Birmingham
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Leicester
9.9
Cardiff
9.9
Preston
9.8
Millwall
9.5
Sheffield Weds
9.3
Swansea
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sunderland
4.7
Watford
4.6
Southampton
4.4
Swansea
4.4
Blackburn
4.4
Leeds
4.3
Stoke
4.2
QPR
4.2
Coventry
4.1
Norwich
4.1
Preston
4.1
Ipswich
3.9
Leicester
3.8
Birmingham
3.7
West Brom
3.7
Millwall
3.7
Plymouth
3.7
Cardiff
3.7
Sheffield Weds
3.6
Rotherham
3.6
Middlesbrough
3.6
Hull
3.5
Huddersfield
3.5
Bristol City
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Watford
24.1
Sunderland
23.6
Swansea
23.4
Stoke
23.1
QPR
22.9
Birmingham
22.7
Southampton
22.6
Leeds
22.3
Preston
22.2
Coventry
22.1
Millwall
22.0
Sheffield Weds
21.9
Middlesbrough
21.9
Norwich
21.7
Ipswich
21.6
Hull
21.2
Leicester
21.1
Plymouth
21.0
Huddersfield
20.9
Rotherham
20.5
Bristol City
20.1
Cardiff
19.9
West Brom
19.7
Blackburn
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
40.6%
Under 9.5
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
74.6%
Under 3.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
60.3%
Under 21.5
39.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W00D22D11D00D11D11D01L02LA·HUD04/11H·ROT11/11A·LEI25/11H·NOR28/11A·HUL02/12H·SOU09/12H·IPS12/12A·PRE16/12A·BLA23/12H·BRI26/12
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.670.940.810.430.50
vs Stronger (4)0.500.501.001.000.330.33
vs Similar (25)0.680.720.860.860.450.55
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L11D11D00D00D11D00D20WH·CAR04/11A·COV11/11H·BLA25/11A·QPR28/11A·PLY02/12H·SHE09/12H·SWA12/12A·WES17/12H·MIL23/12A·BIR26/12
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.530.330.330.670.73
vs Stronger (4)0.250.500.500.500.000.50
vs Similar (25)0.440.560.080.330.770.77
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D30W02L10W10W11D01L40W20W12LA·HUD04/11H·ROT11/11A·LEI25/11H·NOR28/11A·HUL02/12H·SOU09/12H·IPS12/12A·PRE16/12A·BLA23/12H·BRI26/12
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.670.880.440.860.93
vs Stronger (4)0.251.750.001.000.332.00
vs Similar (25)0.880.520.790.431.000.64
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Stoke) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

StokeStoke

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D02L13L01L01L11D00D00D11DH·CAR04/11A·COV11/11H·BLA25/11A·QPR28/11A·PLY02/12H·SHE09/12H·SWA12/12A·WES17/12H·MIL23/12A·BIR26/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.730.400.800.330.67
vs Stronger (4)0.500.251.000.000.000.50
vs Similar (25)0.320.800.250.920.380.69
vs Weaker (1)1.001.001.001.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Stoke over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards88.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners80.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls75.6%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.575.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards74.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls71.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners71.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Dennis24%
Mileta Rajović20%
Rhys Healey18%
Edo Kayembe14%
Yáser Asprilla14%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo13%
Matheus Martins13%
Ismael Koné10%
Wesley Hoedt9%
Ryan Andrews8%
Thomas Ince7%
Jake Livermore7%
Imrân Louza7%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Ryan Porteous5%
Ken Sema3%
Giorgi Chakvetadze3%
Matthew Pollock0%
Ben Hamer0%
Jamal Lewis0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Porteous38%
Jake Livermore30%
Wesley Hoedt27%
Imrân Louza27%
Giorgi Chakvetadze21%
Edo Kayembe20%
Ryan Andrews18%
Matthew Pollock17%
James Morris17%
Yáser Asprilla16%
Ben Hamer16%
Francisco Sierralta15%
Daniel Bachmann15%
Jamal Lewis11%
Rhys Healey9%
Matheus Martins8%
Jeremy Ngakia7%
Ismael Koné7%
Emmanuel Dennis6%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo5%
Thomas Ince4%
Ken Sema3%
Mileta Rajović2%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Imrân Louza20%
Yáser Asprilla16%
Giorgi Chakvetadze12%
Ken Sema10%
Rhys Healey9%
Ryan Porteous8%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo8%
Thomas Ince7%
Jeremy Ngakia7%
Ismael Koné7%
Edo Kayembe6%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Jamal Lewis6%
Matheus Martins5%
Ryan Andrews5%
Wesley Hoedt5%
Francisco Sierralta4%
Jake Livermore3%
Emmanuel Dennis0%
Mileta Rajović0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Ben Hamer0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
James Morris0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edo Kayembe17%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo10%
Yáser Asprilla9%
Ismael Koné7%
Imrân Louza7%
Matheus Martins5%
Mileta Rajović5%
Wesley Hoedt5%
Thomas Ince4%
Giorgi Chakvetadze3%
Ryan Andrews2%
Emmanuel Dennis0%
Ken Sema0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Rhys Healey0%
Ben Hamer0%
Jamal Lewis0%
Jake Livermore0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Ryan Porteous0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Stoke
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Million Manhoef21%
André Vidigal17%
Tyrese Campbell13%
Ryan Mmaee12%
Luke Cundle12%
Ki-Jana Hoever10%
Lewis Baker10%
Daniel Johnson8%
Wouter Burger8%
Nathan Lowe8%
Niall Ennis7%
Lynden Gooch7%
Mehdi Léris7%
Jordan Thompson6%
Sead Hakšabanović5%
Luke McNally5%
Bae Jun-Ho5%
Ben Wilmot4%
Josh Laurent3%
Michael Rose3%
Wesley Moraes0%
Daniel Iversen0%
Mark Travers0%
Ciaran Clark0%
Enda Stevens0%
Dwight Gayle0%
Ben Pearson0%
Jack Bonham0%
Chiquinho0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordan Thompson44%
Ben Pearson41%
Ciaran Clark33%
Enda Stevens29%
Ben Wilmot28%
Junior Tchamadeu27%
Wouter Burger26%
Josh Laurent22%
Daniel Johnson19%
Luke McNally18%
Mehdi Léris17%
Lewis Baker15%
Million Manhoef14%
Michael Rose14%
Tyrese Campbell13%
Luke Cundle12%
Lynden Gooch10%
Ki-Jana Hoever10%
Niall Ennis7%
André Vidigal7%
Sead Hakšabanović5%
Bae Jun-Ho5%
Wesley Moraes5%
Ryan Mmaee4%
Daniel Iversen0%
Mark Travers0%
Dwight Gayle0%
Jack Bonham0%
Chiquinho0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bae Jun-Ho13%
Ki-Jana Hoever12%
Ryan Mmaee12%
Sead Hakšabanović11%
Wouter Burger10%
Daniel Johnson8%
Million Manhoef7%
Mehdi Léris7%
Jordan Thompson6%
Luke Cundle6%
Josh Laurent5%
Tyrese Campbell4%
Ben Wilmot4%
Ben Pearson3%
Luke McNally3%
Wesley Moraes0%
André Vidigal0%
Daniel Iversen0%
Niall Ennis0%
Mark Travers0%
Ciaran Clark0%
Enda Stevens0%
Dwight Gayle0%
Lewis Baker0%
Lynden Gooch0%
Jack Bonham0%
Michael Rose0%
Chiquinho0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Million Manhoef29%
Tyrese Campbell26%
Ryan Mmaee17%
Niall Ennis14%
André Vidigal14%
Lewis Baker10%
Ki-Jana Hoever8%
Michael Rose5%
Sead Hakšabanović5%
Bae Jun-Ho5%
Wesley Moraes5%
Josh Laurent3%
Luke McNally3%
Wouter Burger3%
Daniel Iversen0%
Mark Travers0%
Ciaran Clark0%
Enda Stevens0%
Dwight Gayle0%
Daniel Johnson0%
Ben Pearson0%
Lynden Gooch0%
Jordan Thompson0%
Jack Bonham0%
Mehdi Léris0%
Ben Wilmot0%
Luke Cundle0%
Chiquinho0%
Junior Tchamadeu0%
Souleymane Sidibe0%
Nathan Lowe0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
ROT (19)
€5m
Watford's squad is €10m more valuable than Stoke's (€88m vs €79m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
SHW (6)
€7m
PLY (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
ROT (6)
€2m
Watford's attack is €8m less valuable than Stoke's (€28m vs €35m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
ROT (5)
€1m
Watford's midfield is €27m more valuable than Stoke's (€38m vs €11m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
MID (12)
€41m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
CAR (10)
€10m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
ROT (8)
€2m
Watford's defence is €10m less valuable than Stoke's (€22m vs €32m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
4
WAT wins
0
Draws
1
STK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Watford vs Stoke · H/A from WAT
DateH/AGameScore
19/08/23AStoke Vs WAT1-0
08/05/23HWAT Vs Stoke2-0
02/10/22AStoke Vs WAT0-4
22/01/21AStoke Vs WAT1-2
04/11/20HWAT Vs Stoke3-2

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/12/23HWAT Vs Bristol City1-4
23/12/23ABlackburn Vs WAT1-2
16/12/23APreston Vs WAT1-5
12/12/23HWAT Vs Ipswich1-2
09/12/23HWAT Vs Southampton1-1
02/12/23AHull Vs WAT1-2
28/11/23HWAT Vs Norwich3-2
25/11/23ALeicester Vs WAT2-0
11/11/23HWAT Vs Rotherham5-0
04/11/23AHuddersfield Vs WAT0-0

StokeStoke

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/12/23ABirmingham Vs STK1-3
23/12/23HSTK Vs Millwall0-0
17/12/23AWest Brom Vs STK1-1
12/12/23HSTK Vs Swansea1-1
09/12/23HSTK Vs Sheffield Weds0-1
02/12/23APlymouth Vs STK2-1
28/11/23AQPR Vs STK4-2
25/11/23HSTK Vs Blackburn0-3
11/11/23ACoventry Vs STK0-0
04/11/23HSTK Vs Cardiff0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWL1.30
HomeWWDLL1.50
AwayDLWWW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%25%
AVG goals2.582.772.38
Over 1.5 %74%81%67%
Over 2.5 %42%46%38%
Over 3.5 %32%38%25%
Scored1.321.621.00
Conceded1.261.151.38
BTTS44%50%38%
Clean Sheet32%42%21%
Corners10.0210.429.58
Cards4.644.504.79
Stoke
Stoke
England: Championship
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDDW1.10
HomeDLLDD1.08
AwayDLLDW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals2.342.002.68
Over 1.5 %62%48%76%
Over 2.5 %42%40%44%
Over 3.5 %28%20%36%
Scored1.140.961.32
Conceded1.201.041.36
BTTS42%32%52%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners10.6210.0411.20
Cards4.224.444.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeicesterLeicester4697
67%
2.1
8941+48
2.8
78%
59%
30%
9.8
52%
4.3
63%
21.1
46%
69
2013361.90.9
62%
2IpswichIpswich4696
61%
2.1
9257+35
3.2
80%
61%
43%
10.5
57%
3.9
65%
22.9
59%
280
13066852.01.2
53%
3LeedsLeeds4690
59%
2.0
8143+38
2.7
72%
54%
30%
10.5
54%
4.1
57%
22.6
54%
427
166981631.80.9
58%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4687
57%
1.9
8763+24
3.3
85%
65%
37%
11.5
65%
4.8
76%
22.1
50%
205
7253791.91.4
66%
5West BromWest Brom4675
46%
1.6
7047+23
2.5
76%
48%
26%
10.9
61%
3.5
39%
18.8
22%
52
1522151.51.0
52%
6NorwichNorwich4673
46%
1.6
7964+15
3.1
78%
61%
41%
10.5
57%
4.1
52%
21.3
43%
107
4631291.71.4
49%
7HullHull4670
41%
1.5
6860+8
2.8
76%
59%
33%
10.5
70%
4.3
65%
22.7
54%
105
2231521.51.3
56%
8MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4669
43%
1.5
7162+9
2.9
85%
52%
30%
11.0
65%
3.7
59%
21.4
41%
142
7427411.51.3
53%
9CoventryCoventry4664
37%
1.4
7059+11
2.8
85%
63%
26%
11.7
65%
4.3
61%
23.2
70%
237
8552991.51.3
51%
10PrestonPreston4663
39%
1.4
5667-11
2.7
78%
59%
22%
9.3
46%
3.6
52%
22.4
52%
43
173221.21.5
45%
11Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5351+2
2.3
61%
37%
22%
10.5
57%
3.2
41%
20.2
41%
66
2919181.21.1
48%
12CardiffCardiff4662
41%
1.3
5370-17
2.7
76%
52%
26%
9.5
48%
3.5
50%
19.8
33%
29
154101.21.5
45%
13MillwallMillwall4659
35%
1.3
4555-10
2.2
63%
37%
20%
10.2
50%
4.2
63%
22.2
57%
85
3029251.01.2
42%
14SwanseaSwansea4657
33%
1.2
5965-6
2.7
78%
57%
30%
10.4
61%
4.1
61%
22.6
57%
91
569261.31.4
55%
15WatfordWatford4656
28%
1.2
6161+0
2.7
67%
50%
33%
9.9
52%
4.2
57%
23.4
63%
88
2838221.31.3
52%
16SunderlandSunderland4656
35%
1.2
5254-2
2.3
63%
46%
22%
10.5
59%
4.9
72%
23.3
65%
392
1571101251.11.2
56%
17StokeStoke4656
33%
1.2
4960-11
2.4
67%
43%
24%
11.0
50%
4.3
70%
22.3
59%
79
3511321.11.3
51%
18QPRQPR4656
33%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
72%
46%
17%
11.0
57%
4.4
65%
23.0
63%
71
2915271.01.3
46%
19BlackburnBlackburn4653
30%
1.2
6074-14
2.9
76%
63%
37%
11.3
76%
4.1
61%
19.7
39%
36
157141.31.6
52%
20Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4653
33%
1.2
4468-24
2.4
74%
46%
22%
10.6
59%
4.3
57%
22.5
54%
21
7681.01.5
43%
21PlymouthPlymouth4651
28%
1.1
5970-11
2.8
74%
54%
30%
12.5
80%
4.1
59%
21.8
57%
13
4361.31.5
45%
22BirminghamBirmingham4650
28%
1.1
5065-15
2.5
67%
46%
26%
10.6
59%
4.0
59%
23.3
70%
93
4612351.11.4
44%
23HuddersfieldHuddersfield4645
20%
1.0
4877-29
2.7
83%
46%
30%
11.0
63%
3.9
63%
22.8
59%
16
4481.01.7
40%
24RotherhamRotherham4627
11%
0.6
3789-52
2.7
80%
50%
24%
10.5
57%
3.2
35%
20.7
46%
5
2120.81.9
37%
England: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches