West Ham’s recent 1-1 draw with Watford shows a solid defensive showing, conceding only 0.79 goals per game at home, while their attack averages 2.0 goals. Aston Villa, after a 0-4 loss to Brighton, have been less potent on the road, scoring 1.67 goals and conceding 1.22. The model projects a high-scoring encounter, with an expected 3.5 goals and a most likely total of three. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.1% chance, reflecting the balanced offensive output from both sides. The model favours an away win, giving Aston Villa a 47% chance, West Ham 30%, and a draw 24%. Suggested picks include an Under 25.5 fouls (92.1%), Under 5.5 cards (87.7%), Over 1.5 (87.2%), Under 23.5 fouls (83.9%), Under 4.5 cards (75.3%), Under 11.5 corners (72.1%), and Under 21.5 fouls (71.2%). All selections are presented with their respective probabilities.
Results analysis
The 1-1 draw surprised everyone, as the pre-match favourite was the away side, predicted to win with a 47% probability. The model’s call was wrong, and the match ended in a stalemate. West Ham’s recent form, a 5-match string of DWLDW, had just ended with a draw, while Aston Villa, after a 0-4 defeat, had a 5-match run of LWWWD. The model’s selections delivered mixed results: Under 25.5 fouls hit at 92.1%, Under 5.5 cards missed at 87.7%, Over 1.5 hit at 87.2%, Under 23.5 fouls missed at 83.9%, Under 4.5 cards missed at 75.3%, Under 11.5 corners missed at 72.1%, and Under 21.5 fouls missed at 71.2%. The final score of 1-1 confirmed a draw.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
West Ham win✗ Miss
29.6%
Avg Implied 39.1% · @ 2.45
Edge
-9.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
23.7%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.63
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa win✗ Miss
46.7%
Avg Implied 34.6% · @ 2.77
Edge
+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
West Ham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
1.53
1.87
1.13
1.27
1.93
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
3.00
0.00
6.00
1.50
1.50
vs Similar (26)
1.65
1.42
2.00
0.79
1.25
2.17
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.07
1.17
2.31
1.25
1.79
1.07
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (18)
2.22
1.44
2.78
1.67
1.67
1.22
vs Weaker (10)
2.00
0.90
2.00
1.00
2.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.2%
Under 1.5
12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
67.7%
@ 1.58+7.5%
Under 2.5
32.3%
@ 2.39-7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.1%
Under 3.5
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
68.3%
No
31.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-1
7.0%
2-2
6.9%
1-3
5.8%
0-2
5.8%
0-1
5.0%
2-3
4.5%
West Ham goals ↓
Aston Villa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.0%
5.0%
5.8%
3.8%
1.9%
1
3.8%
10%
8.9%
5.8%
2.8%
2
3.6%
7.0%
6.9%
4.5%
2.2%
3
1.8%
3.6%
3.5%
2.3%
1.1%
4
0.7%
1.4%
1.4%
0.9%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = West Ham goals (down), columns = Aston Villa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
West Ham is 0.42 points worse than Aston Villa in terms of average points per game (1.37 vs 1.79).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
West Ham is 0.42 goals worse than Aston Villa in terms of goals scored per game (1.58 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
West Ham is 0.34 goals worse than Aston Villa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.95 vs 1.61).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
West Ham is 12.6 percentage points worse than Aston Villa in terms of average possession (41% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
West Ham
For 3.5 · Against 4.5 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 10.4 · Total 20.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aston Villa
For 5.8 · Against 4.3 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.8 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
West Ham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.0
10.6
3.6
3.4
3.7
19.9
19.7
20.2
vs Stronger (8)
10.8
10.6
11.0
2.9
3.6
1.7
19.6
20.0
19.0
vs Similar (39)
9.4
8.2
10.4
3.8
3.4
4.0
19.9
19.9
20.0
vs Weaker (3)
13.3
16.0
12.0
2.7
2.0
3.0
21.0
14.0
24.5
% over line
44%
42%
46%
48%
54%
42%
36%
33%
38%
% under line
56%
58%
54%
52%
46%
58%
64%
67%
62%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.3
10.8
5.0
5.0
5.0
23.8
24.1
23.5
vs Stronger (2)
6.0
6.0
-
5.0
5.0
-
26.5
26.5
-
vs Similar (31)
10.4
9.7
11.1
5.3
4.9
5.7
23.7
24.0
23.5
vs Weaker (17)
9.9
9.4
10.3
4.4
5.3
3.8
23.5
23.6
23.5
% over line
56%
44%
68%
74%
76%
72%
66%
68%
64%
% under line
44%
56%
32%
26%
24%
28%
34%
32%
36%
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
12.4
Bournemouth
11.5
Tottenham
11.4
Liverpool
10.9
Luton
10.9
Everton
10.6
Newcastle
10.4
Wolves
10.4
Sheffield United
10.3
Fulham
10.2
Burnley
10.2
Manchester City
10.2
Brentford
10.1
Crystal Palace
10.1
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Aston Villa
10.0
Chelsea
9.9
West Ham
9.8
Arsenal
9.5
Brighton
9.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
5.1
Brighton
5.1
Chelsea
5.1
Tottenham
4.8
Wolves
4.7
Burnley
4.3
Sheffield United
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Newcastle
4.2
Crystal Palace
4.2
Manchester United
4.0
Bournemouth
4.0
Liverpool
4.0
Manchester City
3.9
Brentford
3.9
Fulham
3.9
Luton
3.9
Everton
3.8
Arsenal
3.7
West Ham
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.5
Crystal Palace
23.8
Aston Villa
23.8
Chelsea
23.7
Brighton
23.5
Wolves
23.4
Luton
23.3
Newcastle
22.8
Nottingham Forest
22.1
Liverpool
22.1
Fulham
21.8
Bournemouth
21.7
Arsenal
21.5
Everton
21.5
Burnley
21.3
Brentford
21.2
Sheffield United
20.3
Manchester United
20.2
West Ham
19.9
Manchester City
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.5%
Under 9.5
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
43.1%
Under 3.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
28.8%
Under 21.5
71.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
West Ham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.70
0.87
0.60
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
1.67
0.00
4.00
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (26)
0.65
0.62
0.93
0.36
0.33
0.92
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.33
0.94
0.38
0.93
0.29
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.94
0.44
1.11
0.44
0.78
0.44
vs Weaker (10)
1.00
0.20
0.80
0.40
1.20
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
West Ham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
West Ham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.83
1.00
0.53
0.87
1.13
vs Stronger (3)
0.33
1.33
0.00
2.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (26)
1.00
0.81
1.07
0.43
0.92
1.25
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.83
1.38
0.88
0.86
0.79
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.28
1.00
1.67
1.22
0.89
0.78
vs Weaker (10)
1.00
0.70
1.20
0.60
0.80
0.80
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
West Ham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
87.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
72.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 21.5 fouls
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
West Ham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jarrod Bowen37%
George Earthy25%
Mohammed Kudus24%
Michail Antonio22%
Lucas Paquetá20%
Tomáš Souček19%
James Ward-Prowse15%
Kurt Zouma8%
Maxwel Cornet8%
Nayef Aguerd7%
Aaron Cresswell6%
Edson Álvarez5%
Danny Ings4%
Konstantinos Mavropanos4%
Emerson Palmieri2%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Ben Johnson0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Saïd Benrahma0%
Divin Mubama0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Edson Álvarez37%
Thilo Kehrer33%
Lucas Paquetá32%
Emerson Palmieri30%
Michail Antonio25%
Kalvin Phillips20%
Tomáš Souček17%
Mohammed Kudus17%
Vladimír Coufal16%
Angelo Ogbonna14%
Aaron Cresswell12%
Kurt Zouma11%
Jarrod Bowen10%
James Ward-Prowse9%
Nayef Aguerd7%
Konstantinos Mavropanos7%
Ben Johnson6%
Saïd Benrahma6%
Pablo Fornals5%
Danny Ings4%
Alphonse Aréola3%
Maxwel Cornet0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Divin Mubama0%
George Earthy0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jarrod Bowen24%
James Ward-Prowse17%
Vladimír Coufal16%
Mohammed Kudus14%
Lucas Paquetá10%
Maxwel Cornet8%
Tomáš Souček6%
Michail Antonio6%
Saïd Benrahma6%
Edson Álvarez5%
Emerson Palmieri5%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Konstantinos Mavropanos0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Kurt Zouma0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Ben Johnson0%
Danny Ings0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Divin Mubama0%
George Earthy0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jarrod Bowen37%
Mohammed Kudus14%
Saïd Benrahma11%
Tomáš Souček9%
Danny Ings8%
Lucas Paquetá8%
Michail Antonio6%
Nayef Aguerd4%
Konstantinos Mavropanos4%
Emerson Palmieri2%
James Ward-Prowse2%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Thilo Kehrer0%
Maxwel Cornet0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Pablo Fornals0%
Kurt Zouma0%
Edson Álvarez0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Angelo Ogbonna0%
Ben Johnson0%
Kalvin Phillips0%
Divin Mubama0%
George Earthy0%
Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ollie Watkins41%
Leon Bailey29%
Jhon Durán20%
Morgan Rogers19%
John McGinn18%
Moussa Diaby18%
Douglas Luiz16%
Álex Moreno12%
Nicolò Zaniolo9%
Leander Dendoncker8%
Matty Cash7%
Youri Tielemans7%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Pau Torres5%
Lucas Digne4%
Diego Carlos3%
Ezri Konsa2%
Clément Lenglet0%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Calum Chambers0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Omari Kellyman0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nicolò Zaniolo31%
Morgan Rogers31%
Douglas Luiz31%
Boubacar Kamara27%
Matty Cash24%
Jhon Durán23%
John McGinn22%
Lucas Digne20%
Clément Lenglet18%
Emiliano Martínez14%
Ezri Konsa13%
Leon Bailey12%
Calum Chambers12%
Ollie Watkins12%
Youri Tielemans12%
Diego Carlos11%
Jacob Ramsey11%
Moussa Diaby8%
Álex Moreno8%
Tim Iroegbunam7%
Pau Torres3%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Omari Kellyman0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Leon Bailey27%
Ollie Watkins20%
Omari Kellyman20%
Moussa Diaby18%
Douglas Luiz16%
Youri Tielemans16%
John McGinn14%
Calum Chambers12%
Lucas Digne9%
Matty Cash7%
Morgan Rogers6%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Clément Lenglet5%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Diego Carlos3%
Pau Torres3%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Nicolò Zaniolo0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Jhon Durán0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Álex Moreno0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ollie Watkins41%
Moussa Diaby12%
Nicolò Zaniolo9%
Jhon Durán9%
Douglas Luiz8%
Leon Bailey6%
John McGinn6%
Jacob Ramsey5%
Matty Cash5%
Álex Moreno4%
Diego Carlos3%
Youri Tielemans2%
Clément Lenglet0%
Bertrand Traoré0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Leander Dendoncker0%
Calum Chambers0%
Morgan Rogers0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Pau Torres0%
Tim Iroegbunam0%
Kaine Kesler-Hayden0%
Omari Kellyman0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
West Ham's squad is €262m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€274m vs €536m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
West Ham's attack is €135m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€84m vs €220m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
West Ham's midfield is €112m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€48m vs €160m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
West Ham's defence is €15m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€141m vs €156m).
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Manchester City
Arsenal
Liverpool
Tottenham
Chelsea
Newcastle
Manchester United
Crystal Palace
Brighton
Everton
Bournemouth
Fulham
Wolves
Brentford
Nottingham Forest
Luton
Burnley
Sheffield United