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West Ham vs Aston Villa Result & Analysis

Date: 12/03/2023
Time: 14:00
Final 1-1
West Ham
West Ham
Vs
38%
30%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Referee: C Kavanagh
Match preview & prediction

West Ham and Aston Villa face each other in a tightly balanced Premier League clash, with the model favouring a home win at 38%. The draw sits at 30% and the away side’s chance is 32%. The expected total of 2.4 goals translates to an average of about 2 goals, the most likely total being exactly 2 with a 27% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.3% chance. West Ham, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.82 goals scored and 0.91 conceded. Villa, on the road, averages 0.75 goals scored and 1.75 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards (93.9%), Under 25.5 fouls (90.8%), Under 4.5 cards (85.5%), Under 23.5 fouls (81.9%), Under 3.5 (77.2%), Over 8.5 corners (73.3%), Over 1.5 (71.2%) and Under 3.5 cards (70.2%). Each pick is listed with its probability and the model’s edge where noted.

Results analysis

West Ham’s draw against Aston Villa surprised everyone, as the pre-match favourite, Home win, had a 38% chance and the model’s call was wrong. The 1-1 final score left both sides level, with West Ham coming off a draw and Villa on a defeat. The model’s selection of Under 5.5 cards, with a 93.9% probability, hit, as did Under 25.5 fouls at 90.8%, Under 4.5 cards at 85.5%, Under 23.5 fouls at 81.9%, Under 3.5 at 77.2%, Over 8.5 corners at 73.3%, Over 1.5 at 71.2%, and Under 3.5 cards at 70.2%. All of the model’s picks were correct.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

West Ham win✗ Miss
37.9%
Avg Implied 41.2% · @ 2.32
Edge
-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.0%
Avg Implied 29.4% · @ 3.25
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa win✗ Miss
32.1%
Avg Implied 29.3% · @ 3.26
Edge
+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

West HamWest Ham

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L22D01L20W11D11D02L40W04L20WH·BRE30/12A·LEE04/01A·WOL14/01H·EVE21/01A·NEW04/02H·CHE11/02A·TOT19/02H·NOT25/02A·BRI04/03A·AEK09/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.071.690.851.121.24
vs Stronger (4)0.751.751.001.000.672.00
vs Similar (22)1.321.051.820.910.821.18
vs Weaker (4)2.250.501.000.002.670.67
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L20W11D21W10W24L13L24L20W10WH·LIV26/12A·TOT01/01H·WOL04/01H·LEE13/01A·SOU21/01H·LEI04/02A·MAN12/02H·ARS18/02A·EVE25/02H·CRY04/03
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.531.441.441.141.64
vs Stronger (5)1.402.601.502.501.332.67
vs Similar (17)1.121.471.441.220.751.75
vs Weaker (8)1.621.001.401.402.000.33
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.2%
Under 1.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
43.9%
@ 2.12-1.1%
Under 2.5
56.1%
@ 1.73+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.8%
Under 3.5
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.7%
No
49.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.3%
0-0
10.1%
1-0
9.9%
0-1
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
5.9%
West Ham goals ↓
Aston Villa goals →
01234
010%8.9%5.9%2.3%0.7%
19.9%14%7.5%2.9%0.8%
27.1%8.3%4.8%1.8%0.5%
33.0%3.5%2.0%0.8%0.2%
41.0%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = West Ham goals (down), columns = Aston Villa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
West Ham is 0.55 points worse than Aston Villa in terms of average points per game (1.05 vs 1.61).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
West Ham is 0.24 goals worse than Aston Villa in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.34).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
West Ham is 0.24 goals worse than Aston Villa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.45 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
West Ham is 7.1 percentage points worse than Aston Villa in terms of average possession (42% vs 49%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

West HamWest Ham

For 4.5 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

1501437123745624493418811410151111613799A·AEKA·BRIH·NOTA·TOTH·CHEA·NEWH·EVEA·WOLA·LEEH·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 0.9 · Total 2.2

🟨 Cards

40231211121121312303232241A·AEKA·BRIH·NOTA·TOTH·CHEA·NEWH·EVEA·WOLA·LEEH·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 8.7 · Total 19.2

⚠️ Fouls

2901468685101691113119671018119520141326202415172914A·AEKA·BRIH·NOTA·TOTH·CHEA·NEWH·EVEA·WOLA·LEEH·BRE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Aston VillaAston Villa

For 3.2 · Against 6.1 · Total 9.3

🚩 Corners

15024152948113221178356661112144111586H·CRYA·EVEH·ARSA·MANH·LEIA·SOUH·LEEH·WOLA·TOTH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

70241221212212213346333234470H·CRYA·EVEH·ARSA·MANH·LEIA·SOUH·LEEH·WOLA·TOTH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 12.2 · Total 22.9

⚠️ Fouls

3101417121213414131010919128612101571231241727202820182519H·CRYA·EVEH·ARSA·MANH·LEIA·SOUH·LEEH·WOLA·TOTH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

West HamWest Ham

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.510.62.82.92.817.316.018.5
vs Stronger (9)9.99.810.02.72.82.617.915.819.6
vs Similar (35)10.39.411.13.03.12.817.716.618.7
vs Weaker (6)9.29.78.72.32.02.714.012.315.7
% over line54%46%62%34%46%23%16%8%23%
% under line46%54%38%66%54%77%84%92%77%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.210.34.03.24.823.922.026.0
vs Stronger (7)11.610.513.02.92.83.020.619.222.3
vs Similar (27)9.28.79.74.33.35.324.722.326.9
vs Weaker (16)11.412.210.43.93.24.724.122.825.9
% over line54%50%58%52%46%58%62%42%83%
% under line46%50%42%48%54%42%38%58%17%
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Brighton
10.5
Brentford
10.5
Bournemouth
10.5
Fulham
10.5
Newcastle
10.4
Everton
10.4
Southampton
10.3
Aston Villa
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Tottenham
10.1
West Ham
10.1
Leicester
10.0
Wolves
10.0
Liverpool
9.9
Arsenal
9.8
Manchester United
9.8
Chelsea
9.7
Leeds
9.4
Manchester City
9.4
Crystal Palace
9.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.4
Leeds
4.2
Tottenham
4.2
Everton
4.2
Aston Villa
4.0
Chelsea
4.0
Newcastle
4.0
Crystal Palace
3.9
Wolves
3.9
Fulham
3.8
Bournemouth
3.8
Brighton
3.7
Arsenal
3.7
Manchester United
3.6
Southampton
3.5
Manchester City
3.1
Leicester
3.0
Brentford
2.8
West Ham
2.8
Liverpool
2.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.6
Aston Villa
23.9
Chelsea
23.2
Nottingham Forest
23.1
Leeds
22.7
Fulham
21.5
Tottenham
21.4
Everton
21.1
Southampton
21.1
Bournemouth
21.0
Brighton
20.9
Newcastle
20.6
Arsenal
20.6
Leicester
20.4
Wolves
20.4
Manchester United
19.5
Brentford
19.3
Liverpool
18.4
Manchester City
18.4
West Ham
17.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
61.8%
Under 9.5
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.8%
Under 3.5
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
31.6%
Under 21.5
68.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

West HamWest Ham

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D00D20W11D11D00D00D01L20WH·BRE30/12A·LEE04/01A·WOL14/01H·EVE21/01A·NEW04/02H·CHE11/02A·TOT19/02H·NOT25/02A·BRI04/03A·AEK09/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.770.620.590.41
vs Stronger (4)0.500.501.001.000.330.33
vs Similar (22)0.500.550.730.640.270.45
vs Weaker (4)1.750.251.000.002.000.33
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D01L10W00D23L03L21W00D10WH·LIV26/12A·TOT01/01H·WOL04/01H·LEE13/01A·SOU21/01H·LEI04/02A·MAN12/02H·ARS18/02A·EVE25/02H·CRY04/03
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.700.880.690.430.71
vs Stronger (5)0.601.001.000.500.331.33
vs Similar (17)0.650.650.890.560.380.75
vs Weaker (8)0.750.620.801.000.670.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
West Ham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

West HamWest Ham

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D11D01L00D00D00D02L40W03L00DH·BRE30/12A·LEE04/01A·WOL14/01H·EVE21/01A·NEW04/02H·CHE11/02A·TOT19/02H·NOT25/02A·BRI04/03A·AEK09/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.570.920.230.530.82
vs Stronger (4)0.251.250.000.000.331.67
vs Similar (22)0.820.501.090.270.550.73
vs Weaker (4)0.500.250.000.000.670.33
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W10W11D10W01L10W03L20W00DH·LIV26/12A·TOT01/01H·WOL04/01H·LEE13/01A·SOU21/01H·LEI04/02A·MAN12/02H·ARS18/02A·EVE25/02H·CRY04/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.830.560.750.710.93
vs Stronger (5)0.801.600.502.001.001.33
vs Similar (17)0.470.820.560.670.381.00
vs Weaker (8)0.880.380.600.401.330.33
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
West Ham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards93.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls90.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards85.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls81.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.577.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners73.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.571.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.5 cards70.2%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

West Ham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gianluca Scamacca32%
Michail Antonio23%
Saïd Benrahma21%
Jarrod Bowen20%
Divin Mubama20%
Manuel Lanzini14%
Lucas Paquetá13%
Pablo Fornals11%
Declan Rice10%
Danny Ings9%
Craig Dawson8%
Nayef Aguerd8%
Emerson Palmieri7%
Tomáš Souček6%
Kurt Zouma6%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Maxwel Cornet0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Conor Coventry0%
Ben Johnson0%
Flynn Downes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Divin Mubama40%
Nayef Aguerd23%
Vladimír Coufal19%
Flynn Downes19%
Lucas Paquetá18%
Aaron Cresswell17%
Conor Coventry17%
Craig Dawson17%
Thilo Kehrer16%
Gianluca Scamacca16%
Angelo Ogbonna12%
Tomáš Souček11%
Declan Rice10%
Emerson Palmieri10%
Michail Antonio7%
Jarrod Bowen6%
Maxwel Cornet5%
Manuel Lanzini5%
Danny Ings5%
Ben Johnson4%
Łukasz Fabiański3%
Saïd Benrahma2%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Kurt Zouma0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lucas Paquetá15%
Maxwel Cornet14%
Jarrod Bowen14%
Tomáš Souček11%
Michail Antonio9%
Danny Ings9%
Aaron Cresswell8%
Saïd Benrahma8%
Declan Rice6%
Thilo Kehrer5%
Manuel Lanzini5%
Pablo Fornals4%
Ben Johnson4%
Emerson Palmieri3%
Vladimír Coufal3%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Kurt Zouma0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Conor Coventry0%
Craig Dawson0%
Flynn Downes0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Gianluca Scamacca0%
Divin Mubama0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gianluca Scamacca24%
Saïd Benrahma19%
Lucas Paquetá15%
Michail Antonio9%
Pablo Fornals9%
Craig Dawson8%
Jarrod Bowen8%
Tomáš Souček6%
Manuel Lanzini5%
Danny Ings5%
Declan Rice4%
Kurt Zouma3%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Maxwel Cornet0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Emerson Palmieri0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Conor Coventry0%
Ben Johnson0%
Flynn Downes0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Divin Mubama0%
Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ollie Watkins38%
Bertrand Traoré25%
Danny Ings22%
Jacob Ramsey17%
Douglas Luiz16%
Emiliano Buendía13%
Leon Bailey12%
Philippe Coutinho5%
Lucas Digne4%
Ashley Young3%
John McGinn3%
Tyrone Mings3%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Jhon Durán0%
Calum Chambers0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Álex Moreno0%
Cameron Archer0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ludwig Augustinsson33%
Ashley Young24%
John McGinn21%
Tyrone Mings20%
Emiliano Martínez19%
Lucas Digne18%
Boubacar Kamara17%
Danny Ings17%
Douglas Luiz16%
Ezri Konsa16%
Álex Moreno16%
Matty Cash15%
Philippe Coutinho15%
Calum Chambers14%
Jacob Ramsey14%
Bertrand Traoré12%
Leon Bailey12%
Ollie Watkins11%
Jhon Durán8%
Robin Olsen0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Diego Carlos0%
Cameron Archer0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jacob Ramsey17%
Douglas Luiz16%
Álex Moreno16%
Ollie Watkins14%
Leon Bailey12%
John McGinn9%
Tyrone Mings6%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Matty Cash4%
Philippe Coutinho0%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Ashley Young0%
Lucas Digne0%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Jhon Durán0%
Danny Ings0%
Calum Chambers0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Cameron Archer0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ollie Watkins35%
Danny Ings17%
Leon Bailey6%
Douglas Luiz5%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Philippe Coutinho5%
John McGinn3%
Jacob Ramsey3%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Ashley Young0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Ludwig Augustinsson0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jan Bednarek0%
Jhon Durán0%
Calum Chambers0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Álex Moreno0%
Cameron Archer0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
West Ham's squad is €262m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€274m vs €536m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
West Ham's attack is €135m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€84m vs €220m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
West Ham's midfield is €112m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€48m vs €160m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
West Ham's defence is €15m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€141m vs €156m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
5
WHU wins
0
Draws
0
AVL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

West Ham vs Aston Villa · H/A from WHU
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/22AAston Villa Vs WHU0-1
13/03/22HWHU Vs Aston Villa2-1
31/10/21AAston Villa Vs WHU1-4
03/02/21AAston Villa Vs WHU1-3
30/11/20HWHU Vs Aston Villa2-1

West HamWest Ham

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/23AAEK Larnaca Vs WHU0-2
04/03/23ABrighton Vs WHU4-0
25/02/23HWHU Vs Nottingham Forest4-0
19/02/23ATottenham Vs WHU2-0
11/02/23HWHU Vs Chelsea1-1
04/02/23ANewcastle Vs WHU1-1
21/01/23HWHU Vs Everton2-0
14/01/23AWolves Vs WHU1-0
04/01/23ALeeds Vs WHU2-2
30/12/22HWHU Vs Brentford0-2

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/03/23HAVL Vs Crystal Palace1-0
25/02/23AEverton Vs AVL0-2
18/02/23HAVL Vs Arsenal2-4
12/02/23AManchester City Vs AVL3-1
04/02/23HAVL Vs Leicester2-4
21/01/23ASouthampton Vs AVL0-1
13/01/23HAVL Vs Leeds2-1
04/01/23HAVL Vs Wolves1-1
01/01/23ATottenham Vs AVL0-2
26/12/22HAVL Vs Liverpool1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

West Ham
West Ham
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLW1.38
HomeLLWDW1.83
AwayLDLLW0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%54%27%
AVG goals2.442.502.38
Over 1.5 %74%88%62%
Over 2.5 %42%42%42%
Over 3.5 %26%21%31%
Scored1.261.501.04
Conceded1.181.001.35
BTTS44%54%35%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners10.069.5010.58
Cards2.842.922.77
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWW1.26
HomeDWLLW1.27
AwayWWWLW1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%35%38%
AVG goals2.723.002.42
Over 1.5 %78%81%75%
Over 2.5 %54%58%50%
Over 3.5 %30%38%21%
Scored1.301.461.12
Conceded1.421.541.29
BTTS52%62%42%
Clean Sheet28%19%38%
Corners10.2610.1910.33
Cards3.983.194.83

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3889
74%
2.3
9433+61
3.3
82%
66%
42%
8.9
50%
3.3
42%
19.7
29%
1326
6351605312.50.9
66%
2ArsenalArsenal3884
68%
2.2
8843+45
3.4
84%
68%
53%
9.6
45%
3.5
39%
21.8
50%
1406
6082905082.31.1
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3875
61%
2.0
5843+15
2.7
71%
50%
24%
10.6
61%
3.4
47%
19.3
26%
929
4322362611.51.1
54%
4NewcastleNewcastle3871
50%
1.9
6833+35
2.7
74%
47%
29%
11.4
76%
3.7
45%
21.7
42%
568
2341242101.80.9
52%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3867
50%
1.8
7547+28
3.2
74%
61%
37%
9.8
45%
3.1
42%
19.7
39%
980
5182012602.01.2
61%
6BrightonBrighton3862
47%
1.6
7253+19
3.3
79%
66%
45%
9.7
55%
4.0
53%
22.4
58%
620
1901802491.91.4
60%
7Aston VillaAston Villa3861
47%
1.6
5146+5
2.6
79%
47%
21%
9.9
55%
4.3
55%
24.1
68%
536
2201601561.31.2
49%
8TottenhamTottenham3860
47%
1.6
7063+7
3.5
84%
61%
47%
10.5
63%
4.1
53%
21.1
39%
920
2502823881.81.7
50%
9BrentfordBrentford3859
39%
1.6
5846+12
2.7
82%
45%
32%
9.9
55%
3.1
45%
20.2
29%
565
2281282091.51.2
43%
10FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
5553+2
2.8
74%
66%
29%
10.2
47%
3.7
47%
21.8
42%
329
178281231.41.4
49%
11Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4049-9
2.3
68%
39%
18%
9.6
37%
4.3
58%
24.6
66%
505
229931821.11.3
46%
12ChelseaChelsea3844
29%
1.2
3847-9
2.2
66%
42%
21%
10.3
55%
3.9
58%
22.7
50%
1407
6142785141.01.2
59%
13WolvesWolves3841
29%
1.1
3158-27
2.3
71%
39%
13%
10.3
50%
4.3
61%
23.1
61%
273
79791160.81.5
-
14West HamWest Ham3840
29%
1.1
4255-13
2.6
76%
39%
26%
10.6
53%
2.6
26%
18.1
21%
274
84481411.11.4
42%
15BournemouthBournemouth3839
29%
1.0
3771-34
2.8
74%
47%
32%
10.9
66%
3.1
34%
20.2
32%
573
2851061821.01.9
41%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3838
24%
1.0
3868-30
2.8
79%
45%
34%
9.7
50%
3.9
61%
22.6
61%
551
263522361.01.8
37%
17EvertonEverton3836
21%
0.9
3457-23
2.4
74%
42%
21%
10.9
61%
4.2
66%
21.0
42%
459
1741621230.91.5
42%
18LeicesterLeicester3834
24%
0.9
5168-17
3.1
79%
63%
34%
9.8
50%
3.2
39%
21.6
58%
69
2013361.31.8
48%
19LeedsLeeds3831
18%
0.8
4878-30
3.3
76%
66%
45%
10.1
55%
4.0
61%
23.1
58%
427
166981631.32.1
48%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3825
16%
0.7
3673-37
2.9
66%
53%
34%
9.6
50%
3.6
42%
21.8
45%
205
7253790.91.9
44%
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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