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Watford vs Swansea Result & Analysis

Date: 06/03/2024
Time: 19:45
Final 1-1
Watford
Watford
Vs
43%
27%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Swansea
Swansea
England: Championship
Referee: T Nield

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Watford win✗ Miss
42.6%
Avg Implied 43.1% · @ 2.20
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.9%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.39
Edge
-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Swansea win✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied 28.9% · @ 3.29
Edge
+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

WatfordWatford

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-433D21W11D00D01L12L24L10W12L01LA·PLY01/01A·QPR14/01A·BRI20/01A·SHE31/01H·CAR03/02H·LEI10/02A·NOR13/02A·ROT17/02H·HUD24/02A·MIL02/03
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.431.641.571.251.31
vs Stronger (3)0.332.331.002.000.002.50
vs Similar (25)1.441.441.421.671.461.23
vs Weaker (2)3.000.005.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W22D13L13L01L10W04L12L21W21WH·WES01/01A·BIR13/01H·SOU20/01A·LEI30/01H·PLY03/02A·HUL10/02H·LEE13/02H·IPS17/02A·SUN24/02H·BLA02/03
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.571.131.471.471.67
vs Stronger (6)1.002.170.332.001.672.33
vs Similar (22)1.361.451.361.361.361.55
vs Weaker (2)1.501.001.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.3%
Under 1.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.9%
@ 1.84+3.2%
Under 2.5
45.1%
@ 1.97-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.5%
Under 3.5
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.9%
No
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.0%
0-0
6.8%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
Watford goals ↓
Swansea goals →
01234
06.8%6.2%4.8%2.1%0.7%
17.7%13%7.5%3.3%1.1%
27.0%9.1%5.9%2.6%0.8%
33.7%4.8%3.1%1.3%0.4%
41.4%1.9%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Watford goals (down), columns = Swansea goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.09
Leeds
1.96
Southampton
1.89
West Brom
1.63
Norwich
1.59
Hull
1.52
Middlesbrough
1.50
Coventry
1.39
Preston
1.37
Bristol City
1.35
Cardiff
1.35
Millwall
1.28
Swansea
1.24
Watford
1.22
QPR
1.22
Sunderland
1.22
Stoke
1.22
Blackburn
1.15
Sheffield Weds
1.15
Plymouth
1.11
Birmingham
1.09
Huddersfield
0.98
Rotherham
0.59
Watford is 0.02 points worse than Swansea in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Ipswich
2.00
Leicester
1.93
Southampton
1.89
Leeds
1.76
Norwich
1.72
Middlesbrough
1.54
West Brom
1.52
Coventry
1.52
Hull
1.48
Watford
1.33
Blackburn
1.30
Swansea
1.28
Plymouth
1.28
Preston
1.22
Bristol City
1.15
Cardiff
1.15
Sunderland
1.13
Birmingham
1.09
Stoke
1.07
Huddersfield
1.04
QPR
1.02
Millwall
0.98
Sheffield Weds
0.96
Rotherham
0.80
Watford is 0.04 goals better than Swansea in terms of goals scored per game (1.33 vs 1.28).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.93
West Brom
1.02
Bristol City
1.11
Sunderland
1.17
Millwall
1.20
Ipswich
1.24
QPR
1.26
Coventry
1.28
Stoke
1.30
Hull
1.30
Watford
1.33
Middlesbrough
1.35
Southampton
1.37
Norwich
1.39
Swansea
1.41
Birmingham
1.41
Preston
1.46
Sheffield Weds
1.48
Plymouth
1.52
Cardiff
1.52
Blackburn
1.61
Huddersfield
1.67
Rotherham
1.93
Watford is 0.09 goals better than Swansea in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.41).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Southampton
66%
Leicester
62%
Leeds
58%
Hull
56%
Sunderland
56%
Swansea
55%
Ipswich
53%
Middlesbrough
53%
West Brom
52%
Watford
52%
Blackburn
52%
Coventry
51%
Stoke
51%
Norwich
49%
Bristol City
48%
QPR
46%
Cardiff
45%
Plymouth
45%
Preston
45%
Birmingham
44%
Sheffield Weds
43%
Millwall
42%
Huddersfield
40%
Rotherham
37%
Watford is 3.0 percentage points worse than Swansea in terms of average possession (52% vs 55%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

WatfordWatford

For 5.6 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

1503435674481102558748597813891210151214A·MILH·HUDA·ROTA·NORH·LEIH·CARA·SHEA·BRIA·QPRA·PLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

70132212232333342133324435567365A·MILH·HUDA·ROTA·NORH·LEIH·CARA·SHEA·BRIA·QPRA·PLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 11.5 · Total 24.8

⚠️ Fouls

300141216121113111311151661381681317121126282424262221243023A·MILH·HUDA·ROTA·NORH·LEIH·CARA·SHEA·BRIA·QPRA·PLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

SwanseaSwansea

For 5.7 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

1506611496524282323855351215157610511108H·BLAA·SUNH·IPSH·LEEA·HULH·PLYA·LEIH·SOUA·BIRH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

8012411131312311223523524452482H·BLAA·SUNH·IPSH·LEEA·HULH·PLYA·LEIH·SOUA·BIRH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 11.6 · Total 21.8

⚠️ Fouls

3201012158513111010712148121012112110722231821172620223217H·BLAA·SUNH·IPSH·LEEA·HULH·PLYA·LEIH·SOUA·BIRH·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

WatfordWatford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.39.84.64.44.823.723.524.0
vs Stronger (4)9.510.09.35.86.05.726.828.026.3
vs Similar (43)10.110.59.74.64.44.823.523.523.6
vs Weaker (3)10.39.013.04.04.53.022.321.524.0
% over line56%56%56%72%68%76%70%68%72%
% under line44%44%44%28%32%24%30%32%28%
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.89.44.34.34.222.922.823.0
vs Stronger (6)11.010.711.33.74.03.322.321.323.3
vs Similar (39)9.09.28.84.34.24.323.022.823.2
vs Weaker (5)12.412.712.04.84.75.022.824.021.0
% over line50%54%46%64%65%62%58%58%58%
% under line50%46%54%36%35%38%42%42%42%
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Plymouth
11.8
Southampton
11.6
Blackburn
11.4
Huddersfield
11.2
Coventry
11.1
Middlesbrough
11.0
Rotherham
10.9
Stoke
10.8
Birmingham
10.7
QPR
10.6
Hull
10.5
Sunderland
10.4
West Brom
10.4
Norwich
10.3
Ipswich
10.2
Bristol City
10.1
Leeds
10.1
Watford
10.1
Sheffield Weds
10.0
Preston
10.0
Leicester
9.8
Swansea
9.6
Millwall
9.6
Cardiff
9.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Sunderland
5.0
Watford
4.6
Southampton
4.6
QPR
4.4
Leicester
4.3
Swansea
4.3
Ipswich
4.2
Sheffield Weds
4.2
Coventry
4.2
Norwich
4.1
Stoke
4.1
Blackburn
4.1
Leeds
4.0
Millwall
3.9
Plymouth
3.8
Birmingham
3.8
Hull
3.8
Preston
3.8
Cardiff
3.7
Middlesbrough
3.6
West Brom
3.5
Huddersfield
3.5
Rotherham
3.4
Bristol City
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Sunderland
23.7
Watford
23.7
Birmingham
23.2
Swansea
22.9
Coventry
22.9
QPR
22.7
Stoke
22.5
Sheffield Weds
22.5
Preston
22.2
Hull
22.1
Millwall
22.1
Ipswich
21.9
Leeds
21.9
Middlesbrough
21.7
Leicester
21.7
Plymouth
21.6
Norwich
21.5
Southampton
21.4
Huddersfield
21.2
Rotherham
21.2
Cardiff
20.1
Bristol City
19.7
West Brom
19.4
Blackburn
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.2%
Under 9.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.5%
Under 3.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
52.3%
Under 21.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-323L00D11D00D01L01L12L00D00D01LA·PLY01/01A·QPR14/01A·BRI20/01A·SHE31/01H·CAR03/02H·LEI10/02A·NOR13/02A·ROT17/02H·HUD24/02A·MIL02/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.830.710.930.380.75
vs Stronger (3)0.330.671.001.000.000.50
vs Similar (25)0.520.920.581.000.460.85
vs Weaker (2)1.000.002.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D13L01L01L10W03L12L20W20WH·WES01/01A·BIR13/01H·SOU20/01A·LEI30/01H·PLY03/02A·HUL10/02H·LEE13/02H·IPS17/02A·SUN24/02H·BLA02/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.600.870.730.60
vs Stronger (6)0.831.500.331.671.331.33
vs Similar (22)0.640.550.730.640.550.45
vs Weaker (2)0.500.500.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

WatfordWatford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W21W00D00D00D11D12L10W12L00DA·PLY01/01A·QPR14/01A·BRI20/01A·SHE31/01H·CAR03/02H·LEI10/02A·NOR13/02A·ROT17/02H·HUD24/02A·MIL02/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.600.930.640.880.56
vs Stronger (3)0.001.670.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (25)0.920.520.830.671.000.38
vs Weaker (2)2.000.003.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Swansea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SwanseaSwansea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D00D12L00D00D01L00D01L01LH·WES01/01A·BIR13/01H·SOU20/01A·LEI30/01H·PLY03/02A·HUL10/02H·LEE13/02H·IPS17/02A·SUN24/02H·BLA02/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.530.600.731.07
vs Stronger (6)0.170.670.000.330.331.00
vs Similar (22)0.730.910.640.730.821.09
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Watford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Watford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Watford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Swansea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards81.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls78.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards71.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners71.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Watford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Emmanuel Dennis24%
Mileta Rajović20%
Rhys Healey18%
Edo Kayembe14%
Yáser Asprilla14%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo13%
Matheus Martins13%
Ismael Koné10%
Wesley Hoedt9%
Ryan Andrews8%
Thomas Ince7%
Jake Livermore7%
Imrân Louza7%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Ryan Porteous5%
Ken Sema3%
Giorgi Chakvetadze3%
Matthew Pollock0%
Ben Hamer0%
Jamal Lewis0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Porteous38%
Jake Livermore30%
Wesley Hoedt27%
Imrân Louza27%
Giorgi Chakvetadze21%
Edo Kayembe20%
Ryan Andrews18%
Matthew Pollock17%
James Morris17%
Yáser Asprilla16%
Ben Hamer16%
Francisco Sierralta15%
Daniel Bachmann15%
Jamal Lewis11%
Rhys Healey9%
Matheus Martins8%
Jeremy Ngakia7%
Ismael Koné7%
Emmanuel Dennis6%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo5%
Thomas Ince4%
Ken Sema3%
Mileta Rajović2%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Imrân Louza20%
Yáser Asprilla16%
Giorgi Chakvetadze12%
Ken Sema10%
Rhys Healey9%
Ryan Porteous8%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo8%
Thomas Ince7%
Jeremy Ngakia7%
Ismael Koné7%
Edo Kayembe6%
Tom Dele-Bashiru6%
Jamal Lewis6%
Matheus Martins5%
Ryan Andrews5%
Wesley Hoedt5%
Francisco Sierralta4%
Jake Livermore3%
Emmanuel Dennis0%
Mileta Rajović0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Ben Hamer0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
James Morris0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edo Kayembe17%
Vakoun Issouf Bayo10%
Yáser Asprilla9%
Ismael Koné7%
Imrân Louza7%
Matheus Martins5%
Mileta Rajović5%
Wesley Hoedt5%
Thomas Ince4%
Giorgi Chakvetadze3%
Ryan Andrews2%
Emmanuel Dennis0%
Ken Sema0%
Matthew Pollock0%
Rhys Healey0%
Ben Hamer0%
Jamal Lewis0%
Jake Livermore0%
Francisco Sierralta0%
Daniel Bachmann0%
Ryan Porteous0%
Tom Dele-Bashiru0%
James Morris0%
Jeremy Ngakia0%
Swansea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jamal Lowe26%
Jerry Yates19%
Josh Ginnelly17%
Liam Cullen16%
Jamie Paterson14%
Ronald11%
Joe Allen11%
Liam Walsh10%
Mykola Kukharevych10%
Charlie Patino9%
Matt Grimes9%
Harry Darling8%
Harrison Ashby8%
Josh Key7%
Bashir Humphreys4%
Nathan Wood4%
Oliver Cooper3%
Jay Fulton2%
Joël Piroe0%
Yannick Bolasie0%
Kyle Naughton0%
Josh Tymon0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Przemysław Płacheta0%
Ben Cabango0%
Carl Rushworth0%
Azeem Abdulai0%
Aimar Govea0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Joe Allen26%
Harry Darling24%
Ben Cabango23%
Josh Tymon22%
Liam Cullen20%
Nathan Wood19%
Jamie Paterson18%
Josh Ginnelly17%
Liam Walsh15%
Oliver Cooper15%
Jamal Lowe14%
Azeem Abdulai14%
Jay Fulton14%
Kyle Naughton13%
Matt Grimes11%
Yannick Bolasie10%
Bashir Humphreys8%
Harrison Ashby8%
Charlie Patino6%
Jerry Yates5%
Josh Key3%
Carl Rushworth2%
Joël Piroe0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Przemysław Płacheta0%
Ronald0%
Mykola Kukharevych0%
Aimar Govea0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Azeem Abdulai14%
Jamie Paterson14%
Josh Tymon12%
Charlie Patino12%
Liam Cullen11%
Matt Grimes11%
Jamal Lowe9%
Harrison Ashby8%
Kyle Naughton7%
Oliver Cooper6%
Harry Darling5%
Joe Allen5%
Josh Key3%
Ben Cabango3%
Jerry Yates2%
Joël Piroe0%
Yannick Bolasie0%
Nathan Wood0%
Liam Walsh0%
Jay Fulton0%
Josh Ginnelly0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Przemysław Płacheta0%
Ronald0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Mykola Kukharevych0%
Carl Rushworth0%
Aimar Govea0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Joël Piroe67%
Yannick Bolasie20%
Harry Darling13%
Liam Cullen11%
Ronald11%
Przemysław Płacheta10%
Jamie Paterson7%
Jerry Yates5%
Jamal Lowe3%
Matt Grimes2%
Josh Key0%
Nathan Wood0%
Liam Walsh0%
Kyle Naughton0%
Jay Fulton0%
Josh Ginnelly0%
Josh Tymon0%
Joe Allen0%
Kristian Pedersen0%
Ben Cabango0%
Oliver Cooper0%
Harrison Ashby0%
Bashir Humphreys0%
Mykola Kukharevych0%
Carl Rushworth0%
Charlie Patino0%
Azeem Abdulai0%
Aimar Govea0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
SOU (30)
€205m
MID (29)
€142m
NOR (34)
€107m
HUL (27)
€105m
BIR (26)
€93m
SWA (27)
€91m
WAT (22)
€88m
MIL (29)
€85m
STK (25)
€79m
QPR (28)
€71m
LEI (22)
€69m
BRC (25)
€66m
WBA (22)
€52m
PRE (20)
€43m
BLB (27)
€36m
CAR (25)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
ROT (19)
€5m
Watford's squad is €2m less valuable than Swansea's (€88m vs €91m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
MID (12)
€74m
SOU (10)
€72m
SWA (13)
€56m
NOR (10)
€46m
BIR (9)
€46m
STK (8)
€35m
MIL (10)
€30m
QPR (11)
€29m
BRC (8)
€29m
WAT (6)
€28m
HUL (7)
€22m
LEI (7)
€20m
PRE (6)
€17m
CAR (12)
€15m
BLB (8)
€15m
WBA (7)
€15m
SHW (6)
€7m
PLY (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
ROT (6)
€2m
Watford's attack is €28m less valuable than Swansea's (€28m vs €56m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SUN (6)
€110m
LEE (5)
€98m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
COV (6)
€52m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
HUL (8)
€31m
MIL (8)
€29m
MID (5)
€27m
WBA (6)
€22m
BRC (6)
€19m
QPR (5)
€15m
LEI (4)
€13m
BIR (5)
€12m
STK (6)
€11m
SWA (4)
€9m
BLB (7)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
PRE (3)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
ROT (5)
€1m
Watford's midfield is €29m more valuable than Swansea's (€38m vs €9m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEE (11)
€163m
SUN (15)
€125m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
HUL (12)
€52m
MID (12)
€41m
LEI (11)
€36m
BIR (12)
€35m
STK (11)
€32m
NOR (13)
€29m
QPR (12)
€27m
SWA (10)
€26m
MIL (11)
€25m
PRE (11)
€22m
WAT (10)
€22m
BRC (11)
€18m
WBA (9)
€15m
BLB (12)
€14m
CAR (10)
€10m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
ROT (8)
€2m
Watford's defence is €4m less valuable than Swansea's (€22m vs €26m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
WAT wins
0
Draws
3
SWA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Watford vs Swansea · H/A from WAT
DateH/AGameScore
24/10/23ASwansea Vs WAT0-1
30/12/22ASwansea Vs WAT4-0
05/10/22HWAT Vs Swansea1-2
08/05/21HWAT Vs Swansea2-0
02/01/21ASwansea Vs WAT2-1

WatfordWatford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/24AMillwall Vs WAT1-0
24/02/24HWAT Vs Huddersfield1-2
17/02/24ARotherham Vs WAT0-1
13/02/24ANorwich Vs WAT4-2
10/02/24HWAT Vs Leicester1-2
03/02/24HWAT Vs Cardiff0-1
31/01/24ASheffield Weds Vs WAT0-0
20/01/24ABristol City Vs WAT1-1
14/01/24AQPR Vs WAT1-2
01/01/24APlymouth Vs WAT3-3

SwanseaSwansea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/03/24HSWA Vs Blackburn2-1
24/02/24ASunderland Vs SWA1-2
17/02/24HSWA Vs Ipswich1-2
13/02/24HSWA Vs Leeds0-4
10/02/24AHull Vs SWA0-1
03/02/24HSWA Vs Plymouth0-1
30/01/24ALeicester Vs SWA3-1
20/01/24HSWA Vs Southampton1-3
13/01/24ABirmingham Vs SWA2-2
01/01/24HSWA Vs West Brom1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Watford
Watford
England: Championship
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.22
HomeLDLLL1.36
AwayDDLWL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%24%
AVG goals2.722.922.52
Over 1.5 %72%80%64%
Over 2.5 %48%56%40%
Over 3.5 %32%40%24%
Scored1.381.641.12
Conceded1.341.281.40
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet26%36%16%
Corners10.0610.329.80
Cards4.644.444.84
Swansea
Swansea
England: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.32
HomeLLLLW1.31
AwayDDLWW1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%35%38%
AVG goals2.842.693.00
Over 1.5 %80%77%83%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %34%31%38%
Scored1.361.271.46
Conceded1.481.421.54
BTTS64%65%62%
Clean Sheet22%23%21%
Corners9.609.779.42
Cards4.264.274.25

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LeicesterLeicester4697
67%
2.1
8941+48
2.8
78%
59%
30%
9.8
52%
4.3
63%
21.1
46%
69
2013361.90.9
62%
2IpswichIpswich4696
61%
2.1
9257+35
3.2
80%
61%
43%
10.5
57%
3.9
65%
22.9
59%
280
13066852.01.2
53%
3LeedsLeeds4690
59%
2.0
8143+38
2.7
72%
54%
30%
10.5
54%
4.1
57%
22.6
54%
427
166981631.80.9
58%
4SouthamptonSouthampton4687
57%
1.9
8763+24
3.3
85%
65%
37%
11.5
65%
4.8
76%
22.1
50%
205
7253791.91.4
66%
5West BromWest Brom4675
46%
1.6
7047+23
2.5
76%
48%
26%
10.9
61%
3.5
39%
18.8
22%
52
1522151.51.0
52%
6NorwichNorwich4673
46%
1.6
7964+15
3.1
78%
61%
41%
10.5
57%
4.1
52%
21.3
43%
107
4631291.71.4
49%
7HullHull4670
41%
1.5
6860+8
2.8
76%
59%
33%
10.5
70%
4.3
65%
22.7
54%
105
2231521.51.3
56%
8MiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough4669
43%
1.5
7162+9
2.9
85%
52%
30%
11.0
65%
3.7
59%
21.4
41%
142
7427411.51.3
53%
9CoventryCoventry4664
37%
1.4
7059+11
2.8
85%
63%
26%
11.7
65%
4.3
61%
23.2
70%
237
8552991.51.3
51%
10PrestonPreston4663
39%
1.4
5667-11
2.7
78%
59%
22%
9.3
46%
3.6
52%
22.4
52%
43
173221.21.5
45%
11Bristol CityBristol City4662
37%
1.3
5351+2
2.3
61%
37%
22%
10.5
57%
3.2
41%
20.2
41%
66
2919181.21.1
48%
12CardiffCardiff4662
41%
1.3
5370-17
2.7
76%
52%
26%
9.5
48%
3.5
50%
19.8
33%
29
154101.21.5
45%
13MillwallMillwall4659
35%
1.3
4555-10
2.2
63%
37%
20%
10.2
50%
4.2
63%
22.2
57%
85
3029251.01.2
42%
14SwanseaSwansea4657
33%
1.2
5965-6
2.7
78%
57%
30%
10.4
61%
4.1
61%
22.6
57%
91
569261.31.4
55%
15WatfordWatford4656
28%
1.2
6161+0
2.7
67%
50%
33%
9.9
52%
4.2
57%
23.4
63%
88
2838221.31.3
52%
16SunderlandSunderland4656
35%
1.2
5254-2
2.3
63%
46%
22%
10.5
59%
4.9
72%
23.3
65%
392
1571101251.11.2
56%
17StokeStoke4656
33%
1.2
4960-11
2.4
67%
43%
24%
11.0
50%
4.3
70%
22.3
59%
79
3511321.11.3
51%
18QPRQPR4656
33%
1.2
4758-11
2.3
72%
46%
17%
11.0
57%
4.4
65%
23.0
63%
71
2915271.01.3
46%
19BlackburnBlackburn4653
30%
1.2
6074-14
2.9
76%
63%
37%
11.3
76%
4.1
61%
19.7
39%
36
157141.31.6
52%
20Sheffield WedsSheffield Weds4653
33%
1.2
4468-24
2.4
74%
46%
22%
10.6
59%
4.3
57%
22.5
54%
21
7681.01.5
43%
21PlymouthPlymouth4651
28%
1.1
5970-11
2.8
74%
54%
30%
12.5
80%
4.1
59%
21.8
57%
13
4361.31.5
45%
22BirminghamBirmingham4650
28%
1.1
5065-15
2.5
67%
46%
26%
10.6
59%
4.0
59%
23.3
70%
93
4612351.11.4
44%
23HuddersfieldHuddersfield4645
20%
1.0
4877-29
2.7
83%
46%
30%
11.0
63%
3.9
63%
22.8
59%
16
4481.01.7
40%
24RotherhamRotherham4627
11%
0.6
3789-52
2.7
80%
50%
24%
10.5
57%
3.2
35%
20.7
46%
5
2120.81.9
37%
England: Championship 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Championship stats & trends →

← all matches