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Watford vs Swansea Result & Analysis

Date: 05/10/2022
Time: 19:45
Final 1-2
Watford
Watford
Vs
45%
27%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Swansea
Swansea
England: Championship
Referee: T Robinson

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Watford win✗ Miss
45.0%
Avg Implied 51.6% · @ 1.84
Edge
-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.60
Edge
+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Swansea win✓ Hit
28.0%
Avg Implied 22.0% · @ 4.32
Edge
+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W11D00D23L21W11D02L22D40WA·WES08/08H·BUR12/08A·BIR16/08A·PRE20/08H·QPR27/08H·MID30/08A·ROT03/09A·BLA13/09H·SUN17/09A·STO02/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.871.701.002.140.751.31
vs Stronger (13)0.692.081.002.670.431.57
vs Similar (16)1.001.441.001.751.001.12
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W22D02L12L11D10W01L30W32WH·BLA06/08A·BLA13/08H·MIL16/08H·LUT20/08A·MID27/08A·STO31/08H·QPR03/09H·SHE13/09H·HUL17/09A·WES01/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.571.311.381.571.79
vs Stronger (1)3.003.003.003.00--
vs Similar (23)1.301.521.211.291.441.89
vs Weaker (6)1.671.501.001.001.801.60
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.7%
@ 1.93+4.4%
Under 2.5
46.3%
@ 1.87-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.4%
Under 3.5
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.5%
No
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
7.6%
1-2 ✓
7.1%
0-0
7.1%
0-1
6.1%
2-2
5.7%
Watford goals ↓
Swansea goals →
01234
07.1%6.1%4.4%1.8%0.6%
18.3%13%7.1%2.9%0.9%
27.6%9.3%5.7%2.3%0.7%
34.1%5.0%3.0%1.2%0.4%
41.6%2.0%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Watford goals (down), columns = Swansea goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Burnley
2.20
Sheffield United
1.98
Luton
1.74
Middlesbrough
1.63
Coventry
1.52
Sunderland
1.50
Blackburn
1.50
Millwall
1.48
Swansea
1.43
West Brom
1.43
Watford
1.37
Preston
1.37
Norwich
1.35
Bristol City
1.28
Hull
1.26
Birmingham
1.15
Huddersfield
1.15
Stoke
1.15
Rotherham
1.09
QPR
1.09
Reading
1.09
Cardiff
1.07
Wigan
0.98
Blackpool
0.96
Watford is 0.07 points worse than Swansea in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.43).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Burnley
1.89
Middlesbrough
1.83
Sheffield United
1.59
Swansea
1.48
Sunderland
1.48
West Brom
1.28
Coventry
1.26
Norwich
1.24
Luton
1.24
Millwall
1.24
Watford
1.22
Bristol City
1.20
Stoke
1.20
Blackburn
1.13
Hull
1.11
Rotherham
1.07
Blackpool
1.04
Birmingham
1.02
Huddersfield
1.02
Reading
1.00
Preston
0.98
QPR
0.96
Cardiff
0.89
Wigan
0.83
Watford is 0.26 goals worse than Swansea in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 1.48).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Burnley
0.76
Luton
0.85
Sheffield United
0.85
Coventry
1.00
Millwall
1.09
Watford
1.15
West Brom
1.15
Norwich
1.17
Blackburn
1.17
Stoke
1.17
Sunderland
1.20
Bristol City
1.22
Middlesbrough
1.22
Birmingham
1.26
Cardiff
1.26
Preston
1.28
Rotherham
1.30
Hull
1.33
Huddersfield
1.35
Swansea
1.39
Wigan
1.41
Reading
1.48
QPR
1.54
Blackpool
1.57
Watford is 0.24 goals better than Swansea in terms of goals conceded per game (1.15 vs 1.39).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Burnley
65%
Swansea
64%
Middlesbrough
58%
Norwich
57%
Sunderland
54%
Blackburn
54%
West Brom
53%
Stoke
53%
Watford
53%
Sheffield United
51%
Hull
50%
Bristol City
50%
QPR
50%
Wigan
48%
Preston
48%
Coventry
47%
Cardiff
47%
Luton
46%
Millwall
45%
Blackpool
42%
Rotherham
42%
Reading
42%
Birmingham
42%
Huddersfield
41%
Watford is 11.4 percentage points worse than Swansea in terms of average possession (53% vs 64%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

WatfordWatford

For 4.1 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

14066835963271457533612121114995128912A·STOH·SUNA·BLAA·ROTH·MIDH·QPRA·PREA·BIRH·BURA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

705242232442221121127425664233A·STOH·SUNA·BLAA·ROTH·MIDH·QPRA·PREA·BIRH·BURA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 10.0 · Total 20.8

⚠️ Fouls

250151086129111213999914512131213725142123221823172520A·STOH·SUNA·BLAA·ROTH·MIDH·QPRA·PREA·BIRH·BURA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SwanseaSwansea

For 5.4 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.2

🚩 Corners

15068536464312487567635414810101512121399A·WESH·HULH·SHEH·QPRA·STOA·MIDH·LUTH·MILA·BLAH·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

801312113213512331314323381544A·WESH·HULH·SHEH·QPRA·STOA·MIDH·LUTH·MILA·BLAH·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.9 · Against 11.0 · Total 19.9

⚠️ Fouls

29082167913898121413712881368929132217202719161917A·WESH·HULH·SHEH·QPRA·STOA·MIDH·LUTH·MILA·BLAH·BLA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.010.83.43.53.421.021.021.0
vs Stronger (27)10.19.910.53.23.43.120.621.020.1
vs Similar (22)10.710.111.33.63.73.521.520.922.0
vs Weaker (1)9.0-9.05.0-5.023.0-23.0
% over line62%60%64%46%44%48%48%44%52%
% under line38%40%36%54%56%52%52%56%48%
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.110.03.73.73.721.020.521.5
vs Stronger (2)10.011.09.06.58.05.022.523.022.0
vs Similar (36)9.99.210.73.63.63.621.119.922.5
vs Weaker (12)8.38.48.33.53.23.720.422.219.1
% over line54%52%56%46%52%40%40%40%40%
% under line46%48%44%54%48%60%60%60%60%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Burnley
11.2
Norwich
10.9
Sunderland
10.6
Bristol City
10.6
Rotherham
10.4
Middlesbrough
10.4
Watford
10.4
Preston
10.3
Coventry
10.3
Stoke
10.2
Millwall
10.1
Sheffield United
10.0
Luton
9.9
Birmingham
9.9
Hull
9.7
West Brom
9.7
QPR
9.6
Cardiff
9.5
Swansea
9.5
Blackburn
9.4
Huddersfield
9.4
Wigan
9.2
Blackpool
9.1
Reading
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Middlesbrough
4.6
Blackburn
4.5
Sunderland
4.1
Cardiff
4.0
Stoke
3.9
Wigan
3.9
Sheffield United
3.9
Preston
3.8
Luton
3.7
Swansea
3.7
Reading
3.7
Blackpool
3.6
Coventry
3.6
Rotherham
3.5
West Brom
3.5
Watford
3.4
QPR
3.4
Huddersfield
3.4
Bristol City
3.4
Birmingham
3.3
Hull
3.3
Norwich
3.1
Millwall
3.1
Burnley
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wigan
23.4
Rotherham
23.1
Middlesbrough
22.6
Sunderland
22.6
Luton
22.2
Blackburn
21.8
Preston
21.7
Reading
21.6
Birmingham
21.5
Blackpool
21.4
QPR
21.1
Stoke
21.1
Watford
21.0
Swansea
21.0
Sheffield United
21.0
West Brom
20.9
Millwall
20.6
Coventry
20.6
Cardiff
20.5
Norwich
20.5
Hull
20.4
Bristol City
20.3
Burnley
19.4
Huddersfield
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
51.9%
Under 9.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
50.8%
Under 3.5
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
46.2%
Under 21.5
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W01L00D12L11D11D01L11D10WA·WES08/08H·BUR12/08A·BIR16/08A·PRE20/08H·QPR27/08H·MID30/08A·ROT03/09A·BLA13/09H·SUN17/09A·STO02/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.900.570.930.380.88
vs Stronger (13)0.311.080.501.330.140.86
vs Similar (16)0.560.750.620.620.500.88
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D20W01L02L10W10W00D00D10WH·BLA06/08A·BLA13/08H·MIL16/08H·LUT20/08A·MID27/08A·STO31/08H·QPR03/09H·SHE13/09H·HUL17/09A·WES01/10
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.430.620.250.640.64
vs Stronger (1)2.000.002.000.00--
vs Similar (23)0.520.430.570.290.440.67
vs Weaker (6)0.830.500.000.001.000.60
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D10W00D11D10W00D01L11D30WA·WES08/08H·BUR12/08A·BIR16/08A·PRE20/08H·QPR27/08H·MID30/08A·ROT03/09A·BLA13/09H·SUN17/09A·STO02/10
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.800.431.210.380.44
vs Stronger (13)0.381.000.501.330.290.71
vs Similar (16)0.440.690.381.120.500.25
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L10W02L01L10W01L00D01L30W22DH·BLA06/08A·BLA13/08H·MIL16/08H·LUT20/08A·MID27/08A·STO31/08H·QPR03/09H·SHE13/09H·HUL17/09A·WES01/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.130.691.120.931.14
vs Stronger (1)1.003.001.003.00--
vs Similar (23)0.781.090.641.001.001.22
vs Weaker (6)0.831.001.001.000.801.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards82.8%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls82.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.578.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners71.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards71.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro26%
Ismaïla Sarr26%
Tom Cleverley25%
Tobi Adeyemo25%
Imrân Louza24%
Keinan Davis21%
João Ferreira20%
Britt Assombalonga18%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo17%
Rey Manaj17%
Ryan Porteous12%
Ken Sema8%
William Troost-Ekong7%
Wesley Hoedt7%
Francisco Sierralta6%
Christian Kabasele4%
Yaser Asprilla3%
Samuel Kalu0%
Edo Kayembe0%
Mario Gaspar0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Hamza Choudhury0%
Craig Cathcart0%
Dan Gosling0%
Leandro Bacuna0%
Kortney Hause0%
Hassane Kamara0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
Henrique Araújo0%
James Morris0%
Joseph Hungbo0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Matheus Martins0%
Ismael Koné0%
Ryan Andrews0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hamza Choudhury39%
Francisco Sierralta39%
Imrân Louza33%
Wesley Hoedt33%
Ryan Porteous29%
Tom Cleverley25%
Hassane Kamara25%
Tobi Adeyemo25%
Leandro Bacuna21%
João Pedro20%
João Ferreira20%
Keinan Davis18%
Rey Manaj17%
Matheus Martins17%
Ryan Andrews17%
Jeremy Ngakia14%
Daniel Bachmann13%
Mario Gaspar13%
Ken Sema12%
Samuel Kalu11%
Yaser Asprilla11%
Edo Kayembe10%
James Morris8%
Christian Kabasele8%
Craig Cathcart7%
William Troost-Ekong7%
Ismael Koné6%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo0%
Ismaïla Sarr0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Dan Gosling0%
Kortney Hause0%
Britt Assombalonga0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
Henrique Araújo0%
Joseph Hungbo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ken Sema22%
Ismaïla Sarr18%
Tom Dele-Bashiru17%
Matheus Martins17%
Imrân Louza14%
Henrique Araújo12%
João Pedro11%
Hassane Kamara6%
Ismael Koné6%
Keinan Davis6%
Ryan Porteous6%
Yaser Asprilla5%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo4%
Craig Cathcart4%
Samuel Kalu0%
Edo Kayembe0%
Mario Gaspar0%
William Troost-Ekong0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Hamza Choudhury0%
Christian Kabasele0%
Tom Cleverley0%
Dan Gosling0%
Leandro Bacuna0%
Kortney Hause0%
Britt Assombalonga0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Rey Manaj0%
Wesley Hoedt0%
João Ferreira0%
James Morris0%
Joseph Hungbo0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Tobi Adeyemo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Pedro29%
Ismaïla Sarr23%
Keinan Davis15%
Imrân Louza5%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo4%
Mario Gaspar3%
Yaser Asprilla3%
Ken Sema2%
Samuel Kalu0%
Edo Kayembe0%
William Troost-Ekong0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Hamza Choudhury0%
Craig Cathcart0%
Christian Kabasele0%
Tom Cleverley0%
Dan Gosling0%
Leandro Bacuna0%
Kortney Hause0%
Britt Assombalonga0%
Hassane Kamara0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Ryan Porteous0%
Rey Manaj0%
Wesley Hoedt0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
João Ferreira0%
Henrique Araújo0%
James Morris0%
Joseph Hungbo0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Matheus Martins0%
Ismael Koné0%
Ryan Andrews0%
Tobi Adeyemo0%
Swansea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Joël Piroe35%
Liam Cullen28%
Olivier Ntcham20%
Michael Obafemi16%
Harry Darling13%
Oliver Cooper12%
Ryan Manning12%
Luke Cundle9%
Jay Fulton8%
Matthew Sorinola7%
Morgan Whittaker7%
Joel Latibeaudiere6%
Ben Cabango5%
Joe Allen4%
Matt Grimes2%
Armstrong Oko-Flex0%
Nathan Wood-Gordon0%
Liam Walsh0%
Jamie Paterson0%
Steven-Andreas Benda0%
Kyle Naughton0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Finley Stevens0%
Cameron Congreve0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Harry Darling35%
Joel Latibeaudiere32%
Jay Fulton29%
Ryan Manning26%
Ben Cabango23%
Nathan Wood-Gordon22%
Matthew Sorinola21%
Matt Grimes18%
Joël Piroe16%
Michael Obafemi16%
Armstrong Oko-Flex15%
Oliver Cooper15%
Jamie Paterson9%
Kyle Naughton8%
Joe Allen8%
Andrew Fisher8%
Olivier Ntcham7%
Luke Cundle6%
Liam Walsh0%
Steven-Andreas Benda0%
Liam Cullen0%
Morgan Whittaker0%
Finley Stevens0%
Cameron Congreve0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ryan Manning21%
Matt Grimes16%
Liam Walsh14%
Luke Cundle12%
Matthew Sorinola10%
Joel Latibeaudiere9%
Jamie Paterson9%
Olivier Ntcham7%
Michael Obafemi5%
Oliver Cooper5%
Joël Piroe5%
Kyle Naughton4%
Joe Allen4%
Liam Cullen3%
Harry Darling3%
Jay Fulton3%
Nathan Wood-Gordon2%
Armstrong Oko-Flex0%
Steven-Andreas Benda0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Ben Cabango0%
Morgan Whittaker0%
Finley Stevens0%
Cameron Congreve0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joël Piroe51%
Michael Obafemi16%
Harry Darling13%
Olivier Ntcham12%
Liam Cullen7%
Morgan Whittaker7%
Oliver Cooper5%
Ryan Manning5%
Ben Cabango5%
Jamie Paterson4%
Luke Cundle3%
Armstrong Oko-Flex0%
Nathan Wood-Gordon0%
Liam Walsh0%
Steven-Andreas Benda0%
Kyle Naughton0%
Jay Fulton0%
Matt Grimes0%
Joe Allen0%
Andrew Fisher0%
Matthew Sorinola0%
Joel Latibeaudiere0%
Finley Stevens0%
Cameron Congreve0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (30)
€392m
COV (27)
€237m
MID (29)
€142m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
HUD (26)
€16m
BLA (22)
€11m
REA (20)
€10m
WIG (21)
€7m
ROT (19)
€5m
Watford's squad is €2m less valuable than Swansea's (€88m vs €91m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (9)
€157m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
BUR (14)
€70m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
SHU (9)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
REA (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
Watford's attack is €28m less valuable than Swansea's (€28m vs €56m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
SHU (5)
€32m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BUR (3)
€8m
BLB (7)
€7m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (5)
€1m
Watford's midfield is €29m more valuable than Swansea's (€38m vs €9m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
HUL (12)
€52m
SHU (13)
€49m
MID (12)
€41m
BUR (11)
€37m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
HUD (13)
€8m
BLA (9)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
WIG (5)
€3m
ROT (8)
€2m
Watford's defence is €4m less valuable than Swansea's (€22m vs €26m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
WAT wins
0
Draws
1
SWA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Watford vs Swansea · H/A from WAT
DateH/AGameScore
08/05/21HWAT Vs Swansea2-0
02/01/21ASwansea Vs WAT2-1

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/10/22AStoke Vs WAT0-4
17/09/22HWAT Vs Sunderland2-2
13/09/22ABlackburn Vs WAT2-0
03/09/22ARotherham Vs WAT1-1
30/08/22HWAT Vs Middlesbrough2-1
27/08/22HWAT Vs QPR2-3
20/08/22APreston Vs WAT0-0
16/08/22ABirmingham Vs WAT1-1
12/08/22HWAT Vs Burnley1-0
08/08/22AWest Brom Vs WAT1-1

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/22AWest Brom Vs SWA2-3
17/09/22HSWA Vs Hull3-0
13/09/22HSWA Vs Sheffield United0-1
03/09/22HSWA Vs QPR1-0
31/08/22AStoke Vs SWA1-1
27/08/22AMiddlesbrough Vs SWA2-1
20/08/22HSWA Vs Luton0-2
16/08/22HSWA Vs Millwall2-2
13/08/22ABlackpool Vs SWA0-1
06/08/22HSWA Vs Blackburn0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLDW0.86
HomeWWLWD0.84
AwayDDDLW0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%24%20%
AVG goals2.783.162.40
Over 1.5 %72%80%64%
Over 2.5 %50%64%36%
Over 3.5 %32%40%24%
Scored1.021.080.96
Conceded1.762.081.44
BTTS50%56%44%
Clean Sheet18%16%20%
Corners10.369.9610.76
Cards3.443.523.36
Swansea
Swansea
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWW1.40
HomeDLWLW1.56
AwayDWLDW1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.822.682.96
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %52%52%52%
Over 3.5 %32%28%36%
Scored1.341.401.28
Conceded1.481.281.68
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet30%32%28%
Corners9.529.089.96
Cards3.703.723.68

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BurnleyBurnley46101
63%
2.2
8735+52
2.7
76%
52%
22%
9.7
46%
4.0
52%
20.9
46%
115
708371.90.8
65%
2Sheffield UnitedSheffield United4691
61%
2.0
7339+34
2.4
61%
41%
26%
10.5
57%
4.3
67%
20.2
30%
110
2932491.60.8
51%
3LutonLuton4680
46%
1.7
5739+18
2.1
67%
30%
15%
10.7
61%
3.8
54%
22.5
52%
29
134121.20.8
46%
4MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4675
48%
1.6
8456+28
3.0
83%
65%
41%
10.3
54%
3.9
50%
21.3
41%
142
7427411.81.2
58%
5CoventryCoventry4670
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.3
63%
35%
24%
9.9
52%
4.1
63%
20.6
37%
237
8552991.31.0
47%
6SunderlandSunderland4669
39%
1.5
6855+13
2.7
78%
54%
20%
9.7
61%
4.5
70%
23.5
59%
392
1571101251.51.2
54%
7BlackburnBlackburn4669
43%
1.5
5254-2
2.3
65%
41%
15%
9.9
54%
4.1
57%
19.7
39%
36
157141.11.2
54%
8MillwallMillwall4668
41%
1.5
5750+7
2.3
67%
39%
17%
8.9
33%
3.4
50%
21.2
41%
85
3029251.21.1
45%
9West BromWest Brom4666
39%
1.4
5953+6
2.4
76%
37%
20%
10.8
70%
3.5
43%
19.9
39%
52
1522151.31.2
53%
10SwanseaSwansea4666
39%
1.4
6864+4
2.9
78%
57%
33%
9.5
41%
4.4
63%
22.0
48%
91
569261.51.4
64%
11WatfordWatford4663
35%
1.4
5653+3
2.4
74%
39%
26%
10.3
54%
4.7
78%
23.2
63%
88
2838221.21.2
53%
12PrestonPreston4663
37%
1.4
4559-14
2.3
63%
43%
20%
9.6
52%
4.4
67%
21.2
50%
43
173221.01.3
48%
13NorwichNorwich4662
37%
1.3
5754+3
2.4
67%
46%
22%
10.7
57%
4.0
57%
21.5
46%
107
4631291.21.2
57%
14Bristol CityBristol City4659
33%
1.3
5556-1
2.4
80%
39%
15%
10.5
57%
3.6
54%
20.7
30%
66
2919181.21.2
50%
15HullHull4658
30%
1.3
5161-10
2.4
67%
41%
26%
10.0
52%
3.2
37%
20.0
30%
105
2231521.11.3
50%
16StokeStoke4653
30%
1.2
5554+1
2.4
67%
43%
28%
10.7
67%
4.0
54%
22.4
52%
79
3511321.21.2
53%
17BirminghamBirmingham4653
30%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
67%
41%
15%
9.8
57%
3.9
48%
21.7
37%
93
4612351.01.3
42%
18HuddersfieldHuddersfield4653
30%
1.2
4762-15
2.4
67%
43%
22%
10.0
54%
3.6
52%
19.5
35%
16
4481.01.3
41%
19RotherhamRotherham4650
24%
1.1
4960-11
2.4
76%
48%
22%
10.1
61%
3.7
52%
20.1
35%
5
2121.11.3
42%
20ReadingReading4650
28%
1.1
4668-22
2.5
74%
50%
22%
9.5
54%
3.6
50%
21.2
39%
10
3341.01.5
42%
21QPRQPR4650
28%
1.1
4471-27
2.5
72%
50%
24%
10.3
50%
3.8
65%
22.1
48%
71
2915271.01.5
50%
22CardiffCardiff4649
28%
1.1
4158-17
2.2
61%
35%
20%
9.6
52%
4.1
57%
19.9
39%
29
154100.91.3
47%
23WiganWigan4645
22%
1.0
3865-27
2.2
67%
37%
15%
8.9
41%
3.7
54%
21.8
57%
7
2230.81.4
48%
24BlackpoolBlackpool4644
24%
1.0
4872-24
2.6
63%
48%
30%
10.3
54%
3.8
52%
22.5
63%
11
4341.01.6
42%
England: Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches