West Ham’s recent draw against Watford and a 1-1 scoreline hint at a cautious approach, but the Premier League model flags an away win for Aston Villa as the most likely outcome, with a 44% chance of victory, 24% for a draw and 32% for a West Ham win. The expected total of 3.6 goals points to a high-scoring encounter, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.8% probability. West Ham, playing at home, averages 1.77 goals scored and 0.85 conceded against similar opposition, while Villa, away, averages 0.89 scored and 1.78 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Over 1.5 goals at 87.9%, Under 5.5 cards at 80.6%, Over 2.5 cards at 74.1%, and Under 23.5 fouls at 70.1%. Additional selections are Under 25.5 fouls at 82.6% and Over 8.5 corners at 70.6%. These figures collectively paint a picture of a closely contested match where Villa’s defensive resilience could tip the scales.
Results analysis
The match finished 1-2 in favour of Aston Villa, confirming the model’s pick of an away win at 44 percent. West Ham, coming off a draw, had a modest home form, while Villa, after a 0-4 defeat, had been on a three-game winning streak. The model’s suggested picks were largely accurate: Over 1.5 goals hit at 87.9 percent, Under 5.5 cards also hit at 80.6 percent, and Over 2.5 cards hit at 74.1 percent. However, Under 25.5 fouls, Under 23.5 fouls and Over 8.5 corners all missed, despite their high probabilities of 82.6 percent, 70.1 percent and 70.6 percent respectively. The most likely scoreline of 1-1 was not reached, but the overall prediction of an away victory proved correct.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
West Ham win✗ Miss
32.2%
Avg Implied 38.8% · @ 2.47
Edge
-6.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.6%
Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.51
Edge
-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa win✓ Hit
44.2%
Avg Implied 33.9% · @ 2.83
Edge
+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
West Ham
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.83
1.75
1.25
1.21
2.50
vs Stronger (5)
1.00
3.20
1.00
4.00
1.00
2.67
vs Similar (24)
1.54
1.58
1.77
0.85
1.27
2.45
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
1.00
3.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.73
1.70
2.13
1.87
1.33
1.53
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
1.33
1.00
0.00
1.50
2.00
vs Similar (20)
1.65
2.05
2.27
2.27
0.89
1.78
vs Weaker (7)
2.14
0.86
2.00
1.00
2.25
0.75
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.9%
Under 1.5
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
69.0%
@ 1.68+12.1%
Under 2.5
31.0%
@ 2.22-12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.7%
Under 3.5
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.7%
No
30.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.8%
1-2 ✓
8.6%
2-1
7.3%
2-2
7.0%
1-3
5.5%
0-2
5.3%
0-1
4.6%
2-3
4.5%
West Ham goals ↓
Aston Villa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.7%
4.6%
5.3%
3.4%
1.6%
1
3.7%
9.8%
8.6%
5.5%
2.7%
2
3.8%
7.3%
7.0%
4.5%
2.2%
3
2.1%
4.0%
3.8%
2.5%
1.2%
4
0.8%
1.6%
1.6%
1.0%
0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = West Ham goals (down), columns = Aston Villa goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
West Ham is 0.61 points worse than Aston Villa in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.74).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
West Ham is 0.32 goals worse than Aston Villa in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
West Ham is 0.29 goals worse than Aston Villa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.34).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
West Ham is 1.8 percentage points worse than Aston Villa in terms of average possession (48% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
West Ham
For 4.4 · Against 6.4 · Total 10.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 11.1 · Total 21.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aston Villa
For 5.7 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 12.4 · Total 22.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
West Ham
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.0
9.8
10.2
4.0
4.1
4.0
20.9
21.4
20.4
vs Stronger (8)
12.4
12.0
12.8
3.2
4.2
2.2
20.4
21.2
19.5
vs Similar (38)
9.2
8.7
9.6
4.3
4.2
4.4
20.9
21.7
20.2
vs Weaker (4)
13.2
14.5
12.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
21.8
19.0
24.5
% over line
46%
50%
42%
56%
62%
50%
42%
46%
38%
% under line
54%
50%
58%
44%
38%
50%
58%
54%
62%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.2
10.5
4.8
4.6
5.0
23.2
24.2
22.2
vs Stronger (4)
6.8
6.0
7.5
4.2
5.0
3.5
22.8
26.5
19.0
vs Similar (31)
10.4
9.7
11.1
5.0
4.2
5.9
22.9
23.5
22.3
vs Weaker (15)
9.5
8.9
10.0
4.4
5.3
3.6
23.8
25.0
22.8
% over line
52%
44%
60%
70%
68%
72%
62%
72%
52%
% under line
48%
56%
40%
30%
32%
28%
38%
28%
48%
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Manchester United
12.6
Tottenham
12.0
Bournemouth
11.6
Southampton
11.3
Everton
11.3
Liverpool
11.3
Fulham
10.6
Brentford
10.5
Newcastle
10.4
Manchester City
10.4
Wolves
10.3
Nottingham Forest
10.3
Ipswich
10.3
Chelsea
10.2
West Ham
10.0
Crystal Palace
10.0
Aston Villa
9.8
Leicester
9.7
Brighton
9.5
Arsenal
9.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Brighton
5.2
Wolves
4.9
Chelsea
4.9
Aston Villa
4.9
Tottenham
4.8
Southampton
4.7
Newcastle
4.5
Leicester
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Manchester United
4.1
West Ham
4.1
Liverpool
4.1
Brentford
4.0
Bournemouth
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
Ipswich
3.9
Everton
3.8
Fulham
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Arsenal
3.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.2
Wolves
23.8
Crystal Palace
23.7
Chelsea
23.3
Brighton
23.2
Aston Villa
23.2
Newcastle
23.1
Ipswich
22.9
Bournemouth
22.8
Liverpool
22.2
Southampton
22.1
Everton
21.7
Nottingham Forest
21.7
Arsenal
21.7
Brentford
21.3
Leicester
21.2
Fulham
21.0
West Ham
20.9
Manchester United
19.7
Manchester City
19.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.6%
Under 9.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.9%
Under 3.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
46.0%
Under 21.5
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
West Ham
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.97
0.81
0.69
0.43
1.29
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.80
0.50
2.00
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (24)
0.67
0.79
0.92
0.46
0.36
1.18
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.60
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.53
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.75
1.00
0.82
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
0.14
1.00
0.33
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
West Ham over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
West Ham
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.87
0.94
0.56
0.79
1.21
vs Stronger (5)
0.40
1.40
0.50
2.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (24)
0.88
0.79
0.85
0.38
0.91
1.27
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aston Villa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.10
1.13
1.20
0.67
1.00
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.95
1.30
1.27
1.45
0.56
1.11
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.71
1.00
0.67
0.75
0.75
Clean sheet %
33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (West Ham) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
West Ham over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
West Ham over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
82.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 23.5 fouls
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
West Ham
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jarrod Bowen39%
Tomáš Souček24%
Niclas Füllkrug15%
Mohammed Kudus14%
Lucas Paquetá14%
Michail Antonio7%
Emerson Palmieri6%
James Ward-Prowse6%
Danny Ings6%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka5%
Crysencio Summerville5%
Carlos Soler3%
Jean-Clair Todibo0%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Konstantinos Mavropanos0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
Edson Álvarez0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Max Kilman0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Andy Irving0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Luis Guilherme0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lucas Paquetá31%
Edson Álvarez29%
Guido Rodríguez25%
Tomáš Souček21%
Vladimír Coufal20%
Carlos Soler18%
Andy Irving18%
Łukasz Fabiański18%
Emerson Palmieri16%
Aaron Cresswell15%
Konstantinos Mavropanos14%
Jean-Clair Todibo14%
James Ward-Prowse12%
Max Kilman12%
Niclas Füllkrug10%
Crysencio Summerville9%
Mohammed Kudus9%
Michail Antonio7%
Oliver Scarles6%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka5%
Jarrod Bowen3%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Danny Ings0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Luis Guilherme0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jarrod Bowen19%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka13%
Danny Ings12%
Mohammed Kudus11%
Niclas Füllkrug10%
Crysencio Summerville9%
Michail Antonio7%
James Ward-Prowse6%
Guido Rodríguez4%
Edson Álvarez3%
Emerson Palmieri3%
Carlos Soler3%
Tomáš Souček3%
Max Kilman2%
Jean-Clair Todibo0%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Konstantinos Mavropanos0%
Lucas Paquetá0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Andy Irving0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Luis Guilherme0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jarrod Bowen31%
Tomáš Souček13%
Mohammed Kudus9%
Lucas Paquetá8%
Michail Antonio7%
Carlos Soler3%
Konstantinos Mavropanos3%
Jean-Clair Todibo0%
Alphonse Aréola0%
Vladimír Coufal0%
Emerson Palmieri0%
Guido Rodríguez0%
Edson Álvarez0%
James Ward-Prowse0%
Łukasz Fabiański0%
Max Kilman0%
Aaron Cresswell0%
Aaron Wan-Bissaka0%
Danny Ings0%
Niclas Füllkrug0%
Crysencio Summerville0%
Andy Irving0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Oliver Scarles0%
Luis Guilherme0%
Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jhon Durán41%
Ollie Watkins30%
Marco Asensio24%
Morgan Rogers22%
Donyell Malen18%
Marcus Rashford18%
Amadou Onana15%
Ross Barkley14%
Youri Tielemans9%
Jacob Ramsey9%
John McGinn8%
Ezri Konsa6%
Leon Bailey5%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Ian Maatsen4%
Matty Cash3%
Boubacar Kamara2%
Robin Olsen0%
Lucas Digne0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Pau Torres0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Diego Carlos29%
Morgan Rogers22%
Matty Cash21%
Axel Disasi20%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace20%
Jhon Durán17%
John McGinn16%
Tyrone Mings14%
Ross Barkley14%
Lucas Digne13%
Lamare Bogarde12%
Boubacar Kamara12%
Amadou Onana12%
Leon Bailey11%
Marco Asensio10%
Youri Tielemans9%
Emiliano Martínez9%
Pau Torres9%
Jacob Ramsey7%
Ian Maatsen7%
Emiliano Buendía5%
Ezri Konsa4%
Ollie Watkins4%
Donyell Malen0%
Robin Olsen0%
Marcus Rashford0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ollie Watkins24%
Marcus Rashford24%
Morgan Rogers20%
Youri Tielemans19%
John McGinn12%
Lucas Digne11%
Leon Bailey11%
Jacob Ramsey9%
Pau Torres6%
Marco Asensio5%
Ian Maatsen4%
Ross Barkley3%
Matty Cash3%
Donyell Malen0%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Jhon Durán0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jhon Durán28%
Marco Asensio24%
Marcus Rashford24%
Ollie Watkins19%
Morgan Rogers17%
Donyell Malen12%
Youri Tielemans9%
Jacob Ramsey4%
Leon Bailey3%
Ian Maatsen2%
John McGinn2%
Robin Olsen0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Ross Barkley0%
Lucas Digne0%
Emiliano Buendía0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Matty Cash0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Diego Carlos0%
Axel Disasi0%
Pau Torres0%
Jaden Philogene-Bidace0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Kosta Nedeljković0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
Andrés García0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
West Ham's squad is €262m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€274m vs €536m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
West Ham's attack is €135m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€84m vs €220m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
West Ham's midfield is €112m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€48m vs €160m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
West Ham's defence is €15m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€141m vs €156m).
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Liverpool
Arsenal
Manchester City
Chelsea
Newcastle
Nottingham Forest
Brighton
Bournemouth
Brentford
Fulham
Crystal Palace
Everton
Manchester United
Wolves
Tottenham
Leicester
Ipswich
Southampton