Werder Bremen vs VfB Stuttgart Result & Analysis

Werder Bremen are tipped to edge VfB Stuttgart, with the model favouring a home win. The expected total of 2.9 goals suggests a moderately high-scoring game, but the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.7% chance. Bremen’s home form shows they average 1.55 goals scored and 1.27 conceded against similar opposition, while Stuttgart’s away record is 0.5 scored and 2.0 conceded. The probabilities for the match result are 44% for a home win, 27% for a draw and 29% for an away win. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 94.3%, Under 5.5 cards at 89.6%, Over 21.5 fouls at 87.8%, Under 4.5 cards at 78.3%, Over 23.5 fouls at 77.6%, Under 11.5 corners at 81.8% (miss), Under 10.5 corners at 72.5% (miss) and Over 1.5 at 79.2% (miss). The match is likely to see a tight contest, with Bremen’s recent five-match slump and Stuttgart’s recent defeat to Bayern adding drama.

The win extends Werder Bremen’s winless streak, ending a run of four defeats, as they edged VfB Stuttgart 1-0. The model had picked a home win with a 44% probability, and its call proved correct. The most likely score was 1-1 at 12.7%, but the match settled at 1-0, the most probable 1-0 at 7.9%. The model’s selections performed unevenly: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 94.3%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 89.6%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 87.8%, Under 4.5 cards hit at 78.3%, and Over 23.5 fouls hit at 77.6%. However, Under 11.5 corners missed at 81.8%, Over 1.5 missed at 79.2%, and Under 10.5 corners missed at 72.5%. The overall prediction was mixed, with most high-probability picks succeeding but a few falling short.